scholarly journals How might the North American ice sheet influence the Northwestern Eurasian climate?

2015 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
pp. 27-61 ◽  
Author(s):  
P. Beghin ◽  
S. Charbit ◽  
M. Kageyama ◽  
C. Dumas ◽  
C. Ritz
Keyword(s):  
Mass Balance ◽  
Atmospheric Circulation ◽  
North American ◽  
Ice Sheets ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Surface Mass Balance ◽  
Surface Mass ◽  
The North ◽  
Albedo Effect ◽  
Circulation Changes

Abstract. During the last glacial period (∼21 000 years ago), two continental-scale ice sheets covered the Canada and northern Europe. It is now widely acknowledged that these past ice sheets exerted a strong influence on climate by causing changes in atmospheric and oceanic circulations. In turn, these changes may have impacted the development of the ice sheets themselves through a combination of different feedback mechanisms. The present study is designed to investigate the potential impact of the North American ice sheet on the surface mass balance (SMB) of the Eurasian ice sheet through simulated changes in the past glacial atmospheric circulation. Using the LMDz5 atmospheric circulation model, we carried out twelve experiments run under constant Last Glacial Maximum (LGM) conditions for insolation, greenhouse gases and ocean. In the all experiments, the Eurasian ice sheet is removed. The twelve experiments differ in the North American ice-sheet topography, ranging from a white and flat (present-day topography) ice sheet to a full-size LGM ice sheet. This experimental design allows to disentangle the albedo and the topographic impacts of the North American ice sheet onto the climate. The results are compared to our baseline experiment where both the North American and the Eurasian ice sheets have been removed. In summer, we show that the only albedo effect of the American ice sheet modifies the pattern of planetary waves with respect to the no-ice sheet case, causing a cooling of the Eurasian region. By contrast, the atmospheric circulation changes induced by the topography of the North American ice sheet imply summer warming in Northwestern Eurasia. In winter, the Scandinavian and the Barents–Kara regions respond differently to the albedo effect: in response to atmospheric circulation changes, Scandinavia is warmed up and precipitation is more abundant whereas Barents–Kara area is cooled down, decreasing convection process and thus leading to less precipitation. The height increase of American ice sheet leads to less precipitation and snowfalls and colder temperatures over both Scandinavian and Barents–Kara sectors. The simulated temperature and precipitation fields have then been used to force an ice-sheet model and to compute the resulting surface mass balance over the Fennoscandian region as a function of the American ice-sheet configuration. It clearly appears that the SMB is dominated by the ablation signal. In response to the summer cooling induced by the American ice-sheet albedo, a highly positive SMB is simulated over the Eurasian ice sheet, leading thus to the growth of the ice sheet. On the contrary, the topography of the American ice sheet leads to more ablation, hence limiting its growth.

scholarly journals How might the North American ice sheet influence the northwestern Eurasian climate?

2015 ◽  
Vol 11 (10) ◽  
pp. 1467-1490 ◽  
Author(s):  
P. Beghin ◽  
S. Charbit ◽  
C. Dumas ◽  
M. Kageyama ◽  
C. Ritz
Keyword(s):  
Atmospheric Circulation ◽  
North American ◽  
Gradual Increase ◽  
Ice Sheets ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Total Precipitation ◽  
Surface Mass ◽  
The North ◽  
Albedo Effect ◽  
Eurasian Region

Abstract. It is now widely acknowledged that past Northern Hemisphere ice sheets covering Canada and northern Europe at the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM) exerted a strong influence on climate by causing changes in atmospheric and oceanic circulations. In turn, these changes may have impacted the development of the ice sheets themselves through a combination of different feedback mechanisms. The present study is designed to investigate the potential impact of the North American ice sheet on the surface mass balance (SMB) of the Eurasian ice sheet driven by simulated changes in the past glacial atmospheric circulation. Using the LMDZ5 atmospheric circulation model, we carried out 12 experiments under constant LGM conditions for insolation, greenhouse gases and ocean. In these experiments, the Eurasian ice sheet is removed. The 12 experiments differ in the North American ice-sheet topography, ranging from a white and flat (present-day topography) ice sheet to a full-size LGM ice sheet. This experimental design allows the albedo and the topographic impacts of the North American ice sheet onto the climate to be disentangled. The results are compared to our baseline experiment where both the North American and the Eurasian ice sheets have been removed. In summer, the sole albedo effect of the American ice sheet modifies the pattern of planetary waves with respect to the no-ice-sheet case, resulting in a cooling of the northwestern Eurasian region. By contrast, the atmospheric circulation changes induced by the topography of the North American ice sheet lead to a strong decrease of this cooling. In winter, the Scandinavian and the Barents–Kara regions respond differently to the American ice-sheet albedo effect: in response to atmospheric circulation changes, Scandinavia becomes warmer and total precipitation is more abundant, whereas the Barents–Kara area becomes cooler with a decrease of convective processes, causing a decrease of total precipitation. The gradual increase of the altitude of the American ice sheet leads to less total precipitation and snowfall and to colder temperatures over both the Scandinavian and the Barents and Kara sea sectors. We then compute the resulting annual surface mass balance over the Fennoscandian region from the simulated temperature and precipitation fields used to force an ice-sheet model. It clearly appears that the SMB is dominated by the ablation signal. In response to the summer cooling induced by the American ice-sheet albedo, high positive SMB values are obtained over the Eurasian region, leading thus to the growth of an ice sheet. On the contrary, the gradual increase of the American ice-sheet altitude induces more ablation over the Eurasian sector, hence limiting the growth of Fennoscandia. To test the robustness of our results with respect to the Eurasian ice sheet state, we carried out two additional LMDZ experiments with new boundary conditions involving both the American (flat or full LGM) and high Eurasian ice sheets. The most striking result is that the Eurasian ice sheet is maintained under full-LGM North American ice-sheet conditions, but loses ~ 10 % of its mass compared to the case in which the North American ice sheet is flat. These new findings qualitatively confirm the conclusions from our first series of experiments and suggest that the development of the Eurasian ice sheet may have been slowed down by the growth of the American ice sheet, offering thereby a new understanding of the evolution of Northern Hemisphere ice sheets throughout glacial–interglacial cycles.

scholarly journals Simulating the Early Holocene demise of the Laurentide Ice Sheet with BISICLES (public trunk revision 3298)

2020 ◽  
Vol 13 (9) ◽  
pp. 4555-4577
Author(s):  
Ilkka S. O. Matero ◽  
Lauren J. Gregoire ◽  
Ruza F. Ivanovic
Keyword(s):  
Mass Balance ◽  
General Circulation ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Circulation Model ◽  
Early Holocene ◽  
Laurentide Ice Sheet ◽  
Hudson Bay ◽  
Surface Mass Balance ◽  
Surface Mass ◽  
The North

Abstract. Simulating the demise of the Laurentide Ice Sheet covering Hudson Bay in the Early Holocene (10–7 ka) is important for understanding the role of accelerated changes in ice sheet topography and melt in the 8.2 ka event, a century long cooling of the Northern Hemisphere by several degrees. Freshwater released from the ice sheet through a surface mass balance instability (known as the saddle collapse) has been suggested as a major forcing for the 8.2 ka event, but the temporal evolution of this pulse has not been constrained. Dynamical ice loss and marine interactions could have significantly accelerated the ice sheet demise, but simulating such processes requires computationally expensive models that are difficult to configure and are often impractical for simulating past ice sheets. Here, we developed an ice sheet model setup for studying the Laurentide Ice Sheet's Hudson Bay saddle collapse and the associated meltwater pulse in unprecedented detail using the BISICLES ice sheet model, an efficient marine ice sheet model of the latest generation which is capable of refinement to kilometre-scale resolutions and higher-order ice flow physics. The setup draws on previous efforts to model the deglaciation of the North American Ice Sheet for initialising the ice sheet temperature, recent ice sheet reconstructions for developing the topography of the region and ice sheet, and output from a general circulation model for a representation of the climatic forcing. The modelled deglaciation is in agreement with the reconstructed extent of the ice sheet, and the associated meltwater pulse has realistic timing. Furthermore, the peak magnitude of the modelled meltwater equivalent (0.07–0.13 Sv) is compatible with geological estimates of freshwater discharge through the Hudson Strait. The results demonstrate that while improved representations of the glacial dynamics and marine interactions are key for correctly simulating the pattern of Early Holocene ice sheet retreat, surface mass balance introduces by far the most uncertainty. The new model configuration presented here provides future opportunities to quantify the range of plausible amplitudes and durations of a Hudson Bay ice saddle collapse meltwater pulse and its role in forcing the 8.2 ka event.

scholarly journals Influence of albedo parameterization on surface mass balance in the perspective of Greenland ice sheet modelling in EC-Earth

2016 ◽  
Author(s):  
Michiel Helsen ◽  
Roderik Van de Wal ◽  
Thomas Reerink ◽  
Richard Bintanja ◽  
Marianne Sloth Madsen ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Mass Balance ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Global Climate ◽  
Global Climate Model ◽  
Ice Sheets ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Greenland Ice Sheet ◽  
Surface Mass Balance ◽  
Surface Mass

Abstract. The albedo of the surface of ice sheets changes as a function of time, due to the effects of deposition of new snow, ageing of dry snow, melting and runoff. Currently, the calculation of the albedo of ice sheets is highly parameterized within the Earth System Model EC-Earth, by taking a constant value for areas with thick perennial snow cover. This is one of the reasons that the surface mass balance (SMB) of the Greenland ice sheet (GrIS) is poorly resolved in the model. To improve this, eight snow albedo schemes are evaluated here. The resulting SMB is downscaled from the lower resolution global climate model topography to the higher resolution ice sheet topography of the GrIS, such that the influence of these different SMB climatologies on the long-term evolution of the GrIS is tested by ice sheet model simulations. This results in an optimised albedo parameterization that can be used in future EC-Earth simulations with an interactive ice sheet component.

scholarly journals Small impact of surrounding oceanic conditions on 2007–2012 Greenland Ice Sheet surface mass balance

2014 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
pp. 1453-1477 ◽  
Author(s):  
B. Noël ◽  
X. Fettweis ◽  
W. J. van de Berg ◽  
M. R. van den Broeke ◽  
M. Erpicum
Keyword(s):  
Mass Balance ◽  
North Atlantic ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Greenland Ice Sheet ◽  
Surface Mass Balance ◽  
Katabatic Winds ◽  
Surface Mass ◽  
The North ◽  
The North Atlantic ◽  
Surface Melt

Abstract. During recent summers (2007–2012), several surface melt records were broken over the Greenland Ice Sheet (GrIS). The extreme summer melt resulted in part from a persistent negative phase of the North-Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), favouring warmer than normal conditions over the GrIS. In addition, it has been suggested that significant anomalies in sea ice cover (SIC) and sea surface temperature (SST) may partially explain recent anomalous GrIS surface melt. To assess the impact of 2007–2012 SIC and SST anomalies on GrIS surface mass balance (SMB), a set of sensitivity experiments was carried out with the regional climate model MAR. These simulations suggest that changes in SST and SIC in the seas surrounding Greenland do not significantly impact GrIS SMB, due to the katabatic winds blocking effect. These winds are strong enough to prevent oceanic near-surface air, influenced by SIC and SST variability, from penetrating far inland. Therefore, the ice sheet SMB response is restricted to coastal regions, where katabatic winds are weaker. However, anomalies in SIC and SST could have indirectly affected the surface melt by changing the general circulation in the North Atlantic region, favouring more frequent warm air advection to the GrIS.

scholarly journals Brief communication: Impact of the recent atmospheric circulation change in summer on the future surface mass balance of the Greenland ice sheet

2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alison Delhasse ◽  
Xavier Fettweis ◽  
Christoph Kittel ◽  
Charles Amory ◽  
Cécile Agosta
Keyword(s):  
Mass Balance ◽  
Atmospheric Circulation ◽  
Temperature Increase ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Greenland Ice Sheet ◽  
Surface Mass Balance ◽  
Future Projections ◽  
Surface Mass ◽  
Circulation Change ◽  
Atmospheric Circulation Change

Abstract. Since the 2000's, a change in the atmospheric circulation over North Atlantic has favored warmer and sunnier weather conditions over the Greenland Ice sheet (GrIS) in summer enhancing the melt increase. This circulation change is not represented by General Circulation Models (GCMs) of the 5th Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5) which do not predict any circulation change for the next century over the Atlantic. The goal of this study is to evaluate the impact of an atmospheric circulation change (as currently observed) in a warmer climate on future projections of the GrIS surface mass balance (SMB). We compare GrIS SMB estimates from the regional climate model MAR forced by warmer reanalysis (ERA-Interim with a temperature correction of +1 °C, +1.5 °C and +2 °C at the MAR lateral boundaries) over 1980–2016 to future projections of GrIS SMB from MAR simulations forced with three GCMs over a future period for which a similar temperature increase of +1 °C, +1.5 °C and +2 °C is projected by the GCMs in comparison to 1980–1999. Mean SMB anomalies produced with warmer reanalysis over the climatologically stable period 1980–1999 is similar to those produced with MAR forced with GCMs over future periods characterized by a similar warming over Greenland. However, over the two last decades (2000–2016) when a circulation change has been observed in summer, MAR forced with warmer reanalysis suggests that the SMB decrease could be amplified by a factor of two if such atmospheric conditions will persist compared to future projections forced by GCMs for the same temperature increase but without any circulation change.

scholarly journals Probabilistic parameterisation of the surface mass balance–elevation feedback in regional climate model simulations of the Greenland ice sheet

2014 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
pp. 181-194 ◽  
Author(s):  
T. L. Edwards ◽  
X. Fettweis ◽  
O. Gagliardini ◽  
F. Gillet-Chaulet ◽  
H. Goelzer ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Regional Climate Model ◽  
Mass Balance ◽  
Sea Level ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Regional Climate ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Greenland Ice Sheet ◽  
Surface Mass Balance ◽  
Surface Mass ◽  
The North

Abstract. We present a new parameterisation that relates surface mass balance (SMB: the sum of surface accumulation and surface ablation) to changes in surface elevation of the Greenland ice sheet (GrIS) for the MAR (Modèle Atmosphérique Régional: Fettweis, 2007) regional climate model. The motivation is to dynamically adjust SMB as the GrIS evolves, allowing us to force ice sheet models with SMB simulated by MAR while incorporating the SMB–elevation feedback, without the substantial technical challenges of coupling ice sheet and climate models. This also allows us to assess the effect of elevation feedback uncertainty on the GrIS contribution to sea level, using multiple global climate and ice sheet models, without the need for additional, expensive MAR simulations. We estimate this relationship separately below and above the equilibrium line altitude (ELA, separating negative and positive SMB) and for regions north and south of 77° N, from a set of MAR simulations in which we alter the ice sheet surface elevation. These give four "SMB lapse rates", gradients that relate SMB changes to elevation changes. We assess uncertainties within a Bayesian framework, estimating probability distributions for each gradient from which we present best estimates and credibility intervals (CI) that bound 95% of the probability. Below the ELA our gradient estimates are mostly positive, because SMB usually increases with elevation: 0.56 (95% CI: −0.22 to 1.33) kg m−3 a−1 for the north, and 1.91 (1.03 to 2.61) kg m−3 a−1 for the south. Above the ELA, the gradients are much smaller in magnitude: 0.09 (−0.03 to 0.23) kg m−3 a−1 in the north, and 0.07 (−0.07 to 0.59) kg m−3 a−1 in the south, because SMB can either increase or decrease in response to increased elevation. Our statistically founded approach allows us to make probabilistic assessments for the effect of elevation feedback uncertainty on sea level projections (Edwards et al., 2014).

scholarly journals A new sub-grid surface mass balance and flux model for continental-scale ice sheet modelling: testing and last glacial cycle

2015 ◽  
Vol 8 (10) ◽  
pp. 3199-3213 ◽  
Author(s):  
K. Le Morzadec ◽  
L. Tarasov ◽  
M. Morlighem ◽  
H. Seroussi
Keyword(s):  
Mass Balance ◽  
Flow Line ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Coarse Grid ◽  
Surface Mass Balance ◽  
Glacial Cycle ◽  
Surface Mass ◽  
Continental Scale ◽  
The North ◽  
The Impact

Abstract. To investigate ice sheet evolution over the timescale of a glacial cycle, 3-D ice sheet models (ISMs) are typically run at "coarse" grid resolutions (10–50 km) that do not resolve individual mountains. This will introduce to-date unquantified errors in sub-grid (SG) transport, accumulation and ablation for regions of rough topography. In the past, synthetic hypsometric curves, a statistical summary of the topography, have been used in ISMs to describe the variability of these processes. However, there has yet to be detailed uncertainty analysis of this approach. We develop a new flow line SG model for embedding in coarse resolution models. A 1 km resolution digital elevation model was used to compute the local hypsometric curve for each coarse grid (CG) cell and to determine local parameters to represent the hypsometric bins' slopes and widths. The 1-D mass transport for the SG model is computed with the shallow ice approximation. We test this model against simulations from the 3-D Ice Sheet System Model (ISSM) run at 1 km grid resolution. Results show that none of the alternative parameterizations explored were able to adequately capture SG surface mass balance and flux processes. Via glacial cycle ensemble results for North America, we quantify the impact of SG model coupling in an ISM. We show that SG process representation and associated parametric uncertainties, related to the exchange of ice between the SG and CG cells, can have significant (up to 35 m eustatic sea level equivalent for the North American ice complex) impact on modelled ice sheet evolution.

scholarly journals Effect of uncertainty in surface mass balance–elevation feedback on projections of the future sea level contribution of the Greenland ice sheet – Part 1: Parameterisation

2013 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
pp. 635-674 ◽  
Author(s):  
T. L. Edwards ◽  
X. Fettweis ◽  
O. Gagliardini ◽  
F. Gillet-Chaulet ◽  
H. Goelzer ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Mass Balance ◽  
Sea Level ◽  
Global Climate ◽  
Probability Distributions ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Greenland Ice Sheet ◽  
Surface Elevation ◽  
Surface Mass Balance ◽  
Surface Mass ◽  
The North

Abstract. We present a new parameterisation that relates surface mass balance (SMB: the sum of surface accumulation and surface ablation) to changes in surface elevation of the Greenland ice sheet (GrIS) for the MAR regional climate model. The motivation is to dynamically adjust SMB as the GrIS evolves, allowing us to force ice sheet models with SMB simulated by MAR while incorporating the SMB–elevation feedback, without the substantial technical challenges of coupling the two models. This also allows us to assess the effect of elevation feedback uncertainty on the GrIS contribution to sea level, using multiple global climate and ice sheet models, without the need for additional, expensive MAR simulations. We estimate this relationship separately below and above the equilibrium line altitude (ELA, separating negative and positive SMB) and for regions north and south of 77° N, from a set of MAR simulations in which we alter the ice sheet surface elevation. These give four "SMB lapse rates", gradients that relate SMB changes to elevation changes. We assess uncertainties within a Bayesian framework, estimating probability distributions for each gradient from which we present best estimates and credibility intervals (CIs) that bound 95% of the probability. Below the ELA our gradient estimates are mostly positive, because SMB usually increases with elevation: 0.54 (95% CI: −0.22 to 1.34) kg m−3 a−1 for the north, and 1.89 (1.03 to 2.61) kg m−3 a−1 for the south. Above the ELA the gradients are much smaller: 0.09 (−0.03 to 0.22) kg m−3 a−1 in the north, and 0.06 (−0.07 to 0.56) kg m−3 a−1 in the south, because SMB can either increase or decrease in response to increased elevation. Our statistically based approach allows us to make probabilistic assessments for the effect of elevation feedback uncertainty on sea level projections. In a companion paper we use the best estimates and upper and lower CI bounds in five ice sheet models, and the full probability distributions in another, to adjust simulated SMB from MAR forced by two global climate models for the SRES A1B scenario (Edwards et al., 2013).

scholarly journals Forty-year Simulations of Firn Processes over the Greenland and Antarctic Ice Sheets

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Brooke Medley ◽  
Thomas A. Neumann ◽  
H. Jay Zwally ◽  
Benjamin E. Smith
Keyword(s):  
Mass Balance ◽  
Accumulation Rate ◽  
Ice Sheets ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Greenland Ice Sheet ◽  
Surface Mass Balance ◽  
Surface Mass ◽  
Air Content ◽  
Semi Empirical ◽  
Antarctic Ice Sheets

Abstract. Conversion of altimetry-derived ice-sheet volume change to mass requires an understanding of the evolution of the combined ice and air content within the firn column. In the absence of suitable techniques to observe the changes to the firn column across the entirety of an ice sheet, the firn column processes are typically modelled. Here, we present new 40-year simulations of firn processes over the Greenland and Antarctic Ice Sheets using the Community Firn Model and atmospheric reanalysis variables. A dataset of more than 250 measured depth-density profiles from both ice sheets provides the basis of the calibration of the dry-snow densification scheme. The resulting scheme results in a reduction in the rate of densification, relative to a commonly used semi-empirical model, through a decreased dependence on the accumulation rate, a proxy for overburden stress. The modelled firn column runoff, when combined with atmospheric variables from MERRA-2, generates realistic mean integrated surface mass balance values for the Greenland (+361 Gt yr−1) and Antarctic (+2623 Gt yr−1) ice sheets when compared to published model-ensemble means. We find that seasonal volume changes associated with firn air content are approximately 3 times larger than those associated with surface mass balance; however, when averaged over multiple years, ice and air-volume fluctuations within the firn column are of comparable magnitudes. Between 1996 and 2019, the Greenland Ice Sheet lost more than 5 % of its firn air content indicating a reduction in the total meltwater retention capability. Nearly all (>98 %) of the meltwater produced over the Antarctic Ice Sheet is retained within the firn column through infiltration and refreezing.

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