scholarly journals Factors Analysis of the Electronics Industry Trade Imbalance between the US and China

2015 ◽  
Vol 7 (6) ◽  
pp. 172 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jihong Jin ◽  
Michael Steffens

<p>The US and China trade imbalance is a highly debated topic, and cause of trade conflict between the US and China. One particularly strong area of the trade imbalance is the electronics industry, which as of the year 2013 represented more than 45% of the total trade balance, the largest subsection of any industry. In order to understand the macroeconomic factors influencing overall trade balance as well as trade balance in the Electronics Industry, this study uses Ordinary Least Squares Regression analysis model to examine how macroeconomic factors such as Exchange Rate, China GDP, US GDP, and CPI affect the trade balance. The results are then compared to an equivalent analysis on the electronics industry using factors such as China Electronics Industry Production, US Electronics Industry Production, Exchange Rate, and CPI. The findings are surprising, showing that the same factors that are traditionally strongly correlated with a change in the overall trade balance, actually have an opposite effect on the Electronics industry trade balance. This paper explores not only what macro economic factors cause the trade imbalances, but also why they happen.</p>

2007 ◽  
Vol 7 (3) ◽  
pp. 1850117 ◽  
Author(s):  
John A. Tatom

China-bashing has become a popular US media and political sport. This is largely due to the US trade imbalance and the belief, by some, that China is responsible for it because it manipulates its currency to hold down the dollar prices of its goods, unfairly creating a trade advantage that has contributed to the loss of US businesses and jobs. This paper reviews the problem of the large trade imbalance that the United States has with China and its relationship to Chinese exchange rate policy. It examines the link between a Chinese renminbi appreciation and the trade balance and also whether a generalized dollar decline could solve the global or Chinese US trade imbalance. The consensus view explained here is that a renminbi appreciation is not likely to fix either the trade imbalance with China or overall. If these perceived benefits of a managed float are small or non-existent, then perhaps they should be pursued anyway because of small costs or even benefits for China. Section IV looks at the costs of a managed float in terms of the benefits of the earlier peg. Opponents of a fixed dollar/yuan exchange rate ignore the costs of a managed float for China, especially with limits on currency convertibility. These costs are outlined here in order to provide an economic basis for the earlier fixed rate and China’s reluctance to appreciate. Finally it is suggested that the necessary convertibility on capital account, toward which China is moving, could easily result in yuan depreciation under a floating rate regime. This is hardly the end that China critics have in mind and it is not one that would improve US or other trade imbalances with China.


2017 ◽  
Vol 24 (1) ◽  
pp. 54-70
Author(s):  
Hasanah Setyowati ◽  
Riyanti Ningsih

This study aimed to obtain empirical evidence on the influence of fundamental factors, systematic risk and macroeconomics on the returns Islamic stock of companies incorporated in the Jakarta Islamic Index in 2010-2014. The variables used were the fundamental factors that are proxied by Earning Per Share (EPS), Return on Equity (ROE), Debt to Equity Ratio (DER); Systematic risk is proxied by Beta Shares; macroeconomic factors is proxied by the inflation rate and the exchange rate. The samples of this study are the enterprises incorporated in Jakarta Islamic Index (JII) at the Indonesian Stock Exchange. The sampling method was using purposive sampling. There were 12 samples of Islamic stocks that meet the criteria to be used as samples. The analysis model used is multiple linear regression techniques and the type of data used is secondary data. The study found that all variables, which are Earning Per Share (EPS), Return on Equity (ROE), Debt to Equity Ratio (DER), Beta stock, inflation and the exchange rate do not significantly affect the return of sharia stock either simultaneously or partially.


2016 ◽  
Vol 8 (4) ◽  
pp. 8 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mehmet Demiral

<p>This study re-examines the determinants of Turkey’s trade balance in its manufactures trade with 33 OECD-member countries for the short-run and the long-run. Unlike other studies, in the relationships we also control the moderating effects of the availability of import substitutes proxied by intra-industry trade. We analyze quarterly aggregated time-series data of the period spanning from 1998.QI to 2015.QIII, following the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) bounds testing approach to the cointegration and the error correction modeling. Estimation results reveal that real effective exchange rate, together with domestic and foreign incomes are still among the core determinants of Turkey’s trade balance in the manufacturing sectors. There is no significant impact of domestic final oil prices that also include all the taxes on gasoline. The trade balance depends on domestic income negatively and the aggregated income of the OECD countries positively. The finding that real depreciation of Turkish lira against to those of Turkey’s OECD trade partners improves trade balance in both the short-run and the long-run, indicates no evidence of J-curve adjustment process. Unsurprisingly, the intra-industry trade seems to be an important factor that moderates the elasticities of trade balance to its determinants, especially to real effective exchange rate and domestic income. Overall results underline the importance of import-substitution capability besides the export-oriented production to ease the longstanding large trade deficits for Turkey.</p><strong></strong>


Author(s):  
Sonia Kumari ◽  
Suresh Kumar Oad Rajput ◽  
Rana Yassir Hussain ◽  
Jahanzeb Marwat ◽  
Haroon Hussain

This study investigates the affiliation of various proxies of economic sentiments and the US Dollar exchange rate, mainly focusing on the real effective exchange rate of USD pairing with three other major currencies (USDEUR, USDGBP, and USDCAD). The study has employed Google Trends data of economy optimistic and pessimistic sentiments index and survey-based economy sentiments data on monthly basis from January 2004 to December 2018. The study engaged Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) and Auto-Regressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) estimation techniques to evaluate the short-run and long-run effects of economy-related sentiments and macroeconomic variables on the exchange rate. The results from the study found that Economy Optimistic Sentiments Index (EOSI) and Economy Pessimistic Sentiments Index (EPSI) appreciate and depreciate the US Dollar exchange rate in the short-run, respectively. Our sentiment measures are robust to survey-based Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index (MSCI), Consumer Confidence Index (CCI), and various macroeconomic factors. The MSCI and CCI sentiments show a long-term impact on the foreign exchange market. This study implies that economic sentiments play a vital role in the foreign exchange market and it is essential to consider behavioral aspects when modeling the exchange rate movements.


2008 ◽  
Vol 37 (1) ◽  
pp. 59-74 ◽  
Author(s):  
Luis A. Gil-Alana ◽  
Natalia Luqui ◽  
Juncal Cunado

2020 ◽  
Vol 3 (2) ◽  
pp. p76
Author(s):  
Antony Kirori Njoroge ◽  
Paul Mathenge ◽  
John Kabeso Omurwa

The aim of this study was to investigate the effects of management compensation on financial performance in Kenya using case of listed manufacturing firms. The study employed census method of data collection and secondary data sources over a period of 9 years, 2010-2018, for 15 listed manufacturing firms. The agency theory complemented by the contingency, self-determination, and expectancy theories was used in the study. The data was analyzed using ordinary least squares regression analysis model as well as the descriptive methods. Eviews software was employed in the data manipulation. The key finding of the study was that key management compensation was strongly positively associated (correlated) with the financial performance of listed manufacturing firms in Kenya while Director Emoluments affect financial performance of listed manufacturing firms negatively but not strongly. Another finding was that debt ratio highly negatively and statistically significantly influenced the relation between management compensation and financial performance of listed manufacturing firms in Kenya suggesting that debt is an important factor in determining the relation between management compensation and financial performance of listed manufacturing firms in Kenya. The findings of the study are important in that they can be employed in formulating policy initiatives and strategies for improving financial performance of firms in the country.


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