scholarly journals Heuristics and operational research in emergency situations and civil defence education

2014 ◽  
Vol 62 (3) ◽  
pp. 152-164
Author(s):  
Paun J. Bereš ◽  
Kristian P. Bereš
2018 ◽  
Vol 7 (4.38) ◽  
pp. 704
Author(s):  
Valeriy Borisovich Vilkov ◽  
Andrey Kliment’evich Chernykh ◽  
Alexander Alekseevich Tarantsev ◽  
Yuri Evgenievich Aktersky ◽  
Ilya Danilovich Cheshko

The article deals with the problem of multiobjective optimization with regard to the decision making on the use of the forces and facilities of the EMERCOM of Russia (Ministry of the Russian Federation for Affairs for Civil Defence, Emergencies and Elimination of Consequences of Natural Disasters). The purpose of the article is to create a method for prompt and reasonable calculations when making a decision on the use of the EMERCOM forces and facilities to eliminate the consequences of emergency situations. The proposed method uses fuzzy sets, fuzzy logic, and the Mamdani fuzzy inference algorithm. The work gives a substantial example illustrating the application of the mentioned theory to solve the problem of choosing the optimal version of the task performed by the facilities of the EMERCOM of Russia. Regarding the novelty, it should be noted that the quality characteristics of the solutions are fuzzy and not unambiguously defined, and therefore allow applying the effective mathematical apparatus of fuzzy sets theory, fuzzy logic and the Mamdani fuzzy inference algorithm in solving this problem. 


Author(s):  
Mihails URBANS ◽  
Jeļena MALAHOVA ◽  
Jānis IEVIŅŠ

The article considers Latvian Civil Defence System (hereinafter referred to as CD), how it works in cases of possible threats, how CS system protects the safety of people and national economy as well as the interests of the entire society in case of a catastrophe; types of CD system safety measures, provision thereof, what processes affect CD system in Riga; attitude of responsible state institutions towards national safety system and environment. Based on the abovementioned, we will review how the society itself has influenced its own safety and based on its outcome we will see what protection measures should be provided from the standpoint of safe human and social life, why the drawbacks, deficiencies and indifferent attitude are allowed in relation to the safety system processes in the country and Riga. In the aspect of CD regulatory enactments methodology, an attempt is made to explain the current drawbacks in safety processes of tasks to be fulfilled by the municipality by means of calculations thus identifying the reasons that all emergency situations, breakdowns, catastrophes resulting from technogenic and natural risks depend on the attitude of state institutions, local governments and the society towards the safety, and on general economic situation.


2019 ◽  
Vol 19 ◽  
pp. 51-60
Author(s):  
R. Ratushnyi ◽  
A. Тryhuba ◽  
P. Chmiel ◽  
O. Smotr ◽  
O. Prydatko

Introduction. Effective activity on transborder territories of the nearby states envisages the observance of the proper strength security both on border crossings and in building and premises located on the both sides of the border. Indisputa-bly, location of buildings and their amount is differed within the limits of those or other border crossings. Besides, active public activity on a border is changeable in time. Sufficient strength of this process security is supported by the rescue units provided with the proper amount of personnel and equipment. Transborder emergencies often happen. In most cases rescue units of one state do not have a necessary amount of own forces and facilities. It predetermines the necessity of employing the additional forces and facilities from other state. Obviously, it determines a necessity of realization the projects of crea-tion of transborder rescue units. Their realization requires attraction of additional backlogs and taking into account a turbu-lent project environment, that, in turn, needs the development of projects dealing with creation and functioning of inter-governmental rescue units. Their realization needs the use of the system approach to the management with taking into account of specific of project environment. In particular, realization of projects of creation and functioning of transborder rescue units needs the concordance of operating intergovernmental legislatively-normative acts. Thus there is a row of administrative tasks on each of the stages of such projects’ lifecycles. Thus, in the conditions, when the amount and the scales of technogenic catastrophes on transborder territories increase, realization of projects of creation and functioning of transborder rescue units is the very actual task of present time and there is a necessity of development of models and meth-ods of the project-oriented management for creation and functioning of intergovernmental rescue units.Aim. It is the purpose of argumentation the features of the project-oriented management as the basis of develop-ment of methods and models of corresponding projects frames activity realization.Methods. Studies are conducted with the use of methods and models of the project-oriented management in rela-tion to the dual fire-fighting system.Results. In the article the problem of development of models and methods of the project-oriented management dealing with creation and functioning of transborder rescue units is outlined in the process of realization of corresponding60 Вісник ЛДУБЖД, №19, 2019projects. For the decision of the outlined problem a conceptually new schema of intercommunications in the projects of rescue units creation was offered:– core of project, which consists of transborder projects of technogenic safety on the transborder territories, devel-opment of scientific innovations in the civil defence, cooperation of rescue units and government bodies. In general the internal environment of the project of creation of rescue unit will include such constituents as:– financing mechanism of the project (the main point here is the project budget, costs for the control and preven-tion of emergencies in the transborder areas, management of rescue units, which is characterized by a team of trained, skilled workers); social status (defined by providing standard living conditions for all participants involved in the pro-ject, including social security, wage provision, and rest conditions); authorities of neighboring states (providing various support to all project participants on the part of the leadership of both states); information system and control system (compliance with control and fulfillment of all tasks assigned to the project).It is established that the project of creation of transborder rescue units contains components that can be imple-mented as separate sub-projects. Preferably there can be four such sub-projects:- the project of attracting additional internal forces and means;- the project of attracting additional internal forces and facilities at the border of the neighboring state;- the project of attracting additional internal forces and means of the neighboring state;- the project of attracting additional internal forces and means of several states.Conclusions. According to the results of the work, the following conclusions can be drawn:1. The analysis of the structure works projects establishment and operation of cross-border operational and rescue units made it possible to highlight the defining components that affect the efficiency of relevant projects and reduce time to implement them (duration emergency situations).2. It is established that the efficiency of cross-border projects of the rescue units creation is derived from the ap-proval process of interaction and professionalism of both countries, as well as project design and their turbulent project environment.3. The results of the studies are the basis of development and improvement of models and methods of project man-agement dealing with creation and functioning of transborder rescue units, which should be based on modeling their ac-tions and predicting turbulent project environment.


2021 ◽  
Vol 34 (06) ◽  
pp. 1677-1688
Author(s):  
Valeriy Borisovich Vilkov ◽  
Andrey Klimentevich Chernykh ◽  
Igor Gennadevich Malygin ◽  
Yuriy Dmitrievich Motorygin ◽  
Alexandr Vladimirovich Skripka

The problem of multicriteria optimization in relation to the decisions made about organizing the material and technical support for equipment and personnel of the Ministry of the Russian Federation for Civil Defence, Emergencies and Elimination of Consequences of Natural Disasters (EMERCOM of Russia) in the context of emergency response on transport has been explored in this article. The existing approaches have been indicated, and another approach to building a single generalized criterion by the given partial criteria for the multicriteria optimization problem has been proposed. The verbal statement of the considered problem of multicriteria optimization has been provided. The goal of the study is to develop a method for solving this multicriteria optimization problem using fuzzy sets, fuzzy logic, and the Mamdani's fuzzy inference algorithm. A substantial example has been provided, illustrating the application of the stated theoretical provisions for solving the problem of choosing the best option for the equipment and personnel of the EMERCOM of Russia to liquidate the consequences of emergency situations on transport. In terms of novelty, it must be noted that the indicator (output variable) and parameters (input variables) of the problem have been defined ambiguously, fuzzily, which allows to use the efficient mathematical tools of the theory of fuzzy sets, fuzzy logic, and the Mamdani's fuzzy inference algorithm to solve this problem.


VASA ◽  
1999 ◽  
Vol 28 (1) ◽  
pp. 30-33 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bürger ◽  
Meyer ◽  
Tautenhahn ◽  
Halloul

Background: Objective evaluation of the management of patients with ruptured infrarenal aortic aneurysm in emergency situations has been described rarely. Patients and methods: Fifty-two consecutive patients with ruptured infrarenal aortic aneurysm (mean age, 70.3 years; range, 56–89 years; SD 7.8) were admitted between January 1993 and March 1998. Emergency protocols, final reports, and follow-up data were analyzed retrospectively. APACHE II scores at admission and fifth postoperative day were assessed. Results: The time between the appearance of first symptoms and the referral of patients to the hospital was more than 5 hours in 37 patients (71%). Thirty-eight patients (71%) had signs of shock at time of admission. Ultrasound was performed in 81% of patients as the first diagnostic procedure. The most frequent site of aortic rupture was the left retroperitoneum (87%). Intraoperatively, acute left ventricular failure occurred in four patients, and cardiac arrest in two others. The postoperative course was complicated significantly in 34 patients. The overall mortality rate was 36.5% (n = 19). In 35 patients, APACHE II score was assessed, showing a probability of death of more than 40% in five patients and lower than 30% in 17 others. No patient showing probability of death of above 75% at the fifth postoperative day survived (n = 7). Conclusions: Ruptured aortic aneurysm demands surgical intervention. Clinical outcome is also influenced by preclinical and anesthetic management. The severity of disease as well as the patient’s prognosis can be approximated using APACHE II score. Treatment results of heterogenous patient groups can be compared.


1996 ◽  
Vol 47 (6) ◽  
pp. 731-740
Author(s):  
Ian Morley ◽  
Richard Ormerod
Keyword(s):  

2020 ◽  
Vol 17 (2) ◽  
pp. 66-73
Author(s):  
R. D. Oktyabrskiy

The article is devoted to the justification of the need to reduce the population density in the residential development of cities. The analysis of vulnerability of the urban population from threats of emergency situations of peace and war time, and also an assessment of provision of the city by a road network is given. Proposals have been formulated to reduce the vulnerability of the urban population in the long term and to eliminate traffic congestion and congestion — jams.


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