scholarly journals The Application of Altman’s Z-Score Model in Predicting Bankruptcy: Evidence from the Trading Sector in Sri Lanka

2015 ◽  
Vol 10 (12) ◽  
pp. 269 ◽  
Author(s):  
Aloy Niresh J. ◽  
Pratheepan T.
Keyword(s):  
Sri Lanka ◽  
Early Warning ◽  
Financial Distress ◽  
Safe Zone ◽  
Grey Zone ◽  
Z Score ◽  
Financial Reports ◽  
Financial Position ◽  
Score Model

Prediction of bankruptcy is crucial as the early warning may change entire complications and may avoid the high cost that is associated with distress. The main purpose of this study is to examine the likelihood of bankruptcy of the firms belonging to the Trading Sector in Sri Lanka. The research used data from the financial reports of seven trading companies for a period of the last five years from 2010 to 2014. Altman’s original (1968) bankruptcy model has been applied in order to classify the companies in various levels of financial position namely safe, grey and distress. Findings reveal that 71% of the companies belonging to the Trading Sector were in financial distress and the rest of whole 29% were in the grey zone. The fact that none of the companies lie under the safe zone highlights that as a whole the sector is in a menace.

scholarly journals ANALISIS PENILAIAN FINANCIAL DISTRESS MENGGUNAKAN MODEL ALTMAN (Z-SCORE) PADA PERUSAHAAN FARMASI YANG TERDAFTAR DI BURSA EFEK INDONESIA PERIODE 2013-2015

2017 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
pp. 55
Author(s):  
Sri Yati ◽  
Katarina Intan Afni Patunrui
Keyword(s):  
Financial Distress ◽  
Sampling Method ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Pharmaceutical Companies ◽  
Z Score ◽  
Financial Reports ◽  
Book Value ◽  
Total Debt ◽  
Score Model

This study aims to observe the financial distress assessment for pharmaceutical companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange using the Altman Z-Score model. The sample is selected using purposive sampling method. Ten pharmaceutical companies were selected with the criteria listed in the Indonesia Stock Exchange (BEI) and regularly published financial reports in 2013 until 2015. Secondary data was derived from www.idx.co.id site.  The results indicate that the Altman Z-Score model can be implemented in detecting the possibility of financial distress in the pharmaceutical company. Working capital to total assets and book value equity to book value of total debt are two determinant variables which is determining the decrease in Z-score value in this research.  One from ten companies have the lowest value of the Z-Score and experiencing financial distress. For two years, the company is in distress zones but in the third year, the company is managed to increase the value of the company and included in the gray zones. This company must continue to strive in order to stabilize the company's financial and asset utilization to obtain maximum profit, and until it was declared as a healthy company.

scholarly journals Potensi Financial Distress Bank Umum Syariah di Indonesia

2020 ◽  
Vol 5 (3) ◽  
pp. 156
Author(s):  
Nelmida Nelmida
Keyword(s):  
Financial Distress ◽  
Safe Zone ◽  
Grey Zone ◽  
Z Score ◽  
Purposive Sampling

Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengidentifikasikan potensi financial distress Bank Umum Syariah di Indonesia. Populasi penelitian ini adalah seluruh Bank Umum Syariah yang terdaftar pada Otoritas Jasa Keuangan (OJK) kecuali Bank Pembangunan Daerah Syariah. Teknik sampling yang digunakan adalah dengan teknik purposive sampling dengan jumlah sampel 11 Bank mum Syariah dengan periode penelitian dari tahun 2015 sampai 2018. Model analisis yang digunakan untuk menditeksi potensi financial distress adalah model Z Score Altman yang dimodeifikasi untuk perusahaan non manufacture yang tidak terdaftar pada pasar modal. Berdasarkan hasil analisis data diperoleh 10 (sepuluh) Bank Umum Syariah yaitu PT. Bank BNI Syariah, PT. Bank Syariah Mandiri, PT. Bank Mega Syariah, PT. Bank Maybank Syariah Indonesia, PT. Bank Victoria Syariah, PT. Bank BRI Syariah, TBK, PT. Bank Panin Dubai Syariah, TBK, PT. Bank Syariah Bukopin, PT. Bank BCA Syariah, dan PT. Bank Tabungan Pensiunan Nasional Syariah dengan kondisi sehat atau berada pada area Safe Zone, sedangkan 1(satu) Bank Umum Syariah PT. Bank Muamalat Indonesia Tbk dengan kondisi kurang sehat atau berada pada area Grey Zone

scholarly journals Analysis of the financial position of mill companies in Vojvodina

2020 ◽  
Vol 24 (3-4) ◽  
pp. 119-122
Author(s):  
Dragana Tekić ◽  
Beba Mutavdžić ◽  
Nebojša Novković ◽  
Tihomir Novaković ◽  
Nataša Vukelić
Keyword(s):  
Financial Stability ◽  
Test Model ◽  
Z Score ◽  
Financial Reports ◽  
Financial Ratio ◽  
Quick Test ◽  
Financial Position ◽  
The Subject ◽  
Score Model

The subject of this research is the financial position of mill companies in Vojvodina. The specific aim of the research is to analyze the is to compare the applied models for the analysis of the financial position. The basis of the analysis are the financial reports of the observed companies in the period from 2015 to 2019. The analysis of the financial position was performed using two models: Altman's Z-score model and Kralicek's Quick test model. These models use standard financial ratio indicators to assess the risk of bankruptcy of companies, i.e. their financial stability and profitability. The obtained results suggest that the company MLINTEST stood out as the most successful company and that the company KIKINDSKI MLIN stood out as the company with the worst financial position. Both models gave similar results, and their further use is recommended when analyzing the financial position of mill companies in Vojvodina financial position, i.e. to assess the risk of bankruptcy of medium-sized mill companies in Vojvodina. The general aim of the research.

scholarly journals BANKRUPTCY PREDICTION ANALYSIS USING THE ZMIJEWSKI MODEL (X-SCORE) AND THE ALTMAN MODEL (Z-SCORE)

2020 ◽  
Vol 1 (5) ◽  
pp. 794-806
Author(s):  
Viciwati Viciwati
Keyword(s):  
Financial Distress ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Bankruptcy Prediction ◽  
Z Score ◽  
Accuracy Rate ◽  
Financial Reports ◽  
Normality Test ◽  
The Difference ◽  
Score Model

This study aims to identify and analyze the accurate models of Financial Distress in retail companies listed on the Indonesian Stock Exchange in 2014-2018 using the Zmijewski (X-Score) and Altman (Z-Score) Model. The sample used is 70. This study uses secondary data from the 2014-2018 annual financial reports. This study tested the hypothesis using the normality test and the Kruskal Wallis test or the difference test using SPSS version 26. The results of this study indicate that the Zmijewski (X-Score) model is the model that has the highest accuracy rate in predicting bankruptcy with an accuracy rate of 90%.

scholarly journals PENERAPAN MODEL ALTMAN Z-SCORE DALAM MENGUKUR POTENSI KEBANGKRUTAN (STUDI KASUS PADA PERUSAHAAN PERBANKAN BUMN YANG TERDAFTAR DI BURSA EFEK INDONESIA TAHUN 2018 & 2019)

2021 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
pp. 148-158
Author(s):  
Rofinus Leki Rofinus Leki
Keyword(s):  
Financial Performance ◽  
Performance Improvement ◽  
Financial Distress ◽  
Safe Zone ◽  
The Other ◽  
Financial Health ◽  
Z Score ◽  
Gray Area ◽  
Sustainability Research ◽  
Score Model

Abstract: This   research   is   a   sustainability   research,   which   uses   the   same   non- manufacturing Altman Z-Score model, with the aim of re-examining the financial health sustainability of the four BUMN banks that the author has studied in 2017 and in 2019. The four BUMN banks are Bank Negara Indonesia (Persero) Tbk PT, Bank Rakyat Indonesia (Persero) Tbk. PT, Bank Tabungan Negara (Persero) Tbk PT,  Bank  Mandiri  (Persero)  Tbk  PT.  The  results  showed  that  PT.  Bank  BTN (Persero) Tbk has a Z-score that has improved in 2018 and 2019, compared to previous years, namely in 2014, 2015, 2016, and 2017. Currently PT. Bank BTN (Persero) Tbk., has moved from the potential financial distress into a "gray area" (improving). Meanwhile, the other three BUMN banks are consistently in the gray area category with a Z-score above 1.2 but below a Z-score of 2.9. The results of this study also show that there is a significant financial performance improvement in every BUMN banking company, but has decreased somewhat in 2019  at Bank BNI (Persero), Tbk. PT and Bank BRI (Persero) Tbk.PT. Be expected is   that   with   the   continuous   and   consistent   improvement   in   financial performance, the financial health position of BUMN Banking (Persero) Tbk can immediately move to the "safe zone".   Keywords: Financial Health of BUMN Banks, Altman Z-Score Model

scholarly journals PREDICTION OF FINANCIAL DISTRESS IN THE AUTOMOTIVE COMPONENT INDUSTRY: AN APPLICATION OF ALTMAN, SPRINGATE, OHLSON, AND ZMIJEWSKI MODELS

2020 ◽  
Vol 1 (4) ◽  
pp. 606-618
Author(s):  
Hendra Pratama ◽  
Bambang Mulyana
Keyword(s):  
Panel Data ◽  
Financial Distress ◽  
Sampling Technique ◽  
Safe Zone ◽  
Financial Ratios ◽  
Grey Zone ◽  
Z Score ◽  
Automotive Component ◽  
Automotive Component Industry ◽  
Early Warnings

This study aims to identify and examine the condition of financial distress in the automotive component industry issuers in the period 2014 ~ 2018, using the Altman Z-score, Springate S-score, Ohlson O-score, and Zmijewski X-score against financial ratios as an analysis form of company management to predict the early warnings of company bankruptcy. This study uses quantitative, secondary, and panel data; while the sample uses a non-probability boring sampling technique of 11 companies. The results showed that these four models can predict financial distress by identifying each model. Altman’s model found 8 distress zone points, 16 grey zone points, and 31 safe zone points. Springate’s model found 37 points in the distress zone, and 18 points in the safe zone. Ohlson's model found 3 points in the distress zone, and 52 points in the safe zone. Zmijewski's model found only 1 point in the distress zone

scholarly journals ANALISIS PREDIKSI FINANCIAL DISTRESS DENGAN MENGGUNAKAN MODEL ALTMAN Z-SCORE PADA PERUSAHAAN RITEL TAHUN 2018-2020

KEUNIS ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (2) ◽  
pp. 132
Author(s):  
Dian Pertiwi ◽  
Alvianita Gunawan Putri
Keyword(s):  
Financial Distress ◽  
Safe Zone ◽  
Retail Sector ◽  
Gray Zone ◽  
Z Score ◽  
Financial Conditions ◽  
Analysis Technique ◽  
Score Model ◽  
The Impact

<em><span lang="EN-US">The retail sector is one of the sectors affected by the covid-19 pandemic. Giant is one of the hypermarkets that has closed several outlets from 2019 to 2021 permanently closed. This is due to suboptimal financial performance and exacerbated by the impact of the covid-19 pandemic. The purpose of this study is to analyze financial distress predictions in the retail sector. This study uses a sample of retail public sector companies that run hypermarket, superstore and minimarket businesses. The research analysis technique used the original Altman Z-Score model, which was developed in 1968. This study indicates generally companies are in the “safe” zone for 2018 and 2019, except for HERO, which is in the “gray” zone. Furthermore, in 2020, several companies are still in the "safe" zone, except MIDI and RALS shifting to the "gray" zone and even HERO shifting to the "distress" zone. The implications of the results of this study provide information for retail companies to pay attention to their financial conditions so that they can determine long-term strategies to have long business sustainability.</span></em>

scholarly journals Validity of Altman Z-Score Model to Predict Financial Failure: Evidence From Jordan

2018 ◽  
Vol 10 (8) ◽  
pp. 181 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sufian Al-Manaseer ◽  
Suleiman Al-Oshaibat
Keyword(s):  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Financial Statement ◽  
Insurance Companies ◽  
Z Score ◽  
Financial Reports ◽  
Financial Failure ◽  
Amman Stock Exchange ◽  
The Face ◽  
The Subject ◽  
Score Model

This paper aims to investigate the Validity of Altman z-score model to predict financial failure in insurance companies listed on Amman Stock Exchange (ASE) over the period 2011-2016. To achieve the goal of the study, the study depended on the different statistics analytical method and Multiple Linear Regression through doing the statistical analysis of the independent variables on the dependent variable related to the subject of the study through the (E-views) program in order to cover the analytical part of the study, in addition to the descriptive method through relying on books, periodicals, previous studies and financial reports of the insurance companies of the study’ sample, whether the direct or the indirect ones, to cover the theoretical part. The result of the study finds a high predictive power for Z-score model. Moreover, the findings reveal that Z-Score model could be valuable instrumental indicators for many users of financial statement such as financial managers, auditors, lenders, investors, to make right decisions in the face of financial failure.

scholarly journals Analysis of bankruptcy issues at manufacturing companies, sub-sectors of cosmetics and houseappliances registered in Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX) year 2015-2017 using Altman Z-score

2019 ◽  
Vol 4 (01) ◽  
pp. 27
Author(s):  
Indar Khaerunnisa ◽  
Nur Anisa Rahayu
Keyword(s):  
Financial Performance ◽  
Financial Distress ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Manufacturing Companies ◽  
Z Score ◽  
Marketing Performance ◽  
Grey Area ◽  
Manufacturing Company ◽  
Score Model

This research aims to figure out the level of companies bankruptcy by applying Altman Z-Score at the manufacturing companies registered in the Indonesia Stocks Exchange. The result of the research has indicated that ZScore model is applicable to detect the company’s potential bankruptcy issues, especially manufacturing company subsectors of cosmetics and houseappliances. Altman Z-Score model has classified the companies into three categories; safe, grey area and distress. Based on the result of the research, for the companies which are in the grey area category are suggested to improve their financial performance and to use the benefit of all the assets properly to get the revenue as much as possible. However, for the companies which are in the safe category are suggested to increase their performance, especially marketing performance so that they will receive bigger amount of the revenue, nevertheless, the potential of financial distress can be minimized accordingly. Keywords: manufacturing company, financial distress, Altman Z-Score.

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