Kajian Ekspor Impor dan Variabel Makro Ekonomi terhadap Pergerakan Harga Saham Pertanian

2021 ◽  
Vol 18 (2) ◽  
pp. 114-127
Author(s):  
Irianto Irianto ◽  
Baiq Kisnawati ◽  
Istiarto Istiarto ◽  
Zulkarnaen Zulkarnaen

This study aims to examine the effect of exports, imports and macroeconomic variables on the movement of the stock price index of the agricultural sector listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange. The sampling technique used was a saturated sample. The research data were secondary data for the 2000-2019 observation period. Data were analyzed using Multiple Linear Regression with SPSS application. Hypothesis testing was carried out by t-test for partial testing and testing the coefficient of determination. The results showed that partially the export variable had a positive and insignificant effect, imports had a positive and insignificant effect, the rupiah exchange rate had an insignificant negative effect, inflation had a non-significant positive effect, and bank interest rates had an insignificant negative effect on the stock price index of the agricultural sector. The ability of the independent variable is only able to explain 50.60% of the stock price of the agricultural sector, the remaining 49.40% is influenced by other variables outside the model. This means that the variables studied in this study are not sufficient to explain the dependent variable, so that potential investors are strongly encouraged to consider other variables before making investment decisions

2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (2) ◽  
pp. 11-20
Author(s):  
Paryudi Paryudi

ABSTRACT   This study aims to determine the effect of exchange rates, Interest Rates Sertificates of Bank Indonesia and inflation on the Composite Stock Price Index in the  Indonesian stock exchange. The sampling technique was purposive sampling. The samples obtained were 60 samples. Based on the results of data analysis, it shows that the exchange rate has a negative and significant effect on the Composite Stock Price Index. Interest Rates Certificates of Bank Indonesia and Inflation has a negative and unsignificant effect on the Composite Stock Price Index. Collectively exchange rate, Interest Rates, Certificate of Bank Indonesia and inflation have a positive and significant effect on the Composite Stock Price Index.   Keywords: Exchange rates, Interest Rates Certificates of Bank Indonesia, inflation and Composite Stock Price Index. ABSTRAK   Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengetahui pengaruh Nilai Tukar, Suku Bunga SBI dan Inflasi terhadap Indeks Harga Saham Gabungan di Bursa Efek Indonesia. Teknik pengambilan sampel adalah purposive sampling. Sampel diperoleh sejumlah 60 sampel. Berdasarkan hasil analisis data menunjukan bahwa Nilai Tukar berpengaruh negatif dan signifikan terhadap Indeks Harga Saham Gabungan, Suku Bunga SBI dan Inflasi berpengaruh negatif dan tidak signifikan terhadap Indeks Harga Saham Gabungan. Secara bersama Nilai Tukar, Suku Bunga SBI dan Inflasi berpengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap Indeks Harga Saham Gabungan. Kata Kunci : Nilai Tukar, Suku Bunga SBI, Inflasi dan IHSG.


2021 ◽  
Vol 3 (3) ◽  
pp. 688
Author(s):  
Ernest Theodore Febrianto Sitompul ◽  
Ignatius Roni Setyawan

The purpose of this study was to determine the effect of inflation, interest rates certificates of Bank Indonesia and the money supply on the composite stock price index (CSPI) with the Arch-Garch model. The analytical method used in this study is multiple regression analysis method with the Arch-Garch model which was carried out with Eviews 9.0. One of the requirements for conducting multiple analysis tests is to test the classical assumptions. This is necessary so that the resulting regression equation is good. Then test the hypothesis, test the coefficient of determination and z test. The results of this study indicate that the Inflation variable has an effect on the Jakarta Composite Index (JCI) in the period January 2014 – December 2018. The interest rates certificates of Bank Indonesia an effect on the Jakarta Composite Index (JCI) in the period January 2014 – December 2018. The Money Supply has an effect. against the Composite Stock Price Index (JCI) in the period January 2014 – December 2018.Tujuan dari penelitian ini adalah untuk mengetahui pengaruh inflasi, suku bunga SBI dan jumlah uang beredar teradap indeks harga saham gabungan (IHSG) dengan model Arch-Garch. Metode analisis yang digunakan dalam penelitian ini adalah metode analisis regresi berganda dengan model Arch-Garch yang dilakukan dengan Eviews 9.0. Salah satu syarat untuk melakukan uji analisis berganda perlu dilakukan uji asumsi klasik. Hal ini diperlukan agar persamaan regresi yang dihasilkan baik. Kemudian dilakukan uji hipotesis, uji koefisien determinasi dan uji z. Hasil dari penelitian ini menunjukkan bahwa variable Inflasi berpengaruh terhadap Indeks Harga Saham Gabungan (IHSG) pada periode Januari 2014 – Desember 2018. Suku Bunga SBI memiliki pengaruh terhadap Indeks Harga Saham Gabungan (IHSG) pada periode Januari 2014 – Desember 2018. Jumlah Uang Beredar berpengaruh terhadap Indeks Harga Saham Gabungan (IHSG) pada periode Januari 2014 – Desember 2018.


2020 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
pp. 1
Author(s):  
Dwi Purwaningsih ◽  
Tina Sulistiyani

This study aims to determine the effect of the money supply, inflation, and SBI interest rates partially and simultaneously on the composite stock price index on the Indonesia Stock Exchange (BEI) in 2012-2014, the type of data and data sources used in this study are data secondary data from the Bank Indonesia Annual Report, the Indonesian Ministry of Trade Institute, and Exchange Corner Financial Data. To analyze the data of this study used a multiple linear regression analysis tool that aims to determine the effect of the money supply, inflation, and SBI interest rates on the Composite Stock Price Index using SPSS statistical tools. Based on this research, the research method used in the first hypothesis is the Statistical t test and the second is the Statistical F test. Based on the results of this study indicate that the variable Money Supply has a significant effect on the Composite Stock Price Index. For the inflation variable does not have a significant effect on the Composite Stock Price Index. And the SBI Interest Rate variable has a significant effect on the Composite Stock Price Index. Together these three independent variables (Amount of Money Supply, Inflation, SBI Interest Rates) have a significant influence on the dependent variable (Composite Stock Price Index).


2018 ◽  
Vol 6 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Siska Wahyuni Sukamto

This studi was conducted to determine the effect macro economic variable of inflation, interest rate, and exchange rate againts the stock price indeks on indonesia stock exchange, and look for variables that effect most dominant among the three variables in the stock price index. Type of research is quantitative research, using multiple regression analysis, F test, t test and standardized coefficient as a tool of analysis in this study. Results of the study found that the variables inflation, interest rate, and exchange rate either simultaneously is significant effect on stock price index. Either partially the inflation variable has a significant effect on stock price index, while the variable interest rate have a significant negative effect on the stock price index, and the exchange rate has a significant effect on the stock price index, inflation variable are the most dominany effect on stock price index on Indonesia Stock Exchange


2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Imaduddin Murdifin ◽  
Suriyanti Andi Mangkona

This study aimed to examine the effect of Composite Stock Price Index (Composite Stock Price Index (CSPI)), the exchange rate, and interest rates on stock prices of mining companies listed in Indonesia stock Exchange. This research is associative with quantitative approach. Data were analyzed using panel data regression. The data used is secondary data such as financial data, and the percentage of monthly interest rates over the last three years. The collection of data taken with documentation techniques derived from published reports of Bank Indonesia and the Indonesia Stock Exchange. Sampling was done by purposive sampling with the number nine companies. The results showed that the CSPI and interest rates but not significant positive effect on stock prices. The rupiah exchange rate and significant negative effect on stock prices. Simultaneously the composite stock price index, the rupiah exchange rate, and interest rates have a significant effect on stock prices of mining companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange


2017 ◽  
Vol 4 (6) ◽  
pp. 449
Author(s):  
Nining Khoirun Nisa ◽  
Raditya Sukmana

Based on this, researchers are interested to know and analyze the effect of macroeconomic indicators consisting of Inflation, Interest Rate, Foreign Exchange and Production Index on Stock Price Index of the Jakarta Islamic Index (JII). This study uses a quantitative approach. The sampling technique used is the technique of sampling nonprobabilitas. The type of data in this study of time series data.The results of this study indicate that inflation and interest rates significantly affect the stock price index Jakarta Islamic Index (JII). Foreign exchange rates and the production index did not significantly affect the stock price index Jakarta Islamic Index (JII).


2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
pp. 46
Author(s):  
Andita Meilasari

This study aims to determine the effect of inflation, interest rates, and the exchange rate of the dollar (USA) on the LQ45 stock price index. Data collection techniques are a method of Documentation. For test instruments using classic assumption tests and tests Statistics. Data analysis techniques using some linear regression for variables using four variables, test F and test t. The results showed that variable inflation (X1), interest rate (X2), and exchange rate (X3) simultaneously LQ45 stock price index on the Indonesia Stock Exchange (Y).


2020 ◽  
Vol 6 (2) ◽  
pp. 121
Author(s):  
Daniar Primavistanti ◽  
Aftoni Sutanto

This research aimed to analyze and test the effect of inflation rates, interest rate and exchange rate  on the stok price index  at the stock exchange in 2013–2015. Independent variable used are inflation, interest rates, and exchange rates. While the dependent variable is the stock price index. The object of this research  is in the market listed  on the stock price index. The  inflation  rates, interest rates,  and  the  exchange  rate that  are  taken  from Indonesian Bank. The  analytical  method used is the classic assumption test and regression test. Based  on  the  survey  result revealed  that in partial  inflation and the exchange  rate does not  significantaly  influence the Stock  Exchange  Composite Index. While the variable interest rate significantly influence the Stock Exchange Composite Index. The test results simultaneosly show variable inflation, interest rates and exchange rates have an influence on the Stock Exchange  Composite Index. The coefficient of determination was 28,3%.


Author(s):  
Dahlia Br. Pinem

The economics of one country with other countries are interconnected because of the business relationship, especially since the developed countries greatly affect the economics of developing countries, so that the stock market in developed countries such as Dow Jones (DJIA) index, Footsie London Index (FTSE), Singapore Index (STI), Tokyo Nikkei Index (N225), Korea KOSPI Index (KS11), Hang Seng Hongkong Index (HSI) affect the Composite Stock Price Index (CSPI). The purpose of this study is to determine the influence of global stock indices on the Composite Stock Price Index (CSPI). In addition to the global macroeconomics index of Indonesia's Stock Index like the US Dollar against the rupiah, interest rates greatly affect the Composite Stock Price Index. The method of the sample research was conducted by judgment sampling. Hypothesis testing in this research is conducted by Multiple Regression. The results obtained simultaneously (F test) variables (FTSE, Dow Jones index, STI, KS 11, Hangseng, Nikkei 225, Dollar/USD exchange rate, interest rate, Inflation) have a significant effect on CSPI. Yet, only partially variable interest rate is not significant, while the other partially affects the CSPI.


2019 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
pp. 100
Author(s):  
Chendra Gunawan ◽  
Carunia Mulya Firdausy

This research aims to find out and analyze the effects of variable GDP, Inflation, Interest rates, Exchange rate on share prices of listed property sector in Indonesia Stock Exchange. The object population in this study is a company incorporated in the listed Property & Real Estate Index sector (JAKPROP) in Indonesia Stock Exchange (BEI) from 2008 to 2017. This study uses Ordinary Least Square analysis to determine the effect of independent variables on the Property & Real Estate Index sector JAKPROP. Based on t test, GDP is significant, Inflation is not significant and BI Interest rate is significant effect, while the variable Exchange rate have a significant effect on property and Real Estate sector stock price index. Results simultaneously with the F test showed that all the independent variable significantly influenced on the stock price index Property & Real Estate sector. So, the result is the independen variable GDP, Bi-rate & Exchange-rate has an influence effect on the stock price index of listed Property & Real Estate sector JAKPROP in Indonesia Stock Exchange. 


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