Garabashi glacier (Caucasus) mass changes estimated from glaciological and geodetic mass balance measurements

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Stanislav Kutuzov ◽  
Andrey Smirnov ◽  
Gennady Nosenko ◽  
Ivan Lavrentiev ◽  
Aleksei Poliukhov ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Mass Balance ◽  
Climate Changes ◽  
Snow Accumulation ◽  
Shortwave Radiation ◽  
North Caucasus ◽  
Pronounced Increase ◽  
Surface Mass ◽  
Mountain Glaciers ◽  
The North ◽  
Area Reduction

<p>The ice-covered Europe's largest volcanic massif Elbrus (5,642 m) is a unique object for studying the reaction of mountain glaciers to climate changes. Elbrus glacial system contains more than 10% of the total ice volume in the Greater Caucasus. Elbrus glaciers influence on the recreation development. The rivers runoff from the Elbrus glaciers irrigates agricultural lands on steppe plains of the North Caucasus.</p><p>The rate of glacier reduction in the late XX - early XXI centuries has increased significantly and in 1997-2017 Elbrus have lost 23% of its volume. Despite a number of glacier studies the mechanisms and quantitative characteristics surface mass exchange on Elbrus are still uncertain. Mass balance calculations were based on limited data. In particular, amount and distribution of snow accumulation, mass balance sensitivity to meteorological parameters under dramatic climate changes and other parameters remained unknown.</p><p>Here we present the results of the detailed analysis of Garabashi glacier mass changes in 1982-2019 using glaciological and geodetic methods. Based on the new data of snow and ablation distribution the mass balance measurement system of Garabashi glacier was improved in 2018-2019. The mass balance over the studied period was also modelled using both temperature-index and distributed energy mass balance models calibrated by in situ measurements and albedo estimates from the remote sensing.</p><p>The mass balance of the Garabashi glacier was close to zero or slightly positive in 1982-1997 and the cumulative mass balance was 1 m w.e. in this period. In 1997-2017 Garabashi glacier lost 12.58 m w.e. and 12.92 ± 0.95 m w.e. (−0.63 and −0.65 ± 0.05 m w.e. a−1) estimated by glaciological and geodetic method, respectively. Additional -1.7 m w.e. were lost in 2018-2019. This resulted in an area reduction by 14% and a loss of 27% of glacier volume. The observed glacier recession is driven by the pronounced increase in summer temperatures, especially since 1995, which is accompanied by nearly consistent precipitation rates The increase in incoming shortwave radiation, also played a significant role in the accelerated mass loss of glaciers in Caucasus. This study was supported by the RFBR grant 18-05-00838 a</p>

scholarly journals Reconstruction of historical surface mass balance, 1984–2017 from GreenTrACS multi-offset ground-penetrating radar

2020 ◽  
pp. 1-10
Author(s):  
Tate G. Meehan ◽  
H. P. Marshall ◽  
John H. Bradford ◽  
Robert L. Hawley ◽  
Thomas B. Overly ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Mass Balance ◽  
Ground Penetrating Radar ◽  
Greenland Ice Sheet ◽  
Snow Accumulation ◽  
Surface Mass Balance ◽  
Snow Density ◽  
Surface Mass ◽  
Age Model ◽  
Ground Penetrating ◽  
Good Agreement

Abstract We present continuous estimates of snow and firn density, layer depth and accumulation from a multi-channel, multi-offset, ground-penetrating radar traverse. Our method uses the electromagnetic velocity, estimated from waveform travel-times measured at common-midpoints between sources and receivers. Previously, common-midpoint radar experiments on ice sheets have been limited to point observations. We completed radar velocity analysis in the upper ~2 m to estimate the surface and average snow density of the Greenland Ice Sheet. We parameterized the Herron and Langway (1980) firn density and age model using the radar-derived snow density, radar-derived surface mass balance (2015–2017) and reanalysis-derived temperature data. We applied structure-oriented filtering to the radar image along constant age horizons and increased the depth at which horizons could be reliably interpreted. We reconstructed the historical instantaneous surface mass balance, which we averaged into annual and multidecadal products along a 78 km traverse for the period 1984–2017. We found good agreement between our physically constrained parameterization and a firn core collected from the dry snow accumulation zone, and gained insights into the spatial correlation of surface snow density.

scholarly journals Observationally constrained surface mass balance of Larsen C ice shelf, Antarctica

2017 ◽  
Vol 11 (6) ◽  
pp. 2411-2426 ◽  
Author(s):  
Peter Kuipers Munneke ◽  
Daniel McGrath ◽  
Brooke Medley ◽  
Adrian Luckman ◽  
Suzanne Bevan ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Mass Balance ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Regional Climate ◽  
Snow Accumulation ◽  
Airborne Radar ◽  
Surface Mass Balance ◽  
Spatial And Temporal Patterns ◽  
Ice Shelf ◽  
The West ◽  
Surface Mass

Abstract. The surface mass balance (SMB) of the Larsen C ice shelf (LCIS), Antarctica, is poorly constrained due to a dearth of in situ observations. Combining several geophysical techniques, we reconstruct spatial and temporal patterns of SMB over the LCIS. Continuous time series of snow height (2.5–6 years) at five locations allow for multi-year estimates of seasonal and annual SMB over the LCIS. There is high interannual variability in SMB as well as spatial variability: in the north, SMB is 0.40 ± 0.06 to 0.41 ± 0.04 m w.e. year−1, while farther south, SMB is up to 0.50 ± 0.05 m w.e. year−1. This difference between north and south is corroborated by winter snow accumulation derived from an airborne radar survey from 2009, which showed an average snow thickness of 0.34 m w.e. north of 66° S, and 0.40 m w.e. south of 68° S. Analysis of ground-penetrating radar from several field campaigns allows for a longer-term perspective of spatial variations in SMB: a particularly strong and coherent reflection horizon below 25–44 m of water-equivalent ice and firn is observed in radargrams collected across the shelf. We propose that this horizon was formed synchronously across the ice shelf. Combining snow height observations, ground and airborne radar, and SMB output from a regional climate model yields a gridded estimate of SMB over the LCIS. It confirms that SMB increases from north to south, overprinted by a gradient of increasing SMB to the west, modulated in the west by föhn-induced sublimation. Previous observations show a strong decrease in firn air content toward the west, which we attribute to spatial patterns of melt, refreezing, and densification rather than SMB.

scholarly journals Simulating the Early Holocene demise of the Laurentide Ice Sheet with BISICLES (public trunk revision 3298)

2020 ◽  
Vol 13 (9) ◽  
pp. 4555-4577
Author(s):  
Ilkka S. O. Matero ◽  
Lauren J. Gregoire ◽  
Ruza F. Ivanovic
Keyword(s):  
Mass Balance ◽  
General Circulation ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Circulation Model ◽  
Early Holocene ◽  
Laurentide Ice Sheet ◽  
Hudson Bay ◽  
Surface Mass Balance ◽  
Surface Mass ◽  
The North

Abstract. Simulating the demise of the Laurentide Ice Sheet covering Hudson Bay in the Early Holocene (10–7 ka) is important for understanding the role of accelerated changes in ice sheet topography and melt in the 8.2 ka event, a century long cooling of the Northern Hemisphere by several degrees. Freshwater released from the ice sheet through a surface mass balance instability (known as the saddle collapse) has been suggested as a major forcing for the 8.2 ka event, but the temporal evolution of this pulse has not been constrained. Dynamical ice loss and marine interactions could have significantly accelerated the ice sheet demise, but simulating such processes requires computationally expensive models that are difficult to configure and are often impractical for simulating past ice sheets. Here, we developed an ice sheet model setup for studying the Laurentide Ice Sheet's Hudson Bay saddle collapse and the associated meltwater pulse in unprecedented detail using the BISICLES ice sheet model, an efficient marine ice sheet model of the latest generation which is capable of refinement to kilometre-scale resolutions and higher-order ice flow physics. The setup draws on previous efforts to model the deglaciation of the North American Ice Sheet for initialising the ice sheet temperature, recent ice sheet reconstructions for developing the topography of the region and ice sheet, and output from a general circulation model for a representation of the climatic forcing. The modelled deglaciation is in agreement with the reconstructed extent of the ice sheet, and the associated meltwater pulse has realistic timing. Furthermore, the peak magnitude of the modelled meltwater equivalent (0.07–0.13 Sv) is compatible with geological estimates of freshwater discharge through the Hudson Strait. The results demonstrate that while improved representations of the glacial dynamics and marine interactions are key for correctly simulating the pattern of Early Holocene ice sheet retreat, surface mass balance introduces by far the most uncertainty. The new model configuration presented here provides future opportunities to quantify the range of plausible amplitudes and durations of a Hudson Bay ice saddle collapse meltwater pulse and its role in forcing the 8.2 ka event.

scholarly journals Temporal and spatial variability of surface mass balance at Dome Fuji, East Antarctica, by the stake method from 1995 to 2006

2008 ◽  
Vol 54 (184) ◽  
pp. 107-116 ◽  
Author(s):  
Takao Kameda ◽  
Hideaki Motoyama ◽  
Shuji Fujita ◽  
Shuhei Takahashi
Keyword(s):  
Mass Balance ◽  
Ice Core ◽  
Snow Accumulation ◽  
East Antarctica ◽  
Surface Mass Balance ◽  
Surface Mass ◽  
Frequency Distributions ◽  
Temporal And Spatial Variability ◽  
The Antarctic ◽  
Height Data

AbstractThe surface mass balance (SMB) at Dome Fuji, East Antarctica, was estimated using 36 bamboo stakes (grid of 6 × 6, placed at 20 m intervals) from 1995 to 2006. The heights of the stake tops from the snow surface were measured at 0.5 cm resolution twice monthly in 1995, 1996, 1997 and 2003, and once a year for the rest of the study period. To account for snow settling, the average snow density at the stake base during the measurements was used for converting the stake-height data to SMB. The annual SMB from 1995 to 2006 at Dome Fuji was 27.3 ± 1.5 kg m−2 a−1. This result agrees well with the annual SMB from AD 1260 to 1993 (26.4 kg m−2 a−1) estimated from volcanic signals in the Dome Fuji ice core. Over the period 1995–2006, there were 37 (8.6% of the measurements) negative or zero annual SMB results. Variation in the multi-year averages of annual SMB decreased with the square root of the number of observation years, and 10 years of observations of a single stake allowed the estimation of annual SMB at ±10% accuracy. The frequency distributions of annual and monthly SMB were examined. The findings clarify the complex behavior of the annual and monthly SMB at Dome Fuji, which will be common phenomena in areas of low snow accumulation of the interior of the Antarctic ice sheet.

scholarly journals Observation of the process of snow accumulation on the Antarctic Plateau by time lapse laser scanning

2019 ◽  
Vol 13 (7) ◽  
pp. 1983-1999 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ghislain Picard ◽  
Laurent Arnaud ◽  
Romain Caneill ◽  
Eric Lefebvre ◽  
Maxim Lamare
Keyword(s):  
Mass Balance ◽  
Laser Scanning ◽  
Laser Scanner ◽  
Ice Cores ◽  
Surface Heterogeneity ◽  
Time Lapse ◽  
Snow Accumulation ◽  
Surface Energy Budget ◽  
Surface Mass ◽  
Continental Scale

Abstract. Snow accumulation is the main positive component of the mass balance in Antarctica. In contrast to the major efforts deployed to estimate its overall value on a continental scale – to assess the contribution of the ice sheet to sea level rise – knowledge about the accumulation process itself is relatively poor, although many complex phenomena occur between snowfall and the definitive settling of the snow particles on the snowpack. Here we exploit a dataset of near-daily surface elevation maps recorded over 3 years at Dome C using an automatic laser scanner sampling 40–100 m2 in area. We find that the averaged accumulation is relatively regular over the 3 years at a rate of +8.7 cm yr−1. Despite this overall regularity, the surface changes very frequently (every 3 d on average) due to snow erosion and heterogeneous snow deposition that we call accumulation by “patches”. Most of these patches (60 %–85 %) are ephemeral but can survive a few weeks before being eroded. As a result, the surface is continuously rough (6–8 cm root-mean-square height) featuring meter-scale dunes aligned along the wind and larger, decameter-scale undulations. Additionally, we deduce the age of the snow present at a given time on the surface from elevation time series and find that snow age spans over more than a year. Some of the patches ultimately settle, leading to a heterogeneous internal structure which reflects the surface heterogeneity, with many snowfall events missing at a given point, whilst many others are overrepresented. These findings have important consequences for several research topics including surface mass balance, surface energy budget, photochemistry, snowpack evolution, and the interpretation of the signals archived in ice cores.

scholarly journals Surface mass balance of the Greenland ice sheet from climate-analysis data and accumulation/runoff models

2002 ◽  
Vol 35 ◽  
pp. 67-72 ◽  
Author(s):  
Edward Hanna ◽  
Philippe Huybrechts ◽  
Thomas L. Mote
Keyword(s):  
Mass Balance ◽  
Satellite Data ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Greenland Ice Sheet ◽  
Snow Accumulation ◽  
Surface Elevation ◽  
Great Promise ◽  
Surface Mass Balance ◽  
Ice Dynamics ◽  
Surface Mass

AbstractWe used surface climate fields from high-resolution (~0.5660.56˚) European Centre for Medium-RangeWeather Forecasts (ECMWF) operational analyses (1992–98), together with meteorological and glaciological models of snow accumulation and surface meltwater runoff/retention, to produce novel maps of Greenland ice sheet (GIS) net accumulation, net runoff and surface mass balance (SMB). We compared our runoff maps with similar-scaled runoff (melt minus refreezing) maps based on passive-microwave satellite data. Our gross spatial/temporal patterns of runoff compared well with those from the satellite data, although amounts of modelled runoff are likely too low. Mean accumulation was 0.287 (0.307)ma–1, and mean runoff was 0.128 (0.151)ma–1, averaged across the W. Abdalati (T. L. Mote) GIS mask. Corresponding mean SMB was 0.159 (0.156)ma–1, with considerable interannual variability (standard deviation ~0.11ma–1) primarily due to variations in runoff. Considering best estimates of current iceberg calving, overall the GIS is probably currently losing mass. Our study shows great promise for meaningfully modelling SMB based on forthcoming ``second-generation’’ ECMWF re-analysis (ERA-40) data, and comparing the results with ongoing laser/radarmeasurements of surface elevation. This should help elucidate to what extent surface elevation changes are caused by short-term SMB variations or other factors (e.g. ice dynamics).

Impact of coastal East Antarctic ice rises on surface mass balance: insights from observations and modelling

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Thore Kausch ◽  
Stef Lhermitte ◽  
Jan T.M. Lenaerts ◽  
Nander Wever ◽  
Mana Inoue ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Mass Balance ◽  
Wind Erosion ◽  
Ice Core ◽  
Ice Cores ◽  
Snow Accumulation ◽  
Windward Side ◽  
Leeward Side ◽  
Surface Mass Balance ◽  
Surface Mass ◽  
Local Erosion

<p>About 20% of all snow accumulation in Antarctica occurs on the ice shelfs and ice rises, locations within the ice shelf where the ice is locally grounded on topography. These ice rises largely control the spatial surface mass balance (SMB) distribution by inducing snowfall variability due to orographic uplift and by inducing wind erosion due altering the wind conditions. Moreover these ice rises buttress the ice flow and represent an ideal drilling locations for ice cores.</p><p>In this study we assess the connection between snowfall variability and wind erosion to provide a better understanding of how ice rises impact SMB variability, how well this is captured in the regional atmospheric climate model RACMO, and the implications of this SMB variability for ice rises as an ice core drilling side. By combining ground penetrating radar profiles from two ice rises in Dronning Maud Land with ice core dating we reconstruct spatial and temporal SMB variations across both ice rises from 1982 to 2017. Subsequently, the observed SMB is compared with output from RACMO, SnowModel to quantify the contribution of the different processes that control the spatial SMB variability across the ice rises. Finally, the observed SMB is compared with Sentinel-1 backscatter data to extrapolate spatial SMB trends over larger areas.</p><p>Our results show snowfall-driven differences of up to ~ 0.24 m w.e./yr between the windward and the leeward side of both ice rises as well as a local erosion driven minimum at the peak of the ice rises. RACMO captures the snowfall-driven differences, but overestimates their magnitude, whereas the erosion on the peak can be reproduced by SnowModel with RACMO forcing. Observed temporal variability of the average SMBs calculated for 4 time intervals in the 1982-2017 range are low at the peak of the easternmost ice rise (~ 0.03 m w.e./yr), while being three times higher (~ 0.1 m w.e./yr) on the windward side of the ice rise. This implicates that at the peak of the ice rise, higher snowfall, driven by regional processes, such as orographic uplift, is balanced out by local erosion.  Comparison of the observed SMB gradients with Sentinel-1 data finally shows the potential of SAR satellite observations to represent spatial variability in SMB across ice shelves and ice rises.</p>

Surface mass balance modeling of mountain glaciers in the Caucasus and in the High Mountain Asia

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Oleg Rybak ◽  
Elena Rybak ◽  
Victor Popovnin ◽  
Afanasy Gubanov ◽  
Rysbek Satylkanov ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Energy Balance ◽  
Mass Balance ◽  
Tien Shan ◽  
Surface Mass Balance ◽  
Mountain Glacier ◽  
Model Calculations ◽  
Suggested Approach ◽  
Surface Mass ◽  
Mountain Glaciers ◽  
Energy Balance Approach

<p> </p><p>            The most significant quantity characterizing current state of a mountain glacier is its surface mass balance (SMB). SMB responds to changing climatic conditions and therefore determines present and future behavior of the glacier. Formulation of SMB in terms of a mathematical model allows better understanding complex processes of the atmospheric impact on glacier dynamics. After several decades of development, common universal modeling principles and approaches have been elaborated. At present, most of the newly developed models are quite similar with only varying details mostly concerning parameterization of heat fluxes.</p><p>SMB is an interplay between positive (accumulation) and negative (ablation) components. Ablation is formulated either using temperature-index (positive degree day) approach or surface energy balance calculation (or combination of both). Both these approaches are based on genuine physical principles and that is why they can be easily transformed into computational algorithms. Results of ablation model calculations are relatively easily constrained by observations. In contrast, evaluation of accumulation is much more dependent on poorly constrained factors such as local atmospheric circulation, snow-storm transport (including post-depositional) and avalanche feeding.</p><p>Our approach to simulate components of SMB is based on energy balance approach and emulation of meteorological conditions using a simple stochastic weather generator. To validate the model, we use observed SMB data from several mountain glaciers in different environmental conditions – Djankuat (Central Caucasus), Tuyuksu (Zailiyski Alatau), Sary-Tor and Karabatkak (Inner Tien Shan). Suggested approach allows to easily construct an ensemble of numerical experiments and implement Monte Carlo method for the SMB evaluation. This possibility is especially significant for simulation of future states of glaciers according to one or another climatic scenario on a coupled ice flow-SMB model.</p><p>The reported study was funded by RFBR, project number 20-05-00681 (“Evolution of glaciation of Inner Tien Shan under climate change and technogenic influence”)</p>

scholarly journals Estimation of the Antarctic surface mass balance using MAR (1979–2015) and identification of dominant processes

2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Cécile Agosta ◽  
Charles Amory ◽  
Christoph Kittel ◽  
Anais Orsi ◽  
Vincent Favier ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Mass Balance ◽  
Climate Models ◽  
Regional Climate ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Snow Accumulation ◽  
Surface Mass Balance ◽  
Ice Dynamics ◽  
Surface Mass ◽  
Drifting Snow ◽  
The Antarctic

Abstract. The Antarctic ice sheet mass balance is a major component of the sea level budget and results from the difference of two fluxes of a similar magnitude: ice flow discharging in the ocean and net snow accumulation on the ice sheet surface, i.e. the surface mass balance (SMB). Separately modelling ice dynamics and surface mass balance is the only way to project future trends. In addition, mass balance studies frequently use regional climate models (RCMs) outputs as an alternative to observed fields because SMB observations are particularly scarce on the ice sheet. Here we evaluate new simulations of the polar RCM MAR forced by three reanalyses, ERA-Interim, JRA-55 and MERRA2, for the period 1979–2015, and we compare our results to the last outputs of the RCM RACMO2 forced by ERA-Interim. We show that MAR and RACMO2 perform similarly well in simulating coast to plateau SMB gradients, and we find no significant differences in their simulated SMB when integrated over the ice sheet or its major basins. More importantly, we outline and quantify missing processes in both RCMs. Along stake transects, we show that both models accumulate too much snow on crests, and not enough snow in valleys, as a result of erosion-deposition processes not included in MAR, where the drifting snow module has been switched off, and probably underestimated in RACMO2 by a factor of three. As a consequence, the amount of drifting snow sublimating in the atmospheric boundary layer remains a potentially large mass sink needed to be better constrained. Moreover, MAR generally simulates larger SMB and snowfall amounts than RACMO2 inland, whereas snowfall rates are significantly lower in MAR than in RACMO2 at the ice sheet margins. This divergent behaviour at the margins results from differences in model parameterisations, as MAR explicitly advects precipitating particles through the atmospheric layers and sublimates snowflakes in the undersaturated katabatic layer, whereas in RACMO2 precipitation is added to the surface without advection through the atmosphere. Consequently, we corroborate a recent study concluding that sublimation of precipitation in the low-level atmospheric layers is a significant mass sink for the Antarctic SMB, as it may represent ∼ 240 ± 25 Gt yr-1 of difference in snowfall between RACMO2 and MAR for the period 1979–2015, which is 10 % of the simulated snowfall loaded on the ice sheet and more than twice the surface snow sublimation as currently simulated by MAR.

scholarly journals Small impact of surrounding oceanic conditions on 2007–2012 Greenland Ice Sheet surface mass balance

2014 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
pp. 1453-1477 ◽  
Author(s):  
B. Noël ◽  
X. Fettweis ◽  
W. J. van de Berg ◽  
M. R. van den Broeke ◽  
M. Erpicum
Keyword(s):  
Mass Balance ◽  
North Atlantic ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Greenland Ice Sheet ◽  
Surface Mass Balance ◽  
Katabatic Winds ◽  
Surface Mass ◽  
The North ◽  
The North Atlantic ◽  
Surface Melt

Abstract. During recent summers (2007–2012), several surface melt records were broken over the Greenland Ice Sheet (GrIS). The extreme summer melt resulted in part from a persistent negative phase of the North-Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), favouring warmer than normal conditions over the GrIS. In addition, it has been suggested that significant anomalies in sea ice cover (SIC) and sea surface temperature (SST) may partially explain recent anomalous GrIS surface melt. To assess the impact of 2007–2012 SIC and SST anomalies on GrIS surface mass balance (SMB), a set of sensitivity experiments was carried out with the regional climate model MAR. These simulations suggest that changes in SST and SIC in the seas surrounding Greenland do not significantly impact GrIS SMB, due to the katabatic winds blocking effect. These winds are strong enough to prevent oceanic near-surface air, influenced by SIC and SST variability, from penetrating far inland. Therefore, the ice sheet SMB response is restricted to coastal regions, where katabatic winds are weaker. However, anomalies in SIC and SST could have indirectly affected the surface melt by changing the general circulation in the North Atlantic region, favouring more frequent warm air advection to the GrIS.

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