scholarly journals The effect of financial distress on stock returns, through systematic risk and profitability as mediator variables

Accounting ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 7 (7) ◽  
pp. 1717-1724 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mulyanto Nugroho ◽  
Donny Arif ◽  
Abdul Halik

This study aims to determine the relationship between financial distress and systematic risk, the relationship between financial distress and profitability, the relationship between systematic risk and stock returns, the relationship between profitability and stock returns, and the indirect effect between financial distress and stock returns through systematic risk and company profitability. by collecting data on the Indonesia Stock Exchange on chemical companies and the element industry in 2018-2020. This study was conducted to find out the answers to the impact caused by the global economic turmoil. Using the PLS-SEM method and four latent variables, which are divided into one endogenous variable, two moderating variables and one exogenous variable, it is hoped that it can provide value for the statistical calculation activities carried out. This study uses a quantitative descriptive method with two moderating variables that link financial distress and stock returns. This study produces a specific indirect effect; the financial distress variable significantly impacts Stock Return through systematic risk and profitability variables with a p-value < 0.05. The main finding of this study is the significant impact of world economic turmoil that must be faced by creating systematic risk to convince. Investors and provide education to potential investors.

2022 ◽  
Vol 9 (2) ◽  
pp. 72-80
Author(s):  
Soltane et al. ◽  

The objective of this research is to investigate the relationship between illiquidity and stock prices on the Tunisian stock exchange. While previous researches tended to focus on one form of illiquidity to examine this relationship, our study unifies three forms of illiquidity at the same time. Indeed, we simultaneously consider illiquidity as systematic risk, as a characteristic of the market, and as a characteristic of the stock. The aggregate illiquidity of the market is the average of individual stock illiquidity. The illiquidity risk is the sensitivity of the stock price to illiquidity shocks. Shocks of market illiquidity are estimated by the innovations in the expected market illiquidity. Results show that investors on the Tunisian stock exchange do not require higher returns when they expect a rise of market illiquidity, whereas investors on U.S markets are compensated for higher expected market illiquidity. In addition, shocks of market illiquidity provoke a fall in stock prices of small caps, while large caps are not sensitive to market illiquidity shocks. This differs slightly from results based on U.S. data where illiquidity shocks reduce all stock prices but most notably those of small caps. Robustness tests validate our findings. Our results are consistent with previous studies which reported that the “zero-return” ratio predicts significantly the return-illiquidity relationship on emerging markets.


2018 ◽  
Vol 80 (1) ◽  
pp. 115-130
Author(s):  
Chamil W. Senarathne

AbstractThis paper examines the relationship between common stock return and corporate cultural behaviour of twenty listed firms from Shanghai Stock Exchange. The particular research questions of this study include: whether corporate cultural behaviour impacts common stock returns and under what conditions it impacts shareholder expectations and corporate governance.


Author(s):  
Mohsen Mehrara ◽  
Zabihallah Falahati ◽  
Nazi Heydari Zahiri

One of the most important issues in the capital market is awareness of the level Risk of Companies, especially “systemic risk (unavoidable risk)” that could affect stock returns, and can play a significant role in decision-making. The present study examines the relationship between stock returns and systematic risk based on capital asset pricing model (CAPM) in Tehran Stock Exchange. The sample search includes panel data for 50 top companies of Tehran Stock Exchange over a five year period from 1387 to 1392. The results show that the relationship between systematic risk and stock returns are statistically significant. Moreover, the nonlinear (quadratic) function outperforms the linear one explaining the relationship between systematic risk and stock returns. It means that the assumption of linearity between systematic risk and stock returns is rejected in the Tehran Stock Exchange. So we can say that the capital asset pricing model in the sample is rejected and doesn’t exist linear relationship between systematic risk and stock returns in the sample.


2012 ◽  
Vol 15 (04) ◽  
pp. 1250020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Vikash Ramiah

How are the risks and returns of industrial and market portfolios altered as a result of terrorist events? This paper investigates the effects of five international terrorist attacks on equities listed on the Malaysian Stock Exchange. It uses an event study methodology to explore the relationship between equity stock returns, terrorist attacks and asset pricing models to assess whether systematic risks change after these events. The evidence demonstrates that strategies such as closing down an exchange during a crisis are ineffective. Furthermore, after the September 11, 2001 attacks, Malaysian equity markets were insensitive to subsequent terrorist attacks in other countries.


2020 ◽  
Vol 13 (2) ◽  
pp. 100
Author(s):  
Sufian Radwan Al-Manaseer

This study aims to analyze the relationship between capital structure and stock returns of Jordanian banks listed on the Amman Stock Exchange from 2009 to 2018. The study sample is composed of 13 commercial banks in Jordan. The e-views program is used to conduct the statistical analysis of study variables. Initially, a simple linear regression analysis is conducted to determine the impact of capital structure as measured by financial leverage on stock returns and vice versa. Then, several control variables are added: growth in assets, liquidity, firm size, and profitability. This study has found that growth, capital structure, and profitability have a positive impact on stock returns. By contrast, liquidity and firm size have a negative impact on stock returns. Stock returns and firm size have a positive impact on capital structure, whereas liquidity, growth, and profitability have a negative impact on capital structure.


2017 ◽  
Vol 2 (2) ◽  
pp. 21-27
Author(s):  
Mathius Tandiontong ◽  
Margaretha Sitompul

Objective - Stock is one securities among other securities, as a high risk instrument. Stock classified as high risk due to reflection in the uncertainty of the rate of return to be received by investors in the future. The purpose of this research is to examine of financial distress as measured by the Altman Z-Score, systematic risk as measured by beta stocks and macroeconomic measured by inflation on stock returns Manufacturing Company listed on the Stock Exchange 2008-2012 period Methodology/Technique - From 133 companies listed, 75 companies are taken as sample by using purposive sampling technique. Panel data regression analysis shows that the overall effect of variables is equal to 28.7%. Findings - Partially, the variables that affect the stock returns are financial distress with Altman Z-Score, beta stocks and inflation. Novelty - Financial distress with the measurement using the Altman Z-Score. Type of Paper: Empirical Keywords: Stock return; Financial distress; Altman Z-Score; Systematic risk; Beta stocks and Inflation JEL Classification: E44, F14, G01.


Author(s):  
Zubair Tanveer ◽  
Muhammad Zul Azri Muhammad Jamil

The study tested the response of stock prices around the dividend declaration dates in Pakistan stock exchange. It estimated the data of 1110 dividends announced by 91 firms of the highest ten active sectors of Pakistan Stock Exchange. To empirically investigate the relationship between stock returns and dividend announcement, the panel regression was employed by creating dummy variables for 61 days around the dividend declaration dates. Cumulative average abnormal returns and average abnormal returns were also stimated around the events with the help of event study methodology. Outcomes of the empirical analysis revealed strong evidence of market abuse in the term of insider trading and supported the argument of the information content hypothesis and semistrong form of efficient market. Moreover, the study also found a robust impact of the probable ex-dividend date. The study recommended that it is a responsibility of stock exchange regulatory authorities, whistleblowers, registered companies, and the investors collectively to detect and punish this white-collar financial crime.  


2020 ◽  
Vol 13 (9) ◽  
pp. 196
Author(s):  
Hafiz Muhammad Zia ul haq ◽  
Muhammad Sohail Shafiq ◽  
Muhammad Kashif ◽  
Saba Ameer

The determining force behind the value premium is the matter of debate among the researchers. Some are of the opinion that the financial distress risk determines value premium whereas other theorize that value premium is basically the compensation for operating leverage (investment activity risk). This research provides empirical evidence on this theoretical contradiction by investigating the relationships of financial leverage (FL) and operating leverage (OL) with stock returns, the book to market ratio (B/M), and systematic risk on non-financial sector firms trading at the Pakistan stock exchange (PSE). This research empirically finds significant and direct influence of operating leverage on stock returns, the book to market ratio, and systematic risk respectively. Overall findings provide support for the theoretical models which have a linked book to market effect with operating leverage. Thus, we conclude that investment activity risk seems to be the major factor that determines value premium.


ETIKONOMI ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 19 (1) ◽  
pp. 51-62
Author(s):  
Imran Umer Chhapra ◽  
Iffat Zehra ◽  
Muhammmad Kashif ◽  
Raja Rehan

This study empirically investigates the relationship between default risk and cross-section of stock returns in the Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX). Stock price data from all listed and delisted companies use to calculate monthly returns from 2001-2016. Ohlson's O-score is employed to measure exposure of firm to systematic deviation within bankruptcy risk. Besides, asset-pricing models like the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) and Fama French (FF) models are employed. Portfolios are sorted in deciles by default probability. This result finds that stocks of firms significantly exposed to not diversified Default Risk yield higher returns. Besides that, the FF models explain cross-sectional stock returns since factors incorporate information on financial distress and default. After that, the book-to-market equity factor is not significant in elucidating returns of distressed firms because of market inefficiency. Results have practical implications for portfolio managers and investors of an emerging economy in developing diversified portfolios during periods of uncertainty and market volatility.JEL Classifications: G12, G15, G33How to Cite:Chhapra, I. U., Zehra, I., Kashif, M., & Rehan, R. (2020). Is Bankruptcy Risk a Systematic Risk? Evidence from Pakistan Stock Exchange. Etikonomi: Jurnal Ekonomi, 19(1), 51 – 62. https://doi.org/10.15408/etk.v19i1.11248.


2019 ◽  
Vol 3 (2) ◽  
pp. 214-225
Author(s):  
Fitratul Firda Amaliah ◽  
Arif Darmawan

This study aims to provide empirical evidence on the impact of profitability on the correlation cash conversion cycle  to financial distress. The population in this study is a manufacturing company listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange period 2010 to 2016 with a total sample of 9 companies. The sample collection method using purposive sampling and the testing measurement used was regression analysis. The result of this study proves that the cash conversion cycle affect positive to financial distress and profitability able to moderate the relationship between the cash conversion cycle to financial distress.


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