scholarly journals The vulnerable financial issue: Capital flight in Indonesia

2021 ◽  
Vol 18 (1) ◽  
pp. 89-105
Author(s):  
Muhammad Basorudin ◽  
Harwin Dwi ◽  
Hartini Sri ◽  
Gantjang Amannullah ◽  
Hamid Rachmadani
Keyword(s):  
Trade Openness ◽  
Capital Flight ◽  
Budget Deficits ◽  
International Capital ◽  
Combined Method ◽  
Sixth Edition ◽  
Inflation Rates ◽  
Financial Issue ◽  
Macroeconomic Determinants ◽  
The Impact

Indonesia is a developing country with a high demand for capital from both domestic and international sources. However, international capital flows are needed the most. For non-Western countries, especially Indonesia, capital flight is an unfavourable financial problem. This research aims to summarise capital flight from Indonesia and analyse the impact of macroeconomic and non-macroeconomic determinants through capital flight. Macroeconomic determinants include budget deficits, economic growth, inflation rates, and exchange rates. Nonmacroeconomic determinants are the degree of trade openness, interest rate differences, and dummy ratings. The data comes from the Bank of Indonesia, OECD, Moody's, and BPS-Statistics Indonesia. The coverage of this research is the Indonesian quarter from 2010 to 2018. This period complies with the latest procedures of the sixth edition of the Balance of Payments Manual (BPM 6). In this research, the measurement of the capital flight is the World Bank's residual method, trade misinvoicing method, and combined method. This research finds that, compared with other economics, non-macroeconomics is the most influential determinant of capital flight from Indonesia.

Macroeconomic determinants of trade openness: empirical investigation of SAARC region

2018 ◽  
Vol 12 (2) ◽  
pp. 151-161 ◽  
Author(s):  
Muhammad Tahir ◽  
SAF Hasnu ◽  
Mario Ruiz Estrada
Keyword(s):  
Regional Cooperation ◽  
Labour Force ◽  
Trade Openness ◽  
Least Square Method ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Currency Exchange ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Macroeconomic Determinants ◽  
The Impact

Purpose Trade openness plays a significant role in the growth process of countries. The purpose of this paper is to examine the impact of macroeconomic determinants on the trade openness of countries. Design/methodology/approach The study focuses on the South Asian Association for Regional Cooperation (SAARC) member countries and the data used were from 1971 to 2011. Panel data econometrics techniques and two stages least square method (TSLS) are used to carry out empirical analysis and robustness testing. Findings The main finding of the paper is that macroeconomic determinants such as investment both in physical and human capital and per capita gross domestic product (GDP) positively affect trade openness. Further, the size of labour force and currency exchange rate has also impacted trade openness negatively and significantly. Practical implications It implies that efficient macroeconomic management matters for higher trade openness. The sampled developing countries are suggested to pay favourable attention to macroeconomic variables if they want to grow in the long run through outward-oriented policies. Originality/value This paper is an original contribution in the context of SAARC countries by focusing on the relationship between macroeconomic determinants and trade openness.

scholarly journals Workers’ Remittances in Yemen: Macroeconomic Determinants and Impact on Economic Growth

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Essa A. Alhannom ◽  
Ghaleb S. Mushabeb
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Planning Process ◽  
Host Countries ◽  
Macroeconomic Conditions ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
Autoregressive Distributed Lag ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Inflation Rates ◽  
Macroeconomic Determinants ◽  
The Impact

This study aims to examine the determinants of workers’ remittances and their impact on economic growth in Yemen. Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) bounds test to co-integration and error correction model (ECM) were applied on data covering the period from 1990 to 2014. According to the model of remittances determinants, workers’ remittances in Yemen respond to the macroeconomic conditions of both the home and host countries. It is found that, in the long-run, migrant stock and income level at the host countries are positively and strongly influence remittances level, with a feeble impact of domestic inflation rates. The effect of the home country’s income seems to be positive but insignificant in explaining the behavior of remittances level. The model of economic growth suggests that, in the long-run,  the impact of workers’ remittances appears to be positive and moderate with positive and stronger influences observed for financial development and official development assistance. Accordingly, it is recommended that a lesser weight should be given to remittances in the strategic planning process, taking into consideration the increasing potentials of the conditions in the neighboring host countries to be changed. In addition, using remittances as a means of economic growth can be enhanced by encouraging migrants to direct their savings towards productive investment activities, and via formal channels.

Pro-poor Growth and Policies: The Asian Experience (The Quaid-i-Azam Memorial Lecture)

2003 ◽  
Vol 42 (4I) ◽  
pp. 313-348
Author(s):  
Hafiz A. Carstens ◽  
T. Palanivel
Keyword(s):  
Poverty Reduction ◽  
Agricultural Development ◽  
Public Investment ◽  
Memorial Lecture ◽  
Asian Countries ◽  
Poor Growth ◽  
Strong Positive Relationship ◽  
Inflation Rates ◽  
Macroeconomic Determinants ◽  
The Impact

The objective of this paper is to assemble on a systematic basis the available data on Asian countries and then analyse the relationship between growth and poverty reduction in a long-term perspective, as well as the impact of different macroeconomic variables on the intensity of this relationship. The results indicate that there is not only a strong positive relationship between growth and poverty reduction, but also that this relationship is highly variable across countries and time periods. The key macroeconomic determinants of the degree of pro-poor growth appear to be the rates of employment and agricultural growth. Inflation, at least up to a certain rate, does not impact poverty negatively, while the role of exports is essentially indirect through the contribution to the overall rate of economic growth. Examination of the change in policy stance of the Asian countries during the 1990s in relation to the 1980s demonstrates that on balance the mix of policies has not been pro-poor. The apparent sacrifice of growth in pursuit of macroeconomic stability has diminished the impact on poverty reduction. Given the relatively weak trade-off between inflation and growth with regard to the impact on poverty and the fact that inflation rates are currently low in the region, it is argued that countries can be more flexible in their policy stance with regard to the adoption of more growth-oriented as opposed to stabilisation policies. In particular, a case is made for resorting to a more expansionary counter-cyclical fiscal policy, led by higher levels of public investment, supported by appropriate monetary and exchange rate policies. The paper concludes with a detailed description of the policies designed to achieve faster agricultural development and greater employment generation.

Space: the finance sector

1984 ◽  
Vol 312 (1519) ◽  
pp. 75-81
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rate ◽  
Nuclear Power ◽  
Relative Importance ◽  
Launch Vehicles ◽  
International Capital ◽  
Public And Private ◽  
International Capital Markets ◽  
Inflation Rates ◽  
Different Types ◽  
The Impact

The paper will deal with the relative importance of finance. Analogies will be drawn with the financing of nuclear power and North Sea oil. The entities — public and private — involved in financing will be summarized including joint ventures, military binding and the impact of privatization. The various types of space expenditures to be financed will be reviewed including ground facilities, launch vehicles, satellites and space stations. The availability and appropriateness of different types of finance will be considered including defence and P.T.T. budgets, resources of Broadcasting Authorities, finance of equipment suppliers and export-import credit. In addition, funds available from national and international capital markets will be considered. The impact of risk and whether it can be insured or hedged will be examined together with the relevance of risk analysis to the availability of private sector funding. In this context the influence of interest rate changes, inflation rates and currency parities will be considered.

scholarly journals The Macroeconomic Determinants and the Impact of Sanctions on FDI in Iran

2020 ◽  
Vol 34 (1) ◽  
pp. 15-34
Author(s):  
Mehdi Rasouli Ghahroudi ◽  
Li Choy Chong
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Inflation Rate ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Trade Openness ◽  
Macroeconomic Factors ◽  
Fdi Inflows ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Macroeconomic Determinants ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Moderating Role

AbstractWe examine the impact of the macroeconomic determinants of foreign direct investment inflows. We also investigate the moderating role of sanctions in FDI inflows into Iran. The results reveal that macro determinants such as infrastructure, exchange rate, inflation rate, investment return, and governance have a long-run effect on FDI inflows in Iran. Our findings also show that GDP growth rate and trade openness have no significant effect on FDI. Our results indicate that sanctions do not have a significant moderating role in the relationship between macroeconomic factors and FDI. Surprisingly, international sanctions have a positive relationship with FDI inflows in Iran. Furthermore, sanctions have a positive impact on the inflation rate and exchange rate in Iran. Finally, our findings show that sanctions have had a significant impact on Iran’s economic growth in recent years due to increasing the severity level of sanctions.

scholarly journals Exchange Rate Misalignment and Capital Flight from Botswana: A Cointegration Approach with Risk Thresholds

2019 ◽  
Vol 12 (2) ◽  
pp. 101
Author(s):  
Mpho Bosupeng ◽  
Janet Dzator ◽  
Andrew Nadolny
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Trade Openness ◽  
Capital Flight ◽  
Foreign Reserves ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Exchange Rate Misalignment ◽  
Capital Outflows ◽  
The Government ◽  
The Impact

This study investigates the impact of exchange rate misalignment on outward capital flight in Botswana over the period 1980–2015. The study uses the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) approach to cointegration and the Toda and Yamamoto (1995) approach to Granger causality. Botswana’s currency misalignment was caused by current account imbalances. The most important determinant of capital flight from Botswana is trade openness, which indicates that exportable commodities are misinvoiced leading to net capital outflows. Our main findings show that in the long-run, when the currency is overvalued, the volume of capital flight through trade misinvoicing declines and increasing foreign reserves does not reduce outward capital flight. However, when the currency is undervalued, the volume of capital flight through trade misinvoicing increases and foreign reserves reduce outward capital flight. Investors respond more to prospects of devaluation than to inflation. Botswana should tolerate overvaluation of the pula of only up to 5%. When the pula is overvalued beyond 5%, capital flight increases substantially. The government has to formulate trade regulations and monitor imported and exported commodities. Botswana should also implement capital controls to limit capital smuggling and maintain monetary autonomy.

scholarly journals International Capital Inflows and Poverty: Evidence from Developing Countries.

2022 ◽  
Author(s):  
Le Thanh Tung
Keyword(s):  
Developing Countries ◽  
Trade Openness ◽  
Development Assistance ◽  
External Debt ◽  
Poverty Rate ◽  
Official Development Assistance ◽  
Capital Inflows ◽  
Asia Pacific ◽  
International Capital ◽  
The Impact

Poverty reduction is an important one of the long-term global goals. This paper analyses the impact of international capital inflows on poverty with a sample covering 26 developing countries in the Asia-Pacific region. A panel dataset is collected over the period of 1980-2015. The results conclude some new findings, which show international capital inflows have two kinds of effects on the poverty rate. The result shows that remittances and trade openness has positive effects on the poverty rate of the economies. On the other hand, external debt and official development assistance have negative effects on poverty in the region. Our findings lead to some valuable implications, in which, the policymakers need more careful when using the external debt as well as official development assistance to support economic growth because these tools can make the more serious on the poverty in countries. However, the policymakers can use the remittances as an important international capital to solve the lack of internal financial resource. Besides, the result points out that trade openness is a good tool for decreasing the poverty rate by trading with the outside.

Corruption and Political Order

2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hazel Gray
Keyword(s):  
Public Finance ◽  
Local Level ◽  
Economic Transformation ◽  
Political Order ◽  
Capital Flight ◽  
The Political ◽  
Political Actors ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Political Settlement ◽  
The Way

This chapter contrasts the way that the political settlement in both countries shaped the pattern of redistribution, reform, and corruption within public finance and the implications that this had for economic transformation. Differences in the impact of corruption on economic transformation can be explained by the way that their political settlements generated distinct patterns of competition and collaboration between economic and political actors. In Vietnam corrupt activities led to investments that were frequently not productive; however, the greater financial discipline imposed by lower-level organizations led to a higher degree of investment overall in Vietnam that supported a more rapid economic transformation under liberalization than in Tanzania. Individuals or small factional networks within the VCP at the local level were, therefore, probably less able to engage in forms of corruption that simply led to capital flight as happened in Tanzania, where local level organizations were significantly weaker.

THE IMPACT OF RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT INVESTMENT ON AGRICULTURAL SECTOR PERFOMANCE IN KENYA

2017 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 34-57
Author(s):  
John Githii Kimani ◽  
Dr. George Ruigu Ruigu
Keyword(s):  
Research And Development ◽  
Agricultural Sector ◽  
Research Policy ◽  
Trade Openness ◽  
Policy And Practice ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
The Government ◽  
Parsimonious Model ◽  
The Impact

Purpose: The purpose of the study was to assess the impact of research and development investment/expenditure on the agricultural sector performance in Kenya.Methodology: The study took the peoples impact assessment direction. The data for this study was collected from various government agencies such as KARI, ASTI, Kenya Agricultural Sector Data compendium website, FAOSTAT, World Bank among others. Co-integration and error correction modeling methods were used in analyzing the data for this study.Results: Co-integration results for both the parsimonious and non-parsimonious model indicated that that there is a long-run relationship among the variables in the agriculture performance in Kenya. Further, findings in this study indicated that the variables under study were insignificant determinants of the long run Total Factor Productivity of the agricultural sector.  Meanwhile, Trade openness was the only significant determinant of the short run agricultural Total Factor Productivity.Unique Contribution to Policy and Practice: This study recommends the institutionalization of policies aimed at ensuring interaction between the various stakeholders in the agricultural sectors. This interaction will ensure that resources are better allocated to reduce duplication of research and dissemination activities. In addition, greater collaboration among the stakeholders will promote and strengthen the connection between research, policy and the application of research findings. The study further advocates that the government should follow a trade liberazation oriented approach to the agricultural sector as opposed to a trade tightening approach.

scholarly journals Macroeconomic determinants of interest rate spreads in Ghana

2017 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
pp. 76-88 ◽  
Author(s):  
Samuel Kwabena Obeng ◽  
Daniel Sakyi
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rate ◽  
Exchange Rate Volatility ◽  
Institutional Quality ◽  
Fiscal Discipline ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Interest Rate Spreads ◽  
Macroeconomic Determinants ◽  
The Impact

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to examine macroeconomic determinants of interest rate spreads in Ghana for the period 1980-2013. Design/methodology/approach The autoregressive distributed lag bounds test approach to cointegration and the error correction model were used for the estimation. Findings The results indicate that exchange rate volatility, fiscal deficit, economic growth, and public sector borrowing from commercial banks, increase interest rate spreads in Ghana in both the long and short run. Institutional quality reduces interest rate spreads in the long run while lending interest rate volatility and monetary policy rate reduce interest rate spreads in the short run. Research limitations/implications The depreciation of the Ghana cedi must be controlled since its volatility increases spreads. There is a need for fiscal discipline since fiscal deficits increase interest rate spreads. Government must reduce its domestic borrowing because the associated crowding-out effect increases interest rate spreads. The central bank must improve its monitoring and regulation of the financial sector in order to reduce spreads. Originality/value The main novelty of the paper (compared to other studies on Ghana) lies on the one hand; analysing macroeconomic determinants of interest rate spreads and, on the other hand, controlling for the impact of institutional quality on interest rate spreads in Ghana.

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