scholarly journals The Effect of Dividend Initiation on Short-run Return in Indonesia: An Event Study with Propensity Score Matching Approach

2016 ◽  
Vol 11 (12) ◽  
pp. 207
Author(s):  
Bambang Sugeng
Keyword(s):  
Propensity Score ◽  
Propensity Score Matching ◽  
Event Study ◽  
Dividend Policy ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Traditional Approach ◽  
Abnormal Returns ◽  
Listed Firms ◽  
Study Approach ◽  
Short Run

<p>Dividend initiation policy offers a relatively unique practical and conceptual characteristics compared to those of regular dividend. This study aims at investigating whether initial dividend policy of Indonesian firms affects short-run stock return, while further exploring the implementation of a new event study approach, <em>propensity score matching</em>, as an experimental-like design. This approach is based on actual rather than estimated abnormal return commonly used in traditional approach. Applying this new approach, this study found no significant abnormal returns around dividend initiation announcement by firms listed in Indonesia Stock Exchange. The findings imply that the dividend initiation behavior of Indonesian firms is proved not fully to follow the theoretical framework of signaling model, a dividend model which is basically developed primarily based on regular dividend behavior. The results partly contradict those findings mostly resulted from researchs conducted in advanced market context but seem to support contextuality argument of dividend policy. From methodological perspective, this study identified that the use of propensity score matching approach needs a large number of firms from which control firms are selected, accordingly the study conducted in market with limited number of listed firms such as in Indonesia could generates selection problem of control firms that optimally match treated firms.</p>

scholarly journals Dampak Stock Split terhadap Abnormal Return dengan Pendekatan Event Study pada Emiten yang Terdaftar di Bursa Efek Indonesia

2021 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Achmad Azis Fauzi ◽  
Ali Mutasowifin
Keyword(s):  
Event Study ◽  
Sampling Method ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Abnormal Returns ◽  
T Test ◽  
Test Results ◽  
Study Approach ◽  
Stock Split ◽  
Range Theory ◽  
Sample Category

Investing in stock instruments in the capital market is interesting for many investors, both local and foreign. However, when the price of stocks is considered too expensive, that will reduce the purchasing power of investors towards these shares and the liquidity of the shares will decrease as well that will impact the decreasing returns of investors. Overcoming this condition, companies often take corporate action in the form of a stock split. This study analyzes the effect of stock split on abnormal returns of companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange in 2015-2019. Using a purposive sampling method (nonprobability sampling) we obtained 34 companies as a research sample. We use the event study approach for data processing in finding abnormal returns and t-test as well. This study classifies samples into two categories, complex sample category, and sectoral industries. The result shows that for the complex category, there are three out of eleven days of events that have an impact on abnormal returns marked by the t-test results greater than t-table. Whereas in each sectoral industries there are only five affected sectors, three unaffected sectors and one sector cannot be tested due to insufficient data. This result is also consistent with theories related to the stock split, signaling theory, and trading range theory.

scholarly journals Lombok’s Tsunami and Stock Abnormal Returns

2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-8
Author(s):  
Ani Wilujeng Suryani ◽  
Karina Dian Pertiwi
Keyword(s):  
Event Study ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Abnormal Return ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Abnormal Returns ◽  
Insurance Companies ◽  
Study Approach ◽  
Cumulative Abnormal Returns ◽  
Tsunami Earthquakes ◽  
Tsunami Earthquake

Natural disaster often brings damage to the economy, including the decrease of stock’s market value. For this reason, this study aims to determine the effect of the tsunami earthquakes in Lombok in 2018 on abnormal returns and cumulative abnormal returns of insurance companies. This study used the event study approach, with three days window period after the three tsunami earthquakes from July to August 2018. The sample of this study is the stock price of 14 insurance companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange. To test whether abnormal return exists, a one-sample t-test was used on the average abnormal and cumulative returns. The results show that the tsunami earthquake disasters in Lombok in 2018 have a significant effect on cumulative abnormal returns of insurance companies stocks, and this effect even bigger on the third tsunami. This finding shows that the market reacts to continuous disaster by considering the earthquake as negative information and thus decrease the stock price. This study implies that investors may buy the stocks after the disaster to get a cheaper price or hold the stocks to avoid loss. Keywords: abnormal return; event study; Lombok tsunami earthquake; signaling theory

scholarly journals Coronavirus Information Spread and Banks’ Stock Returns in Nigeria: An Event Study Approach

2021 ◽  
Vol 04 (01) ◽  
Author(s):  
Ikwuagwu, Henry Chinedu ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Stock Returns ◽  
Event Study ◽  
Banking Sector ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Abnormal Returns ◽  
Share Prices ◽  
Study Approach ◽  
Corona Virus ◽  
Daily Data ◽  
Information Spread

This research study empirically assessed the corona virus information spread and banks’ stock returns in Nigeria. The study adopted event study approach which suites the research because of its descriptive nature. The daily data of closing share prices of the selected banks listed in Nigerian Stock Exchange (NSE) was collected from NSE website for a period of 146 days. Using 124 days estimation window, the result shows that the Intercept (C) and Market Returns (MKTR) has a coefficient of -0.00125 and -0.00848 respectively. Analyzing the stock of commercial banks in the Nigerian stock exchange during the first 100 days of COVID-19 contagious infectious disease outbreak in Nigeria, we find that the pandemic disease interacts positively with stock returns which is against the expectation. Specifically, banking firms’ abnormal returns on the corona virus information spread at 100th day are positive but insignificant. We therefore conclude that COVID-19 information into the Nigerian banking sector triggers positive investment in the sector with desirable abnormal returns. We therefore call the relevant authorities to adequately consider policy responses implemented in the sector, and to further analyze information about the COVID-19.

How Moroccan institutional investors view dividend policy

2017 ◽  
Vol 43 (12) ◽  
pp. 1332-1347 ◽  
Author(s):  
H. Kent Baker ◽  
Imad Jabbouri
Keyword(s):  
Institutional Investors ◽  
Stock Prices ◽  
Dividend Policy ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Mail Survey ◽  
High Response Rate ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Listed Firms ◽  
Dividend Policies ◽  
Dividend Payments

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to examine how Moroccan institutional investors view dividend policy. It discusses the importance these investors attach to the dividend policy of their investee firms, how much influence they exercise in shaping investee firms’ dividend policies, their reactions to changes in dividends, and their views on various explanations for paying dividends. Design/methodology/approach A mail survey provides a respondent and firm profile and responses to 28 questions involving various explanations for paying dividends and 30 questions on different dividend issues. Findings Institutional investors attach substantial importance to dividend policy and prefer high dividend payments. Although liquidity needs are a major driver, taxes play little role in shaping dividend preferences. Respondents agree with multiple explanations for paying dividends giving the strongest support to catering, bird-in-the-hand, life cycle, signaling, and agency theories. Research limitations/implications Despite a high response rate, the number of respondents limits partitioning the sample and testing for significant differences between different groups. Practical implications The lack of communication between Casablanca Stock Exchange (CSE) listed firms and institutional investors may depress stock prices and increase volatility. The results suggest agency problems and a weak governance environment at the CSE. Originality/value This study documents the importance that institutional investors place on dividend policy, their reactions to changes in their investees’ dividend policy, and the methods used to influence these firms. It extends previous research by reporting the level of support Moroccan institutional investors give to various explanations for paying dividends.

scholarly journals Is ESG Relevant to Electricity Companies during Pandemics? A Case Study on European Firms during COVID-19

2022 ◽  
Vol 14 (2) ◽  
pp. 852
Author(s):  
Florin Teodor Boldeanu ◽  
José Antonio Clemente-Almendros ◽  
Ileana Tache ◽  
Luis Alberto Seguí-Amortegui
Keyword(s):  
Event Study ◽  
Stock Prices ◽  
Initial Phase ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Abnormal Returns ◽  
Negative Influence ◽  
Electricity Sector ◽  
Renewable Electricity ◽  
Study Approach

The electricity sector was negatively impacted by the coronavirus disease (COVID-19), with considerable declines in consumption in the initial phase. Investors were in turmoil, and stock prices for these companies plummeted. The aim of this paper is to demonstrate the significant negative influence of the pandemic on abnormal returns for the electricity sector, specifically for traditional and renewable companies and the influence of ESG scores, using the event study approach and multi-variate regressions. Our results show that the pandemic indeed had a negative impact on the electricity sector, with renewable electricity companies suffering a sharper decline than traditional ones. Moreover, we find that ESG pillar scores affected electricity companies differently and are sector-specific. For renewable electricity companies, the returns were positively influenced by the environmental ESG scores and negatively by governance ESG scores.

scholarly journals The Impact of Dividend Policy on the Shareholders Value of Listed Firms in the Nigerian Petroleum Marketing Industry

2019 ◽  
Vol 8 (2S9) ◽  
pp. 902-905
Keyword(s):  
Dividend Policy ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Market Price ◽  
Study Data ◽  
Annual Reports ◽  
Current Income ◽  
Listed Firms ◽  
Secondary Sources ◽  
Marketing Firms ◽  
The Impact

Dividend policy is directed towards establishing the proportion of current income that should be retained in the firm and the proportion that should be distributed among its shareholders. This study, therefore, assessed the impact of dividend policy on the value of listed firms in the Nigerian petroleum marketing industry. six firms, out of eight that are quoted on the Nigerian Stock Exchange (NSE) were selected as sample for the study. Data were collected from secondary sources. Annual reports and accounts of the selected firms, daily official lists and facts books of the NSE for the period of 2008-2017 form the source of the data. egression was used in analyzing the data. The findings revealed that payment of dividend by petroleum marketing firms in Nigeria positively influence the market price of their shares. Based on these findings, the study concluded that dividend policy of petroleum marketing firms in Nigeria affects the value of the firms. Based on this conclusion, the study recommends that management need to identify the shareholder’s interest in setting up a dividend policy that would balance their needs and retention for recapitalization to maximize value of the firms.

The impact of qualified audit opinion on stock returns: an empirical study at Amman stock exchange

2022 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Rana Bayo Flees ◽  
Sulaiman Mouselli
Keyword(s):  
Stock Returns ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Abnormal Returns ◽  
Market Model ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Going Concern ◽  
Study Approach ◽  
Audit Opinions ◽  
The Impact ◽  
First Time

Purpose This paper aims to investigate the impact of qualified audit opinions on the returns of stocks listed at Amman Stock Exchange (ASE) after the introduction of the recent amendments by the International Auditing and Assurance Standard Board (IAASB) on audits reporting and conclusions. It further investigates if results differ between first time qualified and sequenced qualifications, and between plain qualified opinion and qualifications with going concern. Design/methodology/approach Audit opinions’ announcements and stock returns data are collected from companies’ annual reports for the fiscal years 2016 to 2019 while stock returns are computed from stock closing prices published at ASE website. The authors apply the event study approach and use the market model to calculate normal returns. Cumulative abnormal returns (CARs) and average abnormal returns (AARs) are computed for all qualified audit opinions’ announcements. Findings The empirical evidence suggests that investors at ASE do not react to qualified audit opinions announcements. That is, the authors find an insignificant impact of qualified audit opinion announcements on stock returns using both CAR and AAR estimates. The results are robust to first time and sequenced qualifications, and for qualifications with going concern. Results are also robust to the use of risk adjusted market model. Research limitations/implications The insignificant impact of qualified audit opinions on stock returns have two potential conflicting research implications. First, the new amendments introduced to auditors’ report made them more informative and reduce the negative signals contained in the qualified opinions. That is, investors are now aware of the real causes of qualifications and not overreacting to the qualified opinion. Second, the documented insignificant impact confirms that ASE is not a semi-strong form efficient. Practical implications The apparent excessive use of qualifications should ring the bell on whether auditors misuse their power or companies are really in trouble. Hence, the Jordanian regulatory bodies need to warn auditors against the excessive use of qualifications on the one hand, and to raise the awareness of investors on the implications of auditors’ opinions on the other hand. Originality/value This study is innovative in twofold. First, it explores the impact of qualified audit opinions on stock returns after the introduction of new amendments by IAASB at ASE. In addition, it uses event study approach and distinguishes between first time qualified and sequenced qualifications, and between plain qualified opinion and qualifications with going concern. The results are consistent with efficient market theory and behavioral finance explanations.

scholarly journals Do Regional Election and Presidential Election Affect Stock Exchange? An Event Study in the Indonesian Stock Exchange

2021 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
pp. 71-80
Author(s):  
Khanifah Khanifah ◽  
Agus Triyani ◽  
Suhita Whini Setyahuni
Keyword(s):  
Event Study ◽  
Capital Market ◽  
Trading Volume ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Abnormal Returns ◽  
T Test ◽  
Democratic Politics ◽  
Paired Samples ◽  
Before And After ◽  
Regional Elections

The 2018 simultaneous regional election in Indonesia is something new in the events of democratic politics in Indonesia. The events of the 2018 simultaneous regional election is one of the important events in 2018 that can cause a reaction of capital market to these events. This study aims to examine how the capital market reacts to the simultaneous regional elections in 2018 and presidential elections in 2019, by looking at the differences in the preceding and following periods based on 2 variables, namely abnormal return and trading volume activity. The sample in this study were 30 companies listed in the Indonesian Stock Exchange during 30 periods from February through July 2018. Research Methode This study used an event study. One paired samples T test was used as a technique analysis. The means of each variable within eleven days period was compared. The period of observation is five days before the event, five days after the event, and one day on event day. Based on the results of the parametric statistical calculations, the paired sample t-test showed that there was no difference between the level of abnormal returns before and after the 2018 simultaneous regional elections. On the other hand, there was a difference between trading volume of activity before and after the 2018 simultaneous regional elections.

scholarly journals A critical evaluation of event study approach using M&A events in the Indian banking industry

2016 ◽  
Vol 13 (3) ◽  
pp. 266-272
Author(s):  
Ullas Rao
Keyword(s):  
Event Study ◽  
Critical Evaluation ◽  
Abnormal Returns ◽  
Wealth Effects ◽  
Wealth Status ◽  
Inherent Limitation ◽  
Study Approach ◽  
Cumulative Abnormal Returns ◽  
Study Methodology ◽  
Event Study Methodology

The present study seeks to critically evaluate the most extensively employed technique – event study methodology, employed to capture the returns generated from M&A events on the wealth status of shareholders. Notwithstanding the popularity of the technique, authors in this paper argue that conceptual bases on which the methodology is founded is flawed. In the light of the extensive limitations attributable to event study methodology, there exists an urgent need to suggest improvement in the conceptual framework of the traditional method capable of lending application to capture the wealth effects of M&A events. The authors believe that application of such a modified approach will be much more salvageable as the results derived therefrom will command greater credibility as well as reliability. In order to highlight the inherent limitation of the event study approach, the authors have used the sample of Indian Banking M&A events retrieved from the M&A data available at etintelligence.com . Given the conceptual flaws of the event study approach, the authors argue that researchers must exercise great caution while commenting on the t-statistic observed for CAR (Cumulative Abnormal Returns) values as the statistical insignificance could be arising more out of the conceptual deficiency of the event study approach than pointing towards the neutral impact of an M&A event on the wealth status of the shareholders.

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