Predicting Porosity and Water Saturation from Well-Log Data Using Probabilistic Multi-Task Neural Network with Normalizing Flows

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jinwoo Lee ◽  
Minsu Kwon ◽  
Youngjun Hong
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Machine Learning ◽  
Prediction Accuracy ◽  
Water Saturation ◽  
Learning Algorithms ◽  
Core Sample ◽  
Machine Learning Algorithms ◽  
Supervised Machine Learning ◽  
Well Log ◽  
Sample Data

Abstract In the oil and gas exploration process, understanding the hydrocarbon distribution of a reservoir is important. Well-log and core sample data such as porosity and water saturation are widely used for this purpose. With porosity and water saturation, we can calculate hydrocarbon volume more accurately than using well-log solely. However, as obtaining core sample data is expensive and time-consuming, predicting it with well-log can be a valuable solution for early-stage exploration since acquiring well-log is relatively economic and swift. Recently, numerous studies applied machine learning algorithms to predict core data from well-log. To the best of our knowledge, most works provide point estimation without probabilistic distribution modeling. In this paper, we developed a probabilistic deep neural network to provide uncertainty via confidence interval. Besides, we employed normalizing flows and multi-task learning to improve prediction accuracy. With this approach, we present the model's uncertainty that can be reliable information for decision making. Furthermore, we demonstrate our model outperforms other supervised machine learning algorithms regards to prediction accuracy.

scholarly journals Predicting rural patients� use of eHealth through supervised machine learning algorithms: A study on Portable Health Clinic in Bangladesh (Preprint)

2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nazmul Hossain ◽  
Fumihiko Yokota ◽  
Akira Fukuda ◽  
Ashir Ahmed
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Machine Learning ◽  
Support Vector Machine ◽  
Logistic Regression ◽  
Predictive Accuracy ◽  
Learning Algorithms ◽  
Machine Learning Algorithms ◽  
Supervised Machine Learning ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Rural Patients

BACKGROUND Predictive analytics through machine learning has been extensively using across industries including eHealth and mHealth for analyzing patient’s health data, predicting diseases, enhancing the productivity of technology or devices used for providing healthcare services and so on. However, not enough studies were conducted to predict the usage of eHealth by rural patients in developing countries. OBJECTIVE The objective of this study is to predict rural patients’ use of eHealth through supervised machine learning algorithms and propose the best-fitted model after evaluating their performances in terms of predictive accuracy. METHODS Data were collected between June and July 2016 through a field survey with structured questionnaire form 292 randomly selected rural patients in a remote North-Western sub-district of Bangladesh. Four supervised machine learning algorithms namely logistic regression, boosted decision tree, support vector machine, and artificial neural network were chosen for this experiment. A ‘correlation-based feature selection’ technique was applied to include the most relevant but not redundant features into the model. A 10-fold cross-validation technique was applied to reduce bias and over-fitting of the data. RESULTS Logistic regression outperformed other three algorithms with 85.9% predictive accuracy, 86.4% precision, 90.5% recall, 88.1% F-score, and AUC of 91.5% followed by neural network, decision tree and support vector machine with the accuracy rate of 84.2%, 82.9 %, and 80.4% respectively. CONCLUSIONS The findings of this study are expected to be helpful for eHealth practitioners in selecting appropriate areas to serve and dealing with both under-capacity and over-capacity by predicting the patients’ response in advance with a certain level of accuracy and precision.

scholarly journals Anomaly detection and missing data imputation in building energy data for automated data pre-processing

2021 ◽  
Vol 2069 (1) ◽  
pp. 012144
Author(s):  
K Takahashi ◽  
R Ooka ◽  
S Ikeda
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Machine Learning ◽  
Missing Data ◽  
Anomaly Detection ◽  
Prediction Accuracy ◽  
Energy Savings ◽  
Predictive Accuracy ◽  
Learning Algorithms ◽  
Machine Learning Algorithms ◽  
Detection Accuracy

Abstract A new trend in building automation is the implementation of smart energy management systems to measure and control building systems without a need for decision-making by human operators. Artificial intelligence can optimize these systems by predicting future demand to make informed decisions about how to efficiently operate individual equipment. These machine learning algorithms use historical data to learn demand trends and require high quality datasets in order to make accurate predictions. But because of issues with data transmission or sensor errors, real world datasets often contain outliers or have data missing. In most research settings, these values can be simply omitted, but in practice, anomalies compromise the automation system’s prediction accuracy, rendering it unable to maximize energy savings. This study explores different machine learning algorithms for anomaly detection for automatically pre-processing incoming data using a case study on an actual electrical demand in a hospital building in Japan, namely cluster-based techniques such as k-means clustering and neural network-based approaches such as the autoencoder. Once anomalies were identified, the missing data was filled with prediction values from a deep neural network model. The newly composed data was then evaluated based on detection accuracy, prediction accuracy and training time. The proposed method of processing anomaly values allows the prediction model to process collected data without interruption, and shows similar predictive accuracy as manually processing the data. These predictions allow energy systems to optimize HVAC equipment control, increasing energy savings and reducing peak building loads.

scholarly journals Crop price prediction using supervised machine learning algorithms

2021 ◽  
Vol 1916 (1) ◽  
pp. 012042
Author(s):  
Ranjani Dhanapal ◽  
A AjanRaj ◽  
S Balavinayagapragathish ◽  
J Balaji
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Learning Algorithms ◽  
Machine Learning Algorithms ◽  
Supervised Machine Learning ◽  
Price Prediction

scholarly journals Performance Improvement of Decision Tree: A Robust Classifier Using Tabu Search Algorithm

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (15) ◽  
pp. 6728
Author(s):  
Muhammad Asfand Hafeez ◽  
Muhammad Rashid ◽  
Hassan Tariq ◽  
Zain Ul Abideen ◽  
Saud S. Alotaibi ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Tabu Search ◽  
Decision Tree ◽  
Decision Trees ◽  
Search Algorithm ◽  
Learning Algorithms ◽  
Performance Comparison ◽  
Machine Learning Algorithms ◽  
Supervised Machine Learning ◽  
Tabu Search Algorithm

Classification and regression are the major applications of machine learning algorithms which are widely used to solve problems in numerous domains of engineering and computer science. Different classifiers based on the optimization of the decision tree have been proposed, however, it is still evolving over time. This paper presents a novel and robust classifier based on a decision tree and tabu search algorithms, respectively. In the aim of improving performance, our proposed algorithm constructs multiple decision trees while employing a tabu search algorithm to consistently monitor the leaf and decision nodes in the corresponding decision trees. Additionally, the used tabu search algorithm is responsible to balance the entropy of the corresponding decision trees. For training the model, we used the clinical data of COVID-19 patients to predict whether a patient is suffering. The experimental results were obtained using our proposed classifier based on the built-in sci-kit learn library in Python. The extensive analysis for the performance comparison was presented using Big O and statistical analysis for conventional supervised machine learning algorithms. Moreover, the performance comparison to optimized state-of-the-art classifiers is also presented. The achieved accuracy of 98%, the required execution time of 55.6 ms and the area under receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) for proposed method of 0.95 reveals that the proposed classifier algorithm is convenient for large datasets.

Spatial Roadway Condition-Assessment Mapping Utilizing Smartphones and Machine Learning Algorithms

2021 ◽  
pp. 036119812110061
Author(s):  
Charalambos Kyriakou ◽  
Symeon E. Christodoulou ◽  
Loukas Dimitriou
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Learning Algorithms ◽  
Condition Assessment ◽  
Machine Learning Algorithms ◽  
Supervised Machine Learning ◽  
Geographical Information ◽  
Related Field ◽  
Pavement Surface ◽  
Automated Method ◽  
Smartphone Technology

The paper presents a data-driven framework and related field studies on the use of supervised machine learning and smartphone technology for the spatial condition-assessment mapping of roadway pavement surface anomalies. The study explores the use of data, collected by sensors from a smartphone and a vehicle’s onboard diagnostic device while the vehicle is in movement, for the detection of roadway anomalies. The research proposes a low-cost and automated method to obtain up-to-date information on roadway pavement surface anomalies with the use of smartphone technology, artificial neural networks, robust regression analysis, and supervised machine learning algorithms for multiclass problems. The technology for the suggested system is readily available and accurate and can be utilized in pavement monitoring systems and geographical information system applications. Further, the proposed methodology has been field-tested, exhibiting accuracy levels higher than 90%, and it is currently expanded to include larger datasets and a bigger number of common roadway pavement surface defect types. The proposed system is of practical importance since it provides continuous information on roadway pavement surface conditions, which can be valuable for pavement engineers and public safety.

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