scholarly journals The effects of selected trading strategies on the value of closed-end investment trusts: A test of the efficiency of the Johannesburg Stock Exchange

1993 ◽  
Vol 24 (3) ◽  
pp. 77-82
Author(s):  
Narendra Bhana

Closed-end investment funds listed on the Johannesburg Stock Exchange invariably trade at discounts from their net asset value. The purpose of this article is to test a series of trading rules to determine whether an investor can capitalize on these discounts to earn excess returns. The buy-and-sell points strategy produced returns significantly in excess of these obtainable by holding the market portfolio or by following a buy-and-hold strategy. Using standard deviation of return as a proxy for risk, the results fail to confirm that an investor had to accept significantly more risk to earn a larger return. However, there is no assurance that the same strategies will produce excess returns in the future. The trading strategies tested over the 1979-88 period may require adjustments in today's market.

1991 ◽  
Vol 22 (3) ◽  
pp. 63-73 ◽  
Author(s):  
Michael J. Page ◽  
Francis Palmer

While considerable empirical work has been conducted in the United States concerning excess returns and the relationship of these returns to firm size and E/P ratio, thus far, there have been few similar empirical studies conducted using Johannesburg Stock Exchange (JSE) data. Evidence of firm size or E/P ratio effects has been ascribed by various authors to either model misspecification or market inefficiencies. In this article the evidence is examined for the South African market using 1370 company years of data over the period 1978 to 1988, and a significant earnings effect is found, but no size effect. In the analysis the problem of data bias is considered with particular emphasis on thin trading issues, and a methodology for future empirical work is described. Finally, it is suggested that the evidence can be better explained by market inefficiencies than model misspecification.


2017 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-26
Author(s):  
Efstathios Xanthopoulos ◽  
Konstantinos Aravossis ◽  
Spyros Papathanasiou

This paper investigates the profitability of technical trading rules in the Athens Stock Exchange (ASE), utilizing the FTSE Large Capitalization index over the seven-year period 2005-2012, which was before and during the Greek crisis. The technical rules that will be explored are the simple moving average, the envelope (parallel bands) and the slope (regression). We compare technical trading strategies in the spirit of Brock, Lakonishok, and LeBaron (1992), employing traditional t-test and Bootstrap methodology under the Random Walk with drift, AR(1) and GARCH(1,1) models. We enrich our analysis via Fourier analysis technique (FFT) and more statistical tests. The results provide strong evidence on the profitability of the examined technical trading rules, even during recession period (2009-2012), and contradict the Efficient Market Hypothesis.


2014 ◽  
Vol 39 (1) ◽  
pp. 43-62
Author(s):  
Jaspal Singh ◽  
Kiranpreet Kaur

Using the data on stocks listed on Bombay Stock Exchange for the period spanning from 1996 to 2010, the present study intends to examine the profitability of stock selection criteria of Benjamin Graham in Indian capital market. The different risk–reward combinations of the criteria and the minimum number of principles to be followed by a stock have been examined using one sample T-test, Sharpe ratio and capital asset pricing model (CAPM). The results make it evident that all the risk-reward combinations can be used safely by investors in order to extract excess returns except the combination of discount to net current asset value (NCAV) and current ratio and the combination of high dividend yield and low leverage. Such stocks have lesser chances of growth in future and excessively blocked inventory reduces the operating efficiency of the business. Furthermore the stocks meeting any four rules of the criteria can yield excess returns to investors if such stocks are held for the period of 24 months.


2014 ◽  
Vol 11 (4) ◽  
pp. 150-159 ◽  
Author(s):  
Godfrey Marozva

The research reported in this article explored how the JSE SRI Index performed relative to exchange-traded funds during the period of economic growth as well as during the period of economic decline between 2004 and 2014. The JSE SRI Index and exchange traded funds are analysed by a single factor model as well as other risk-adjusted performance measures including the Sharpe ratio, the Treynor ratio and the M-squared ratio. The single-factor model regression results suggest that during the period of economic growth the JSE SRI index neither significantly outperformed nor underperformed the exchange-traded funds. However, the JSE SRI Index significantly underperformed the exchange-traded funds during the period of economic decline. Further tests that engaged other risk-adjusted measures indicated that the exchange-traded funds performed better than the JSE SRI index in both periods. Based on this research it is recommended that further research be conducted using models that can control for the liquidity difference in funds.


2018 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Amsal Irmalis ◽  
Muzakir Muzakir

This study investigates Timing and Selection ability of managers in Indonesia Funds Industry.The one month stock funds net asset value, Indonesian Treasury-Bill (3-Months) and Market rerturn of Indonesia Stock Exchange covering from 2010-2014 is used on this research. We apply Treynor-Mazuy Equation to test the hypothesis. This investigation exhibit the timing the capital market ability as well as selectivity possess by managers both individuall as well as overall point of view. The reult shows that, individual analysis on the funds proves that the almost all of the managers only have slight of ability. Only three of the assets exhibit affirmative and statistically substantial alpha and none of them display confident timing skill. Breakdown of overall funds endorses that managers show a weak selectivity and timing expertise. Keywords: Treynor-Mazuy, |Stock Funds, Timing and Selectivity Skill


1982 ◽  
Vol 13 (4) ◽  
pp. 169-175
Author(s):  
K. J. Carter ◽  
J. F. Affleck-Graves ◽  
A. H. Money

The application of the standard techniques of portfolio selection on the 34 sectors comprising the JSE All Share index is undertaken for the three equal non-overlapping five-year periods between February 1965 and January 1980. Efficient portfolios in each period which carry the same risk as the market index are seen to outperform the market substantially. Portfolios chosen at random to span the efficient frontier in each period reveal the consistent inefficiency of 10 sectors over the 15-year period. Three of these sectors, namely Mining Holding, Mining Houses and Industrial Holding are shown to be favoured in the Association of Unit Trusts portfolio relative to these sectors' proportion of the market. On the presumption that unit trust managers attempt to act efficiently, holding these sectors is only justified if the measure of risk used in the portfolio selection algorithm, namely standard deviation of expected return, is less appropriate than other measures of risk such as earnings volatility. If standard deviation of expected return is a more appropriate measure of risk in the selection of efficient portfolios, it must be concluded that the large sophisticated investors managing the unit trusts act inefficiently.


2020 ◽  
Vol 195 (1) ◽  
pp. 171-182
Author(s):  
Agnieszka Parkitna ◽  
Małgorzata Pol ◽  
Rafał Miśko ◽  
Marzena Pura

The article aimed to analyze the effectiveness of investment funds and to create a ranking of investment funds with the highest economic efficiency. The scope of selection of the test sample is presented. The effectiveness of investment funds was assessed using various measures of their assessment. Comparing the obtained rates of return and risk, measured with a standard deviation, with the rate of return from the stock exchange, the most profitable funds were selected. As a result, it has been shown that the desire to invest in mutual funds does not have to end with investing in those that seem viable, but independent analysis can be done.


1986 ◽  
Vol 17 (2) ◽  
pp. 87-92
Author(s):  
T. A. Cross ◽  
C. Firer

The objective of this study was to carry out an investigation into the excess return behaviour of companies on the Johannesburg Stock Exchange which split their shares in the period 1972 - 1984. The concept of an event study was used in the analysis. Positive average residuals were observed in the months leading up to the split. In the month of the split large average excess returns were displayed. However, no long-term favourable effects on share price were found. Splits appeared to be a reaction to a sustained period of above-average returns rather than the cause of such returns. The splitting of a company's shares does not appear to influence the share's rand value traded.


2015 ◽  
Vol 3 (2) ◽  
pp. 105
Author(s):  
Marzieh Jamdar

<p>In this research, the financial performance of investment funds as members of Tehran Stock Exchange was measured based on the Modern Portfolio Theory (MPT) measures including Sharpe's, Jensen's, Treynor's and Modigliani's measures. The performance rating of investments was also compared based on the above measures and the relation of any fund's rank with the related measures was examined. Overall, 32 mutual funds were evaluated during 2011-12. The results showed that the net growth percentage of any in-vestment unit's asset value is directly and strongly related to the growth percentage of Sharpe's, Jensen's and Modigliani's measures, but the net growth percentage of any investment unit's asset value is weakly and inversely related to Treynor's measure. The funds' ranks were not also the same based on the abovementioned measures, but there is only a significant relationship between their ranks.</p>


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