scholarly journals Multi-model based estimation of sea ice volume variations in the Baffin Bay

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chao Min ◽  
Qinghua Yang ◽  
Longjiang Mu ◽  
Frank Kauker ◽  
Robert Ricker
Keyword(s):  
Sea Ice ◽  
Deep Water ◽  
Meridional Overturning Circulation ◽  
Deep Water Formation ◽  
Sea Ice Thickness ◽  
Baffin Bay ◽  
Ice Volume ◽  
Water Formation ◽  
Ensemble Mean ◽  
Meridional Overturning

Abstract. Sea ice in Baffin Bay plays an important role in the deep water formation in the Labrador Sea and contributes to the variation of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC) on larger scales. To quantify the sea ice volume variations in Baffin Bay, a major driver of the deep water formation, three state-of-the-art sea ice models (CMST, NAOSIM, and PIOMAS) are investigated in the melt and freezing season from 2011 to 2016. An ensemble of three estimates of the sea ice volume fluxes in Baffin Bay is generated from the three modeled sea ice thickness and NSIDC satellite derived ice drift data. Results show that the net increase of the ensemble mean sea ice volume (SIV) in Baffin Bay occurs from October to April with the largest SIV increase in December (116 ± 16 km3 month−1) and the reduction occurs from May to September with the largest SIV decline in July (−160 ± 32 km3 month−1). The maximum SIV inflow occurs in winter in all the model data consistently. The ensemble mean SIV inflow (322 ± 4 km3) reaches its maximum in winter 2013 caused by high ice velocities while the largest SIV outflow (244 ± 61 km3) occurs in spring of 2014. The long-term annual mean ice volume inflow and outflow are 437(± 53) km3 and 339(± 68) km3, respectively. Our analysis also reveals that on average, sea ice in Baffin Bay melts from May to October with a net reduction of 335 km3 in volume while it freezes from November to April with a net increase of 251 km3.

scholarly journals Arctic–North Atlantic Interactions and Multidecadal Variability of the Meridional Overturning Circulation

2005 ◽  
Vol 18 (19) ◽  
pp. 4013-4031 ◽  
Author(s):  
Johann H. Jungclaus ◽  
Helmuth Haak ◽  
Mojib Latif ◽  
Uwe Mikolajewicz
Keyword(s):  
North Atlantic ◽  
Deep Water ◽  
Ocean Model ◽  
Meridional Overturning Circulation ◽  
The Arctic ◽  
Deep Water Formation ◽  
Overturning Circulation ◽  
Multidecadal Variability ◽  
Water Formation ◽  
Meridional Overturning

Abstract Analyses of a 500-yr control integration with the non-flux-adjusted coupled atmosphere–sea ice–ocean model ECHAM5/Max-Planck-Institute Ocean Model (MPI-OM) show pronounced multidecadal fluctuations of the Atlantic overturning circulation and the associated meridional heat transport. The period of the oscillations is about 70–80 yr. The low-frequency variability of the meridional overturning circulation (MOC) contributes substantially to sea surface temperature and sea ice fluctuations in the North Atlantic. The strength of the overturning circulation is related to the convective activity in the deep-water formation regions, most notably the Labrador Sea, and the time-varying control on the freshwater export from the Arctic to the convection sites modulates the overturning circulation. The variability is sustained by an interplay between the storage and release of freshwater from the central Arctic and circulation changes in the Nordic Seas that are caused by variations in the Atlantic heat and salt transport. The relatively high resolution in the deep-water formation region and the Arctic Ocean suggests that a better representation of convective and frontal processes not only leads to an improvement in the mean state but also introduces new mechanisms determining multidecadal variability in large-scale ocean circulation.

scholarly journals The role of subpolar deep water formation and Nordic Seas overflows in simulated multidecadal variability of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation

Ocean Science ◽  
2014 ◽  
Vol 10 (2) ◽  
pp. 227-241 ◽  
Author(s):  
K. Lohmann ◽  
J. H. Jungclaus ◽  
D. Matei ◽  
J. Mignot ◽  
M. Menary ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Deep Water ◽  
Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation ◽  
Meridional Overturning Circulation ◽  
Deep Water Formation ◽  
Multidecadal Variability ◽  
Nordic Seas ◽  
Denmark Strait ◽  
Water Formation ◽  
Meridional Overturning

Abstract. We investigate the respective role of variations in subpolar deep water formation and Nordic Seas overflows for the decadal to multidecadal variability of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC). This is partly done by analysing long (order of 1000 years) control simulations with five coupled climate models. For all models, the maximum influence of variations in subpolar deep water formation is found at about 45° N, while the maximum influence of variations in Nordic Seas overflows is rather found at 55 to 60° N. Regarding the two overflow branches, the influence of variations in the Denmark Strait overflow is, for all models, substantially larger than that of variations in the overflow across the Iceland–Scotland Ridge. The latter might, however, be underestimated, as the models in general do not realistically simulate the flow path of the Iceland–Scotland overflow water south of the Iceland–Scotland Ridge. The influence of variations in subpolar deep water formation is, on multimodel average, larger than that of variations in the Denmark Strait overflow. This is true both at 45° N, where the maximum standard deviation of decadal to multidecadal AMOC variability is located for all but one model, and at the more classical latitude of 30° N. At 30° N, variations in subpolar deep water formation and Denmark Strait overflow explain, on multimodel average, about half and one-third respectively of the decadal to multidecadal AMOC variance. Apart from analysing multimodel control simulations, we have performed sensitivity experiments with one of the models, in which we suppress the variability of either subpolar deep water formation or Nordic Seas overflows. The sensitivity experiments indicate that variations in subpolar deep water formation and Nordic Seas overflows are not completely independent. We further conclude from these experiments that the decadal to multidecadal AMOC variability north of about 50° N is mainly related to variations in Nordic Seas overflows. At 45° N and south of this latitude, variations in both subpolar deep water formation and Nordic Seas overflows contribute to the AMOC variability, with neither of the processes being very dominant compared to the other.

Southern ocean–sea-ice interaction: implications for climate and modelling

1990 ◽  
Vol 81 (4) ◽  
pp. 397-405 ◽  
Author(s):  
Douglas G. Martinson
Keyword(s):  
Surface Water ◽  
Sea Ice ◽  
Water Column ◽  
Deep Water ◽  
Stable Region ◽  
Deep Water Formation ◽  
Sea Ice Thickness ◽  
Water Column Stability ◽  
Water Formation ◽  
Ocean Region

ABSTRACTThe ocean/sea-ice interaction of the Antarctic open ocean region is described through a one-dimensional model. The model includes processes responsible for maintaining stability in this marginally stable region and reveals the importance of the various processes controlling deep water formation/ventilation and sea-ice thickness and their sensitivity to climate change. This information is used to estimate changes, as they impact water column stability, induced by glacial conditions. Increased stability is conducive to greater ice cover and less deep water formation/ventilation; decreased stability conducive to the opposite.Sensitivity studies show that the system is destabilised given: (1) shallowing of the pycnocline (induced by increased gyre vigor); (2) decrease in the ratio of heat to salt through the pycnocline (induced by introducing a colder and/or saltier deep water or by increasing the salinity of the surface water); (3) decreased pycnocline strength (induced by a fresher deep water or saltier surface water) and (4) increased atmospheric heat loss. Most of the assumed glacial conditions drive the system toward destabilisation, but the critical effect of changes in NADW characteristics depends strongly on the temperature and salinity of the replacement water. The importance of this deep water influence is evident today—as little as 3Wm−2 in the upper ocean heat balance or an additional 15 cm of ice growth is sufficient to overturn the water column in some regions.

scholarly journals Ensemble-based estimation of sea-ice volume variations in the Baffin Bay

2021 ◽  
Vol 15 (1) ◽  
pp. 169-181
Author(s):  
Chao Min ◽  
Qinghua Yang ◽  
Longjiang Mu ◽  
Frank Kauker ◽  
Robert Ricker
Keyword(s):  
Sea Ice ◽  
Mean Value ◽  
Meridional Overturning Circulation ◽  
Labrador Sea ◽  
Freshwater Flux ◽  
Baffin Bay ◽  
Ice Volume ◽  
The North ◽  
Meridional Overturning ◽  
Ice Velocity

Abstract. Sea ice in the Baffin Bay plays an important role in deep water formation in the Labrador Sea and contributes to the variation of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC) on larger scales. Sea-ice data from locally merged satellite observations (Sat-merged SIT) in the eastern Canadian Arctic and three state-of-the-art sea ice–ocean models are used to quantify sea-ice volume variations from 2011 to 2016. Ensemble-based sea-ice volume (SIV) fluxes and the related standard deviations in the Baffin Bay are generated from four different estimates of SIV fluxes that were derived from Sat-merged SIT, three modeled SITs and satellite-based ice-drift data. Results show that the net increase in the SIV in Baffin Bay occurs from October to early April with the largest SIV increase in December (113 ± 17 km3 month−1) followed by a reduction from May to September with the largest SIV decline in July (−160 ± 32 km3 month−1). The maximum SIV inflow occurs in winter with the amount of 236 (±38) km3 while ice outflow reaches the maximum in spring with a mean value of 168 (±46) km3. The ensemble mean SIV inflow reaches its maximum (294 ± 59 km3) in winter 2013 caused by high ice velocity along the north gate while the largest SIV outflow (229 ± 67 km3) occurs in spring of 2014 due to the high ice velocity and thick ice along the south gate. The long-term annual mean ice volume inflow and outflow are 411 (±74) km3 yr−1 and 312 (±80) km3 yr−1, respectively. Our analysis also reveals that, on average, sea ice in the Baffin Bay melts from May to September with a net reduction of 335 km3 in volume while it freezes from October to April with a net increase of 218 km3. In the melting season, there is about 268 km3 freshwater produced by local melting of sea ice in the Baffin Bay. In the annual mean, the mean freshwater converted from SIV outflow that enters the Labrador Sea is about 250 km3 yr−1 (i.e., 8 mSv), while it is only about 9 % of the net liquid freshwater flux through the Davis Strait. The maximum freshwater flux derived from SIV outflow peaks in March is 65 km3 (i.e., 25 mSv).

scholarly journals Overturning in the Subpolar North Atlantic Program: A New International Ocean Observing System

2017 ◽  
Vol 98 (4) ◽  
pp. 737-752 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. Susan Lozier ◽  
Sheldon Bacon ◽  
Amy S. Bower ◽  
Stuart A. Cunningham ◽  
M. Femke de Jong ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
North Atlantic ◽  
Deep Water ◽  
Climate Models ◽  
Meridional Overturning Circulation ◽  
Deep Water Formation ◽  
Overturning Circulation ◽  
Intergovernmental Panel ◽  
Water Formation ◽  
Meridional Overturning

Abstract For decades oceanographers have understood the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC) to be primarily driven by changes in the production of deep-water formation in the subpolar and subarctic North Atlantic. Indeed, current Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) projections of an AMOC slowdown in the twenty-first century based on climate models are attributed to the inhibition of deep convection in the North Atlantic. However, observational evidence for this linkage has been elusive: there has been no clear demonstration of AMOC variability in response to changes in deep-water formation. The motivation for understanding this linkage is compelling, since the overturning circulation has been shown to sequester heat and anthropogenic carbon in the deep ocean. Furthermore, AMOC variability is expected to impact this sequestration as well as have consequences for regional and global climates through its effect on the poleward transport of warm water. Motivated by the need for a mechanistic understanding of the AMOC, an international community has assembled an observing system, Overturning in the Subpolar North Atlantic Program (OSNAP), to provide a continuous record of the transbasin fluxes of heat, mass, and freshwater, and to link that record to convective activity and water mass transformation at high latitudes. OSNAP, in conjunction with the Rapid Climate Change–Meridional Overturning Circulation and Heatflux Array (RAPID–MOCHA) at 26°N and other observational elements, will provide a comprehensive measure of the three-dimensional AMOC and an understanding of what drives its variability. The OSNAP observing system was fully deployed in the summer of 2014, and the first OSNAP data products are expected in the fall of 2017.

Atlantic Dominance of the Meridional Overturning Circulation

2008 ◽  
Vol 38 (2) ◽  
pp. 435-450 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. M. de Boer ◽  
J. R. Toggweiler ◽  
D. M. Sigman
Keyword(s):  
Deep Water ◽  
Hydrological Cycle ◽  
Deep Convection ◽  
Meridional Overturning Circulation ◽  
Ocean Temperature ◽  
Deep Water Formation ◽  
Overturning Circulation ◽  
Salinity Gradients ◽  
Water Formation ◽  
Meridional Overturning

Abstract North Atlantic (NA) deep-water formation and the resulting Atlantic meridional overturning cell is generally regarded as the primary feature of the global overturning circulation and is believed to be a result of the geometry of the continents. Here, instead, the overturning is viewed as a global energy–driven system and the robustness of NA dominance is investigated within this framework. Using an idealized geometry ocean general circulation model coupled to an energy moisture balance model, various climatic forcings are tested for their effect on the strength and structure of the overturning circulation. Without winds or a high vertical diffusivity, the ocean does not support deep convection. A supply of mechanical energy through winds or mixing (purposefully included or due to numerical diffusion) starts the deep-water formation. Once deep convection and overturning set in, the distribution of convection centers is determined by the relative strength of the thermal and haline buoyancy forcing. In the most thermally dominant state (i.e., negligible salinity gradients), strong convection is shared among the NA, North Pacific (NP), and Southern Ocean (SO), while near the haline limit, convection is restricted to the NA. The effect of a more vigorous hydrological cycle is to produce stronger salinity gradients, favoring the haline state of NA dominance. In contrast, a higher mean ocean temperature will increase the importance of temperature gradients because the thermal expansion coefficient is higher in a warm ocean, leading to the thermally dominated state. An increase in SO winds or global winds tends to weaken the salinity gradients, also pushing the ocean to the thermal state. Paleoobservations of more distributed sinking in warmer climates in the past suggest that mean ocean temperature and winds play a more important role than the hydrological cycle in the overturning circulation over long time scales.

scholarly journals Transient increase in Arctic deep-water formation and ocean circulation under sea-ice retreat

2021 ◽  
pp. 1
Author(s):  
Anaïs Bretones ◽  
Kerim H. Nisancioglu ◽  
Mari F. Jensen ◽  
Ailin Brakstad ◽  
Shuting Yang
Keyword(s):  
Sea Ice ◽  
Meridional Overturning Circulation ◽  
The Arctic ◽  
Deep Water Formation ◽  
Water Formation ◽  
Ice Retreat ◽  
Meridional Overturning ◽  
Ice Edge ◽  
Sea Ice Edge ◽  
Sea Ice Retreat

AbstractWhile a rapid sea-ice retreat in the Arctic has become ubiquitous, the potential weakening of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) in response to global warming is still under debate. As deep mixing occurs in the open-ocean close to the sea-ice edge, the strength and vertical extent of the AMOC is likely to respond to ongoing and future sea-ice retreat. Here, we investigate the link between changes in Arctic sea-ice cover and AMOC strength in a long simulation with the EC-Earth-PISM climate model under the emission scenario RCP8.5. The extended duration of the experiment (years 1850-2300) captures the disappearance of summer sea ice in 2060 and the removal of winter sea ice in 2165. By introducing a new metric, the Arctic Meridional Overturning Circulation (ArMOC), we document changes beyond the Greenland-Scotland Ridge and into the central Arctic. We find an ArMOC strengthening as the areas of deep mixing move north, following the retreating winter sea-ice edge into the Nansen Basin. At the same time, mixing in the Labrador and Greenland Seas reduces and the AMOC weakens. As the winter sea-ice edge retreats further into the regions with high surface freshwater content in the central Arctic Basin, the mixing becomes shallower and the ArMOC weakens. Our results suggest that the location of deep-water formation plays a decisive role in the structure and strength of the ArMOC; however, the intermittent strengthening of the ArMOC and convection north of the Greenland-Scotland Ridge cannot compensate for the progressive weakening of the AMOC.

Effects of Mountains and Ice Sheets on Global Ocean Circulation*

2011 ◽  
Vol 24 (11) ◽  
pp. 2814-2829 ◽  
Author(s):  
Andreas Schmittner ◽  
Tiago A. M. Silva ◽  
Klaus Fraedrich ◽  
Edilbert Kirk ◽  
Frank Lunkeit
Keyword(s):  
Ocean Circulation ◽  
Deep Water ◽  
Ice Sheets ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Meridional Overturning Circulation ◽  
Global Ocean ◽  
Deep Water Formation ◽  
The Pacific ◽  
Water Formation ◽  
Meridional Overturning

Abstract The impact of mountains and ice sheets on the large-scale circulation of the world’s oceans is investigated in a series of simulations with a new coupled ocean–atmosphere model [Oregon State University–University of Victoria model (OSUVic)], in which the height of orography is scaled from 1.5 times the actual height (at T42 resolution) to 0 (no mountains). The results suggest that the effects of mountains and ice sheets on the buoyancy and momentum transfer from the atmosphere to the surface ocean determine the present pattern of deep ocean circulation. Higher mountains reduce water vapor transport from the Pacific and Indian Oceans into the Atlantic Ocean and contribute to increased (decreased) salinities and enhanced (reduced) deep-water formation and meridional overturning circulation in the Atlantic (Pacific). Orographic effects also lead to the observed interhemispheric asymmetry of midlatitude zonal wind stress. The presence of the Antarctic ice sheet cools winter air temperatures by more than 20°C directly above the ice sheet and sets up a polar meridional overturning cell in the atmosphere. The resulting increased meridional temperature gradient strengthens midlatitude westerlies by ~25% and shifts them poleward by ~10°. This leads to enhanced and poleward-shifted upwelling of deep waters in the Southern Ocean, a stronger Antarctic Circumpolar Current, increased poleward atmospheric moisture transport, and more advection of high-salinity Indian Ocean water into the South Atlantic. Thus, it is the current configuration of mountains and ice sheets on earth that determines the difference in deep-water formation between the Atlantic and the Pacific.

scholarly journals Subpolar North Atlantic western boundary density anomalies and the Meridional Overturning Circulation

2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
F. Li ◽  
M. S. Lozier ◽  
S. Bacon ◽  
A. S. Bower ◽  
S. A. Cunningham ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
North Atlantic ◽  
Deep Water ◽  
Climate Impacts ◽  
Meridional Overturning Circulation ◽  
Western Boundary ◽  
Deep Water Formation ◽  
Overturning Circulation ◽  
Minimal Impact ◽  
Water Formation ◽  
Meridional Overturning

AbstractChanges in the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation, which have the potential to drive societally-important climate impacts, have traditionally been linked to the strength of deep water formation in the subpolar North Atlantic. Yet there is neither clear observational evidence nor agreement among models about how changes in deep water formation influence overturning. Here, we use data from a trans-basin mooring array (OSNAP—Overturning in the Subpolar North Atlantic Program) to show that winter convection during 2014–2018 in the interior basin had minimal impact on density changes in the deep western boundary currents in the subpolar basins. Contrary to previous modeling studies, we find no discernable relationship between western boundary changes and subpolar overturning variability over the observational time scales. Our results require a reconsideration of the notion of deep western boundary changes representing overturning characteristics, with implications for constraining the source of overturning variability within and downstream of the subpolar region.

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