scholarly journals Trends of Temperature Extreme Indices over Arusha and Kilimanjaro Regions in Tanzania

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (03) ◽  
pp. 520-534
Author(s):  
Ladislaus Benedict Chang’a ◽  
Lovina Peter Japheth ◽  
Agnes Lawrence Kijazi ◽  
Elisia Hamisi Zobanya ◽  
Leila Francis Muhoma ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Temperature Extreme ◽  
Extreme Indices

scholarly journals Trend in temperature extreme indices over Mongolia and associated large-scale circulations

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Baljinnyam Nyamjantsan ◽  
Changhyun Yoo
Keyword(s):  
Large Scale ◽  
Extreme Temperature ◽  
The Arctic ◽  
Gobi Desert ◽  
Temperature Extremes ◽  
Temperature Extreme ◽  
East Atlantic ◽  
Rate Of Increase ◽  
June July ◽  
Extreme Indices

Abstract Employing the percentile-based indices, TN10p, TX10p, TN90p, and TX90p during 1961–2018, we evaluate temporal and spatial trends in extreme temperature at 54 stations over Mongolia. Statically significant changes in temperature extremes in the warm (TN90p and TX90p) and cool indices (TN10p and TX10p) are found. The rate of increase in the number of warm nights and days are respectively 1.5 and 1.9 days decade− 1, while the cool nights and days show a declining trend of -0.8 and − 1.5 days decade− 1, respectively. Despite the fact that the trends are most vigorous during June-July-August, seasonal variations can be seen. Also, spatial distributions of the trends reveal weakest magnitudes in Gobi Desert, while strongest in the west and north of Mongolia. The large-scale atmospheric circulations account for changes in the temperature extreme indices. The East Atlantic, East Atlantic/western Russian, and Scandinavian patterns, and the Arctic Oscillation is found to contribute the most to the interannual variation in the temperature extremes.

Observed trends in daily temperature extreme indices in Aguascalientes, Mexico

2020 ◽  
Vol 142 (3-4) ◽  
pp. 1425-1445
Author(s):  
Osias Ruiz-Alvarez ◽  
Vijay P. Singh ◽  
Juan Enciso-Medina ◽  
Ronald Ernesto Ontiveros-Capurata ◽  
Carlos Antonio Costa dos Santos
Keyword(s):  
Daily Temperature ◽  
Temperature Extreme ◽  
Extreme Indices

scholarly journals Spatial and Temporal Analysis of Rainfall and Temperature Extreme Indices in Tanzania

2017 ◽  
Vol 07 (04) ◽  
pp. 525-539 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ladislaus B. Chang’a ◽  
Agnes L. Kijazi ◽  
Philbert M. Luhunga ◽  
Hashim K. Ng’ongolo ◽  
Habiba I. Mtongor
Keyword(s):  
Temporal Analysis ◽  
Temperature Extreme ◽  
Spatial And Temporal Analysis ◽  
Extreme Indices

scholarly journals Trends in climate extreme indices assessed in the Xingu river basin - Brazilian Amazon

2021 ◽  
Vol 31 ◽  
pp. 100306
Author(s):  
Edmundo Wallace Monteiro Lucas ◽  
Francisco de Assis Salviano de Sousa ◽  
Fabrício Daniel dos Santos Silva ◽  
Rodrigo Lins da Rocha Júnior ◽  
David Duarte Cavalcante Pinto ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
River Basin ◽  
Brazilian Amazon ◽  
Climate Extreme ◽  
Xingu River ◽  
Extreme Indices

scholarly journals Projected Changes in Extreme Temperature and Precipitation Indices Over CORDEX-MENA Domain

Atmosphere ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (5) ◽  
pp. 622
Author(s):  
Tugba Ozturk ◽  
F. Sibel Saygili-Araci ◽  
M. Levent Kurnaz
Keyword(s):  
Regional Climate Model ◽  
Radiative Forcing ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Global Climate Model ◽  
Regional Climate ◽  
Climate Extreme ◽  
Pronounced Increase ◽  
Temperature And Precipitation ◽  
Projected Changes ◽  
Extreme Indices

In this study, projected changes in climate extreme indices defined by the Expert Team on Climate Change Detection and Indices were investigated over Middle East and North Africa. Changes in the daily maximum and minimum temperature- and precipitation- based extreme indices were analyzed for the end of the 21st century compared to the reference period 1971–2000 using regional climate model simulations. Regional climate model, RegCM4.4 was used to downscale two different global climate model outputs to 50 km resolution under RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 scenarios. Results generally indicate an intensification of temperature- and precipitation- based extreme indices with increasing radiative forcing. In particular, an increase in annual minimum of daily minimum temperatures is more pronounced over the northern part of Mediterranean Basin and tropics. High increase in warm nights and warm spell duration all over the region with a pronounced increase in tropics are projected for the period of 2071–2100 together with decrease or no change in cold extremes. According to the results, a decrease in total wet-day precipitation and increase in dry spells are expected for the end of the century.

Interannual Variability of North American Winter Temperature Extremes and Its Associated Circulation Anomalies in Observations and CMIP5 Simulations

2020 ◽  
Vol 33 (3) ◽  
pp. 847-865 ◽  
Author(s):  
B. Yu ◽  
H. Lin ◽  
V. V. Kharin ◽  
X. L. Wang
Keyword(s):  
North America ◽  
Surface Temperature ◽  
Atmospheric Circulation ◽  
North American ◽  
North Pacific ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Temperature Extremes ◽  
Temperature Extreme ◽  
Central Canada ◽  
Leading Mode

AbstractThe interannual variability of wintertime North American surface temperature extremes and its generation and maintenance are analyzed in this study. The leading mode of the temperature extreme anomalies, revealed by empirical orthogonal function (EOF) analyses of December–February mean temperature extreme indices over North America, is characterized by an anomalous center of action over western-central Canada. In association with the leading mode of temperature extreme variability, the large-scale atmospheric circulation features an anomalous Pacific–North American (PNA)-like pattern from the preceding fall to winter, which has important implications for seasonal prediction of North American temperature extremes. A positive PNA pattern leads to more warm and fewer cold extremes over western-central Canada. The anomalous circulation over the PNA sector drives thermal advection that contributes to temperature anomalies over North America, as well as a Pacific decadal oscillation (PDO)-like sea surface temperature (SST) anomaly pattern in the midlatitude North Pacific. The PNA-like circulation anomaly tends to be supported by SST warming in the tropical central-eastern Pacific and a positive synoptic-scale eddy vorticity forcing feedback on the large-scale circulation over the PNA sector. The leading extreme mode–associated atmospheric circulation patterns obtained from the observational and reanalysis data, together with the anomalous SST and synoptic eddy activities, are reasonably well simulated in most CMIP5 models and in the multimodel mean. For most models considered, the simulated patterns of atmospheric circulation, SST, and synoptic eddy activities have lower spatial variances than the corresponding observational and reanalysis patterns over the PNA sector, especially over the North Pacific.

scholarly journals Temperature Extreme May Exaggerate the Mortality Risk of COVID-19 in the Low- and Middle-income Countries: A Global Analysis

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mizanur Rahman ◽  
Mahmuda Islam ◽  
Mehedi Hasan Shimanto ◽  
Jannatul Ferdous ◽  
Abdullah Al-Nur Shanto Rahman ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Correlation Analysis ◽  
Partial Correlation ◽  
Global Analysis ◽  
Temperature Extreme ◽  
Spread Rate ◽  
Partial Correlation Analysis ◽  
Mixed Effect ◽  
Middle Income ◽  
Middle Income Countries ◽  
Low And Middle Income

We performed a global analysis with data from 149 countries to test whether temperature can explain the spatial variability of the spread rate and mortality of COVID-19 at the global scale. We performed partial correlation analysis and linear mixed effect modelling to evaluate the association of the spread rate and motility of COVID-19 with maximum, minimum, average temperatures and temperature extreme (difference between maximum and minimum temperature) and other environmental and socioeconomic parameters. After controlling the effect of the duration after the first positive case, partial correlation analysis revealed that temperature was not related with the spatial variability of the spread rate of COVID-19. Mortality was negatively related with temperature in the countries with high-income economies. In contrast, temperature extreme was significantly and positively correlated with mortality in the low-and middle-income countries. Taking the country heterogeneity into account, mixed effect modelling revealed that inclusion of temperature as a fixed effect in the model significantly improved model skill predicting mortality in the low-and middle-income countries. Our analysis suggest that warm climate may reduce the mortality rate in high-income economies but in low and middle-income countries temperature extreme may increase the mortality risk.

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document