Comment on Trade Balance in the Floating Exchange Rate System and LS-LM Framework: A Theoretical Analysis on the US-Japan Imbalance and Recommended Policy Mix

1991 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
pp. 255-260
Author(s):  
Yasumi Matsumoto
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Theoretical Analysis ◽  
Trade Balance ◽  
Policy Mix ◽  
Rate System ◽  
The Us ◽  
Floating Exchange Rate ◽  
Exchange Rate System

MANAGING EXCHANGE RATE VOLATILITY: A COMPARATIVE COUNTERFACTUAL ANALYSIS OF SINGAPORE, 1994–2003

2009 ◽  
Vol 54 (04) ◽  
pp. 543-568 ◽  
Author(s):  
PETER WILSON ◽  
HENRY SHANG REN NG
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Exchange Rate Regime ◽  
East Asian ◽  
Exchange Rate Volatility ◽  
Rate System ◽  
The Us ◽  
Floating Exchange Rate ◽  
Effective Exchange ◽  
Exchange Rate System ◽  
Effective Exchange Rate

This paper looks at how Singapore's exchange rate regime has coped with exchange rate volatility, by comparing the performance of Singapore's actual regime in minimizing the volatility of the nominal effective exchange rate (NEER) and the bilateral rate against the US dollar with some counterfactual regimes and the corresponding performance of eight other East Asian countries. In contrast to previous counterfactual exercises, we apply a more disaggregated methodology for the trade weights, a larger number of trade partners and ARCH/GARCH techniques to capture the time-varying characteristics of volatility. Our findings confirm that Singapore's managed floating exchange rate system has delivered relatively low currency volatility. Although there are gains in volatility reduction for all countries in the sample from the adoption of either a unilateral or a common basket peg, particularly post-Asian crisis, these gains are relatively low for Singapore, largely because of low actual volatility. There are additional gains for non-dollar peggers from stabilizing intra-east Asian exchange rates against the dollar if they were to adopt a basket peg, especially post-crisis, but the gains for Singapore are again relatively modest. Finally, the conclusion from previous counterfactual studies that there is little difference between a unilateral basket peg and a common basket peg in terms of stability reduction is confirmed.

Effects of exchange rate and income on the US bilateral trade with China under Chinese managed floating exchange rate system

2018 ◽  
Vol 11 (3) ◽  
pp. 236-246 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yongqing Wang
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Bilateral Trade ◽  
Trade Deficit ◽  
Rate System ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Long Run ◽  
The Us ◽  
Floating Exchange Rate ◽  
Exchange Rate System ◽  
Us Dollar

Purpose China’s exchange rate system remains a public concern. This paper aims to investigate the effects of the appreciation of the US dollar (or depreciation of Chinese Yuan) under China’s “managed floating exchange rate system” on the US bilateral trade deficit with China, the US exports to China and the US imports from China. Design/methodology/approach The author uses quarterly data from 2005Q3 to 2017Q3 and applies autoregressive distributed lags model to carry out the empirical analysis. Findings The results suggest that both the US and Chinese income are important determinants of the US bilateral trade deficit with China, the US exports to China and the US imports from China. Further, the appreciation of the US dollar with respect to Chinese currency may discourage the US exports to China, but will not considerably promote the US imports from China in the long run. Finally, the appreciation of the US dollar does not contribute significantly to the US trade deficit with China in the long run. Originality/value Policymakers may want to pay attention to the results of currency depreciation on bilateral trade flows and trade balance in both the short and the long run. The results are different. Policymakers may also want to keep the following in mind: both the US and Chinese income are vital factors of bilateral trade balance, exports and imports.

Exchange Rate and Industry-Level Energy Import

2021 ◽  
pp. 71-86
Author(s):  
Abdul Sahib ◽  
Sergey Prosekov
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Supply And Demand ◽  
Exchange Rate Volatility ◽  
Trade Flows ◽  
Level Energy ◽  
Rate System ◽  
Domestic Prices ◽  
Floating Exchange Rate ◽  
Exchange Rate System ◽  
The Impact

After the Bretton Woods exchange rate system in 1973, the free-floating exchange rate, the rate determined by the forces of supply and demand, began, which developed an interest in the area of many researchers to investigate, theoretically and empirically, the impact of exchange rate volatility on the world trade flows. There are two channels, direct and indirect, through which the change in exchange rate affects domestic prices. Under the direct channel, a fall in exchange rate leads to increase in imports as well as increases the prices of inputs in domestic currency. Secondly, under the indirect channel, a decline in the exchange rate triggers the availability of domestic goods to foreign buyers at a cheaper rate, and the demand for domestic products increased. Thus, the change in exchange rate affects trade flows either positively or negatively.

CHINA’S EXCHANGE RATE SYSTEM REFORM: TWO POTENTIAL MISTAKES AND THE RECOMMENDED LONG-TERM SYSTEM

2016 ◽  
Vol 61 (02) ◽  
pp. 1640025
Author(s):  
PAUL S. L. YIP
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Capital Mobility ◽  
Exchange Rate Policy ◽  
Chinese Economy ◽  
System Reform ◽  
Rate System ◽  
Floating Exchange Rate ◽  
Rate Policy ◽  
Exchange Rate System

Further to the author’s recommended transitory and medium-term exchange rate system reforms that was implemented in China since July 2005, this paper explains that: (1) a long-term reform towards a floating exchange rate system with free capital mobility will cause huge damages to the Chinese economy. It then proposes a long-term exchange rate system that would probably benefit China the most; and (2) there is a serious mistake in China’s latest exchange rate policy: The Chinese central bank has mistakenly allowed the renminbi exchange rate to rise with the strong rebound of the US dollar. This will cause not only a substantial drag in China’s export and GDP growth, but will also eventually make China’s financial and economic system vulnerable to a highly disruptive correction in the renminbi exchange rate.

scholarly journals The Swiss National Bank’s fear of float

2019 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
pp. 51-64
Author(s):  
Kristin Berthold ◽  
Georg Stadtmann
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Open Economy ◽  
Small Open Economy ◽  
Rate System ◽  
Floating Exchange Rate ◽  
Exchange Rate System ◽  
Relative Ppp ◽  
The Empirical Analysis

Abstract We theoretically examine under which assumptions the impossible trinity holds. We also focus on the most recent Swiss experience and ask whether the SNB gained monetary independence by switching from a fixed to a floating exchange rate system in January 2015. The theoretical examination shows that the impossible trinity holds under the following assumptions: Equality of domestic and foreign real interest rates, the quantity theory of money holds, and that the relative PPP is fulfilled. The empirical analysis reveals that relative PPP does not hold for the Swiss case and it was necessary for the SNB to adopt its monetary policy in accordance with the ECB’s expansionary monetary policy. We show that for a small open economy, such as Switzerland, whether the central bank implements a fixed or a floating exchange rate system does not play a role in its monetary policy independence.

scholarly journals Real Exchange Rate Misalignment in Jordan: The Permanent Equilibrium Approach

2017 ◽  
Vol 9 (3) ◽  
pp. 29
Author(s):  
Noura Abu Asab
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Real Exchange Rate ◽  
Rate System ◽  
The Real ◽  
Economic Fundamentals ◽  
Long Run ◽  
The Us ◽  
Exchange Rate Misalignment ◽  
Exchange Rate System

This study attempts to measure the real exchange rate misalignment in Jordan from 1980 to 2014. We examine the role of adopting the pegged exchange rate system to the US in 1995 in limiting/increasing misalignment. Applying the Johansen approach, a cointegrating relationship is found between the real exchange rate and a number of economic fundamentals that influence the long-run real exchange rate. Over a long examined period of exchange rate fixity, the real exchange rate is kept depreciated except after 2006-2008 over which the appreciation of the real exchange rate is noted. However, after 2011 misalignment receded as the real exchange rate matched the equilibrium real exchange rate. An attempt is also made to model the nexus between the growth of per capita income and misalignment. The exchange rate misalignment is found to significantly decrease the economic growth. 

scholarly journals PERBEDAAN MANAGED FLOAT EXCHANGE RATE SYSTEM DAN FREELY FLOATING EXCHANGE RATE SYSTEM DI INDONESIA

2003 ◽  
Vol 2 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Mudji Utami
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Relative Rate ◽  
Supply And Demand ◽  
Rate System ◽  
Float Exchange Rate ◽  
Significant Difference ◽  
Floating Exchange Rate ◽  
Floating System ◽  
Exchange Rate System

Consequence of the freely floating system and freely foreign exchange system, rupiah could he easily fluctuated, because exchange rate shift not in response but as governed by the interaction between supply and demand in the money markets. The supply and demand forces are influenced by the relative interest rate and relative of inflation. Thus this study examine whether there is a difference of magnitude in the influence of the relative interest rate and relative rate of inflation to the USD - IRD exchange rate when Indonesia adopts respectively the managed float exchange rate system and the freely floating exchange rate system. The finding shows at the level of confidence 95%, that there is no significant difference in the influence of the relative interest rate and relative rate of inflation to the USD - IRD exchange rates between both systems.

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