scholarly journals Investigation of Factors Affecting the Performance of Poisson Regression Model: A Simulation Study

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (2) ◽  
pp. 160-169
Author(s):  
Didem DERİCİ YILDIRIM ◽  
Gülhan TEMEL ◽  
İrem ERSÖZ KAYA
Methodology ◽  
2007 ◽  
Vol 3 (3) ◽  
pp. 89-99 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. Palmer ◽  
J.M. Losilla ◽  
J. Vives ◽  
R. Jiménez

Abstract. This simulation study compares different strategies to solve the problem of underestimating standard errors in the Poisson regression model when overdispersion is present. The study analyses the importance of sample size, Poisson distribution mean, and dispersion parameter in choosing the best index or estimate. Results show that standard error (SE) estimates obtained by resampling (nonparametric bootstrap and jackknife) are the least biased, followed by the direct index based on the χ2, and the so-called robust indexes, in third place. Nevertheless, the inefficiency of resampling estimates is also evident, especially in small samples.


2018 ◽  
Vol 3 (1) ◽  
pp. 5-9 ◽  
Author(s):  
Roghaye Farhadi Hassankiadeh ◽  
Anoshirvan Kazemnejad ◽  
Mohammad Gholami Fesharaki ◽  
Siamak Kargar Jahromi ◽  
◽  
...  

Author(s):  
Mohammad Mirjani Arjenan ◽  
Mohsen Askarshahi ◽  
Mahmud Vakili

Introduction: Despite the advances in cardiovascular diseases, death caused by these diseases is still considered as the leading cause of mortality. In this study, some of the effective factors on the deaths caused by cardiovascular diseases were investigated Methods: This cross-sectional analytical study investigated the efficacy of Poisson regression models and negative binomial regression models on factors affecting mortality from cardiovascular diseases. The death data were extracted from the death registration system for Yazd province in 2017.Gender, age, education, occupation, location, and city of death were also extracted for each deceased. The two regression models were then fitted to the data Results:  A total of 5,015 deaths were recorded, of which 1,642 were due to cardiovascular diseases. Cardiovascular disease mortality rates were significant using negative binomial regression in terms of the educational variables, place of residence, type of residence, and age. Death rates caused by cardiovascular diseases were not significant for age and occupational, educational, and residential variables. Conclusion: If the time of death is considered as an offset variable, the regression model of two negative sentences is more effective in showing the factors affecting death due to cardiovascular diseases according to AIC and BIC criteria. In the case that the total number of deaths is considered as the offset variable, the Poisson regression model is more efficient.


2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Huihui Zhang ◽  
Yini Liu ◽  
Fangyao Chen ◽  
Baibing Mi ◽  
Lingxia Zeng ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Since December 2019, the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has spread quickly among the population and brought a severe global impact. However, considerable geographical disparities in the distribution of COVID-19 incidence existed among different cities. In this study, we aimed to explore the effect of sociodemographic factors on COVID-19 incidence of 342 cities in China from a geographic perspective. Methods Official surveillance data about the COVID-19 and sociodemographic information in China’s 342 cities were collected. Local geographically weighted Poisson regression (GWPR) model and traditional generalized linear models (GLM) Poisson regression model were compared for optimal analysis. Results Compared to that of the GLM Poisson regression model, a significantly lower corrected Akaike Information Criteria (AICc) was reported in the GWPR model (61953.0 in GLM vs. 43218.9 in GWPR). Spatial auto-correlation of residuals was not found in the GWPR model (global Moran’s I = − 0.005, p = 0.468), inferring the capture of the spatial auto-correlation by the GWPR model. Cities with a higher gross domestic product (GDP), limited health resources, and shorter distance to Wuhan, were at a higher risk for COVID-19. Furthermore, with the exception of some southeastern cities, as population density increased, the incidence of COVID-19 decreased. Conclusions There are potential effects of the sociodemographic factors on the COVID-19 incidence. Moreover, our findings and methodology could guide other countries by helping them understand the local transmission of COVID-19 and developing a tailored country-specific intervention strategy.


Author(s):  
J. M. Muñoz-Pichardo ◽  
R. Pino-Mejías ◽  
J. García-Heras ◽  
F. Ruiz-Muñoz ◽  
M. Luz González-Regalado

Author(s):  
Narges Motalebi ◽  
Mohammad Saleh Owlia ◽  
Amirhossein Amiri ◽  
Mohammad Saber Fallahnezhad

Author(s):  
Isabel Cardoso ◽  
Peder Frederiksen ◽  
Ina Olmer Specht ◽  
Mina Nicole Händel ◽  
Fanney Thorsteinsdottir ◽  
...  

This study reports age- and sex-specific incidence rates of juvenile idiopathic arthritis (JIA) in complete Danish birth cohorts from 1992 through 2002. Data were obtained from the Danish registries. All persons born in Denmark, from 1992–2002, were followed from birth and until either the date of first diagnosis recording, death, emigration, 16th birthday or administrative censoring (17 May 2017), whichever came first. The number of incident JIA cases and its incidence rate (per 100,000 person-years) were calculated within sex and age group for each of the birth cohorts. A multiplicative Poisson regression model was used to analyze the variation in the incidence rates by age and year of birth for boys and girls separately. The overall incidence of JIA was 24.1 (23.6–24.5) per 100,000 person-years. The rate per 100,000 person-years was higher among girls (29.9 (29.2–30.7)) than among boys (18.5 (18.0–19.1)). There were no evident peaks for any age group at diagnosis for boys but for girls two small peaks appeared at ages 0–5 years and 12–15 years. This study showed that the incidence rates of JIA in Denmark were higher for girls than for boys and remained stable over the observed period for both sexes.


2012 ◽  
Vol 57 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
SEYED EHSAN SAFFAR ◽  
ROBIAH ADNAN ◽  
WILLIAM GREENE

A Poisson model typically is assumed for count data. In many cases, there are many zeros in the dependent variable and because of these many zeros, the mean and the variance values of the dependent variable are not the same as before. In fact, the variance value of the dependent variable will be much more than the mean value of the dependent variable and this is called over–dispersion. Therefore, Poisson model is not suitable anymore for this kind of data because of too many zeros. Thus, it is suggested to use a hurdle Poisson regression model to overcome over–dispersion problem. Furthermore, the response variable in such cases is censored for some values. In this paper, a censored hurdle Poisson regression model is introduced on count data with many zeros. In this model, we consider a response variable and one or more than one explanatory variables. The estimation of regression parameters using the maximum likelihood method is discussed and the goodness–of–fit for the regression model is examined. We study the effects of right censoring on estimated parameters and their standard errors via an example.


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