scholarly journals Visualization & Prediction of COVID-19 Future Outbreak by Using Machine Learning

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (3) ◽  
pp. 16-32
Author(s):  
Ahmed Hassan Mohammed Hassan ◽  
◽  
Arfan Ali Mohammed Qasem ◽  
Walaa Faisal Mohammed Abdalla ◽  
Omer H. Elhassan
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Polynomial Regression ◽  
Mean Squared Error ◽  
Absolute Error ◽  
Future Perspective ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Squared Error ◽  
Vector Machines ◽  
The World ◽  
Negative Factors

Day by day, the accumulative incidence of COVID-19 is rapidly increasing. After the spread of the Corona epidemic and the death of more than a million people around the world countries, scientists and researchers have tended to conduct research and take advantage of modern technologies to learn machine to help the world to get rid of the Coronavirus (COVID-19) epidemic. To track and predict the disease Machine Learning (ML) can be deployed very effectively. ML techniques have been anticipated in areas that need to identify dangerous negative factors and define their priorities. The significance of a proposed system is to find the predict the number of people infected with COVID19 using ML. Four standard models anticipate COVID-19 prediction, which are Neural Network (NN), Support Vector Machines (SVM), Bayesian Network (BN) and Polynomial Regression (PR). The data utilized to test these models content of number of deaths, newly infected cases, and recoveries in the next 20 days. Five measures parameters were used to evaluate the performance of each model, namely root mean squared error (RMSE), mean squared error (MAE), mean absolute error (MSE), Explained Variance score and r2 score (R2). The significance and value of proposed system auspicious mechanism to anticipate these models for the current cenario of the COVID-19 epidemic. The results showed NN outperformed the other models, while in the available dataset the SVM performs poorly in all the prediction. Reference to our results showed that injuries will increase slightly in the coming days. Also, we find that the results give rise to hope due to the low death rate. For future perspective, case explanation and data amalgamation must be kept up persistently.

scholarly journals Predicting and Analysing the Behaviour of COVID-19

2021 ◽  
pp. 40-46
Author(s):  
Gaurav Singh ◽  
Shivam Rai ◽  
Himanshu Mishra ◽  
Manoj Kumar
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Polynomial Regression ◽  
Mean Squared Error ◽  
Absolute Error ◽  
Machine Learning Algorithms ◽  
Supervised Machine Learning ◽  
Systems Science ◽  
Data Repository ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Squared Error

The prime objective of this work is to predicting and analysing the Covid-19 pandemic around the world using Machine Learning algorithms like Polynomial Regression, Support Vector Machine and Ridge Regression. And furthermore, assess and compare the performance of the varied regression algorithms as far as parameters like R squared, Mean Absolute Error, Mean Squared Error and Root Mean Squared Error. In this work, we have used the dataset available on Covid-19 Data Repository by the Center for Systems Science and Engineering (CSSE) at John Hopkins University. We have analyzed the covid19 cases from 22/1/2020 till now. We applied a supervised machine learning prediction model to forecast the possible confirmed cases for the next ten days.

Automated Outlier Detection for Electrical Motors and Transformers

2020 ◽  
Vol 17 (9) ◽  
pp. 4703-4708
Author(s):  
K. Anitha Kumari ◽  
Avinash Sharma ◽  
S. Nivethitha ◽  
V. Dharini ◽  
V. Sanjith ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Polynomial Regression ◽  
Mean Squared Error ◽  
Absolute Error ◽  
Machine Learning Algorithms ◽  
Supervised Machine Learning ◽  
Machine Learning Techniques ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Squared Error ◽  
Electrical Motors

Electrical appliances most commonly consist of two electrical devices, namely, electrical motors and transformers. Typically, electrical motors are normally used in all sort of industrial purposes. Failures of such motors results in serious problems, such as overheat, shut down and even burnt, in their host systems. Thus, more attention have to be paid in detecting the outliers. In a similar way, to avoid the unexpected power reliability problems and system damages, the prediction of the failures in the transformers is expected to quantify the impacts. By predicting the failures, the lifetime of the transformers increases and unnecessary accidents is avoided. Therefore, this paper presents the detection of the outliers in electrical motors and failures in transformers using supervised machine learning algorithms. Machine learning techniques such as Support Vector Machine (SVM), Random Forest (RF) and regression techniques like Support Vector Regression (SVR), Polynomial Regression (PR) are used to analyze the use cases of different motor specifications. Evaluation and the efficiency of findings are proved by considering accuracy, precision, F-measure, and recall for motors. Mean Absolute Error (MAE), Mean Squared Error (MSE), Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) and R-squared Error (R2) are considered as metrics for transformers. The proposed approach helps to identify the anomalies like vibration loss, copper loss and overheating in the industrial motor and to determine the abnormal functioning of the transformer that in turn leads to ascertain the lifetime. The proposed system analyses the behaviour of the electrical machines using the energy meter data and reports the outliers to users. It also analyses the abnormalities occurring in the transformer using the parameters involved in the degradation of the paper-oil insulation system and the voltage of operation as a whole leads to the predict the lifetime.

Machine learning and Grad-Cam based vascular aging assessment using photoplethysmogram (Preprint)

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hangsik Shin
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Correlation Coefficient ◽  
Age Estimation ◽  
Mean Squared Error ◽  
Mean Absolute Error ◽  
Absolute Error ◽  
Coefficient Of Determination ◽  
Vascular Aging ◽  
Squared Error ◽  
Vascular Age

BACKGROUND Arterial stiffness due to vascular aging is a major indicator for evaluating cardiovascular risk. OBJECTIVE In this study, we propose a method of estimating age by applying machine learning to photoplethysmogram for non-invasive vascular age assessment. METHODS The machine learning-based age estimation model that consists of three convolutional layers and two-layer fully connected layers, was developed using segmented photoplethysmogram by pulse from a total of 752 adults aged 19–87 years. The performance of the developed model was quantitatively evaluated using mean absolute error, root-mean-squared-error, Pearson’s correlation coefficient, coefficient of determination. The Grad-Cam was used to explain the contribution of photoplethysmogram waveform characteristic in vascular age estimation. RESULTS Mean absolute error of 8.03, root mean squared error of 9.96, 0.62 of correlation coefficient, and 0.38 of coefficient of determination were shown through 10-fold cross validation. Grad-Cam, used to determine the weight that the input signal contributes to the result, confirmed that the contribution to the age estimation of the photoplethysmogram segment was high around the systolic peak. CONCLUSIONS The machine learning-based vascular aging analysis method using the PPG waveform showed comparable or superior performance compared to previous studies without complex feature detection in evaluating vascular aging. CLINICALTRIAL 2015-0104

scholarly journals Money Neutrality, Monetary Aggregates and Machine Learning

Algorithms ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 12 (7) ◽  
pp. 137 ◽  
Author(s):  
Periklis Gogas ◽  
Theophilos Papadimitriou ◽  
Emmanouil Sofianos
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Economic Activity ◽  
Central Banks ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Monetary Aggregates ◽  
Divisia Monetary Aggregates ◽  
Vector Machines ◽  
The World ◽  
Short Run

The issue of whether or not money affects real economic activity (money neutrality) has attracted significant empirical attention over the last five decades. If money is neutral even in the short-run, then monetary policy is ineffective and its role limited. If money matters, it will be able to forecast real economic activity. In this study, we test the traditional simple sum monetary aggregates that are commonly used by central banks all over the world and also the theoretically correct Divisia monetary aggregates proposed by the Barnett Critique (Chrystal and MacDonald, 1994; Belongia and Ireland, 2014), both in three levels of aggregation: M1, M2, and M3. We use them to directionally forecast the Eurocoin index: A monthly index that measures the growth rate of the euro area GDP. The data span from January 2001 to June 2018. The forecasting methodology we employ is support vector machines (SVM) from the area of machine learning. The empirical results show that: (a) The Divisia monetary aggregates outperform the simple sum ones and (b) both monetary aggregates can directionally forecast the Eurocoin index reaching the highest accuracy of 82.05% providing evidence against money neutrality even in the short term.

scholarly journals Spatiotemporal Approaches for Quality Control and Error Correction of Atmospheric Data through Machine Learning

2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 ◽  
pp. 1-12 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hye-Jin Kim ◽  
Sung Min Park ◽  
Byung Jin Choi ◽  
Seung-Hyun Moon ◽  
Yong-Hyuk Kim
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Quality Control ◽  
Mean Squared Error ◽  
Machine Learning Algorithms ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Weather Element ◽  
Applied Machine Learning ◽  
Squared Error ◽  
Atmospheric Data

We propose three quality control (QC) techniques using machine learning that depend on the type of input data used for training. These include QC based on time series of a single weather element, QC based on time series in conjunction with other weather elements, and QC using spatiotemporal characteristics. We performed machine learning-based QC on each weather element of atmospheric data, such as temperature, acquired from seven types of IoT sensors and applied machine learning algorithms, such as support vector regression, on data with errors to make meaningful estimates from them. By using the root mean squared error (RMSE), we evaluated the performance of the proposed techniques. As a result, the QC done in conjunction with other weather elements had 0.14% lower RMSE on average than QC conducted with only a single weather element. In the case of QC with spatiotemporal characteristic considerations, the QC done via training with AWS data showed performance with 17% lower RMSE than QC done with only raw data.

scholarly journals Regression Models for Symbolic Interval-Valued Variables

Entropy ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 23 (4) ◽  
pp. 429
Author(s):  
Jose Emmanuel Chacón ◽  
Oldemar Rodríguez
Keyword(s):  
Regression Models ◽  
Mean Squared Error ◽  
Nearest Neighbors ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
K Nearest Neighbors ◽  
R Language ◽  
Squared Error ◽  
Vector Machines ◽  
Synthetic Datasets ◽  
Interval Valued

This paper presents new approaches to fit regression models for symbolic internal-valued variables, which are shown to improve and extend the center method suggested by Billard and Diday and the center and range method proposed by Lima-Neto, E.A.and De Carvalho, F.A.T. Like the previously mentioned methods, the proposed regression models consider the midpoints and half of the length of the intervals as additional variables. We considered various methods to fit the regression models, including tree-based models, K-nearest neighbors, support vector machines, and neural networks. The approaches proposed in this paper were applied to a real dataset and to synthetic datasets generated with linear and nonlinear relations. For an evaluation of the methods, the root-mean-squared error and the correlation coefficient were used. The methods presented herein are available in the the RSDA package written in the R language, which can be installed from CRAN.

scholarly journals Detection of Epilepsy based on EEG Signals using PCA with ANN Model

2021 ◽  
Vol 2070 (1) ◽  
pp. 012145
Author(s):  
R Shiva Shankar ◽  
CH Raminaidu ◽  
VV Sivarama Raju ◽  
J Rajanikanth
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Epileptic Seizure ◽  
Mean Squared Error ◽  
Ann Model ◽  
Eeg Signals ◽  
Hinge Loss ◽  
Squared Error ◽  
Neurological Illness ◽  
The World

Abstract Epilepsy is a chronic neurological illness that affects millions of people throughout the world. Epilepsy affects around 50 million people globally. It is estimated that if epilepsy is correctly diagnosed and treated, up to 70% of people with the condition will be seizure-free. There is a need to detect epilepsy at the initial stages to reduce symptoms by medications and other strategies. We use Epileptic Seizure Recognition dataset to train the model which is provided by UCI Machine Learning Repository. There are 179 attributes and 11,500 unique values in this dataset. MLP, PCA with RF, QDA, LDA, and PCA with ANN were applied among them; PCA with ANN provided the better metrics. For the metrics, we received the following findings. It is 97.55% Accuracy, 94.24% Precision, 91.48% recall, 83.38% hinge loss, and 2.32% mean squared error.

scholarly journals Support Vector Machine to Predict Electricity Consumption in the Energy Management Laboratory

2021 ◽  
Vol 5 (3) ◽  
pp. 466-473
Author(s):  
Azam Zamhuri Fuadi ◽  
Irsyad Nashirul Haq ◽  
Edi Leksono
Keyword(s):  
Support Vector Machine ◽  
Energy Management ◽  
Mean Squared Error ◽  
Measurement Data ◽  
Electricity Consumption ◽  
Absolute Error ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Mean Error ◽  
Squared Error ◽  
Electrical Loads

Predicted electricity consumption is needed to perform energy management. Electricity consumption prediction is also very important in the development of intelligent power grids and advanced electrification network information. we implement a Support Vector Machine (SVM) to predict electrical loads and results compared to measurable electrical loads. Laboratory electrical loads have their own characteristics when compared to residential, commercial, or industrial, we use electrical load data in energy management laboratories to be used to be predicted. C and Gamma as searchable parameters use GridSearchCV to get optimal SVM input parameters. Our prediction data is compared to measurement data and is searched for accuracy based on RMSE (Root Square Mean Error), MAE (Mean Absolute Error) and MSE (Mean Squared Error) values. Based on this we get the optimal parameter values C 1e6 and Gamma 2.97e-07, with the result RSME (Root Square Mean Error) ; 0.37, MAE (meaning absolute error); 0.21 and MSE (Mean Squared Error); 0.14.

scholarly journals An prediction of Healthy Diet required to Ease the recovery from Covid-19 using the approach of Machine Learning.

2022 ◽  
Vol 2161 (1) ◽  
pp. 012019
Author(s):  
Rencita Maria Colaco ◽  
Shreya ◽  
N V Subba Reddy ◽  
U Dinesh Acharya
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Blood Pressure ◽  
Machine Learning Algorithms ◽  
Healthy Diet ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Decision Tree Algorithm ◽  
Huge Number ◽  
Vector Machines ◽  
The World ◽  
Main Factor

Abstract Global terror that has shaken the world named, COVID-19 virus has taken away huge number of lives. According to the research there are lot of recovery cases also. Most important thing to survive from this disease is having good immunity. Everyone does not have same level of immunity. One main factor on which immunity depends is having a healthy diet. If the routine of having healthy diet is maintained, then the immunity to fight against this virus increases. It is much required that people need to be informed about having an healthy diet. Using the dataset of healthy dietary and using various machine learning algorithms we can determine what type of diet one person needs to have. By using algorithms like Random Forest, KNN, logistic regression and Support Vector Machines we can determine the type of diet and probability of recovery. The dataset required for analysis needs to have all the information regarding the diet. Based on the dataset the prediction is taken place by using Decision Tree algorithm. This method of finding the appropriate diet of a particular person based on amount of Sugar level, Blood Pressure and BMI can be the most useful research in this pandemic time.

Modelling and Forecasting Portfolio Inflows

2022 ◽  
pp. 1427-1448
Author(s):  
Mogari I. Rapoo ◽  
Elias Munapo ◽  
Martin M. Chanza ◽  
Olusegun Sunday Ewemooje
Keyword(s):  
Banking Sector ◽  
Mean Squared Error ◽  
Model Performance ◽  
Absolute Error ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Vector Autoregressive ◽  
Squared Error ◽  
Daily Data ◽  
Determining Factors ◽  
Push Factor

This chapter analyses efficiency of support vector regression (SVR), artificial neural networks (ANNs), and structural vector autoregressive (SVAR) models in terms of in-sample forecasting of portfolio inflows (PIs). Time series daily data sourced from Rand Merchant Bank (RMB) covering the period of 1st March 2004 to 1st February 2016 were used. Mean squared error, root mean squared error, mean absolute error, mean absolute squared error, and root mean scaled log error were used to evaluate model performance. The results showed that SVR has the best modelling performance when compared to others. In determining factors that affect allocation of PIs into South Africa based on SVAR, 69% of the variation was explained by pull factors while 9% was explained by push factor. Hence, SVR model is more accurate than ANNs. This chapter therefore recommends that banking sector particularly RMB should use machine learning technique in modelling PIs for a better financial solution.

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