scholarly journals INVESTIGATING THE NEXUS BETWEEN MUTUAL FUND RETURN AND STOCK MARKET PERFORMANCE – EVIDENCE FROM PAKISTAN STOCK EXCHANGE

2018 ◽  
Vol 14 (1) ◽  
pp. 23-38
Author(s):  
Muhammad Tariq ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Panel Data ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Stock Returns ◽  
Mutual Fund ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Panel Data Analysis ◽  
Macroeconomic Factors ◽  
Stock Market Returns ◽  
Stock Market Performance ◽  
Equity Funds

This study is aimed to determine the nexus between mutual fund returns and stock market returns in Pakistan. This study adds contribution by testing the causa-effect relation of mutual fund returns and macroeconomic factors on the stock returns in Pakistan. This study is based on Panel data for 10 AMCs operating in Pakistan and macroeconomic factors for the period of 2007 to 2016. The hypothesis testing is based on panel data analysis, therefore the panel regression is applied via PLS, FEM and REM comparison.  The study concludes that the there is significant effect of Equity Funds Returns on Stock Return. On the other hand, debt funds return and T-bills have the insignificant impact on Stocks Return. This study recommends influential findings for the policy makers such as equity funds have positive effect on the stock market.

The Effects of Macroeconomic Factors on the Performance of Stock Market in Sri Lanka

2018 ◽  
Vol 3 (6) ◽  
pp. 33-41 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shohani Upeksha Badullahewage
Keyword(s):  
Sri Lanka ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Exchange Rates ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Market Performance ◽  
Vital Role ◽  
Sri Lankan ◽  
Macroeconomic Factors ◽  
Stock Market Performance

The main objective of this research is to analyze the vital impact of macroeconomic factors on the stock market performance in Sri Lanka. All the factors which have a direct impact on the working of the emerging stock market have hereby studied. The relationship between the pivotal factors such as inflation, gross domestic product, interest rates, and exchange rates has been properly conducted with the assistance of the indexes. The results of the analysis revealed that all these factors have an inseparable impact over the performance of the stock market and Sri Lankan stock market performance has eventually over gone through many ups and downs because of them as well. It has been revealed that among all the factors that have been discussed, inflation and exchange rates have comparatively higher effects on the stock market performance. It shows a fluctuation because of the unpredictable nature of these factors. Colombo Stock Exchange has seen a tremendous change in its performance over a period for which these factors have played a prominent as well as a vital role in it its functioning.

scholarly journals Reaction of stock market returns to COVID-19 pandemic and lockdown policy: evidence from Nigerian firms stock returns

2021 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Isiaka Akande Raifu ◽  
Terver Theophilus Kumeka ◽  
Alarudeen Aminu
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Stock Returns ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Estimation Methods ◽  
Panel Var ◽  
Impulse Response Functions ◽  
Market Returns ◽  
Stock Market Returns ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Policy Shocks

AbstractGiven the effects COVID-19 pandemic on the financial sectors across the world, this study examined the reaction of stock returns of 201 firms listed in the Nigerian Stock Exchange to the COVID-19 pandemic and lockdown policy. We deployed both Pooled OLS and Panel VAR as estimation methods. Generally, the results from POLS show the stock market returns of the Nigerian firms reacted negatively more to the global COVID-19 confirmed cases and deaths than the domestic COVID-19 confirmed cases and deaths and lockdown policy. The results of the impulse response functions revealed that the effects of COVID-19 confirmed cases and deaths and lockdown policy shocks on stock returns oscillate between negative and positive before the stock market returns converge to the equilibrium in the long run. The FEVD results showed that growth in the COVID-19 confirmed cases, deaths and lockdown policy shocks explained little variations in stock market returns. Given our finding, we advocate for the relaxation of policy of lockdown and the combine use of monetary and fiscal policies to mitigate the negative effect of COVID-19 pandemic on stock market returns in Nigeria.

scholarly journals Modeling Business Performance and Macroeconomic Factors to Explain Stock Market Returns in LQ45 Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX)

2019 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 38-65
Author(s):  
Benny Budiawan Tjandrasa
Keyword(s):  
Stock Returns ◽  
Business Performance ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Political Stability ◽  
Industrial Sector ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Macroeconomic Factors ◽  
Stock Market Returns ◽  
Macroeconomic Conditions ◽  
Performance Factors

The purpose of this study is to confirm the effect of business performance and macroeconomics on stock returns in the industrial sector in the Indonesia Stock Exchange LQ45 index. This study examines eight variables from business performance and macroeconomics, namely: current ratio, debt-equity ratio, total asset turnover, return on equity, inflation rate, interest rate, exchange rate, and political stability to be tested for the effect on the stock return of the industrial sector. Using Generalized Least Square techniques, it is concluded that the Industrial sector in the Indonesia Stock Exchange is strongly influenced by macroeconomic factors rather than business performance factors. This is common in capital markets which are mostly dominated by foreigners because foreign investors are very sensitive to changes in a country's macroeconomic conditions especially if it is related to political conditions. From the iteration results, there are two multivariate regression models which are statistically considered the most suitable. The originality of this study is to prove statistically that political stability is very influential on LQ45 stock returns in the industrial sector on the Indonesia Stock Exchange

scholarly journals Measuring Stock Market Predictability with Implications of Financial Ratios: An Empirical Investigation of Pakistan Stock Market

2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Abdul Samad Shaikh ◽  
Muhammad Kashif ◽  
Sadia Shaikh
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Stock Returns ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Strong Predictor ◽  
Generalized Least Squares ◽  
Financial Ratios ◽  
Arbitrage Pricing Theory ◽  
Market Returns ◽  
Stock Market Returns ◽  
Study Results

This paper investigates the financial ratios prediction on Stock Market Returns for Pakistan Stock Exchange. The research includes three financial ratios; Dividend Yield (DY), Earning Yield Ratio (EYR) and Book-to-Market Ratio (B/M); that have been observed through past researchers as predictors of Stock Market Returns. The theoretical framework is based on Arbitrage Pricing Theory and Capital Asset Pricing Model CAPM by Roll and Ross (1977) and Fama-French 3 factor (1992). Generalized Least Squares (GLS) is applied to estimate the predictive regressions, Cointegration runs are applied to evaluate the long-term relationship, and Generalized Methods of Moments (GMM) to measure the moments over the years and fluctuations in stock returns. The study results show financial ratios as strong predictor of stock return in Pakistan Stock Exchange, the GMM analyses reveal that the EYR has the higher predictive power than DY and B/M respectively. Furthermore, it is found that the financial ratios predictability is enhanced when ratios are combined in the multiple predictive regression models. The research findings are useful for the stock market investors to evaluate their decisions and for academic researchers to evaluate the stock market and investment predictability.

scholarly journals FACTORS DETERMINING STOCK MARKET RETURNS: CASE OF NAIROBI STOCK EXCHANGE

2016 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
pp. 108
Author(s):  
Samson Okoth Ondiek ◽  
Dr. Ongoro
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Stock Returns ◽  
Significant Relationship ◽  
Unique Contribution ◽  
Market Returns ◽  
Macroeconomic Factors ◽  
Stock Market Returns ◽  
Book Value ◽  
Company Stock ◽  
The Government

AbstractPurpose: The study attempts to establish if the changing macroeconomic factors and the industry variables can predict the variation on the Nairobi Security Exchange stocks return Methodology: It adopted a regression model that related stock returns to various selected macro and micro economic factors and used data of 20 companies that constitute the NSE index. The study used monthly data spanning the year 2006 to 2010.Results: The regression results indicate that, four of the variables i.e. market return (NSEI), exchange rate for US/KSH, market to book value ratio have a positive and significant relationship with an individual company stock market returns. Risk Free rate (91 Treasury bill rate) also had a positive and significant relationship while industrial growth opportunity and inflation were found to be negative and significant. leverage on the other hand was found to be insignificant and therefore does not influence individual company stock market returns. Unique contribution to theory, practice and policy: These findings will have significant effects on investors’ investment decisions making as well as the Government and the capital markets authority (CMA) in the formulation of polices and guidelines. Once factor betas are estimated, we can describe the expected change in security returns with respect to changes in a given factor and thus giving the investors, CMA and the Government a better understanding on the effect of a change in the fiscal and monetary policies in the stock market. This is crucial to the Government as it seeks to promote the capital market as a source of alternative funding for economic growth. Investors wishing to construct portfolios should also consider the trends of the inflation rates, exchange rates, market to book value ratio, industrial production and the stock market.  The rise of either of this micro and macroeconomic indicators may influence the returns positively or negatively and hence the investor may choose the best time to either buy or sell their securities

scholarly journals Are Kuwaiti Stock Returns Affected by Fluctuations in Oil Prices?

2020 ◽  
Vol 11 (6) ◽  
pp. 1
Author(s):  
Salem Alshihab ◽  
Nayef AlShammari
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Stock Returns ◽  
Oil Prices ◽  
Market Returns ◽  
Macroeconomic Factors ◽  
Stock Market Returns ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Adf Test

This paper examines the impact of fluctuations in the price of oil on Kuwaiti stock market returns for the month-to-month period of 2000 to 2020. The Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) test for stationarity, the error correction model (ECM), and various cointegration test techniques were used to examine the estimated model. In an oil-based economy like Kuwait, the exposure to oil prices seems to affect the performance of the country’s stock market. Our main findings related to the long run showed that the price of oil is cointegrated with stock market returns. Interestingly, our ECM examination confirmed that changes in Kuwaiti stock market returns are only affected by oil price fluctuations in the short run. Further strategies are needed to better stabilize Kuwait’s capital market. This equilibrium can be achieved by pursuing more stability in other macroeconomic factors and providing a solid legal independence for the country’s financial market.

scholarly journals Stock Returns and The Weather Effect: the Case of Ghana

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sampson Atuahene ◽  
Kong Yusheng ◽  
Geoffrey Bentum-Micah
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Stock Returns ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Investor Sentiment ◽  
Weather Conditions ◽  
Market Returns ◽  
Stock Market Returns ◽  
Economic Significance ◽  
Weather Changes ◽  
Brokerage Firms

In every economy, Stock markets are part of the key elements the build it up. A few decades ago, there has been a significant change in Ghana stock market returns (GSE). Our study examines the statistical and economic significance of investor sentiment, based on weather conditions/changes, on stock market returns. OLS models, assisted by unit root tests were employed in analyzing the data obtained from the Ghana stock exchange platform from 2000 to 2017. From our literature review, we discovered that investors’ perceptions play a central role in finalizing the direction of stock market returns. Regarding our empirical results, we tested whether weather variations influence the investment decisions of investors; we discovered that temperature and cloud cover significantly influences stock market returns. This is because of mood changes is associated with weather conditions variations. However, sunshine per our regression coefficient shows a statistically insignificant impact on investors’ investment choices. Precipitation to a large extend influence stock market activities further affecting its results negatively as our regression results depicted. We concluded stock brokerage firms, companies, and investors (foreign/local) must incorporate weather changes/effects when strategizing about their investment outcomes.

Rational–Irrational Investor Sentiments and Emerging Stock Market Returns: A Comparison from Turkey

2017 ◽  
Vol 16 (3) ◽  
pp. 219-245 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sidika Gulfem Bayram
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Stock Returns ◽  
Risk Premium ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Jel Classification ◽  
Market Returns ◽  
Dynamic Interactions ◽  
Stock Market Returns ◽  
Dynamic Relationship ◽  
The Impact

This study investigates the dynamic relationship between rational and irrational consumer-business sentiments and stock returns in an emerging stock market, Turkey. Consumer and business sentiments are divided into two components: rational and irrational sentiments. Then, the dynamic interactions and the impact of the sentiments on stock returns are examined. The fundamental economic variables used in the study consist of business conditions, economic risk premium, country risk, exchange rate risk, country growth rate, inflation rate, and terms of trade. The results show that Istanbul Stock Exchange (ISE)-100 index returns are positively and significantly affected by the rational sentiments of both consumers and businesses. JEL Classification: G02, G12, G150

scholarly journals DAILY VARIATION AND PREDICTING STOCK MARKET RETURNS FOR THE FRANKFURTER BÖRSE (STOCK MARKET)

2008 ◽  
Vol 9 (3) ◽  
pp. 189-198 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jeffrey E. Jarrett ◽  
Janne Schilling
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Stock Returns ◽  
Stock Prices ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Arima Model ◽  
Unit Root Test ◽  
Unit Roots ◽  
Stock Market Returns ◽  
Daily Stock Returns

In this article we test the random walk hypothesis in the German daily stock prices by means of a unit root test and the development of an ARIMA model for prediction. The results show that the time series of daily stock returns for a stratified random sample of German firms listed on the stock exchange of Frankfurt exhibit unit roots. Also, we find that one may predict changes in the returns to these listed stocks. These time series exhibit properties which are forecast able and provide the intelligent data analysts’ methods to better predict the directive of individual stock returns for listed German firms. The results of this study, though different from most other studies of other stock markets, indicate the Frankfurt stock market behaves in similar ways to North American, other European and Asian markets previously studied in the same manner.

scholarly journals A Panel Data Analysis of Stock Returns and Accounting Information in Indian Paint Industry

2021 ◽  
pp. 32-40
Author(s):  
Pradeep Kumar Rangi ◽  
P. S. Aithal
Keyword(s):  
Panel Data ◽  
Stock Returns ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Panel Data Analysis ◽  
Random Effect ◽  
Random Effect Model ◽  
Accounting Information ◽  
Sustainable Growth ◽  
Return Variance ◽  
Accounting Ratios

The accounting ratios and published financial information serve as a critical tool for investors, creditors, and other stakeholders to ascertain companies' profitability, control, and financial status, which may significantly impact the Stock returns and performance on exchanges. This paper aims to examine whether crucial accounting information affects the price of paint companies in India. In this paper, nine-years (2012-2020) accounting ratios such as returns on asset, equity, and cash cycles for the five listed paint companies in India as explanatory (independent) variables to estimate stock returns. Secondary data is collected chronologically and at a regular yearly frequency. Variables data are derived from the company’s financial statements, Stock Exchange and related website. The study aims to assess and elaborate these accounting ratios effectiveness to substantiate the stock returns of these listed companies. The study uses three-panel data models, the pooled OLS, fixed and random effects, to assess stock returns for the cross-sectional data of these five paint companies. This research indicates that accounting information is significant and positively affects the price of Paint company stock returns on the stock exchange. Both Fixed and Random effect model found to fit the data, significance level of 0.05 (Fixed (FE) at F= 6.3625, p<0.000 and R2 of 0.5462, i.e., fixed effect elaborates for about 55% of the return variance. Random effect at F=10.8647 and p<0.000 and R2 of 0.4429, i.e., elaborates for about 44% of stock return variance. Based on the Hausman data test alternative hypothesis is found to be consistent and therefore Random Effect (RE) model is being used to conclude the findings. The paper's fundamental limitation includes use of limited regressors, companies, and time period. A further qualitative analysis together with other accounting performance indicators as regressors may be included in future studies. These ratios include interest coverage, debt ratios, effective tax rates, asset turnover ratios, dividend distribution ratios, sustainable growth, and top line revenue growth.

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