scholarly journals Static stress transfer from the May 20, 2012, M 6.1 Emilia-Romagna (northern Italy) earthquake using a co-seismic slip distribution model

2012 ◽  
Vol 55 (4) ◽  
Author(s):  
Athanassios Ganas ◽  
Zafeiria Roumelioti ◽  
Konstantinos Chousianitis

<p>We model the static stress transfer for the May 2012 northern Italy earthquakes, assuming that failure of the crust occurs by shear. This allows the mechanics of the process to be approximated by the Okada (1992) expressions for displacement and strain fields due to a finite rectangular source in an elastic, homogeneous and isotropic half-space. The slip model of the May 20, 2012, earthquake was derived using empirical Green’s functions and a least-squares inversion scheme of source time functions computed from regional broadband seismological data. The derived model is then incorporated into the computation of Coulomb stress change (ΔCFF) to investigate the possibility that the May 20, 2012, M 6.1 event triggered the second earthquake that occurred on May 29, 2012 (M 5.9). We calculate the Coulomb stress changes for both: (a) optimally oriented planes to regional compression; and (b) planes of fixed orientation assuming that E-W striking, south-dipping thrust faults of the May 29, 2012, type of rupture was a candidate for failure. In both cases, we find that the triggering is promoted as the ΔCFF values in the hypocentral area of the May 29, 2012, earthquake are positive (between 0.61-0.74 bar).</p><p> </p>

2021 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
pp. 33-41
Author(s):  
Murat Utkucu ◽  
Hatice Durmuş

It has been globally documented over different tectonic environments that Coulomb static stress changes caused by a mainshock can promote or demote stresses along the neighboring faults and thus triggers or delays following seismicity. In the present study Coulomb stress changes of the earthquakes in the Lake Van area are calculated using available data and the likely source faults. The calculated stress change maps demonstrate that the large earthquakes in the Lake Area are mostly stressed by the preceding earthquakes, suggesting earthquake rupture interactions. It is further suggested that Coulomb stress maps could be used for constraining the likely locations of the future large earthquakes and in the earthquake hazard mitigation studies.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Franco Lema ◽  
Mahesh Shrivastava

&lt;p&gt;The delayed aftershocks 2018 Mw 6.2 on April 10 and Mw 5.8 on Sept 1 and 2019 Mw 6.7 on January 20, Mw 6.4 on June 14, and Mw 6.2 on November 4, associated with the Mw 8.3 2015 Illapel Earthquake occurred in the &amp;#8203;&amp;#8203;central Chile. The seismic source of this earthquake has been studied with the GPS, InSAR and tide gauge network. Although there are several studies performed to characterize the robust aftershocks and the variations in the field of deformation induced by the megathrust, but there are still aspects to be elucidated of the relationship between the transfer of stresses from the interface between plates towards delayed aftershocks with the crustal structures with seismogenic potential. Therefore, the principal objective of this study is to understand how the stress transfer induced by the 2015 Illapel earthquake of the heterogeneous rupture mechanism to intermediate-deep or crustal earthquakes. For this, coulomb stress changes from &amp;#160;finite fault model of the Illapel earthquake and with the biggest aftershocks in year 2015 are used. These cumulative stress pattern provides substantial evidences for the delayed aftershocks in this region. The subducting Challenger Fault Zone and Juan Fernandez Ridge heterogeneity are existing feature, which releases the accumulated coulomb stress changes and provide delayed aftershocks.&amp;#160; Therefore along with stress induced by a large earthquake such as Mw 8.3 from Illapel 2015 along with biggest aftershocks, have a direct mechanism that may activate the&amp;#160; delayed aftershocks. Our study suggests &amp;#160;the activation of crustal faults in this research as a risk assessment factor for the evaluating in the seismic context of the region and useful for another subduction zone.&lt;/p&gt;


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Behnam Maleki Asayesh ◽  
Hamid Zafarani ◽  
Mohammad Tatar

&lt;p&gt;Immediate after a large earthquake, accurate prediction of spatial and temporal distribution of aftershocks has a great importance for planning search and rescue activities. Currently, the most sophisticated approach to this goal is probabilistic aftershock hazard assessment (PASHA). Spatial distribution of the aftershocks fallowing moderate to large earthquakes correlate well with the imparted stress due to the mainshock. Furthermore the secondary static stress changes caused by smaller events (aftershocks) could have effect on the triggering of aftershocks and should be considered in the calculations. The 26 December 2003 (Mw 6.6) Bam earthquake with more than 26000 causalities is one of the most destructive events in the recorded history of Iran. This earthquake was an interesting event and was investigated in a majority of aspects. Good variable-slip fault model and precise aftershocks data enabled us to impart Coulomb stress changes due to mainshock and secondary static stress triggering on the nodal planes of aftershocks to learn whether they were brought closer to failure.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;We used recently published high-quality focal mechanisms and hypocenters to reassess the role of small to moderate earthquakes for static stress triggering of aftershocks during the Bam earthquake. By imparting Coulomb stress changes due to the mainshock on the nodal planes of the 158 aftershocks we showed that 77.8% (123 from 158) of the aftershocks received positive stress changes at least in one nodal plane. We also calculated Coulomb stress changes imparted by the mainshock and aftershocks (1&amp;#8804;M&amp;#8804;4.1) onto subsequent aftershocks nodal planes and found that 81.6% (129 of 158) of aftershocks received positive stress changes at least in one nodal plane. In summary, 77.8% of aftershocks are encouraged by the main shocks, while adding secondary stress encourages 81.6%. Therefore, by adding secondary stress the Coulomb Index (CI), the fraction of events that received net positive Coulomb stress changes compared to the total number of events, increased from 0.778 to 0.816.&lt;/p&gt;


2018 ◽  
Vol 40 (1) ◽  
pp. 386
Author(s):  
A. Messini ◽  
E. E. Papadimitriou ◽  
V. G. Karakostas ◽  
I. Baskoutas

The occurrence of strong earthquakes (M>6.3) and the evolution of the stress field along the southwestern part of the Hellenic arc since 1959 are examined by the calculation of Coulomb stress changes. The study area is characterized by low angle thrust faults and high seismicity as being part of the subduction interface. Coulomb stress changes were calculated assuming that earthquakes can be modeled as static dislocations in an elastic half-space, considering the co-seismic slip during strong events and the slow tectonic stress build-up along major fault segments due to the movements of the tectonic plates. The ruptures are modeled taking into account the strike, dip, and rake appropriate to each event examined. It is evaluated whether the stress changes brought a given earthquake closer to, or farther away from, failure. It was found that the majority of the events (strong and smaller) are located in stress enhanced areas.


Author(s):  
R. Alac Barut ◽  
J. Trinder ◽  
C. Rizos

On August 17&lt;sup&gt;th&lt;/sup&gt; 1999, a M&lt;sub&gt;w&lt;/sub&gt; 7.4 earthquake struck the city of Izmit in the north-west of Turkey. This event was one of the most devastating earthquakes of the twentieth century. The epicentre of the Izmit earthquake was on the North Anatolian Fault (NAF) which is one of the most active right-lateral strike-slip faults on earth. However, this earthquake offers an opportunity to study how strain is accommodated in an inter-segment region of a large strike slip fault. In order to determine the Izmit earthquake post-seismic effects, the authors modelled Coulomb stress changes of the aftershocks, as well as using the deformation measurement techniques of Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar (InSAR) and Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS). The authors have shown that InSAR and GNSS observations over a time period of three months after the earthquake combined with Coulomb Stress Change Modelling can explain the fault zone expansion, as well as the deformation of the northern region of the NAF. It was also found that there is a strong agreement between the InSAR and GNSS results for the post-seismic phases of investigation, with differences less than 2mm, and the standard deviation of the differences is less than 1mm.


2020 ◽  
Vol 110 (2) ◽  
pp. 863-873 ◽  
Author(s):  
Margarita Segou ◽  
Tom Parsons

ABSTRACT Coseismic stress changes have been the primary physical principle used to explain aftershocks and triggered earthquakes. However, this method does not adequately forecast earthquake rates and diverse rupture populations when subjected to formal testing. We show that earthquake forecasts can be impaired by assumptions made in physics-based models such as the existence of hypothetical optimal faults and regional scale invariability of the stress field. We compare calculations made under these assumptions along with different realizations of a new conceptual triggering model that features a complete assay of all possible ruptures. In this concept, there always exists a set of theoretical planes that has positive failure stress conditions under a combination of background and coseismic static stress change. In the Earth, all of these theoretical planes may not exist, and if they do, they may not be ready to fail. Thus, the actual aftershock plane may not correspond to the plane with the maximum stress change value. This is consistent with observations that mainshocks commonly activate faults with exotic orientations and rakes. Our testing ground is the M 7.2, 2010 El Mayor–Cucapah earthquake sequence that activated multiple diverse fault populations across the United States–Mexico border in California and Baja California. We carry out a retrospective test involving 748 M≥3.0 triggered earthquakes that occurred during a 3 yr period after the mainshock. We find that a probabilistic expression of possible aftershock planes constrained by premainshock rupture patterns is strongly favored (89% of aftershocks consistent with static stress triggering) versus an optimal fault implementation (35% consistent). Results show that coseismic stress change magnitudes do not necessarily control earthquake triggering, instead we find that the summed background stress and coseismic stress change promotes diverse ruptures. Our model can thus explain earthquake triggering in regions where optimal plane mapping shows coseismic stress reduction.


2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (22) ◽  
pp. 3721
Author(s):  
Zhongqiu He ◽  
Ting Chen ◽  
Mingce Wang ◽  
Yanchong Li

The 2016 Kumamoto earthquake, including two large (Mw ≥ 6.0) foreshocks and an Mw 7.0 mainshock, occurred in the Hinagu and Futagawa fault zones in the middle of Kyushu island, Japan. Here, we obtain the complex coseismic deformation field associated with this earthquake from Advanced Land Observation Satellite-2 (ALOS-2) and Sentinel-1A Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar (InSAR) data. These InSAR data, in combination with available Global Positioning System (GPS) data, are then used to determine an optimal four-segment fault geometry with the jRi method, which considers both data misfit and the perturbation error from data noise. Our preferred slip distribution model indicates that the rupture is dominated by right-lateral strike-slip, with a significant normal slip component. The largest asperity is located on the northern segment of the Futagawa fault, with a maximum slip of 5.6 m at a 5–6 km depth. The estimated shallow slips along the Futagawa fault and northern Hinagu fault are consistent with the displacements of surface ruptures from the field investigation, suggesting a shallow slip deficit. The total geodetic moment release is estimated to be 4.89 × 1019 Nm (Mw 7.09), which is slightly larger than seismological estimates. The calculated static Coulomb stress changes induced by the preferred slip distribution model cannot completely explain the spatial distribution of aftershocks. Sensitivity analysis of Coulomb stress change implies that aftershocks in the stress shadow area may be driven by aseismic creep or triggered by dynamic stress transfer, requiring further investigation.


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