scholarly journals Potential of a geostationary geoCARB mission to estimate surface emissions of CO<sub>2</sub>, CH<sub>4</sub> and CO in a polluted urban environment: case study Shanghai

2016 ◽  
Vol 9 (9) ◽  
pp. 4633-4654 ◽  
Author(s):  
Denis M. O'Brien ◽  
Igor N. Polonsky ◽  
Steven R. Utembe ◽  
Peter J. Rayner
Keyword(s):  
Urban Environment ◽  
Mass Density ◽  
Wrf Model ◽  
Trace Gas ◽  
Weather Research And Forecasting ◽  
Retrieval Algorithm ◽  
Remotely Sensed Data ◽  
Ice Clouds ◽  
Instrument Noise

Abstract. This paper describes a numerical experiment to test the ability of the proposed geoCARB satellite to estimate emissions of trace gases (CO2, CH4 and CO) in the polluted urban environment of Shanghai. The meteorology over Shanghai is simulated with the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model for a 9-day period in August 2010. The meteorology includes water and ice clouds. The chemistry version of WRF (WRF-Chem V3.6.1) is used to predict the chemical composition, mass density and number density of aerosol species. Spectra in the bands measured by geoCARB are calculated, including the effects of polarisation and multiple scattering of radiation by clouds, aerosols and molecules. Instrument noise is added, and column-averaged trace-gas mole fractions are estimated from the noisy spectra using an algorithm based on that for the Greenhouse Gases Observing Satellite (GOSAT) and the Orbiting Carbon Observatory-2 (OCO-2) but adapted to geoCARB. As expected, the high aerosol loadings are challenging. However, when the retrieval algorithm is provided with regionally adjusted aerosol optical properties, as might be determined from observations of dark targets within the field of regard, the accuracies of retrieved concentrations are comparable to those reported earlier for geoCARB. Statistics of the errors in the retrieved column-averaged concentrations are used to predict the reduction in uncertainty of surface emissions possible with remotely sensed data.

scholarly journals Remote sensing CO<sub>2</sub>, CH<sub>4</sub> and CO emissions in a polluted urban environment

2016 ◽  
Author(s):  
Denis M. O'Brien ◽  
Igor N. Polonsky ◽  
Steven R. Utembe ◽  
Peter J. Rayner
Keyword(s):  
Urban Environment ◽  
Mass Density ◽  
Wrf Model ◽  
Trace Gas ◽  
Weather Research And Forecasting ◽  
Retrieval Algorithm ◽  
Number Density ◽  
Remotely Sensed Data ◽  
Ice Clouds ◽  
Instrument Noise

Abstract. This paper describes a numerical experiment to test the ability of the proposed geoCARB satellite to estimate emissions of trace gases (CO2, CH4 and CO) in the polluted urban environment of Shanghai. The meteorology over Shanghai is simulated with the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model for a nine-day period in August 2010. The meteorology includes water and ice clouds. The chemistry version of WRF (WRF-Chem V3.6.1) is used to predict the chemical composition, mass density and number density of aerosol species. Spectra in the bands measured by geoCARB are calculated, including the effects of polarisation and multiple scattering of radiation by clouds, aerosols and molecules. Instrument noise is added, and column-averaged trace gas mole fractions are estimated from the noisy spectra using an algorithm based on that for the Greenhouse Gases Observing Satellite (GOSAT) and the Orbiting Carbon Observatory (OCO2), but adapted to geoCARB. As expected, the high aerosol loadings are challenging. However, when the retrieval algorithm is provided with regionally adjusted aerosol optical properties, as might be determined from observations of dark targets within the field of regard, the accuracies of retrieved concentrations are comparable to those reported earlier for geoCARB. Statistics of the errors in the retrieved column-averaged concentrations are used to predict the reduction in uncertainty of surface emissions possible with remotely sensed data.

scholarly journals Evaluation of the WRF Model to Simulate a High-Intensity Rainfall Event over Kampala, Uganda

Water ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (6) ◽  
pp. 873
Author(s):  
Yakob Umer ◽  
Janneke Ettema ◽  
Victor Jetten ◽  
Gert-Jan Steeneveld ◽  
Reinder Ronda
Keyword(s):  
High Intensity ◽  
Flood Hazard ◽  
Weather Prediction ◽  
Wrf Model ◽  
Numerical Weather Prediction Model ◽  
Rainfall Event ◽  
Weather Research And Forecasting ◽  
Event Triggering ◽  
Rain Events

Simulating high-intensity rainfall events that trigger local floods using a Numerical Weather Prediction model is challenging as rain-bearing systems are highly complex and localized. In this study, we analyze the performance of the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model’s capability in simulating a high-intensity rainfall event using a variety of parameterization combinations over the Kampala catchment, Uganda. The study uses the high-intensity rainfall event that caused the local flood hazard on 25 June 2012 as a case study. The model capability to simulate the high-intensity rainfall event is performed for 24 simulations with a different combination of eight microphysics (MP), four cumulus (CP), and three planetary boundary layer (PBL) schemes. The model results are evaluated in terms of the total 24-h rainfall amount and its temporal and spatial distributions over the Kampala catchment using the Technique for Order of Preference by Similarity to Ideal Solution (TOPSIS) analysis. Rainfall observations from two gauging stations and the CHIRPS satellite product served as benchmark. Based on the TOPSIS analysis, we find that the most successful combination consists of complex microphysics such as the Morrison 2-moment scheme combined with Grell-Freitas (GF) and ACM2 PBL with a good TOPSIS score. However, the WRF performance to simulate a high-intensity rainfall event that has triggered the local flood in parts of the catchment seems weak (i.e., 0.5, where the ideal score is 1). Although there is high spatial variability of the event with the high-intensity rainfall event triggering the localized floods simulated only in a few pockets of the catchment, it is remarkable to see that WRF is capable of producing this kind of event in the neighborhood of Kampala. This study confirms that the capability of the WRF model in producing high-intensity tropical rain events depends on the proper choice of parametrization combinations.

scholarly journals Urban Influences on the Spatiotemporal Characteristics of Runoff and Precipitation during the 2009 Atlanta Flood

2019 ◽  
Vol 20 (1) ◽  
pp. 3-21 ◽  
Author(s):  
Neil Debbage ◽  
J. Marshall Shepherd
Keyword(s):  
Urban Environment ◽  
Extreme Rainfall ◽  
Urban Environments ◽  
Weather Research And Forecasting ◽  
Synoptic Scale ◽  
Antecedent Conditions ◽  
Urban Simulation ◽  
Enhanced Surface ◽  
Urban Footprint

Abstract The 2009 Atlanta flood was a historic event that resulted in catastrophic damage throughout the metropolitan area. The flood was the product of several hydrometeorological processes, including moist antecedent conditions, ample atmospheric moisture, and mesoscale training. Additionally, previous studies hypothesized that the urban environment of Atlanta altered the location and/or overall quantities of precipitation and runoff that ultimately produced the flood. This hypothesis was quantitatively evaluated by conducting a modeling case study that utilized the Weather Research and Forecasting Model. Two model runs were performed: 1) an urban run designed to accurately depict the flood event and 2) a nonurban simulation where the urban footprint of Atlanta was replaced with natural vegetation. Comparing the output from the two simulations revealed that interactions with the urban environment enhanced the precipitation and runoff associated with the flood. Specifically, the nonurban model underestimated the cumulative precipitation by approximately 100 mm in the area downwind of Atlanta where urban rainfall enhancement was hypothesized. This notable difference was due to the increased surface convergence observed in the urban simulation, which was likely attributable to the enhanced surface roughness and thermal properties of the urban environment. The findings expand upon previous research focused on urban rainfall effects since they demonstrate that urban interactions can influence mesoscale hydrometeorological characteristics during events with prominent synoptic-scale forcing. Finally, from an urban planning perspective, the results highlight a potential two-pronged vulnerability of urban environments to extreme rainfall, as they may enhance both the initial precipitation and subsequent runoff.

scholarly journals A Methodology for Verifying Cloud Forecasts with VIIRS Imagery and Derived Cloud Products—A WRF Case Study

Atmosphere ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 10 (9) ◽  
pp. 521 ◽  
Author(s):  
Keith D. Hutchison ◽  
Barbara D. Iisager ◽  
Sudhakar Dipu ◽  
Xiaoyan Jiang ◽  
Johannes Quaas ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Climate Models ◽  
Weather Prediction ◽  
Wrf Model ◽  
Region Of Interest ◽  
Weather Research And Forecasting ◽  
The North ◽  
Infrared Imager ◽  
Internal Procedures ◽  
Initial Results

A methodology is presented to evaluate the accuracy of cloud cover fraction (CCf) forecasts generated by numerical weather prediction (NWP) and climate models. It is demonstrated with a case study consisting of simulations from the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model. In this study, since the WRF CCf forecasts were initialized with reanalysis fields from the North American Mesoscale (NAM) Forecast System, the characteristics of the NAM CCf products were also evaluated. The procedures relied extensively upon manually-generated, binary cloud masks created from VIIRS (Visible Infrared Imager Radiometry Suite) imagery, which were subsequently converted into CCf truth at the resolution of the NAM and WRF gridded data. The initial results from the case study revealed biases toward under-clouding in the NAM CCf analyses and biases toward over-clouding in the WRF CCf products. These biases were evident in images created from the gridded NWP products when compared to VIIRS imagery and CCf truth data. Thus, additional simulations were completed to help assess the internal procedures used in the WRF model to translate moisture forecast fields into layered CCf products. Two additional sets of WRF CCf 24 h forecasts were generated for the region of interest using WRF restart files. One restart file was updated with CCf truth data and another was not changed. Over-clouded areas in the updated WRF restart file that were reduced with an update of the CCf truth data became over-clouded again in the WRF 24 h forecast, and were nearly identical to those from the unchanged restart file. It was concluded that the conversion of WRF forecast fields into layers of CCf products deserves closer examination in a future study.

scholarly journals A case study of wind farm effects using two wake parameterizations in WRF (V3.7) in the presence of low level jets

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xiaoli G. Larsén ◽  
Jana Fischereit
Keyword(s):  
Wind Farm ◽  
Wrf Model ◽  
Wind Farms ◽  
Weather Research And Forecasting ◽  
Flow Acceleration ◽  
Low Level ◽  
Low Level Jets ◽  
Flight Measurements

Abstract. While the wind farm parameterization by Fitch et al. (2012) in Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model has been used and evaluated frequently, the Explicit Wake Parameterization (EWP) by Volker et al. (2015) is less well explored. The openly available high frequency flight measurements from Bärfuss et al. (2019) provide an opportunity to directly compare the simulation results from the EWP and Fitch scheme with in situ measurements. In doing so, this study aims to compliment the recent study by Siedersleben et al. (2020) by (1) comparing the EWP and Fitch schemes in terms of turbulent kinetic energy (TKE) and velocity deficit, together with FINO 1 measurements and Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) data and (2) exploring the interactions of the wind farm with Low Level Jets. Both the Fitch and the EWP schemes can capture the mean wind field in the presence of the wind farm consistently and well. However, their skill is limited in capturing the flow acceleration along the farm edge. TKE in the EWP scheme is significantly underestimated, suggesting that an explicit turbine-induced TKE source should be included in addition to the implicit source from shear. The position of the LLJ nose and the shear beneath the jet nose are modified by the presence of wind farms.

WRF model moisture adjustment method; a case study with winter-time cloudy biases in Xinjiang, China.

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Guiting Song ◽  
Robert Huva ◽  
Yu Xing ◽  
Xiaohui Zhong
Keyword(s):  
Weather Prediction ◽  
Wrf Model ◽  
Weather Research And Forecasting ◽  
Adjustment Method ◽  
Surface Irradiance ◽  
Convective Processes ◽  
Systematic Biases ◽  
Nwp Model ◽  
Winter Time

AbstractFor most locations on Earth the ability of a Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) model to accurately simulate surface irradiance relies heavily on the NWP model being able to resolve cloud coverage and thickness. At horizontal resolutions at or below a few kilometres NWP models begin to explicitly resolve convection and the clouds that arise from convective processes. However, even at high resolutions, biases may remain in the model and result in under- or over-prediction of surface irradiance. In this study we explore the correction of such systematic biases using a moisture adjustment method in tandem with the Weather Research and Forecasting model (WRF) for a location in Xinjiang, China. After extensive optimisation of the configuration of the WRF model we show that systematic biases still exist—in particular for wintertime in Xinjiang. We then demonstrate the moisture adjustment method with cloudy days for January 2019. Adjusting the relative humidity by 12% through the vertical led to a Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) improvement of 57.8% and a 90.5% reduction in bias for surface irradiance.

scholarly journals Observation of a tropopause fold by MARA VHF wind-profiler radar and ozonesonde at Wasa, Antarctica: comparison with ECMWF analysis and a WRF model simulation

2012 ◽  
Vol 30 (9) ◽  
pp. 1411-1421 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. Mihalikova ◽  
S. Kirkwood ◽  
J. Arnault ◽  
D. Mikhaylova
Keyword(s):  
Weather Forecasting ◽  
Model Simulation ◽  
Wrf Model ◽  
Austral Summer ◽  
Weather Research And Forecasting ◽  
Wind Profiler ◽  
Tropical Regions ◽  
Wind Profiler Radar ◽  
Better Than

Abstract. Tropopause folds are one of the mechanisms of stratosphere–troposphere exchange, which can bring ozone rich stratospheric air to low altitudes in the extra-tropical regions. They have been widely studied at northern mid- or high latitudes, but so far almost no studies have been made at mid- or high southern latitudes. The Moveable Atmospheric Radar for Antarctica (MARA), a 54.5 MHz wind-profiler radar, has operated at the Swedish summer station Wasa, Antarctica (73° S, 13.5° W) during austral summer seasons from 2007 to 2011 and has observed on several occasions signatures similar to those caused by tropopause folds at comparable Arctic latitudes. Here a case study is presented of one of these events when an ozonesonde successfully sampled the fold. Analysis from European Center for Medium Range Weather Forecasting (ECMWF) is used to study the circumstances surrounding the event, and as boundary conditions for a mesoscale simulation using the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model. The fold is well resolved by the WRF simulation, and occurs on the poleward side of the polar jet stream. However, MARA resolves fine-scale layering associated with the fold better than the WRF simulation.

scholarly journals Satellite Observation for Evaluating Cloud Properties of the Microphysical Schemes in Weather Research and Forecasting Simulation: A Case Study of the Mei-Yu Front Precipitation System

2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (18) ◽  
pp. 3060
Author(s):  
Kao-Shen Chung ◽  
Hsien-Jung Chiu ◽  
Chian-Yi Liu ◽  
Meng-Yue Lin
Keyword(s):  
Radiative Transfer ◽  
Wrf Model ◽  
Skill Score ◽  
Radiative Transfer Model ◽  
Weather Research And Forecasting ◽  
Heavy Rainfall Event ◽  
Transfer Model ◽  
High Cloud ◽  
Weather Research

Radiative transfer model can be used to convert the geophysical variables (e.g., atmospheric thermodynamic state) to the radiation field. In this study, the Community Radiative Transfer Model (CRTM) is used to connect regional Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model outputs and satellite observations. A heavy rainfall event caused by the Mei-Yu front on the June 1, 2017, in the vicinity of Taiwan, was chosen as a case study. The simulated cloud performance of WRF with four microphysics schemes (i.e., Goddard (GCE), WRF single-moment 6 class (WSM), WRF double-moment 6 class (WDM), and Morrison (MOR) schemes) was investigated objectively using multichannel observed satellite radiances from a Japanese geostationary satellite Himawari-8. The results over the East Asia domain (9 km) illustrate that all four microphysics schemes overestimate cloudy pixels, in particular, the high cloud of simulation with MOR when comparing with satellite data. Sensitivity tests reveal that the excess condensation of ice at ≥14 km with MOR might be associated with the overestimated high cloud cover. However, GCE displayed an improved performance on water vapor channel in clear skies. When focusing on Taiwan using a higher (3 km) model resolution, each scheme displayed a decent performance on cloudy pixels. In the grid-by-grid skill score analysis, the distribution of high clouds was the most accurate among the three cloud types. The results also suggested that all schemes required a longer simulation time to describe the low cloud horizontal extend.

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