scholarly journals Making the Most of Forest Managers' Knowledge in Choosing Economically Desirable Regeneration Systems

1977 ◽  
Vol 53 (6) ◽  
pp. 355-363 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bijan Payandeh
Keyword(s):  
Decision Making ◽  
Simulation Model ◽  
Cost Structure ◽  
Regeneration System ◽  
Economic Decisions ◽  
Subjective Estimates ◽  
Decision Making Tool ◽  
Forest Managers ◽  
Better Than ◽  
Regeneration Systems

A simulation model was recently developed to aid forest managers in making rational economic decisions with respect to the various regeneration systems. The model capitalizes on the forest manager's experience with, and opinions of, different aspects of these systems. Opinions expressed as his subjective estimates need not be exact nor based entirely on actual data as long as they are free of bias. The final results will indicate the probability that one regeneration system might be better than others, and by how much.This paper demonstrates by means of three examples the application and interpretation of the results of the model. Although the input estimates used for these examples are believed to be well within the present cost structure, it is the application of the model as a decision-making tool that should concern the reader and not so much the results of the examples.

scholarly journals Analyzing Airport Capacity by Simulation

2016 ◽  
pp. 115-150
Author(s):  
Catya Zuniga ◽  
Miguel Mujica Mota ◽  
Alfonso Herrera García
Keyword(s):  
Decision Making ◽  
Simulation Model ◽  
Geographic Location ◽  
Air Transportation ◽  
Current Situation ◽  
Future Trends ◽  
Capital Projects ◽  
Airport Capacity ◽  
The World ◽  
Decision Making Tool

Air transportation has grown in an unexpected way during last decades and is expected to increase even more in the next years. Traffic growth tendencies forecast an expansion in the demand and greater aviation connectivity, but also higher workload to the different airspace users, especially for airport and services. Therefore, it is essential to employ strategies designed to use efficiently valuable corporate resource. Airport authorities around the world are investing in large capital projects, including new or improved runways, terminal expansions, and entirely new airports. However, this effort is sometimes limited due to their geographic location. In this work, two main objectives are pursued: first, to highlight the importance of the industry by exposing the current situation and future trends all over the world focusing in the Mexican industry; and second, to introduce a simulation model which can be used as a decision making tool for the upcoming demand. The analysis of the scenarios illustrates how to develop strategies to cope with the different airspace user's needs.

Beérkezett könyvek

2008 ◽  
Vol 63 (3) ◽  
pp. 607-608
Author(s):  
Csaba Pléh
Keyword(s):  
Decision Making ◽  
Human Mind ◽  
Frankfurt Am Main ◽  
Conscious Decision ◽  
Better Than

ErősFerenc, LénárdKataés BókayAntal(szerk.) Typus Budapestiensis. Tanulmányok a pszichoanalízis budapesti iskolájának történetéről éshatásáról. Thalassa, Budapest, 2008, 447 oldalHargittaiIstván: Doktor DNS. Őszinte beszélgetések James D. Watsonnal. Vince Kiadó, Budapest, 2008, 223 oldalKutrovátzGábor,LángBenedekésZemplénGábor: A tudomány határa. Typotex,Budapest, 2008, 376 oldalEngerl, C. andSinger, W. (eds) Better than conscious? Decision making, the human mind, and implications for institutions . MIT Press, Cambridge, 2008, xiv + 449 oldalKondor, Zsuzsanna: Embedded thinking. Multimedia and the new rationality. Peter Lang, Frankfurt am Main, 2008, xi + 169 oldalSíklakiIstván(szerk.): Szóbeli befolyásolás. I–II. Typotex, Budapest,_n

Decision aids for alternative techniques in urban storm management

1995 ◽  
Vol 32 (1) ◽  
pp. 41-48 ◽  
Author(s):  
Y. Azzout ◽  
S. Barraud ◽  
F. N. Cres ◽  
E. Alfakih
Keyword(s):  
Decision Making ◽  
Decision Aids ◽  
Decision Making Process ◽  
Urban Stormwater ◽  
Elimination Phase ◽  
Poor Understanding ◽  
Preliminary Study ◽  
Alternative Techniques ◽  
Urban Storm ◽  
Decision Making Tool

The choice of alternative techniques in urban stormwater drainage (infiltration and detention systems), in the course of a project, is most often made with a poor understanding of site constraints, and the possibilities afforded by these techniques. This gives rise to extra costs and also subsequent malfunctioning. To arrive at feasible choices, we have formalised the decision-making process, taking account of the multiple criteria and the large number of partners involved. At present, we are developing a decision-making tool for alternative techniques in urban stormwater management at the preliminary study stage. The first phase makes it possible to eliminate solutions which are unworkable (elimination phase). It is aimed at the designer. Work on the next phase (the decision-making phase), which is more complex, is in progress. It will make it possible, in collaboration with all the partners involved, to choose a stormwater drainage strategy which will best suit the objectives and the wishes of the partners. It uses multi-criteria methods.

Design, Development and Comparison of Heuristic Driven Algorithms Based on the Crossed Domain Products’ Reviews for User’s Summarization

2020 ◽  
Vol 13 (5) ◽  
pp. 884-892
Author(s):  
Sartaj Ahmad ◽  
Ashutosh Gupta ◽  
Neeraj Kumar Gupta
Keyword(s):  
Decision Making ◽  
Online Shopping ◽  
Recent Time ◽  
Design Development ◽  
Different Types ◽  
Feature Based ◽  
Use Of Internet ◽  
Day By Day ◽  
Better Than

Background: In recent time, people love online shopping but before any shopping feedbacks or reviews always required. These feedbacks help customers in decision making for buying any product or availing any service. In the country like India this trend of online shopping is increasing very rapidly because awareness and the use of internet which is increasing day by day. As result numbers of customers and their feedbacks are also increasing. It is creating a problem that how to read all reviews manually. So there should be some computerized mechanism that provides customers a summary without spending time in reading feedbacks. Besides big number of reviews another problem is that reviews are not structured. Objective: In this paper, we try to design, implement and compare two algorithms with manual approach for the crossed domain Product’s reviews. Methods: Lexicon based model is used and different types of reviews are tested and analyzed to check the performance of these algorithms. Results: Algorithm based on opinions and feature based opinions are designed, implemented, applied and compared with the manual results and it is found that algorithm # 2 is performing better than algorithm # 1 and near to manual results. Conclusion: Algorithm # 2 is found better on the different product’s reviews and still to be applied on other product’s reviews to enhance its scope. Finally, it will be helpful to automate existing manual process.

Making the most of individual differences in joint decisions

2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bahador Bahrami
Keyword(s):  
Decision Making ◽  
Direct Evidence ◽  
Cross Cultural ◽  
Collective Decision Making ◽  
Wisdom Of Crowds ◽  
Trade Off ◽  
Adaptive Value ◽  
Joint Decisions ◽  
Cultural Data ◽  
Better Than

Evidence for and against the idea that “two heads are better than one” is abundant. This chapter considers the contextual conditions and social norms that predict madness or wisdom of crowds to identify the adaptive value of collective decision-making beyond increased accuracy. Similarity of competence among members of a collective impacts collective accuracy, but interacting individuals often seem to operate under the assumption that they are equally competent even when direct evidence suggest the opposite and dyadic performance suffers. Cross-cultural data from Iran, China, and Denmark support this assumption of similarity (i.e., equality bias) as a sensible heuristic that works most of the time and simplifies social interaction. Crowds often trade off accuracy for other collective benefits such as diffusion of responsibility and reduction of regret. Consequently, two heads are sometimes better than one, but no-one holds the collective accountable, not even for the most disastrous of outcomes.

scholarly journals Skill and strategic control

Synthese ◽  
2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ellen Fridland
Keyword(s):  
Decision Making ◽  
Empirical Evidence ◽  
Mental Imagery ◽  
Sports Psychology ◽  
Mental Practice ◽  
Strategic Control ◽  
Cognitive Representations ◽  
Personal Level ◽  
The Right ◽  
Better Than

AbstractThis paper provides an account of the strategic control involved in skilled action. When I discuss strategic control, I have in mind the practical goals, plans, and strategies that skilled agents use in order to specify, structure, and organize their skilled actions, which they have learned through practice. The idea is that skilled agents are better than novices not only at implementing the intentions that they have but also at forming the right intentions. More specifically, skilled agents are able formulate and modify, adjust and adapt their practical intentions in ways that are appropriate, effective, and flexible given their overall goals. Further, to specify the kind of action plans that are involved in strategic control, I’ll rely on empirical evidence concerning mental practice and mental imagery from sports psychology as well as evidence highlighting the systematic differences in the cognitive representations of skills between experts and non-experts. I’ll claim that, together, this evidence suggests that the intentions that structure skilled actions are practical and not theoretical, that is, that they are perceptual and motor and not abstract, amodal, or linguistic. Importantly, despite their grounded nature, these plans are still personal-level, deliberate, rational states. That is, the practical intentions used to specify and structure skilled actions are best conceived of as higher-order, motor-modal structures, which can be manipulated and used by the agent for the purpose of reasoning, deliberation, decision-making and, of course, the actual online structuring and organizing of action.

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