Vergrijzing in Nederland: argumenten voor een betere balans in het debat

2006 ◽  
Vol 22 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Wiemer Salverda

Ageing in the Netherlands: demographic and financial arguments to balance the debate Ageing in the Netherlands: demographic and financial arguments to balance the debate The Dutch debate on ageing ignores that on a cohort basis it is a very limited problem as is, therefore, the financing of occupational pensions. Data taken from the Income Panel Survey show that the financing of the basic state pension AOW over the coming decades is not a major problem that cannot be solved by the increasing labour participation that may plausibly be expected. Because of a strong focus on public finance Dutch policymaking tends to overlook important inequalities in the ageing process as well as the important cost disadvantage of private pension funding compared with collective schemes – two aspects which, by contrast, are central to the UK pension debate. One important inequality concerns (healthy) life expectancy of the low educated; it should be accounted for when discussing a (shift of the) uniform pension age. Future poverty of retired women because of low lifetime earnings from part-time labour is another problem that should be discussed and prevented. Finally, the fact that average Dutch life expectancy lags behind internationally deserves more attention.

Author(s):  
Áine Ní Léime ◽  
Wendy Loretto

This chapter documents international policy developments and provides a gender critique of retirement, employment and pension policies in Australia, Ireland, Germany, Portugal, Sweden, the UK, and the US. It assesses the degree to which the individual country's extended working life policies have adopted the agenda (increasing pension age and introducing flexible working) set out by the OECD and the EU. Policies include raising state pension age, changes in the duration of pension contribution requirements, the move from defined benefits to defined contribution pensions, policies on caring for vulnerable members of the population, policies enabling flexible working and anti-age discrimination measures. An expanded framework is used to assess the degree to which gender and other intersecting issues such as health, caring, class, type of occupation and/or membership of minority communities have (or have not) been taken into account in designing and implementing policies extending working life.


Author(s):  
Alison Sizer ◽  
Oliver Duke-Williams

Background and Rationale The ONS Longitudinal Study (‘the LS’) covers England and Wales and includes individual data from the 1971 – 2011 decennial censuses and linked information on births, deaths and cancer registrations. It is representative of the population of England and Wales. Aim This presentation describes the LS and the linked administrative data, and showcases recent/ prominent examples of research. Methods and Approach The LS is built around samples drawn from decennial censuses, with its initial sample drawn from the 1971 Census. It also contains information about other people living in a sample-member’s household. Substantial emphasis is placed on security of access to the data and its responsible use. All research outputs are checked and are only released to users once disclosure control requirements are met. Linkage of study members from one census to another and vital events is carried out by ONS. Results The LS has been used for a variety of research. Using linked census and death records occupational differences in mortality rates have been researched. Individual records from all five censuses have been used to contribute to research social mobility, and research has also investigated the effects of long-term exposure to air pollution. Research has provided evidence of impact for social policy issues, e.g. health inequalities and the State Pension Age Review. Discussion The main strength of the LS is its large sample size (>1 million), making it the largest nationally representative longitudinal dataset in the UK. This allows analysis of small areas and specific population groups. Sampling bias is almost nil, and response rates are very high relative to other cohort and panel studies. Conclusion The ONS Longitudinal Study is a vital UK research asset, providing access to a large sample of census data linked across five censuses. It is strengthened through linkage to events data.


1999 ◽  
Vol 168 ◽  
pp. 82-98 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ray Barrell ◽  
Veronique Genre

Labour market reform has become a central policy issue for many European countries, and there are lessons to learn for the further development of the New Deal in the UK. We discuss reforms in Denmark and the Netherlands, and look at their implication for employment and earnings. The Dutch started a sequence of reforms in the early 1980s based around wage moderation. Real wages per person hour rose less rapidly than elsewhere in Europe, and employment rose more strongly. Other reforms made the labour market more flexible, and many part-time jobs were created. The Dutch can claim to have succeeded in improving their labour market preformance. The Danes started serious reforms in the 1990s, and individuals on social benefits have a right and a duty to be activated. Registered unemployment has fallen sharply as a result of these New Deal style policies, but only some of these individuals have moved into employment. Increased flexibility, moderate real wage growth and active support for job-seekers all seem to help reduce unemployment and raise employment. Evidence from Denmark and the Netherlands suggests that making work relatively more rewarding helps to reduce inactivity and unemployment.


2017 ◽  
Vol 32 (2) ◽  
pp. 129-149
Author(s):  
Ludi Simpson

Labour force forecasts are required by local planning, legally guided in the UK by regulations on land use. Methods of forecasting the labour force, and data available for UK practice, are reviewed here. A best strategy for sub-national forecasts of the labour supply is found empirically to involve an accurate national forecast with a local starting point. Key trends are the decreasing economic activity of young adults, the increasing activity of older adults and the impact of changing state pension age. However, there exists neither an acceptable national forecast of economic activity nor a standard approach to local forecasts. Software for implementation of sub-national forecasts is described, and six types of scenarios are listed to aid local planning, which reflect uncertainty about current trends and the impact of changes in policy. Research and development of forecasting the national and the local labour force is urgently needed.


2011 ◽  
Vol 215 ◽  
pp. F3-F3

•The economy will grow by only 1.5 per cent in 2011 and 1.8 per cent in 2012.•Consumer price inflation will be 3.8 per cent this year but fall to 1.8 per cent in 2012.•The sharp rise in oil prices will raise inflation by over ½ percentage point in 2011.•Growth over the next two years will come mainly from net trade.•Real disposable income will fall for the second successive year, by 0.8 per cent in 2011.•There is a case for delaying some of the austerity programme but accelerating planned increases in the state pension age.


2020 ◽  
Vol 30 (Supplement_5) ◽  
Author(s):  
M van der Noordt ◽  
J J Polder ◽  
M H D Plasmans ◽  
H B M Hilderink ◽  
D J H Deeg ◽  
...  

Abstract Objectives In many Western societies, the state pension age is being raised to stimulate prolonged working. In the Netherlands, the raise of the state pension age is linked to the remaining life expectancy at age 65 with a factor of 2/3rd, and is expected to be 68 years in 2040. It is not yet well understood whether health of the 60+ permits this increase. In this study, health of Dutch adults aged 60 to 68 is forecasted up to 2040. Methods Data are from the Dutch Health Interview Survey (HIS) 1990-2017 (N≈280.000) and the Dutch Public Health Monitor (PHM) 2016 (N≈460.000). Health is operationalized using binomial scores of 1) self-rated health and 2) limitations in hearing, seeing or mobility. Categories are: good health (healthy on both items), moderate health (healthy on one item) and poor health (unhealthy on both items). First, based on the HIS, health status in 5-year age categories was modelled up to 2040 using logistic regression analysis in R. Second, the growth factor from 2016 to 2040 was applied to the health level from the PHM 2016. Results In 2016, 63% of men aged 60-65 had good health, 25% had moderate health and 12% had poor health. Among women, this distribution was 64%, 22% and 14%, respectively. In 2040, the health distribution among men aged 60-68 is estimated to be 63-71% in good health, 17-28% in moderate health and 9-12% in poor health. Among women this is estimated to be 64-69%, 17-24% and 12-14%, respectively. Conclusions Health of Dutch cohorts nearing the state pension age in the future is estimated to remain the same or improve up to 2040. This development in health is not an obstacle to raising the state pension age. However, due to the increasing state pension age and the baby boom generation reaching age 60+ in the coming years, the absolute number of people aged 60+ in poor and moderate health that participates in labor will increase. Policy aiming at sustainable employability will therefore become increasingly important. Key messages Health of Dutch cohorts nearing the state pension age is estimated to remain the same or improve in the future. The development in health is not an obstacle to raising the state pension age. Although health is estimated to remain the same or improve, the absolute number of people aged 60+ in poor and moderate health that participate in labor will increase due to an aging population.


Author(s):  
Anna Hokema

Many policy areas of the German welfare state that are important for understanding the gendered implications of extended working lives have been reformed over the years-not only employment and pensions, but also child and long-term care. The country has been perceived as successful in especially turning a pronounced early retirement culture around. In this chapter a feminist political economy of ageing and life course perspective is applied, which shows a more differentiated picture, one that does not show a success story for all. Especially women and lower qualified person work part-time in later stages of their career or leave the labour market before state pension age, which is disadvantageous in social insurance countries, such as Germany. It is expected that old age incomes will become more polarised and old age poverty will grow.


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document