scholarly journals Secular variations and trends in the occurrence of monsoon synoptic systems and its impact on central India rainfall

MAUSAM ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 60 (3) ◽  
pp. 309-316
Author(s):  
D. M. RASE ◽  
M. P. SHEVALE ◽  
S. I. M. RIZVI
Keyword(s):  
Central India ◽  
Low Pressure ◽  
Indian Region ◽  
Regular Pattern ◽  
Annual Variability ◽  
Secular Variations ◽  
Monsoon Depressions ◽  
Using Data ◽  
Low Pressure Systems

Importance of monsoon depressions, Low Pressure Systems (LPS) and the number of LPS days on rainfall and hence indirectly on agriculture and hydrology, is well recognized.      In this paper the pattern of annual variability in these systems have been examined using data from 1901-2000. The above mentioned parameters have been subjected to decadal analysis to detect presence of any regular pattern. An attempt has been made to find its tendency with time.  Impact of these systems on central India rainfall has been determined and discussed.     The study endorses the earlier findings that there is a   decreasing trend in the frequency of depressions which has been compensated with increase in LPS days over Indian region in recent years.  The rainfall over central India is more significantly related with a number of LPS days over Indian region.

scholarly journals Projected Changes in South Asian Monsoon Low Pressure Systems

2020 ◽  
Vol 33 (17) ◽  
pp. 7275-7287 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wenhao Dong ◽  
Yi Ming ◽  
V. Ramaswamy
Keyword(s):  
South Asian ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Asian Summer Monsoon ◽  
Central India ◽  
Low Pressure ◽  
Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory ◽  
South Asian Summer Monsoon ◽  
Projected Changes ◽  
Low Pressure Systems

AbstractMonsoon low pressure systems (MLPSs) are among the most important synoptic-scale disturbances of the South Asian summer monsoon. Potential changes in their characteristics in a warmer climate would have broad societal impacts. Yet, the findings from a few existing studies are inconclusive. We use the Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory (GFDL) coupled climate model CM4.0 to examine the projected changes in the simulated MLPS activity under a future emission scenario. It is shown that CM4.0 can skillfully simulate the number, genesis location, intensity, and lifetime of MLPSs. Global warming gives rise to a significant decrease in MLPS activity. An analysis of several large-scale environmental variables, both dynamic and thermodynamic, suggests that the decrease in MLPS activity can be attributed mainly to a reduction in low-level relative vorticity over the core genesis region. The decreased vorticity is consistent with weaker large-scale ascent, which leads to less vorticity production through the stretching term in the vorticity equation. Assuming a fixed radius of influence, the projected reduction in MLPSs would significantly lower the associated precipitation over north-central India, despite an overall increase in mean precipitation.

scholarly journals Multiscale interactions between monsoon intra-seasonal oscillations and low pressure systems that produce heavy rainfall events of different spatial extents

2021 ◽  
pp. 1-36
Author(s):  
Akshaya C Nikumbh ◽  
Arindam Chakraborty ◽  
G.S. Bhat ◽  
Dargan M. W. Frierson
Keyword(s):  
Large Scale ◽  
Thermodynamic Characteristics ◽  
Central India ◽  
Low Pressure ◽  
Monsoon Trough ◽  
The Other ◽  
Rainfall Events ◽  
Other Hand ◽  
Seasonal Oscillations ◽  
Low Pressure Systems

AbstractThe sub-seasonal and synoptic-scale variability of the Indian summer monsoon rainfall are controlled primarily by monsoon intra-seasonal oscillations (MISO) and low pressure systems (LPS), respectively. The positive and negative phases of MISO lead to alternate epochs of above-normal (active) and below-normal (break) spells of rainfall. LPSs are embedded within the different phases of MISO and are known to produce heavy precipitation events over central India. Whether the interaction with the MISO phases modulates the precipitation response of LPSs, and thereby the characteristics of extreme rainfall events (EREs) remains unaddressed in the available literature. In this study, we analyze the LPSs that produce EREs of various spatial extents viz., Small, Medium, and Large over central India from 1979 to 2012. We also compare them with the LPSs that pass through central India and do not give any ERE (LPS-noex). We find that thermodynamic characteristics of LPSs that trigger different spatial extents of EREs are similar. However, they show differences in their dynamic characteristics. The ERE producing LPSs are slower, moister and more intense than LPS-noex. The LPSs that lead to Medium and Large EREs tend to occur during the positive phase of MISO when an active monsoon trough is present over central India. On the other hand, LPS-noex and the LPSs that trigger Small EREs occur mainly during the neutral or negative phases of the MISO. The large-scale dynamic forcing, intensification of LPSs, and diabatic generation of low-level potential vorticity due to the presence of active monsoon trough help in the organization of convection and lead to Medium and Large EREs. On the other hand, the LPSs that form during the negative or neutral phases of MISO do not intensify much during their lifetime and trigger scattered convection, leading to EREs of small size.

Statistics of Monsoon Low Pressure Systems in the Indian Subcontinent and Estimation of Related Extreme Rainfall Risk

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tresa Mary Thomas ◽  
Govindasamy Bala ◽  
Srinivas Venkata Vemavarapu
Keyword(s):  
Extreme Precipitation ◽  
Activity Index ◽  
Indian Subcontinent ◽  
Central India ◽  
Extreme Rainfall ◽  
Low Pressure ◽  
Height Anomaly ◽  
Historical Period ◽  
New Approach ◽  
Low Pressure Systems

<p>Indian monsoon, which spans through the months of June-September, brings in copious rain for the agriculture dependent country India. Monsoon low pressure systems (LPS) are the major rain bearers during the season. Apart from being a lifeline, they are also cited as a cause of disastrous floods in the country. Various approaches have been attempted to locate and track these LPS. Inconsistency exists among  them in statistics of LPS not only for the historical period, but also in future projections of these systems. We have developed an improved tracking scheme in this study. . The new approach takes into consideration geopotential height anomaly condition and is  named Automated Tracking algorithm using geopotential criteria (ATAGC). The approach is validated by comparing characteristics of LPS identified by it with those identified in previous studies. On average, around 14 LPS  each year are identified by the new approach, which comprise 9 lows, 4 depressions and about one deep depression. Further, the annual average number for LPS days is estimated as 68. The LPS mostly form over north part of Bay of Bengal and move north-westwards. Synoptic Activity Index, which quantifies LPS risk at a location in terms of both frequency and intensity of the system, shows that locations in the coastal regions of central India are highly affected by LPS. But the effect in terms of extreme rainfall is not localized near  the coast. Even though contribution of LPS towards total monsoon rainfall and total extreme precipitation has been analyzed in previous studies, the risk in terms of extreme rainfall due to LPS has not been assessed. In this study, extreme rainfall risk map in terms of average extreme precipitation and 90 percentile precipitation observed at a location in the vicinity of an LPS is determined. An average extreme rainfall of 60-100mm/day and 90 percentile extreme rainfall of 150-250mm/day is estimated at many locations in Central Indian region due to LPS. While analyzing continuous spells of rainfall, it is found  that along with LPS, topography of a region has considerable effect on the duration of the spells.</p>

scholarly journals Summer monsoon low pressure systems over the Indian region and their relationship with the sub-divisional rainfall

MAUSAM ◽  
2022 ◽  
Vol 53 (2) ◽  
pp. 177-186
Author(s):  
S. K. JADHAV
Keyword(s):  
Summer Monsoon ◽  
Monsoon Season ◽  
Correlation Coefficients ◽  
Central India ◽  
Low Pressure ◽  
Northeast India ◽  
Indian Region ◽  
Pressure System ◽  
Peninsular India ◽  
Latitude Belt

In the present paper performance of the monthly sub-divisional summer monsoon rainfall is studied in association with the position of the Low Pressure System (LPS) over the Indian region. Existence of the LPS over a particular location increases the rainfall activities in certain parts of the country while decreases in some other parts. For this study, the Indian region (5°-35° N and 60° -100° E) is divided into 5°  Lat. ´ 5° Long. grids. The duration of LPS is taken in terms of LPS days with respect to the location of LPS in a particular grid. Monthly total number of LPS days in each of the grids are computed during the summer monsoon season, June to September for the period 1891 – 1990. Maximum number of LPS days (more than half of the total) are observed in the latitude belt between 20°-25°N. The percentages of total LPS days in this area are higher in July and August which are peak monsoon months as compared to June and September. When there is a LPS are in the area 20°-25° N and 80°-90° E, there is significant increase in the rainfall activities in the sub-divisions along mean monsoon trough while northeast India and southeast peninsular India experience significant decrease in rainfall in the months of July and August. Owing to the movement of LPS from east to west through central India, most parts of the country, excluding northeast India and south peninsular India get good rainfall activity. Correlation coefficients between monthly LPS days over the different grids and monthly sub-divisional rainfall are computed to study the relationships. The performance of sub-divisional rainfall mostly related with the occurrence of LPS in certain grid- locations. The correlation field maps may give some useful information about rainfall performance due to LPS in a particular grid locations.

scholarly journals Composite Structure of Monsoon Low Pressure Systems and Its Relation to Indian Rainfall

2010 ◽  
Vol 23 (16) ◽  
pp. 4285-4305 ◽  
Author(s):  
V. Krishnamurthy ◽  
R. S. Ajayamohan
Keyword(s):  
Monsoon Rainfall ◽  
Total Duration ◽  
Daily Rainfall ◽  
Central India ◽  
Low Pressure ◽  
Rainfall Pattern ◽  
Indian Rainfall ◽  
Northwest India ◽  
Monsoon Winds ◽  
Low Pressure Systems

Abstract The tropical disturbances formed in the Bay of Bengal and the Arabian Sea and over land points in central India, known as low pressure systems (LPSs), are shown to contribute significantly to the seasonal monsoon rainfall over India. Analyses of daily rainfall over India and statistics of the LPSs for the period of 1901–2003 show that the rainfall pattern when the LPSs are present captures the most dominant daily rainfall pattern that represents the active monsoon phase. The rainfall pattern when the LPSs are absent is similar to the pattern representing the break monsoon phase. The location, number, and duration of the LPSs are found to be closely related to the phases and propagation of the dominant intraseasonal modes of the Indian rainfall. The LPSs are also associated with the strengthening of the monsoon trough and low-level monsoon winds. The number of LPSs and their total duration and the corresponding rainfall during July and August exceed those in June and September. The LPS tracks reach up to northwest India during flood years, whereas they are confined to central India during drought years. However, the contribution of rainfall during the LPSs to the total seasonal rainfall is same during flood or drought years. Although the LPSs seem to play an important role in the monsoon rainfall, they alone may not determine the interannual variability of the seasonal mean monsoon rainfall.

scholarly journals Springtime daily variations in lower-tropospheric ozone over east Asia: the role of cyclonic activity and pollution as observed from space with IASI

2015 ◽  
Vol 15 (18) ◽  
pp. 10839-10856 ◽  
Author(s):  
G. Dufour ◽  
M. Eremenko ◽  
J. Cuesta ◽  
C. Doche ◽  
G. Foret ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Carbon Monoxide ◽  
East Asia ◽  
Tropospheric Ozone ◽  
North China Plain ◽  
North China ◽  
Low Pressure ◽  
The North ◽  
The North China Plain ◽  
Co Observations ◽  
Low Pressure Systems

Abstract. We use satellite observations from IASI (Infrared Atmospheric Sounding Interferometer) on board the MetOp-A satellite to evaluate the springtime daily variations in lower-tropospheric ozone over east Asia. The availability of semi-independent columns of ozone from the surface up to 12 km simultaneously with CO columns provides a powerful observational data set to diagnose the processes controlling tropospheric ozone enhancement on synoptic scales. By combining IASI observations with meteorological reanalyses from ERA-Interim, we develop an analysis method based only on IASI ozone and CO observations to identify the respective roles of the stratospheric source and the photochemical source in ozone distribution and variations over east Asia. The succession of low- and high-pressure systems drives the day-to-day variations in lower-tropospheric ozone. A case study analysis of one frontal system and one cut-off low system in May 2008 shows that reversible subsiding and ascending ozone transfers in the upper-troposphere–lower-stratosphere (UTLS) region, due to the tropopause perturbations occurring in the vicinity of low-pressure systems, impact free and lower-tropospheric ozone over large regions, especially north of 40° N, and largely explain the ozone enhancement observed with IASI for these latitudes. Irreversible stratosphere–troposphere exchanges of ozone-rich air masses occur more locally in the southern and southeastern flanks of the trough. The contribution to the lower-tropospheric ozone column is difficult to dissociate from the tropopause perturbations generated by weather systems. For regions south of 40° N, a significant correlation has been found between lower-tropospheric ozone and carbon monoxide (CO) observations from IASI, especially over the North China Plain (NCP). Considering carbon monoxide observations as a pollutant tracer, the O3–CO correlation indicates that the photochemical production of ozone from primary pollutants emitted over such large polluted regions significantly contributes to the ozone enhancements observed in the lower troposphere via IASI. When low-pressure systems circulate over the NCP, stratospheric and pollution sources play a concomitant role in the ozone enhancement. IASI's 3-D observational capability allows the areas in which each source dominates to be determined. Moreover, the studied cut-off low system has enough potential convective capacity to uplift pollutants (ozone and CO) and to transport them to Japan. The increase in the enhancement ratio of ozone to CO from 0.16 on 12 May over the North China Plain to 0.28 over the Sea of Japan on 14 May indicates photochemical processing during the plume transport.

scholarly journals Indian Monsoon Low-Pressure Systems Feed Up-and-Over Moisture Transport to the Southwestern Tibetan Plateau

2017 ◽  
Vol 122 (22) ◽  
pp. 12,140-12,151 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wenhao Dong ◽  
Yanluan Lin ◽  
Jonathon S. Wright ◽  
Yuanyu Xie ◽  
Fanghua Xu ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Tibetan Plateau ◽  
Moisture Transport ◽  
Indian Monsoon ◽  
Low Pressure ◽  
Low Pressure Systems
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