Empirical Analysis of the Relationship between FDI and Processing Trade: 1985-2008

2012 ◽  
Vol 457-458 ◽  
pp. 675-682
Author(s):  
Xi Jun Wang
Keyword(s):  
Granger Causality ◽  
Empirical Analysis ◽  
Impulse Response Function ◽  
Processing Trade ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Dynamic Correlation ◽  
Stable Relationship ◽  
Short Period ◽  
The Impact ◽  
The Relationship

Processing trade has gradually replaced the general trade, becoming China’s main trade pattern. Then, what’s the relationship between FDI and processing trade? This paper, based on VAR model, by employing Granger causality test approach, impulse response function and variance decomposition, gives an empirical analysis and test of the dynamic correlation between FDI and processing trade. The empirical result denotes that there exists bilateral Granger causality relationship between FDI and processing trade. For a short period, the impact of FDI on the responsiveness of processing trade is more intense. The impact of processing trade on the responsiveness of FDI is also more intense and the volatility of fluctuations is larger; for a long period, there exists a long-run stable relationship between FDI and processing trade.

scholarly journals An Empirical Analysis of the Relationship Between Urbanization and Fiscal Policy --- Taking Jiangxi Province of China As an Example

2018 ◽  
Vol 10 (2) ◽  
pp. 140 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xiao-Ying Wan
Keyword(s):  
Fiscal Policy ◽  
Empirical Analysis ◽  
Impulse Response Function ◽  
Jiangxi Province ◽  
Vector Autoregressive ◽  
Dynamic Correlation ◽  
Existing Problems ◽  
Fiscal Revenue ◽  
The Impact ◽  
The Relationship

Urbanization is still the direction of China's development in the next twenty years. The study of the relationship between fiscal policy and urbanization is of great value to the healthy promotion of urbanization. In this paper, through the establishment of vector autoregressive model, and analysis using the impulse response function and variance decomposition empirical dynamic correlation between the development of urbanization in Jiangxi province and that of fiscal policy, fiscal policy focus; at the same time, this thesis employs qualitative analysis and quantitative analysis, normative analysis and empirical analysis, combined with the reality of the development of urbanization in Jiangxi Province in order to analyze of the relationship between the development of urbanization in Jiangxi province and fiscal policy and the existing problems. The study found that there is a cointegration relationship between fiscal policy and urbanization. The impact of fiscal expenditure on Urbanization in Jiangxi is better than that in fiscal revenue. Finally, this paper also puts forward relevant policy.

scholarly journals The Impact of Foreign Direct Investment on Trade (Export and Import) in Turkey

2019 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
pp. 6
Author(s):  
Mehman Karimov
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
International Trade ◽  
Granger Causality ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Empirical Studies ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Lag Selection ◽  
Causality Tests ◽  
The Impact ◽  
The Relationship

It is said that after globalization processes foreign direct investment start to influence trade moreover it is very complicated to deduce the relationship between trade and FDI according to theoretical analysis. Therefore, empirical studies showed that until the 1980s international trade generated direct investment but after 1980s FDI started to heavily influencing international trade. Also, results showed that the relationship can differ from one country to another. Thus, this paper is aimed to analyze the impact of Foreign Direct Investment inflow on the macroeconomic variable as a Trade (Export, Import) in Turkey. The paper covers the time period from 1974 to 2017. The time series datasets, those are obtained from World Bank and IMF database are utilized in employed statistical models as ADF Unit Root, VAR lag selection, Johansen co-integration, and the Granger Causality tests, to fulfill empirical part of the paper. Based on results, it was confirmed that there was the presence of the co-integration between analyzed series. Additionally, results of Granger causality test showed that there is unidirectional causality from Export and Import to FDI.

scholarly journals The Impact of Foreign Direct Investment on Trade (Export and Import) in Turkey

2019 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
pp. 6
Author(s):  
Mehman Karimov
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
International Trade ◽  
Granger Causality ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Empirical Studies ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Lag Selection ◽  
Causality Tests ◽  
The Impact ◽  
The Relationship

It is said that after globalization processes foreign direct investment start to influence trade moreover it is very complicated to deduce the relationship between trade and FDI according to theoretical analysis. Therefore, empirical studies showed that until the 1980s international trade generated direct investment but after 1980s FDI started to heavily influencing international trade. Also, results showed that the relationship can differ from one country to another. Thus, this paper is aimed to analyze the impact of Foreign Direct Investment inflow on the macroeconomic variable as a Trade (Export, Import) in Turkey. The paper covers the time period from 1974 to 2017. The time series datasets, those are obtained from World Bank and IMF database are utilized in employed statistical models as ADF Unit Root, VAR lag selection, Johansen co-integration, and the Granger Causality tests, to fulfill empirical part of the paper. Based on results, it was confirmed that there was the presence of the co-integration between analyzed series. Additionally, results of Granger causality test showed that there is unidirectional causality from Export and Import to FDI.

scholarly journals Fiscal Policy, Monetary Policy and Price Volatility: Evidence from an Emerging Economy

2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
pp. 57-70
Author(s):  
Le Thanh Tung
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Fiscal Policy ◽  
Granger Causality ◽  
Impulse Response Function ◽  
Price Volatility ◽  
Granger Causality Test ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Study Results ◽  
The Government ◽  
The Impact

Vietnam is an Asian emerging country, which now is ranked in the group of the fastest-gro- wing economies worldwide. However, this economy has faced galloping inflation in recent years. So the Vietnamese experience is a valuable reference for the policymakers in the developing world in order to successfully control price volatility. Our study applies the Vector autoregressive method, the Johansen cointegration test, and the Granger causality test to examine the impact of fiscal and monetary policy on price volatility in Vietnam with a quarterly data sample collected over the period from 2004 to 2018. The study results confirm the existence of a long-term cointegration relationship between these policies and price volatility in Vietnam. Besides, the variance decomposition and impulse response function also show that the impact of these policies on inflation is clear, however, the fiscal policy more strongly affects inflation than the monetary policy. Finally, the Granger causality test also indicates one-way causality relationships from the government expenditure as well as the exchange rate to price volatility in the study period.

scholarly journals Analysis on the Impact of the Fluctuation of the International Gold Prices on the Chinese Gold Stocks

2014 ◽  
Vol 2014 ◽  
pp. 1-6
Author(s):  
Jiankang Jin ◽  
Chen Jie ◽  
Quanda Zhang
Keyword(s):  
Price Change ◽  
Impulse Response Function ◽  
Unit Root Test ◽  
Granger Causality Test ◽  
Var Model ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Gold Futures ◽  
The Impact ◽  
The Relationship ◽  
A Share

Five gold stocks in Chinese Shanghai and Shenzhen A-share and Comex gold futures are chosen to form the sample, for the purpose of analysing the impact of the fluctuation of the international gold prices on the gold stocks in Chinese Shanghai and Shenzhen A-share. Using the methods of unit root test, Granger causality test, VAR model, and impulse response function, this paper has analysed the relationship between the price change of the international gold futures and the price fluctuation of gold stocks in Chinese Shanghai and Shenzhen comprehensively. The results suggest the fluctuation of the international gold futures has a strong influence on the domestic futures.

scholarly journals Fiscal Policy, Monetary Policy and Price Volatility: Evidence from an Emerging Economy

2022 ◽  
Author(s):  
Le Thanh Tung
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Fiscal Policy ◽  
Granger Causality ◽  
Impulse Response Function ◽  
Price Volatility ◽  
Granger Causality Test ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Study Results ◽  
The Government ◽  
The Impact

Vietnam is an Asian emerging country, which now is ranked in the group of the fastest-gro-wing economies worldwide. However, this economy has faced galloping inflation in recent years. So the Vietnamese experience is a valuable reference for the policymakers in the developing world in order to successfully control price volatility. Our study applies the Vector autoregressive method, the Johansen cointegration test, and the Granger causality test to examine the impact of fiscal and monetary policy on price volatility in Vietnam with a quarterly data sample collected over the period from 2004 to 2018. The study results confirm the existence of a long-term cointegration relationship between these policies and price volatility in Vietnam. Besides, the variance decomposition and impulse response function also show that the impact of these policies on inflation is clear, however, the fiscal policy more strongly affects inflation than the monetary policy. Finally, the Granger causality test also indicates one-way causality relationships from the government expenditure as well as the exchange rate to price volatility in the study period.

Foreign Direct Investment and Current Account Deficit - A Causality Analysis in Context of India

2012 ◽  
Vol 13 (2) ◽  
pp. 85-106
Author(s):  
Manpreet Kaur ◽  
Surendra Yadav ◽  
Vinayshil Gautam
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Granger Causality ◽  
Current Account ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Current Account Deficit ◽  
Impulse Response Function ◽  
Causality Analysis ◽  
Long Run ◽  
The Impact ◽  
The Relationship

Current Account Deficit is one of the major macroeconomic problems facing India. In this paper, we have tried to investigate the relationship between Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) and current account in the context of India. Using the Toda-Yamamoto (T-Y) granger causality technique for the period 1975-2009, our results indicate that FDI and current account are co-integrated in the long run. There is evidence of unidirectional causality from FDI to current account. Furthermore, the analysis of FDI and international trade components (Exports and Imports), which are the major constituents of current account, supports our results of granger causality. Also, an attempt has been made to provide for the impact of FDI on current account through impulse response function.

Financial development, oil dependence and economic growth

2017 ◽  
Vol 34 (2) ◽  
pp. 281-298 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ramez Abubakr Badeeb ◽  
Hooi Hooi Lean
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Granger Causality ◽  
Financial Development ◽  
Granger Causality Test ◽  
Financial Sector ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Content Type ◽  
The Government ◽  
The Impact ◽  
The Relationship

Purpose This paper aims to examine the validity of the question of whether oil dependence has a negative impact on the relationship between financial development and economic growth in Yemen. Design/methodology/approach The auto-regressive distributed lag approach for cointegration is used to examine the relationship between financial development and economic growth by capturing the impact of oil dependence on this relationship. The Granger causality test, based on a vector error correction model (VECM) framework, is used to investigate the causal relationships between financial development and economic growth. Findings The most interesting finding is the negative sign of interaction term between financial development and oil dependence, which implies that the positive effect of financial development on economic growth decreases with the increasing oil dependence. The result of the VECM Granger causality test revealed the existence of unidirectional causality running from financial development to economic growth. Research limitations/implications The short sample period and the worry of losing degrees of freedom limited us when including control variables in the model. If the data are available in the future, other control variables can be added. Practical implications The government should reduce the level of oil dependence in Yemen by diversifying the country’s economy. Accelerating the pace and efficiency of the financial sector will bear fruitful returns in this regard. The government could achieve this strategy by playing a more proactive role in encouraging the expansion of credit to enable the financial sector to provide a more efficient intermediary role in mobilizing domestic savings and channeling them to productive investments across various economic sectors. Originality/value This is the first study to examine the impact of oil dependence on the finance-growth nexus in Yemen. A new indicator for oil dependence is also proposed.

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