scholarly journals A satellite era warming hole in the equatorial Atlantic Ocean

Author(s):  
Hyacinth Nnamchi ◽  
Mojib Latif ◽  
Noel Keenlyside ◽  
Wonsun Park

<p>Although the globally averaged surface temperature of the Earth has considerably warmed since the beginning of global satellite measurements in 1979, a warming hole, with hardly any surface warming that is most pronounced in boreal summer, has been observed in the equatorial Atlantic region during this period. The warming hole occurs in an extended area of the equatorial Atlantic that includes the cold tongue, the region of locally cooler ocean surface waters that develops just south of the equator in boreal summer, partly reflecting the upwelling of deep cold waters by the action of the southeasterly trade winds. This lack of surface warming of the cold tongue denotes an 11% amplification of the mean annual cycle of the sea surface temperature during the satellite era. The warming hole is driven by an intensification of the equatorial upwelling of cold waters into the ocean surface layers and damped by the surface heat flux. In observations, the tendency for surface cooling appears to reflect intrinsic variability of the climate system and is not unusual during the instrumental period. The warming hole is associated with wind-induced ocean circulation changes to the south and north of the northward of the equator. Coupled model ensembles forced by the observed varying concentrations of atmospheric greenhouse gases and natural aerosols as well as unforced runs were analyzed. The ensembles suggest a strong role for atmospheric aerosols in the warming hole. However, although aerosols can cause a cooling of the cold tongue, intrinsic climate variability as represented in the unforced experiment can potentially cause larger cooling than has been observed during the satellite era. This study highlights the difficulty in reconciling observations and the climate models for the attribution of the warming hole.</p>

Urban Science ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
pp. 27
Author(s):  
Lahouari Bounoua ◽  
Kurtis Thome ◽  
Joseph Nigro

Urbanization is a complex land transformation not explicitly resolved within large-scale climate models. Long-term timeseries of high-resolution satellite data are essential to characterize urbanization within land surface models and to assess its contribution to surface temperature changes. The potential for additional surface warming from urbanization-induced land use change is investigated and decoupled from that due to change in climate over the continental US using a decadal timescale. We show that, aggregated over the US, the summer mean urban-induced surface temperature increased by 0.15 °C, with a warming of 0.24 °C in cities built in vegetated areas and a cooling of 0.25 °C in cities built in non-vegetated arid areas. This temperature change is comparable in magnitude to the 0.13 °C/decade global warming trend observed over the last 50 years caused by increased CO2. We also show that the effect of urban-induced change on surface temperature is felt above and beyond that of the CO2 effect. Our results suggest that climate mitigation policies must consider urbanization feedback to put a limit on the worldwide mean temperature increase.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Fanny Chenillat ◽  
Julien Jouanno ◽  
Serena Illig ◽  
Founi Mesmin Awo ◽  
Gaël Alory ◽  
...  

<div><span>Surface chlorophyll-<em>a </em>concentration (CHL-<em>a</em>) remotely observed by satellite shows a marked seasonal and interannual variability in the Tropical Atlantic, with potential consequences on the marine trophic web. Seasonal and interannual CHL-<em>a </em>variability peaks in boreal summer and shows maxima in the equatorial Atlantic region at 10˚W, spreading from 0 to 30˚W. In this study, we analyze how the remotely-sensed surface CHL-<em>a </em>responds to the leading climate modes affecting the interannual equatorial Atlantic variability over the 1998-2018 period, namely the Atlantic Zonal Mode (AZM) and the North Tropical Atlantic Mode (NTA, also known as the Atlantic Meridional Mode). The AZM is characterized by anomalous warming (or cooling) along the eastern equatorial band. In contrast, the NTA is characterized by an interhemispheric pattern of the sea surface temperature (SST), with anomalous warm (cold) conditions in the north tropical Atlantic region and weak negative (positive) SST anomalies south of the equator. We show that both modes significantly drive the interannual Tropical Atlantic surface CHL-<em>a </em>variability, with different timings and contrasted modulation on the eastern and western portions of the cold tongue area. Our results also reveal that the NTA slightly dominates (40%) the summer tropical Atlantic interannual variability over the last two decades, most probably because of a positive phase of the Atlantic multidecadal oscillation. For each mode of variability, we analyze an event characterized by an extreme negative sea surface temperature (SST) anomaly in the Atlantic equatorial band. Both modes are associated with a positive CHL-<em>a </em>anomaly at the equator. In 2002, a negative phase of the NTA led to cold SST anomaly and high positive CHL-<em>a </em>in the western portion of the cold tongue, peaking in June-July and lasting until the end of the year. In contrast, in 2005, a negative phase of the AZM drove cool temperature and positive CHL-<em>a </em>in the eastern equatorial band, with a peak in May-June and almost no signature after August. Such contrasted year to year conditions can affect the marine ecosystem by changing temporal and spatial trophic niches for pelagic predators, thus inducing significant variations for ecosystem functioning and fisheries.</span></div>


2016 ◽  
Vol 33 (12) ◽  
pp. 2769-2784 ◽  
Author(s):  
M.-H. Rio ◽  
R. Santoleri ◽  
R. Bourdalle-Badie ◽  
A. Griffa ◽  
L. Piterbarg ◽  
...  

AbstractAccurate knowledge of ocean surface currents at high spatial and temporal resolutions is crucial for a gamut of applications. The altimeter observing system, by providing repeated global measurements of the sea surface height, has been by far the most exploited system to estimate ocean surface currents over the past 20 years. However, it neither permits the observation of currents moving away from the geostrophic balance nor is it capable of resolving the shortest spatial and temporal scales of the currents. Therefore, to overcome these limitations, in this study the ways in which the high-spatial-resolution and high-temporal-resolution information from sea surface temperature (SST) images can improve the altimeter current estimates are investigated. The method involves inverting the SST evolution equation for the velocity by prescribing the source and sink terms and employing the altimeter currents as the large-scale background flow. The method feasibility is tested using modeled data from the Mercator Ocean system. This study shows that the methodology may improve the altimeter velocities at spatial scales not resolved by the altimeter system (i.e., below 150 km) but also at larger scales, where the geostrophic equilibrium might not be the unique or dominant process of the ocean circulation. In particular, the major improvements (more than 30% on the meridional component) are obtained in the equatorial band, where the geostrophic assumption is not valid. Finally, the main issues anticipated when this method is applied using real datasets are investigated and discussed.


2012 ◽  
Vol 8 (3) ◽  
pp. 1737-1762
Author(s):  
S. Weldeab

Abstract. We present core top and down core sample analyses of Mg/Ca in tests of planktonic foraminifer Globigerinoides ruber (variety pink) from the eastern Tropical-Equatorial Atlantic. Multivariate analysis of the core top data shows that Mg/Ca varies by 8 ± 2% and 1 ± 0.9% per unit sea surface temperature (SST) (°C) and salinity (psu) changes, respectively, indicating that temperature exerts the most dominant control on planktonic foraminiferal Mg/Ca variation. A centennially resolved record of Mg/Ca-based SST estimates from the Eastern Equatorial Atlantic (EEA) exhibits a close correlation between episodes of equatorial surface water warming, the onset of massive melt-water inputs into the North Atlantic (Heinrich events H3–H6), and rapid drop of air temperature over Greenland, indicating that the Eastern Equatorial Atlantic responded very sensitively to millennial-scale bipolar oscillations of the last glacial and marine isotope stage 3. Rapid EEA SST rise between 0.8 °C and 2 °C synchronous with the onset of Heinrich events is consistent with the concept of Tropical Atlantic warmth in response to meltwater-induced perturbation of Atlantic meridional ocean circulation (AMOC). The persistence of elevated EEA SST after the abrupt termination of Heinrich events and the spatial heterogeneity pertaining the direction, magnitude, and duration of thermal changes in the Equatorial Atlantic, as indicated by our and other proxy records, is at variance with model results that suggest a basin-wide SST rise during and rapid surface cooling after the end of Heinrich events. Our study emphasizes that changes in wind fields and wind-induced low latitude zonal surface currents were crucial in shaping the spatial heterogeneity and duration of Equatorial Atlantic surface water warmth.


Author(s):  
Jonathan Holmes ◽  
Philipp Hoelzmann

From the end of the last glacial stage until the mid-Holocene, large areas of arid and semi-arid North Africa were much wetter than present, during the interval that is known as the African Humid Period (AHP). During this time, large areas were characterized by a marked increase in precipitation, an expansion of lakes, river systems, and wetlands, and the spread of grassland, shrub land, and woodland vegetation into areas that are currently much drier. Simulations with climate models indicate that the AHP was the result of orbitally forced increase in northern hemisphere summer insolation, which caused the intensification and northward expansion of the boreal summer monsoon. However, feedbacks from ocean circulation, land-surface cover, and greenhouse gases were probably also important.Lake basins and their sediment archives have provided important information about climate during the AHP, including the overall increases in precipitation and in rates, trajectories, and spatial variations in change at the beginning and the end of the interval. The general pattern is one of apparently synchronous onset of the AHP at the start of the Bølling-Allerød interstadial around 14,700 years ago, although wet conditions were interrupted by aridity during the Younger Dryas stadial. Wetter conditions returned at the start of the Holocene around 11,700 years ago covering much of North Africa and extended into parts of the southern hemisphere, including southeastern Equatorial Africa. During this time, the expansion of lakes and of grassland or shrub land vegetation over the area that is now the Sahara desert, was especially marked. Increasing aridity through the mid-Holocene, associated with a reduction in northern hemisphere summer insolation, brought about the end of the AHP by around 5000–4000 years before present. The degree to which this end was abrupt or gradual and geographically synchronous or time transgressive, remains open to debate. Taken as a whole, the lake sediment records do not support rapid and synchronous declines in precipitation and vegetation across the whole of North Africa, as some model experiments and other palaeoclimate archives have suggested. Lake sediments from basins that desiccated during the mid-Holocene may have been deflated, thus providing a misleading picture of rapid change. Moreover, different proxies of climate or environment may respond in contrasting ways to the same changes in climate. Despite this, there is evidence of rapid (within a few hundred years) termination to the AHP in some regions, with clear signs of a time-transgressive response both north to south and east to west, pointing to complex controls over the mid-Holocene drying of North Africa.


2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Gregory Cesana ◽  
Anthony D. Del Genio ◽  
Andrew S. Ackerman ◽  
Maxwell Kelley ◽  
Gregory Elsaesser ◽  
...  

Abstract. Recent studies have shown that in response to a surface warming, the marine tropical low-cloud cover (LCC) as observed by passive sensor satellites substantially decreases, therefore generating a smaller negative value of the top-of-the-atmosphere cloud radiative effect (CRE). Here we study the LCC and CRE interannual changes in response to sea surface temperature (SST) forcings in the GISS Model E2 climate model, a developmental version of the GISS Model E3 climate model, and in 12 other climate models, as a function of their ability to represent the vertical structure of the cloud response to SST change against 10 years of CALIPSO observations. The more realistic models (those that satisfy the observational constraint) capture the observed interannual LCC change quite well (ΔLCC/ΔSST = −3.49 ± 1.01 % K−1 vs. ΔLCC/ΔSSTobs = −3.59 ± 0.28 % K−1) while the others largely underestimate it (ΔLCC/ΔSST = −1.32 ± 1.28 % K−1). Consequently, the more realistic models simulate more positive shortwave feedback (ΔCRE/ΔSST = 2.60 ± 1.13 W m−2 K−1) than the less realistic models (ΔCRE/ΔSST = 0.87 ± 2.63 W m−2 K−1), in better agreement with the observations (ΔCRE/ΔSSTobs = 3.05 ± 0.28 W m−2 K−1), although slightly underestimated. The ability of the models to represent moist processes within the planetary boundary layer and produce persistent stratocumulus decks appears crucial to replicating the observed relationship between clouds, radiation and surface temperature. This relationship is different depending on the type of low cloud in the observations. Over stratocumulus regions, cloud top height increases slightly with SST, accompanied by a large decrease of cloud fraction, whereas over trade cumulus regions, cloud fraction decreases everywhere, to a smaller extent.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Koffi Worou ◽  
Hugues Goosse ◽  
Thierry Fichefet

<p>Much of the rainfall variability in the Guinean coast area during the boreal summer is driven by the sea surface temperature (SST) variations in the eastern equatorial Atlantic, amplified by land-atmosphere interactions. This oceanic region corresponds to the center of action of the Atlantic Equatorial mode, also termed Atlantic Niño (ATL3), which is the leading SST mode of variability in the tropical Atlantic basin. In years of positive ATL3, above normal SST conditions in the ATL3 area weaken the sea level pressure gradient between the West African lands and the ocean, which in turn reduces the monsoon flow penetration into Sahel. Subsequently, the rainfall increases over the Guinean coast area. According to observations and climate models, the relation between the Atlantic Niño and the rainfall in coastal Guinea is stationary over the 20<sup>th</sup> century. While this relation remains unchanged over the 21<sup>st</sup> century in climate model projections, the strength of the teleconnection is reduced in a warmer climate. The weakened ATL3 effect on the rainfall over the tropical Atlantic (in years of positive ATL3) has been attributed to the stabilization of the atmosphere column above the tropical Atlantic. Analysis of historical and high anthropogenic emission scenario (the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways 5-8.5) simulations from 31 models participating in the sixth phase of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project suggests an additional role of the Bjerkness feedback. A weakened SST amplitude related to ATL3 positive phases reduces the anomalous westerlies, which in turn increases the upwelling cooling effect on the sea surface. Both the Guinean coast region and the equatorial Atlantic experiment the projected rainfall reduction associated with ATL3, with a higher confidence over the ocean than over the coastal lands.</p>


2007 ◽  
Vol 20 (8) ◽  
pp. 1555-1570 ◽  
Author(s):  
David K. Mansbach ◽  
Joel R. Norris

Abstract Examination of cloud and meteorological observations from satellite, surface, and reanalysis datasets indicates that monthly anomalies in low-level cloud amount and near-surface temperature advection are strongly negatively correlated on the southern side of the equatorial Pacific cold tongue. This inverse correlation occurs independently of relationships between cloud amount and sea surface temperature (SST) or lower tropospheric static stability (LTS), and the combination of advection plus SST or LTS explains significantly more interannual cloud variability in a multilinear regression than does SST or LTS alone. Warm anomalous advection occurs when the equatorial cold tongue is well defined and the southeastern Pacific trade winds bring relatively warm air over colder water. Ship meteorological reports and soundings show that the atmospheric surface layer becomes stratified under these conditions, thus inhibiting the upward mixing of moisture needed to sustain cloudiness against subsidence and entrainment drying. Cold anomalous advection primarily occurs when the equatorial cold tongue is weak or absent and the air–sea temperature difference is substantially negative. These conditions favor a more convective atmospheric boundary layer, greater cloud amount, and less frequent occurrence of clear sky. Examination of output from global climate models developed by the Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory (GFDL) and the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) indicates that both models generally fail to simulate the cloud–advection relationships observed on the northern and southern sides of the equatorial cold tongue. Although the GFDL atmosphere model does reproduce the expected signs of cloud-advection correlations when forced with prescribed historical SST variations, it does not consistently do so when coupled to an ocean model. The NCAR model has difficulty reproducing the observed correlations in both atmosphere-only and coupled versions. This suggests that boundary layer cloud parameterizations could be improved through better representation of the effects of advection over varying SST.


2007 ◽  
Vol 20 (11) ◽  
pp. 2500-2514 ◽  
Author(s):  
Simon P. de Szoeke ◽  
Shang-Ping Xie ◽  
Toru Miyama ◽  
Kelvin J. Richards ◽  
R. Justin O. Small

Abstract A coupled ocean–atmosphere regional model suggests a mechanism for formation of a sharp sea surface temperature (SST) front north of the equator in the eastern Pacific Ocean in boreal summer and fall. Meridional convergence of Ekman transport at 5°N is forced by eastward turning of the southeasterly cross-equatorial wind, but the SST front forms considerably south of the maximum Ekman convergence. Geostrophic equatorward flow at 3°N in the lower half of the isothermally mixed layer enhances mixed layer convergence. Cold water is upwelled on or south of the equator and is advected poleward by mean mixed layer flow and by eddies. The mixed layer current convergence in the north confines the cold advection, so the SST front stays close to the equator. Warm advection from the north and cold advection from the south strengthen the front. In the Southern Hemisphere, a continuous southwestward current advects cold water far from the upwelling core. The cold tongue is warmed by the net surface flux, which is dominated by solar radiation. Evaporation and net surface cooling are at a maximum just north of the SST front where relatively cool dry air is advected northward over warm SST. The surface heat flux is decomposed into a response to SST alone, and an atmospheric feedback. The atmospheric feedback enhances cooling on the north side of the front by 178 W m−2, about half of which is due to enhanced evaporation from cold dry advection, while the other half is due to cloud radiative forcing.


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