The Risk Factors of Intensive Care Unit Admittance during First Attack of Acute Pancreatitis

Acute pancreatitis is an unpredictable disease affecting the pancreas and it is characterized by a wide range of symptoms and modified lab tests, thus there is a continuing struggle to classify this disease and to find risk factors associated with a worse outcome. The main objective of this study was to identify the risk factors associated with the fatal outcome of the intensive care unit’s patients diagnosed and admitted for severe acute pancreatitis, the secondary objective was to investigate the prediction value for the death of different inflammatory markers at the time of their admission to the hospital. This retrospective study included all the patients with a diagnosis of acute pancreatitis admitted to the Intensive Care Unit of the Emergency County Hospital Timisoara between 1 January 2016 and 31 May 2021. The study included 53 patients diagnosed with severe acute pancreatitis, out of which 21 (39.6%) survived and 32 (60.4%) died. For the neutrophils/lymphocytes ratio, a cut-off value of 12.4 was found. When analyzing age, we found out that age above 52 years old can predict mortality, and for the platelets/lymphocytes ratio, a cut-off value of 127 was found. Combining the three factors we get a new model for predicting mortality, with an increased performance, AUROC = 0.95, p < 0.001. Multiple persistent organ failure, age over 50, higher values of C reactive protein, and surgery were risk factors for death in the patients with severe acute pancreatitis admitted to the intensive care unit. The model design from the neutrophils/lymphocytes ratio, platelets/lymphocytes ratio, and age proved to be the best in predicting mortality in severe acute pancreatitis.

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The clinical traits of acute pancreatitis in aging patients: a retrospective analysis of 473 cases

10.21203/rs.2.24010/v1 ◽

2020 ◽

Author(s):

Nonghua Lu ◽

Bingjun Yu ◽

Fengwen Xie

Keyword(s):

Risk Factors ◽

Intensive Care Unit ◽

Acute Pancreatitis ◽

Intensive Care ◽

Abdominal Pain ◽

Length Of Stay ◽

Organ Failure ◽

Death Rate ◽

Hospital Length ◽

Hospital Length Of Stay

Abstract Background The incidence of acute pancreatitis in aging patients has increasing in recent years. Controversial results about clinical outcomes of acute pancreatitis in aging patients were reported in different literature. The aim of our study was to compare the clinical outcomes of AP in aging patients between 60-79 years old and over 80 years old. Methods 80 patients aged ≥ 80 years old(oldest group) were compared to 393 patients aged 60 to 79 years old(older group). The clinical course, biochemical, radiological data were enrolled. The primary endpoint was to compare the death rate, intensive care unit admission rate and in-hospital length of stay(LOS). The secondary endpoint was operative treatment and the complications of AP. Results Abdominal symptom of abdominal pain (61.3% vs 46.3%, P=0.013) was less in oldest group, while diarrhea(18.3% vs 30.0%, P=0.018), jaundice(8.9% vs 17.5%, P=0.021), dyspnea(11.5% vs 26.3%, P=0.001) were more obvious in older group than oldest group. A higher death rate (8.9% vs 16.3%, P = 0.003) and longer hospital length of stay (11.51±10.19 vs 15.26±11.04, P = 0.001) were found in aging patients aged ≥80 years old. Mean BMI was lower in oldest group compared to older group(22.36±2.89 vs 21.07±3.18, P = 0.001). Multivariate analysis identified aged over 80 years(OR 3.299, 95%CI 1.316-8.269, P=0.011) and organ failure(P<0.05) as independent risk factors of mortality. More severe of AP(OR 11.722, 95%CI 4.780-28.764, P=0.001), abdominal pain(OR 1.906, 95%CI 1.052-3.453, P=0.033) and organ failure(P<0.05) were recognized as influencing intensive care unit rate. Aging patients aged over 80 years old(OR 0.149, 95%CI 2.027-6.268, P=0.001), more severe of AP(OR 0.218, 95%CI 1.567-4.322, P=0.001), female(OR 0.093, 95%CI 0.336-3.542, P=0.018), Jaundice(OR 0.080, 95%CI 0.146-5.324, P=0.038), operative treatment(P<0.05) and organ failure(P<0.05) were the risk factors for LOS.

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Occurrence and Risk Factors of Infected Pancreatic Necrosis in Intensive Care Unit–Treated Patients with Necrotizing Severe Acute Pancreatitis

Journal of Gastrointestinal Surgery ◽

10.1007/s11605-021-05033-x ◽

2021 ◽

Author(s):

Henrik Leonard Husu ◽

Miia Maaria Valkonen ◽

Ari Kalevi Leppäniemi ◽

Panu Juhani Mentula

Keyword(s):

Risk Factors ◽

Intensive Care Unit ◽

Acute Pancreatitis ◽

Intensive Care ◽

Organ Failure ◽

Severe Acute Pancreatitis ◽

Pancreatic Necrosis ◽

Open Abdomen ◽

Infected Pancreatic Necrosis ◽

Independent Risk Factors

Abstract Background In patients with severe acute pancreatitis (SAP), infected pancreatic necrosis (IPN) is associated with a worsened outcome. We studied risk factors and consequences of IPN in patients with necrotizing SAP. Methods The study consisted of a retrospective cohort of 163 consecutive patients treated for necrotizing SAP at a university hospital intensive care unit (ICU) between 2010 and 2018. Results All patients had experienced at least one persistent organ failure and approximately 60% had multiple organ failure within the first 24 h from admission to the ICU. Forty-seven (28.8%) patients had IPN within 90 days. Independent risk factors for IPN were more extensive anatomical spread of necrotic collections (unilateral paracolic or retromesenteric (OR 5.7, 95% CI 1.5–21.1) and widespread (OR 21.8, 95% CI 6.1–77.8)) compared to local collections around the pancreas, postinterventional pancreatitis (OR 13.5, 95% CI 2.4–76.5), preceding bacteremia (OR 4.8, 95% CI 1.3–17.6), and preceding open abdomen treatment for abdominal compartment syndrome (OR 3.6, 95% CI 1.4–9.3). Patients with IPN had longer ICU and overall hospital lengths of stay, higher risk for necrosectomy, and higher readmission rate to ICU. Conclusions Wide anatomical spread of necrotic collections, postinterventional etiology, preceding bacteremia, and preceding open abdomen treatment were identified as independent risk factors for IPN.

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