scholarly journals Do Regional Election and Presidential Election Affect Stock Exchange? An Event Study in the Indonesian Stock Exchange

2021 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
pp. 71-80
Author(s):  
Khanifah Khanifah ◽  
Agus Triyani ◽  
Suhita Whini Setyahuni
Keyword(s):  
Event Study ◽  
Capital Market ◽  
Trading Volume ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Abnormal Returns ◽  
T Test ◽  
Democratic Politics ◽  
Paired Samples ◽  
Before And After ◽  
Regional Elections

The 2018 simultaneous regional election in Indonesia is something new in the events of democratic politics in Indonesia. The events of the 2018 simultaneous regional election is one of the important events in 2018 that can cause a reaction of capital market to these events. This study aims to examine how the capital market reacts to the simultaneous regional elections in 2018 and presidential elections in 2019, by looking at the differences in the preceding and following periods based on 2 variables, namely abnormal return and trading volume activity. The sample in this study were 30 companies listed in the Indonesian Stock Exchange during 30 periods from February through July 2018. Research Methode This study used an event study. One paired samples T test was used as a technique analysis. The means of each variable within eleven days period was compared. The period of observation is five days before the event, five days after the event, and one day on event day. Based on the results of the parametric statistical calculations, the paired sample t-test showed that there was no difference between the level of abnormal returns before and after the 2018 simultaneous regional elections. On the other hand, there was a difference between trading volume of activity before and after the 2018 simultaneous regional elections.

scholarly journals Capital Market Reaction to Announcements the First Case of Coronavirus

2021 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
pp. 54-58
Author(s):  
Tiara Putri Nadiwa ◽  
Irni Yunita
Keyword(s):  
Capital Market ◽  
Trading Volume ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Abnormal Returns ◽  
Wilcoxon Test ◽  
Volume Activity ◽  
First Case ◽  
Before And After ◽  
The Capital Market ◽  
Normally Distributed

The more important the role of the stock exchange in economic activity, the more sensitive the stock exchange is to various surrounding events, whether they are directly related to economic issues or not. The announcement of the first case of the coronavirus in Indonesia is one of the events that have the potential to affect market behavior. This study aims to analyze the reaction of the capital market to the announcement of the first case of the coronavirus in Indonesia. This study used an event study approach with measurements seen from differences in abnormal returns and trading volume activity before and after the event. The research sample was 45 companies selected by the purposive sampling technique. Data analysis used paired sample t-test on normally distributed data and Wilcoxon test on data not normally distributed. The results showed that there was no difference in abnormal returns and trading volume activity before and after the announcement of the first case of the coronavirus in Indonesia. This study concludes that events do not contain significant information that can influence investors' decisions in the capital market.

scholarly journals The effect of announcement as the host of XVIII Asian Games on the Indonesian stock market

2020 ◽  
Vol 17 (1) ◽  
pp. 109-118
Author(s):  
Andreas ◽  
Tatang Ary Gumanti ◽  
Uliya Nurjannah ◽  
Intan Nurul Awwaliyah
Keyword(s):  
Capital Market ◽  
Trading Volume ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Investment Decision ◽  
Abnormal Returns ◽  
Market Participants ◽  
Significant Difference ◽  
Before And After ◽  
Study Methodology ◽  
The Capital Market

In 2014, Indonesia was announced to be the host the 2018 XVIII Asian Games, the biggest sports event in Asia. This announcement is expected to positively impact the country’s economy and investors as there would be thousands of spectators from both the country and overseas. A direct impact of the event is that Indonesia would prepare the entire venue. This study examines whether the capital market participants react to the announcement. For this purpose it tests a total of 25 companies in the infrastructure, utility, and transportation sectors listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange. A standard event study methodology is employed to examine the existence of abnormal returns around the event. The results show the abnormal returns on two days before and two days after the announcement. However, overall, there are no significant abnormal returns before and after the announcement. The study does not find a significant difference of abnormal returns before and after the announcement. Besides, there was no difference in trading volume activity before and after the announcement as the host of the XVIII Asian Games. In summary, the capital market participants do not consider the event to be a significant issue that determines their investment decision in the capital market.

scholarly journals DAMPAK COVID-19 TERHADAP ABNORMAL RETURN DAN VOLUME PERDAGANGAN SAHAM

2022 ◽  
Vol 18 (1) ◽  
pp. 160-181
Author(s):  
Elvina Cahya Suryadi ◽  
Nungky Viana Feranita
Keyword(s):  
Natural Disaster ◽  
Event Study ◽  
Abnormal Return ◽  
Trading Volume ◽  
Quantitative Research ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Abnormal Returns ◽  
Volume Activity ◽  
Before And After ◽  
Disaster Event

The COVID-19 pandemic is a non-natural disaster that has a huge impact around the world. This research is a quantitative research with event study method. The purpose of this research is to test the capital market reaction by looking at abnormal returns and trading volume activity before and after the COVID-19 non-natural disaster. The event day in this study was April 13rd, 2020 when the Presidential Decree was issued regarding the designation of COVID-19 as a national disaster. Using purposive sampling method, the sample of this study were 27 companies engaged in the hotel, restaurant, and tourism sub-sectors listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange. The event period is 11 days, namely 5 days before the event, 1 day at the time of the event and 5 days after the event. Data analysis using t-test and wilxocon signed ranks test. The results of this study are: 1) there is no abnormal return during the event period, 2) there is no difference in the average abnormal return before and after the COVID-19 non-natural disaster event, 3) there is no difference in the average trading volume activity before and after the COVID-19 non-natural disaster event and after the COVID-19 non-natural disaster event. Keywords: Event Study, Abnormal Return, Trading Volume Activity, COVID-19.

scholarly journals REAKSI SAHAM INDEKS JII TERHADAP PENGUMUMAN RESHUFFLE KABINET KERJA TAHUN 2015 DI BURSA EFEK INDONESIA

2020 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
pp. 36
Author(s):  
Herizka Ayuk Arviani ◽  
Rikha Muftia Khoirunnisa
Keyword(s):  
Stock Prices ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Trading Volume ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Abnormal Returns ◽  
T Test ◽  
Price Reaction ◽  
Before And After ◽  
Stock Price Reaction ◽  
The Difference

This study aims to determine the speed of JII stock price reaction on the Indonesia Stock Exchange around the date of the announcement of the Working Cabinet reshuffle and to analyze the difference in average trade volume in the period before and after the announcement of the Working Cabinet reshuffle. This data collection technique uses population techniques taken by 30 companies in the JII Index for the period June - November 2015 with observation period 10 days before and 10 days after the announcement. Analysis tools that are used to determine the reaction of stock prices before and after using one sample t test while the analytical tool to distinguish the average trading volume using paired sample t test using an alpha level (α) of 10%. The results of the analysis of stock price reactions indicate that there is a JII stock price reaction at Indonesia Stock Exchange in the period before and after the announcement of the Working Cabinet reshuffle. Because abnormal returns occur at H-7, H-4, H-1, H0, H + 1, H + 7 and H + 10. And the results of the average volume test that is there is a difference in the average trading volume before and after the announcement of the Working Cabinet reshuffle. This can be seen from the significance value lower than alpha 10% (0.033 <0.0.1).

scholarly journals Analisis Abnormal Return Disekitar Tanggal Pengumuman Stock Split

2019 ◽  
Vol 2 (2) ◽  
pp. 77
Author(s):  
Sri Yunawati
Keyword(s):  
Abnormal Return ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Abnormal Returns ◽  
T Test ◽  
Significance Level ◽  
Paired Sample ◽  
Paired Samples ◽  
Average Abnormal Return ◽  
Stock Split ◽  
Before And After

The purpose of this study is to prove how the effect of the stock split on abnormal returns and whether there are differences in average abnormal returns before and after the stock split. This research was conducted at a company that conducted a stock split which was listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange in 2017. The method used by a statistical test is one sample t-test (t-test for one sample) at a significance level of a = 5%. Research results show that there is no significant abnormal return when the stock split. And the tests performed on abnormal return averages before and after the stock split using paired sample t-test (t-test for two paired samples) showed that there were no significant differences in the average abnormal return before and after the stock split. Tujuan penelitian ini adalah untuk membuktikan bagaimana pengaruh stock split terhadap abnormal return dan apakah terdapat perbedaan rata-rata abnormal return sebelum dan setelah stock split. Penelitian ini dilakukan pada perusahaan yang melakukan pemecahan saham yang terdaftar di Bursa Efek Indonesia tahun 2017. Metode yang digunakan dengan uji statistik one sampel t-test (uji t untuk satu sampel) pada tingkat signifikansi a =5%. Hasil Penelitian menunjukkan bahwa tidak terdapat abnormal retum yang signifikan pada saat stock split. Dan pengujian yang dilakukan terhadap rata-rata abnormal retun sebelum dan setelah stock split dengan menggunakan paired sample t test (uji t untuk dua sampel berpasangan) diperoleh hasil bahwa tidak terdapat perbedaan yang signifikan pada rata-rata abnormal return sebelum dan sesudah stock split.

scholarly journals Abnormal Return and Trading Volume Activity Before and After Presidential Election 2019 ( Study on LQ-45 stock on February-July 2019)

2019 ◽  
Vol 34 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
C H Asta Nugraha ◽  
Suroto Suroto
Keyword(s):  
Capital Market ◽  
Presidential Election ◽  
Abnormal Return ◽  
Trading Volume ◽  
Composite Index ◽  
T Test ◽  
Volume Activity ◽  
Paired Samples ◽  
Significant Difference ◽  
Before And After

<p>This study aims to find out the empirical evidence of Indonesia capital market investors’ reaction toward presidential election 2019. The population in this study is the companies’ stocks which are included in the LQ-45 index during this study. The data used is secondary data in the form of LQ-45 stocks and daily Composite index three days before and three days after the event. By implementing the one sample t-test and paired samples t-test, the result shows that there is a positive and significant abnormal return around the event especially on the third day (t+3) after the event.  Moreover, there is an insignificant difference in the average of negative abnormal return and significant difference on the average of negative trading volume activity, before and after the presidential election 2019.</p><p><strong>Keywords:</strong> Capital Market, Event Study, Abnormal Return, Trading Volume Activity, Investors’ Reactions</p><p class="Default"><em>Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menemukan bukti empiris reaksi investor pasar modal Indonesia terhadap peristiwa pemilihan presiden 2019. Populasi penelitian ini adalah saham-saham perusahaan yang konsisten tergabung dalam indeks LQ-45 selama periode penelitian. Data yang digunakan adalah data sekunder berupa harga saham LQ-45 dan IHSG harian tiga hari sebelum dan tiga hari setelah peristiwa. Uji statistik yang digunakan untuk menguji hipotesis adalah one sample t-test dan  paired samples t-test. Hasil yang diperoleh menunjukkan terdapat abnormal return positif dan signifikan di sekitar  peristiwa terutama pada hari ke-3 (t+3) setelah peristiwa. Selain itu, terdapat perbedaan rata-rata abnormal retrun negatif tidak signifikan dan terdapat perbedaan rata-rata trading volume activity negatif yang signifikan antara sebelum dan setelah peristiwa pemilihan presiden 2019. </em></p><p><strong><em>Kata Kunci</em></strong><em>: Pasar Modal, Studi Peristiwa, </em>Abnormal Return, Trading Volume Activity, <em>Reaksi Investor</em></p>

scholarly journals REAKSI PASAR MODAL ATAS KEBIJAKAN KENAIKAN CUKAI DI INDONESIA

2021 ◽  
Vol 2 (2) ◽  
pp. 184-204
Author(s):  
Erik Alexander Gani ◽  
Yulia Efni ◽  
Andewi Rokhmawati
Keyword(s):  
Event Study ◽  
Abnormal Return ◽  
Trading Volume ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Abnormal Returns ◽  
Volume Activity ◽  
Excise Tax ◽  
Cigarette Industry ◽  
Bid Ask Spread ◽  
Before And After

This study aims to analyze the reaction of the capital market to the increase in cigarette excise in Indonesia. This study focuses on cigarette companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange as an increase in excise tax has an impact on the cigarette industry. There are 4 companies that are included in the cigarette industry which are the samples of this study. This study uses an event study to examine the effect of Abnormal Return, Trading Volume Activity and Bid-Ask Spread before and after the increase in excise tax. The findings of this study are that there is no difference in abnormal returns both before and after the announcement of the policy on the increase in cigarette excise in 2020. Other findings indicate that there is no difference in trading volume activity both before and after the announcement of the policy for the increase in cigarette excise in 2020. Other findings indicate that there is no difference in bids. ask spread both before and after the announcement of the 2020 cigarette excise tax increase. Keywords : Abnormal Return, Trading Volume Activity, Bid-Ask Spread and Event Study

scholarly journals Market reaction to the rights issue announcement on the Indonesia stock exchange

2019 ◽  
Vol 6 (6) ◽  
pp. 264-269
Author(s):  
Ni Putu Linsia Dewi ◽  
Ica Rika Candraningrat
Keyword(s):  
Capital Market ◽  
Abnormal Return ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Statistical Tests ◽  
Abnormal Returns ◽  
Analysis Technique ◽  
Before And After ◽  
Parametric Statistical Test ◽  
The Right ◽  
Rights Issue

Rights issue or the issuance of pre-emptive rights are the rights granted by an issuer company made to its existing shareholders to buy new shares issued within a predetermined period of time. This study aims to empirically explain the differences in abnormal returns before and after the announcement of the rights issue and to determine the form of capital market efficiency in Indonesia. Data are collected from 27 listed companies in the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX) that conducted a rights issue in 2014-2018. The data analysis technique used is the Kolmogorov-Smirnov Normality Test and the Parametric Statistical Test with a paired sample t-test. Based on the results of hypothesis testing not found differences in abnormal returns both before and after the announcement date indicating the market does not react to the right issue event. The results of statistical tests show a downward trend of abnormal return which is proxied in the Cumulative Abnormal Return (CAR), implying a market tends to react negatively to the announcement of the rights issue. Rights issue information causes a new equilibrium price adjustment in the market, thus making the form of efficiency of the Indonesian capital market a semi-strong form.

scholarly journals APAKAH PASAR BEREAKSI TERHADAP PROGRAM PENGAMPUNAN PAJAK (TAX AMNESTY)?

2020 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 103-111
Author(s):  
Taufiq Hidayatulloh ◽  
Rahadi Nugroho
Keyword(s):  
Event Study ◽  
Abnormal Return ◽  
Trading Volume ◽  
T Test ◽  
Good News ◽  
Significant Information ◽  
Analytical Technique ◽  
Tax Amnesty ◽  
Paired Samples ◽  
Significant Difference

AbstrakTujuan utama penelitian adalah untuk menganalisis reaksi pasar modal terhadap penerbitan Undang-Undang Tax Amnesty menggunakan metode event study. Penelitian dilakukan terhadap 97 emiten yang tergolong ke dalam indeks KOMPAS100 yang terdaftar di Bursa Efek Indonesia dalam periode pengamatan selama 106 hari. Teknik analisis adalah menggunakan paired samples t-test pada tiga hari sebelum dan tiga hari sesudah penerbitan Undang-Undang Tax Amnesty. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan tidak terdapat perbedaan signifikan rata-rata abnormal return maupun rata-rata aktivitas volume perdagangan saham antara sebelum dan sesudah peristiwa. Meskipun dipandang oleh investor sebagai good news, kebijakan tax amnesty tidak memiliki kandungan informasi yang kuat. AbstractThe main objective of the study is to analyze the capital market reaction to the issuance of Tax Amnesty Law using the method of event study. The study was conducted on 97 issuers belonging to the KOMPAS100 index listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange within the 106-day observation period. The analytical technique is using paired samples t-test on three days before and three days after the issuance of the Tax Amnesty Act. The result of the research shows that there is no significant difference of average abnormal return as well as the average activity of stock trading volume between before and after the event. Although viewed by investors as good news, the tax amnesty policy does not have significant information content.

scholarly journals MARKET REACTION ON THE ANNOUNCEMENT OF SRI KEHATI INDEX IN INDONESIAN STOCK EXCHANGE

2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Anggita Langgeng Wijaya ◽  
Mia Noviyanti ◽  
Probo Mahayu
Keyword(s):  
Trading Volume ◽  
Market Reaction ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Abnormal Returns ◽  
Rank Test ◽  
Stock Trading ◽  
Population Sampling ◽  
Signed Rank ◽  
Before And After ◽  
Signed Rank Test

The purpose of this study was to test the market reaction to the announcement of the Sri Kehati Index on the Indonesia Stock Exchange. The population in this study is all companies included in the Sri Kehati Index from 2013 to 2016. The selection of samples was taken by the population sampling method. Hypothesis testing is done by paired t test and Wilcoxon Signed Rank Test. The findings of this research are: 1) there is no difference in abnormal returns before and after the announcement of the Sri Kehati Index on the Indonesia Stock Exchange. 2) There is a difference in the activity of stock trading volume before and after the announcement of the Sri Kehati index in the 5th and 6th periods, but there is no difference in the activity of stock trading volume in other periods. The Indonesia Stock Exchange did not react consistently to the announcement of the Sri Kehati Index.

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