scholarly journals Stratospheric warming in Southern Hemisphere high latitudes since 1979

2009 ◽  
Vol 9 (13) ◽  
pp. 4329-4340 ◽  
Author(s):  
Y. Hu ◽  
Q. Fu
Keyword(s):  
Southern Hemisphere ◽  
General Circulation ◽  
Circulation Model ◽  
Warming Trend ◽  
Wave Activity ◽  
Anthropogenic Activity ◽  
High Latitudes ◽  
Stratospheric Warming ◽  
Sst Warming ◽  
The Antarctic

Abstract. In the present study, we show evidence of significant stratospheric warming over Southern Hemisphere high latitudes and large portions of the Antarctic polar region in winter and spring seasons, with a maximum warming of 7–8°C in September and October, using satellite Microwave Sounding Unit observations for 1979–2006. It is found that this warming is associated with increasing wave activity from the troposphere into the stratosphere, suggesting that the warming is caused by enhanced wave-driven adiabatic heating. We show that the stratospheric warming in Southern Hemisphere high latitudes has close correlations with sea surface temperature (SST) increases, and that general circulation model simulations forced with observed time-varying SSTs reproduce similar warming trend patterns in the Antarctic stratosphere. The simulated stratospheric warming is closely related to increasing wave activity in the Southern Hemisphere. These findings suggest that the stratospheric warming is likely induced by SST warming. As SST warming continues as a consequence of greenhouse gas increases due to anthropogenic activity, the stratospheric warming would also continue, which has important implications to the recovery of the Antarctic ozone hole.

scholarly journals Antarctic stratospheric warming since 1979

2009 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
pp. 1703-1726 ◽  
Author(s):  
Y. Hu ◽  
Q. Fu
Keyword(s):  
General Circulation ◽  
Circulation Model ◽  
Warming Trend ◽  
Anthropogenic Activity ◽  
Stratospheric Warming ◽  
Show Evidence ◽  
Microwave Sounding ◽  
Sst Warming ◽  
Maximum Warming ◽  
The Antarctic

Abstract. In the present study, we show evidence of significant stratospheric warming over large portions of the Antarctic polar region in winter and spring seasons, with a maximum warming of 7–8°C in September and October, using satellite Microwave Sounding Unit observations for 1979–2006. It is found that this warming is associated with increasing wave activity from the troposphere into the stratosphere, suggesting that the warming is caused by enhanced wave-driven dynamical heating. We show that the Antarctic stratospheric warming has close correlations with sea surface temperature (SST) increases, and that general circulation model simulations forced with observed time-varying SSTs reproduce similar warming trend patterns in the Antarctic stratosphere. These findings suggest that the Antarctic stratospheric warming is likely induced by SST warming. As SST warming continues as a consequence of greenhouse gas increases due to anthropogenic activity, Antarctic stratospheric warming would also continue, which has important implications to the recovery of the Antarctic ozone hole.

scholarly journals Southern-Hemisphere high-latitude stratospheric warming revisit

2019 ◽  
Vol 54 (3-4) ◽  
pp. 1671-1682
Author(s):  
Yan Xia ◽  
Weixuan Xu ◽  
Yongyun Hu ◽  
Fei Xie
Keyword(s):  
Southern Hemisphere ◽  
High Latitude ◽  
Recent Decade ◽  
Warming Trend ◽  
High Latitudes ◽  
Stratospheric Warming ◽  
Amundsen Sea ◽  
Maximum Warming ◽  
Dipole Pattern ◽  
The Western Pacific

AbstractPrevious studies showed significant stratospheric warming at the Southern-Hemisphere (SH) high latitudes in September and October over 1979–2006. The warming trend center was located over the Southern Ocean poleward of the Western Pacific in September, with a maximum trend of about 2.8 K/decade. The warming trends in October showed a dipole pattern, with the warming center over the Ross and Amundsen Sea, and the maximum warming trend is about 2.6 K/decade. In the present study, we revisit the problem of the SH stratospheric warming in the recent decade. It is found that the SH high-latitude stratosphere continued warming in September and October over 2007–2017, but with very different spatial patterns. Multiple linear regression demonstrates that ozone increases play an important role in the SH high-latitude stratospheric warming in September and November, while the changes in the Brewer-Dobson circulation contributes little to the warming. This is different from the situation over 1979–2006 when the SH high-latitude stratospheric warming was mainly caused by the strengthening of the Brewer-Dobson circulation and the eastward shift of the warming center. Simulations forced with observed ozone changes over 2007–2017 shows warming trends, suggesting that the observed warming trends over 2007–2017 are at least partly due to ozone recovery. The warming trends due to ozone recovery have important implications for stratospheric, tropospheric and surface climates on SH.

scholarly journals Stratospheric gravity waves at Southern Hemisphere orographic hotspots: 2003–2014 AIRS/Aqua observations

2016 ◽  
Vol 16 (14) ◽  
pp. 9381-9397 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lars Hoffmann ◽  
Alison W. Grimsdell ◽  
M. Joan Alexander
Keyword(s):  
Gravity Wave ◽  
Southern Hemisphere ◽  
Antarctic Peninsula ◽  
Gravity Waves ◽  
General Circulation ◽  
Wave Activity ◽  
Small Scale ◽  
Mountain Wave ◽  
Kerguelen Islands ◽  
The Antarctic

Abstract. Stratospheric gravity waves from small-scale orographic sources are currently not well-represented in general circulation models. This may be a reason why many simulations have difficulty reproducing the dynamical behavior of the Southern Hemisphere polar vortex in a realistic manner. Here we discuss a 12-year record (2003–2014) of stratospheric gravity wave activity at Southern Hemisphere orographic hotspots as observed by the Atmospheric InfraRed Sounder (AIRS) aboard the National Aeronautics and Space Administration's (NASA) Aqua satellite. We introduce a simple and effective approach, referred to as the “two-box method”, to detect gravity wave activity from infrared nadir sounder measurements and to discriminate between gravity waves from orographic and other sources. From austral mid-fall to mid-spring (April–October) the contributions of orographic sources to the observed gravity wave occurrence frequencies were found to be largest for the Andes (90 %), followed by the Antarctic Peninsula (76 %), Kerguelen Islands (73 %), Tasmania (70 %), New Zealand (67 %), Heard Island (60 %), and other hotspots (24–54 %). Mountain wave activity was found to be closely correlated with peak terrain altitudes, and with zonal winds in the lower troposphere and mid-stratosphere. We propose a simple model to predict the occurrence of mountain wave events in the AIRS observations using zonal wind thresholds at 3 and 750 hPa. The model has significant predictive skill for hotspots where gravity wave activity is primarily due to orographic sources. It typically reproduces seasonal variations of the mountain wave occurrence frequencies at the Antarctic Peninsula and Kerguelen Islands from near zero to over 60 % with mean absolute errors of 4–5 percentage points. The prediction model can be used to disentangle upper level wind effects on observed occurrence frequencies from low-level source and other influences. The data and methods presented here can help to identify interesting case studies in the vast amount of AIRS data, which could then be further explored to study the specific characteristics of stratospheric gravity waves from orographic sources and to support model validation.

scholarly journals Ice-sheets’ surface mass-balance evaluation in the UGAMP GCM: the climate of Antarctica

1996 ◽  
Vol 23 ◽  
pp. 167-173
Author(s):  
I. Marsiat
Keyword(s):  
Mass Balance ◽  
General Circulation ◽  
Ice Sheets ◽  
Circulation Model ◽  
General Circulation Models ◽  
High Latitudes ◽  
Accumulation Pattern ◽  
Surface Mass ◽  
The Antarctic ◽  
Good Agreement

General Circulation Models (GCMs) will be more and more used for coupled climatic simulations involving ice sheets. It is therefore of prime importance to evaluate the performance of these models in simulating the mass balance and climate over ice sheets. The Antarctic climate simulated with the U.K. Universities Global Atmospheric Modelling Programme General Circulation Model (UGAMP GCM, hereafter referred to as the UGCM) is in good agreement with the available observations. In particular, the accumulation pattern appears fairly reasonable. Some imperfections are related to the surface temperature and energy budget but without severe consequences for the atmosphere behaviour. Refining the snow-related parameterizations could improve the results of the model in high latitudes.

scholarly journals The Antarctic Oscillation Structure in an AOGCM with Interactive Stratospheric Ozone

2012 ◽  
Vol 2012 ◽  
pp. 1-12
Author(s):  
S. Brand ◽  
K. Dethloff ◽  
D. Handorf
Keyword(s):  
General Circulation ◽  
Planetary Wave ◽  
Middle Atmosphere ◽  
Stratospheric Ozone ◽  
Circulation Model ◽  
Wave Activity ◽  
Antarctic Oscillation ◽  
Wave Dynamics ◽  
Hemisphere Winter ◽  
The Antarctic

Based on 150-year equilibrium simulations using the atmosphere-ocean-sea ice general circulation model (AOGCM) ECHO-GiSP, the southern hemisphere winter circulation is examined focusing on tropo-stratosphere coupling and wave dynamics. The model covers the troposphere and strato-mesosphere up to 80 km height and includes an interactive stratospheric chemistry. Compared to the reference simulation without interactive chemistry, the interactive simulation shows a weaker polar vortex in the middle atmosphere and is shifted towards the negative phase of the Antarctic Oscillation (AAO) in the troposphere. Differing from the northern hemisphere winter situation, the tropospheric planetary wave activity is weakened. A detailed analysis shows, that the modelled AAO zonal mean signal behaves antisymmetrically between troposphere and strato-mesosphere. This conclusion is supported by reanalysis data and a discussion of planetary wave dynamics in terms of Eliassen-Palm fluxes. Thereby, the tropospheric planetary wave activity appears to be controlled from the middle atmosphere.

Temperature Trend Patterns in Southern Hemisphere High Latitudes: Novel Indicators of Stratospheric Change

2009 ◽  
Vol 22 (23) ◽  
pp. 6325-6341 ◽  
Author(s):  
Pu Lin ◽  
Qiang Fu ◽  
Susan Solomon ◽  
John M. Wallace
Keyword(s):  
Southern Hemisphere ◽  
General Circulation ◽  
Circulation Model ◽  
Temperature Trend ◽  
Radiative Cooling ◽  
High Latitudes ◽  
Intergovernmental Panel ◽  
Temperature Changes ◽  
Zonal Wavenumber ◽  
Simulated Temperature

Abstract Robust stratospheric temperature trend patterns are suggested in the winter and spring seasons in the Southern Hemisphere high latitudes from the satellite-borne Microwave Sounding Unit (MSU) measurement for 1979–2007. These patterns serve as indicators of key processes governing temperature and ozone changes in the Antarctic. The observed patterns are characterized by cooling and warming regions of comparable magnitudes, with the strongest local trends occurring in September and October. In September, ozone depletion induces radiative cooling, and strengthening of the Brewer–Dobson circulation (BDC) induces dynamical warming. Because the trends induced by these two processes are centered in different locations in September, they do not cancel each other, but rather produce a wavelike structure. In contrast, during October, the ozone-induced radiative cooling and the BDC-induced warming exhibit a more zonally symmetric structure than in September, and hence largely cancel each other. However, the October quasi-stationary planetary wavenumber 1 has shifted eastward from 1979 to 2007, producing a zonal wavenumber-1 trend structure, which dominates the observed temperature trend pattern. Simulated temperature changes for 1979–2007 from coupled atmosphere–ocean general circulation model (AOGCM) experiments run for the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Fourth Assessment Report (IPCC AR4) are compared with the observations. In general, the simulated temperature changes are dominated by zonally symmetric ozone-induced radiative cooling. The models fail to simulate the warming in the southern polar stratosphere, implying a lack of the BDC strengthening in these models. They also fail to simulate the quasi-stationary planetary wave changes observed in October and November.

scholarly journals Stratospheric gravity waves at southern hemisphere orographic hotspots: 2003–2014 AIRS/Aqua observations

2016 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lars Hoffmann ◽  
Alison W. Grimsdell ◽  
M. Joan Alexander
Keyword(s):  
Gravity Wave ◽  
Southern Hemisphere ◽  
Antarctic Peninsula ◽  
Gravity Waves ◽  
General Circulation ◽  
Wave Activity ◽  
Small Scale ◽  
Mountain Wave ◽  
Kerguelen Islands ◽  
The Antarctic

Abstract. Stratospheric gravity waves from small-scale orographic sources are currently not well-represented in general circulation models. This may be a reason why many simulations have difficulty reproducing the dynamical behaviour of the southern hemisphere polar vortex in a realistic manner. Here we discuss a 12-year record (2003–2014) of stratospheric gravity wave activity at southern hemisphere orographic hotspots as observed by the Atmospheric InfraRed Sounder (AIRS) aboard the National Aeronautics and Space Administration's (NASA's) Aqua satellite. We introduce a simple and effective approach, referred to as the "two-box method", to detect gravity wave activity from infrared nadir sounder measurements and to discriminate between gravity waves from orographic and other sources. From austral mid fall to mid spring (April–October) the contributions of orographic sources to the observed gravity wave occurrence frequencies were found to be largest for the Andes (90 %), followed by the Antarctic Peninsula (76 %), Kerguelen Islands (73 %), Tasmania (70 %), New Zealand (67 %), Heard Island (60 %), and other hotspots (24–54 %). Mountain wave activity was found to be closely correlated with peak terrain altitudes, and with zonal winds in the lower troposphere and mid stratosphere. We propose a simple model to predict the occurrence of mountain wave events in the AIRS observations using zonal wind thresholds at 3 hPa and 750 hPa. The model has significant predictive skill for hotspots where gravity wave activity is primarily due to orographic sources. It typically reproduces seasonal variations of the mountain wave occurrence frequencies at the Antarctic Peninsula and Kerguelen Islands from near zero to over 60 % with mean absolute errors of 4–5 percentage points. The prediction model can be used to disentangle upper level wind effects on observed occurrence frequencies from low level source and other influences. The data and methods presented here can help to identify interesting case studies in the vast amount of AIRS data, which could then be further explored to study the specific characteristics of stratospheric gravity waves from orographic sources and to support model validation.

scholarly journals Ice-sheets’ surface mass-balance evaluation in the UGAMP GCM: the climate of Antarctica

1996 ◽  
Vol 23 ◽  
pp. 167-173 ◽  
Author(s):  
I. Marsiat
Keyword(s):  
Mass Balance ◽  
General Circulation ◽  
Ice Sheets ◽  
Circulation Model ◽  
General Circulation Models ◽  
High Latitudes ◽  
Accumulation Pattern ◽  
Surface Mass ◽  
The Antarctic ◽  
Good Agreement

General Circulation Models (GCMs) will be more and more used for coupled climatic simulations involving ice sheets. It is therefore of prime importance to evaluate the performance of these models in simulating the mass balance and climate over ice sheets. The Antarctic climate simulated with the U.K. Universities Global Atmospheric Modelling Programme General Circulation Model (UGAMP GCM, hereafter referred to as the UGCM) is in good agreement with the available observations. In particular, the accumulation pattern appears fairly reasonable. Some imperfections are related to the surface temperature and energy budget but without severe consequences for the atmosphere behaviour. Refining the snow-related parameterizations could improve the results of the model in high latitudes.

scholarly journals A new mechanism for atmospheric mercury redox chemistry: Implications for the global mercury budget

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hannah M. Horowitz ◽  
Daniel J. Jacob ◽  
Yanxu Zhang ◽  
Theodore S. Dibble ◽  
Franz Slemr ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Southern Hemisphere ◽  
Wet Deposition ◽  
General Circulation ◽  
Gulf Coast ◽  
Circulation Model ◽  
Redox Chemistry ◽  
Ocean General Circulation Model ◽  
Atmospheric Mercury ◽  
Water Soluble ◽  
Second Stage

Abstract. Mercury (Hg) is emitted to the atmosphere mainly as volatile elemental Hg0. Oxidation to water-soluble HgII controls Hg deposition to ecosystems. Here we implement a new mechanism for atmospheric Hg0 / HgII redox chemistry in the GEOS-Chem global model and examine the implications for the global atmospheric Hg budget and deposition patterns. Our simulation includes a new coupling of GEOS-Chem to an ocean general circulation model (MITgcm), enabling a global 3-D representation of atmosphere-ocean Hg0 / HgII cycling. We find that atomic bromine (Br) of marine organobromine origin is the main atmospheric Hg0 oxidant, and that second-stage HgBr oxidation is mainly by the NO2 and HO2 radicals. The resulting lifetime of tropospheric Hg0 against oxidation is 2.7 months, shorter than in previous models. Fast HgII atmospheric reduction must occur in order to match the ~ 6-month lifetime of Hg against deposition implied by the observed atmospheric variability of total gaseous mercury (TGM ≡ Hg0 + HgII(g)). We implement this reduction in GEOS-Chem as photolysis of aqueous-phase HgII-organic complexes in aerosols and clouds, resulting in a TGM lifetime of 5.2 months against deposition and matching both mean observed TGM and its variability. Model sensitivity analysis shows that the interhemispheric gradient of TGM, previously used to infer a longer Hg lifetime against deposition, is misleading because southern hemisphere Hg mainly originates from oceanic emissions rather than transport from the northern hemisphere. The model reproduces the observed seasonal TGM variation at northern mid-latitudes (maximum in February, minimum in September) driven by chemistry and oceanic evasion, but does not reproduce the lack of seasonality observed at southern hemisphere marine sites. Aircraft observations in the lowermost stratosphere show a strong TGM-ozone relationship indicative of fast Hg0 oxidation, but we show that this relationship provides only a weak test of Hg chemistry because it is also influenced by mixing. The model reproduces observed Hg wet deposition fluxes over North America, Europe, and China, including the maximum over the US Gulf Coast driven by HgBr oxidation by NO2 and HO2. Low Hg wet deposition observed over rural China is attributed to fast HgII reduction in the presence of high organic aerosol concentrations. We find that 80 % of global HgII deposition takes place over the oceans, reflecting the marine origin of Br and low concentrations of marine organics for HgII reduction, and most of HO2 and NO2 for second-stage HgBr oxidation.

scholarly journals Stratospheric temperatures and tracer transport in a nudged 4-year middle atmosphere GCM simulation

2005 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
pp. 961-1006 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. K. van Aalst ◽  
J. Lelieveld ◽  
B. Steil ◽  
C. Brühl ◽  
P. Jöckel ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Interannual Variability ◽  
General Circulation ◽  
Middle Atmosphere ◽  
Circulation Model ◽  
Detailed Comparison ◽  
The Arctic ◽  
Cold Bias ◽  
Tracer Transport ◽  
Quasi Biennial Oscillation ◽  
The Antarctic

Abstract. We have performed a 4-year simulation with the Middle Atmosphere General Circulation Model MAECHAM5/MESSy, while slightly nudging the model’s meteorology in the free troposphere (below 113 hPa) towards ECMWF analyses. We show that the nudging 5 technique, which leaves the middle atmosphere almost entirely free, enables comparisons with synoptic observations. The model successfully reproduces many specific features of the interannual variability, including details of the Antarctic vortex structure. In the Arctic, the model captures general features of the interannual variability, but falls short in reproducing the timing of sudden stratospheric warmings. A 10 detailed comparison of the nudged model simulations with ECMWF data shows that the model simulates realistic stratospheric temperature distributions and variabilities, including the temperature minima in the Antarctic vortex. Some small (a few K) model biases were also identified, including a summer cold bias at both poles, and a general cold bias in the lower stratosphere, most pronounced in midlatitudes. A comparison 15 of tracer distributions with HALOE observations shows that the model successfully reproduces specific aspects of the instantaneous circulation. The main tracer transport deficiencies occur in the polar lowermost stratosphere. These are related to the tropopause altitude as well as the tracer advection scheme and model resolution. The additional nudging of equatorial zonal winds, forcing the quasi-biennial oscillation, sig20 nificantly improves stratospheric temperatures and tracer distributions.

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