Impact of different and time-varying land cover data sets in a regional climate model on regional and local climate over Europe

Author(s):  
Mingyue Zhang ◽  
Jürgen Helmert ◽  
Merja Tölle

<p>According to IPCC, Land use and Land Cover (LC) changes have a key role to adapt and mitigate future climate change aiming to stabilize temperature rise up to 2°C. Land surface change at regional scale is associated to global climate change, such as global warming. It influences the earth’s water and energy cycles via influences on the heat, moisture and momentum transfer, and on the chemical composition of the atmosphere. These effects show variations due to different LC types, and due to their spatial and temporal resolutions.  Thus, we incorporate a new time-varying land cover data set based on ESACCI into the regional climate model COSMO-CLM(v5.0). Further, the impact on the regional and local climate is compared to the standard operational LC data of GLC2000 and GlobCover 2009. Convection-permitting simulations with the three land cover data sets are performed at 0.0275° horizontal resolution over Europe for the time period from 1992 to 2015.</p><p>Overall, the simulation results show comparable agreement to observations. However, the simulation results based on GLC2000 and GlobCover 2009 (with 23 LC types) LC data sets show a fluctuation of 0.5K in temperature and 5% of precipitation. Even though the LC is classified into the same types, the difference in LC distribution and fraction leads to variations in climate simulation results. Using all of the 37 LC types of the ESACCI-LC data set show noticeable differences in distribution of temperature and precipitation compared to the simulations with GLC2000 and GlobCover 2009. Especially in forest areas, slight differences of the plant cover type (e.g. Evergreen or Deciduous) could result in up to 10% differences (increase or decrease) in temperature and precipitation over the simulation domain. Our results demonstrate how LC changes as well as different land cover type effect regional climate. There is need for proper and time-varying land cover data sets for regional climate model studies. The approach of including ESACCI-LC data set into regional climate model simulations also improved the external data generation system.</p><p>We anticipate this research to be a starting point for involving time-varying LC data sets into regional climate models. Furthermore, it will give us a possibility to quantify the effect of time-varying LC data on regional climate accurately.</p><p><strong>Acknowledgement</strong>:</p><p>1: Computational resources were made available by the German Climate Computing Center (DKRZ) through support from the Federal Ministry of Education and Research in Germany (BMBF). We acknowledge the funding of the German Research Foundation (DFG) through grant NR. 401857120.</p><p>2: Appreciation for the support of Jürg Luterbacher and Eva Nowatzki.</p><p> </p>

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Katrin Ziegler ◽  
Felix Pollinger ◽  
Daniel Abel ◽  
Heiko Paeth

<p class="western" align="justify"><span lang="en-US">In cooperation with the Climate Service Center Germany (GERICS) we want to improve the land surface module in the regional climate model REMO. Due to the need of high-resolution regional climate models to get information about local climate change, new data and new processes have to be integrated in these models.</span></p> <p class="western" align="justify"><span lang="en-US">Based on the REMO2015 version and focusing on EUR-CORDEX region we included and compared five different high-resolution topographic data sets. To improve the thermal and hydrological processes in the model’s soil we also tested three new soil data sets with a much higher spatial resolution and with new parameters for a new soil parameterization.</span></p>


2021 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Beate Geyer ◽  
Thomas Ludwig ◽  
Hans von Storch

AbstractReproducibility of research results is a fundamental quality criterion in science; thus, computer architecture effects on simulation results must be determined. Here, we investigate whether an ensemble of runs of a regional climate model with the same code on different computer platforms generates the same sequences of similar and dissimilar weather streams when noise is seeded using different initial states of the atmosphere. Both ensembles were produced using a regional climate model named COSMO-CLM5.0 model with ERA-Interim forcing. Divergent phase timing was dependent on the dynamic state of the atmosphere and was not affected by noise seeded by changing computers or initial model state variations. Bitwise reproducibility of numerical results is possible with such models only if everything is fixed (i.e., computer, compiler, chosen options, boundary values, and initial conditions) and the order of mathematical operations is unchanged between program runs; otherwise, at best, statistically identical simulation results can be expected.


2010 ◽  
Vol 2010 ◽  
pp. 1-14 ◽  
Author(s):  
Stefan Polanski ◽  
Annette Rinke ◽  
Klaus Dethloff

The regional climate model HIRHAM has been applied over the Asian continent to simulate the Indian monsoon circulation under present-day conditions. The model is driven at the lateral and lower boundaries by European reanalysis (ERA40) data for the period from 1958 to 2001. Simulations with a horizontal resolution of 50 km are carried out to analyze the regional monsoon patterns. The focus in this paper is on the validation of the long-term summer monsoon climatology and its variability concerning circulation, temperature, and precipitation. Additionally, the monsoonal behavior in simulations for wet and dry years has been investigated and compared against several observational data sets. The results successfully reproduce the observations due to a realistic reproduction of topographic features. The simulated precipitation shows a better agreement with a high-resolution gridded precipitation data set over the central land areas of India and in the higher elevated Tibetan and Himalayan regions than ERA40.


Author(s):  
Vinícius Machado Rocha ◽  
Francis Wagner Silva Correia ◽  
Prakki Satyamurty ◽  
Saulo Ribeiro De Freitas ◽  
Demerval Soares Moreira ◽  
...  

2014 ◽  
Vol 27 (15) ◽  
pp. 5708-5723 ◽  
Author(s):  
Marc P. Marcella ◽  
Elfatih A. B. Eltahir

Abstract This article presents a new irrigation scheme and biome to the dynamic vegetation model, Integrated Biosphere Simulator (IBIS), coupled to version 3 of the Regional Climate Model (RegCM3-IBIS). The new land cover allows for only the plant functional type (crop) to exist in an irrigated grid cell. Irrigation water (i.e., negative runoff) is applied until the soil root zone reaches relative field capacity. The new scheme allows for irrigation scheduling (i.e., when to apply water) and for the user to determine the crop to be grown. Initial simulations show a large sensitivity of the scheme to soil texture types, how the water is applied, and the climatic conditions over the region. Application of the new scheme is tested over West Africa, specifically Mali and Niger, to simulate the potential irrigation of the Niger River. A realistic representation of irrigation of the Niger River is performed by constraining the land irrigated by the annual flow of the Niger River and the amount of arable land in the region as reported by the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO). A 30-yr simulation including irrigated cropland is compared to a 30-yr simulation that is identical but with no irrigation of the Niger. Results indicate a significant greening of the irrigated land as evapotranspiration over the crop fields largely increases—mostly via increases in transpiration from plant growth. The increase in the evapotranspiration, or latent heat flux (by 65–150 W m−2), causes a significant decrease in the sensible heat flux while surface temperatures cool on average by nearly 5°C. This cooling is felt downwind, where average daily temperatures outside the irrigation are reduced by 0.5°–1.0°C. Likewise, large increases in 2-m specific humidity are experienced across the irrigated cropland (on the order of 5 g kg−1) but also extend farther north and east, reflecting the prevailing surface southwesterlies. Changes (decreases) in rainfall are found only over the irrigated lands of west Mali. The decrease in rainfall can be explained by the large surface cooling and collapse of the boundary layer (by approximately 500 m). Both lead to a reduction in the triggering of convection as the convective inhibition, or negative buoyant energy, is never breached. Nevertheless, the new scheme and land cover allows for a novel line of research that can accurately reflect the effects of irrigation on climate and the surrounding environment using a dynamic vegetation model coupled to a regional climate model.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Florian Ehmele ◽  
Lisa-Ann Kautz ◽  
Hendrik Feldmann ◽  
Yi He ◽  
Martin Kadlec ◽  
...  

<p>Enduring and extensive heavy precipitation associated with widespread river floods are among the main natural hazards affecting Central Europe. Since such events are characterized by long return periods, it is difficult to adequately quantify their frequency and intensity solely based on the available observations of precipitation. Furthermore, long-term observations are rare, not homogeneous in space and time, and thus not suitable to run hydrological models (HMs). To overcome this issue, we make use of the recently introduced LAERTES-EU (LArge Ensemble of Regional climaTe modEl Simulations for EUrope) data set, which is an ensemble of regional climate model simulations providing 12.000 simulated years. LAERTES-EU is adapted and applied for the use in an HM to calculate discharges for large river catchments in Central Europe, where the Rhine catchment serves as the pilot area for calibration and validation. Quantile mapping with a fixed density function is used to correct the bias in model precipitation. The results show clear improvements in the representation of both precipitation (e.g., annual cycle and intensity distributions) and simulated discharges by the HM after the bias correction. Furthermore, the large size of LAERTES-EU improves the statistical representativeness also for high return values of precipitation and discharges. While for the Rhine catchment a clear added value is identified, the results are more mixed for other catchments (e.g., the Upper Danube).</p>


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Travis O'Brien ◽  
Thomas Burkle ◽  
Michael Krauter ◽  
Thomas Trapp

<p>Midlatitude western coastal regions are recognized as being important for the global energy cycle, marine and terrestrial biodiversity, and regional economies.  These coastal regions exhibit a rich range of weather and climate phenomena, including persistent stratocumulus clouds, sea-breeze circulations, coastally-trapped Kelvin waves, and wind-driven upwelling. During the summer season, when impacts from transient synoptic systems are relatively reduced, the local climate is governed by a complex set of interactions among the atmosphere, land, and ocean.  This complexity has so far inhibited basic understanding of the drivers of western coastal climate, climate variability, and climate change.</p><p>As a way of simplifying the system, we have developed a hierarchical regional climate model experimental framework focused on the western United States. We modify the International Centre for Theoretical Physics RegCM4 to use steady-state initial, lateral, and top-of-model boundary conditions: average July insolation (no diurnal cycle) and average meteorological state (winds, temperature, humidity, surface pressure).  This July <em>Base State</em> simulation rapidly reaches a steady state solution that closely resembles the observed mean climate and the mean climate achieved using RegCM4 in a standard reanalysis-driven configuration.  It is particularly notable that the near-coastal stratocumulus field is spatially similar to the satellite-observed stratocumulus field during arbitrary July days: including gaps in stratocumulus coverage downwind of capes. We run similar <em>Base State</em> simulations for the other calendar months and find that these simulations mimic the annual cycle.  This suggests that the summer coastal stratocumulus field results from the steady-state response of the marine boundary layer to summertime climatological forcing; if true for the real world, this would imply that stratocumulus cloud fraction, within a given month, is temporally modulated by deviations from the summer base state (e.g., transient synoptic disturbances that interrupt the cloud field).  We describe modifications to this simplified experimental framework aimed at understanding the factors that govern stratocumulus cloud fraction and its variability.</p>


2013 ◽  
Vol 6 (2) ◽  
pp. 779-809 ◽  
Author(s):  
B. Geyer

Abstract. The coastDat data sets were produced to give a consistent and homogeneous database mainly for assessing weather statistics and long-term changes for Europe, especially in data sparse regions. A sequence of numerical models was employed to reconstruct all aspects of marine climate (such as storms, waves, surges etc.) over many decades. Here, we describe the atmospheric part of coastDat2 (Geyer and Rockel, 2013, doi:10.1594/WDCC/coastDat-2_COSMO-CLM). It consists of a regional climate reconstruction for entire Europe, including Baltic and North Sea and parts of the Atlantic. The simulation was done for 1948 to 2012 with a regional climate model and a horizontal grid size of 0.22° in rotated coordinates. Global reanalysis data were used as forcing and spectral nudging was applied. To meet the demands on the coastDat data set about 70 variables are stored hourly.


2006 ◽  
Vol 15 (6) ◽  
pp. 585-596 ◽  
Author(s):  
Andreas Walter ◽  
Klaus Keuler ◽  
Daniela Jacob ◽  
Richard Knoche ◽  
Alexander Block ◽  
...  

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