scholarly journals Evaluation of Drought Characteristics Using the Reconnaissance Drought Index (RDI) over Parambikulam Aliyar Basin of Tamil Nadu

Author(s):  
V. Guhan ◽  
V. Geethalakshmi ◽  
S. Panneerselvam ◽  
A. Raviraj ◽  
A. Lakshmanan ◽  
...  

Drought tends to be a creeping phenomenon occurs gradually with the deficiency in rainfall further extending its impact on sectors which are dependent on water. The drought characteristics were analysed in Parambikulam Aliyar Project (PAP) basin based on the European Centre for Medium range Weather Forecasts Interim Reanalysis (ERA-Interim) gridded data with resolution of 0.125° ×0.125° during 1981-2017. Reconnaissance Drought Index (RDI) was applied for monitoring the drought. The variables used in RDI are rainfall and potential evapotranspiration (ETo), the required meteorological data were taken from the ERA Interim dataset and ETo was calculated using Penman-Monteith method. RDI indicated that 41% of the time had drought condition over 37 years. Two years (1982 and 2012) faced severe drought across all the parts of the PAP basin and the highest number of mild drought events were observed than the other drought conditions in PAP basin. Results showed that Plain areas in PAP basin experienced maximum number of drought events compared to the other areas in PAP basin during the investigation period.

2020 ◽  
Vol 21 (7) ◽  
pp. 1513-1530 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lingcheng Li ◽  
Dunxian She ◽  
Hui Zheng ◽  
Peirong Lin ◽  
Zong-Liang Yang

AbstractThis study elucidates drought characteristics in China during 1980–2015 using two commonly used meteorological drought indices: standardized precipitation index (SPI) and standardized precipitation–evapotranspiration index (SPEI). The results show that SPEI characterizes an overall increase in drought severity, area, and frequency during 1998–2015 compared with those during 1980–97, mainly due to the increasing potential evapotranspiration. By contrast, SPI does not reveal this phenomenon since precipitation does not exhibit a significant change overall. We further identify individual drought events using the three-dimensional (i.e., longitude, latitude, and time) clustering algorithm and apply the severity–area–duration (SAD) method to examine the drought spatiotemporal dynamics. Compared to SPI, SPEI identifies a lower drought frequency but with larger total drought areas overall. Additionally, SPEI identifies a greater number of severe drought events but a smaller number of slight drought events than the SPI. Approximately 30% of SPI-detected drought grids are not identified as drought by SPEI, and 40% of SPEI-detected drought grids are not recognized as drought by SPI. Both indices can roughly capture the major drought events, but SPEI-detected drought events are overall more severe than SPI. From the SAD analysis, SPI tends to identify drought as more severe over small areas within 1 million km2 and short durations less than 2 months, whereas SPEI tends to delineate drought as more severe across expansive areas larger than 3 million km2 and periods longer than 3 months. Given the fact that potential evapotranspiration increases in a warming climate, this study suggests SPEI may be more suitable than SPI in monitoring droughts under climate change.


2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-27
Author(s):  
M. P. Akhtar ◽  
Firoz Alam Faroque ◽  
L. B. Roy ◽  
Mohd. Rizwanullah ◽  
Mukesh Didwania

This paper analyzes the historical rainfall characterization and drought conditions in two major southern states of India, namely, Tamil Nadu and Karnataka, through estimation of meteorological drought indices, namely, drought index (DI), Palmer drought index (PDI), and standardized precipitation index (SPI). Monthly and yearly rainfall data, including temperature, have been considered for 110 years. Deficient rainfall conditions have been identified and compared using annual rainfall classification thresholds. Annual rainfall variability and trend have been estimated using Mann–Kendall test and Sen’s slope test. Comparative study on results implies that drought characterization using SPI may amply facilitate the standardization of threshold classification for severity and frequency. Based on threshold classification, it is found that Tamil Nadu witnessed on an average 11 years of moderate drought, 4.36 years of severe drought, and 1.32 years of extreme drought conditions with standard deviations of 4.28, 1.87, and 1.63 years, respectively, during the study period, whereas Karnataka witnessed on an average 9.74 years of moderate drought, 3.91 years of severe drought, and 2.30 years of extreme drought conditions with standard deviations of 4.54, 2.04, and 2.21 years, respectively, during the study period. According to the analysis, drought vulnerability in Tamil Nadu was higher than in Karnataka, based on the number of dry and wet years in terms of SPI threshold values and area covered over 110 years. Karnataka was more susceptible in terms of severity. When compared with other indices, analysis based on drought indices indicates that a single variable-based estimation using SPI is easy to assess and may be significant and definitive in terms of decision making for prioritizing drought mitigation measures in the study area in case of inadequate available data for multiple variable-based drought analysis.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Soumyashree Dixit ◽  
K V Jayakumar

Abstract Under the variable climatic conditions, the conventional Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) and Reconnaissance Drought Index (RDI) are inadequate for predicting extreme drought characteristics. So in the present study, two indices namely, Non-stationary Standardized Precipitation Index (NSPI) and Non-stationary Reconnaissance Drought Index (NRDI) are developed by fitting non-stationary gamma (for precipitation series) and lognormal (for initial values,δ0) distributions. The Generalized Additive Model in Location, Scale and Shape (GAMLSS) framework, with time varying location parameters considering the external covariates, is used to fit the non-stationary distributions. This includes various large scale climate indices namely Multivariate ENSO Index (MEI), Southern Oscillation Index (SOI), Sea Surface Temperature (SST), and Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) as external covariates for the non-stationary drought assessment. The performances of stationary and non-stationary models are compared based on the Akaika Information Criterion (AIC). Additionally, the drought characteristics are evaluated using Run theory analysis for both stationary and non-stationary drought indices. The study also concentrated on the trivariate copula as well as the Pairwise Copula Construction (PCC) models to estimate the drought recurrence intervals. The comparison of two copula models revealed that the PCC model performed better than the trivariate Student’s t copula model. The recurrence intervals arrived at for the drought events are different for trivariate copula model and PCC model. The area taken for the study is the Upper and Lower sub basins of the Godavari River basin. This study shows that non-stationary drought indices will be helpful in the accurate estimate of the drought characteristics under the changing climatic scenario.


2020 ◽  
Vol 20 (6) ◽  
pp. 2375-2388
Author(s):  
Mohammadreza Seyedabadi ◽  
Mohammadreza Kavianpour ◽  
Saber Moazami

Abstract Drought is asserted as a natural disaster that encompasses vast territories for a long time and affects human life. Indicators are powerful tools for understanding this phenomenon. However, in order to get more information about the drought, multivariate indices were introduced for simultaneous evaluation of multiple variables. In this study, a combined drought index (CDI) based on three drought indices, the Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI), Streamflow Drought Index (SDI), and Standardized Water-level Index (SWI), is defined. Then, the Entropy method is used to determine the weight of each indicator. Among the calculated weights, SDI and SPI had the highest and lowest weight, respectively. The CDI is utilized to identify drought characteristics, such as duration and severity. In addition, the joint distribution function of drought characteristics is formed by copula functions and consequently the probability of different droughts is calculated. For the study area, data and information from eight regions located in Golestan province in the northern part of Iran are used to evaluate the performance of the proposed index. Four categories of drought were defined and their return period calculated. The shortest return period of severe drought was observed in the east and then in the west. In the south and center, the return period of severe drought was longer. Over the course of 30 years, all parts of the province experienced all drought categories.


2019 ◽  
Vol 33 (15) ◽  
pp. 5015-5033 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ruqayah Mohammed ◽  
Miklas Scholz

AbstractInvestigating the spatiotemporal distribution of climate data and their impact on the allocation of the regional aridity and meteorological drought, particularly in semi-arid and arid climate, it is critical to evaluate the climate variability effect and propose sufficient adaptation strategies. The coefficient of variation, precipitation concentration index and anomaly index were used to evaluate the climate variability, while the Mann-Kendall and Sen’s slope were applied for trend analysis, together with homogeneity tests. The aridity was evaluated using the alpha form of the reconnaissance drought index (Mohammed & Scholz, Water Resour Manag 31(1):531–538, 2017c), whereas drought episodes were predicted by applying three of the commonly used meteorological drought indices, which are the standardised reconnaissance drought index, standardized precipitation index and standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index. The Upper Zab River Basin (UZRB), which is located in the northern part of Iraq and covers a high range of climate variability, has been considered as an illustrative basin for arid and semi-arid climatic conditions. There were general increasing trends in average temperature and potential evapotranspiration and decreasing trends in precipitation from the upstream to the downstream of the UZRB. The long-term analysis of climate data indicates that the number of dry years has temporally risen and the basin has experienced succeeding years of drought, particularly after 1994/1995. There was a potential link between drought, aridity and climate variability. Pettitt’s, SNHT, Buishand’s and von Neumann’s homogeneity test results demonstrated that there is an evident alteration in the mean of the drought and aridity between the pre- and post-alteration point (1994).


Author(s):  
Emre TOPÇU ◽  
◽  
Neslihan SEÇKİN ◽  

In this study, drought analysis was carried out in the region, which includes the Eastern Mediterranean, Seyhan, Ceyhan and Asi Basins located in the south of Turkey. In total, data from 35 meteorological stations has been analyzed. As a drought index, the Reconnaissance Drought Index (RDI) was utilised. The Thornthwaite method was selected in the calculation of Potential Evapotranspiration (PET). According to the results, the PET values of all stations have increased in recent years. 3, 6, 9, and 12 month RDI values have been plotted based on the hydrological years. As stated by RDI results, there was mild drought in the basin. The drought results obtained by Turkish State Meteorological Service (The Ministry of Agriculture and Forestry General Directorate of Meteorology) with the Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) method were compared with the results in this study. In this study, drought mapping for RDI was carried out using the annual values of stations with common observation years to monitor visually spatial spread of the drought.


2020 ◽  
Vol 11 (SPL3) ◽  
pp. 1861-1868
Author(s):  
Bianca Princeton ◽  
Abilasha R ◽  
Preetha S

Oral hygiene is defined as the practice of keeping the mouth clean and healthy, by brushing and flossing to prevent the occurrence of any gum diseases like periodontitis or gingivitis. The main aim of oral health hygiene is to prevent the buildup of plaque, which is defined as a sticky film of bacteria and food formed on the teeth. The coastal guard is an official who is employed to watch the sea near a coast for ships that are in danger or involved with illegal activities. Coastal guards have high possibilities of being affected by mesothelioma or lung cancer due to asbestos exposure. So, a questionnaire consisting of 20 questions was created and circulated among a hundred participants who were coastal guards, through Google forms. The responses were recorded and tabulated in the form of bar graphs. Out of a hundred participants, 52.4% were not aware of the fact that coastal guards have high chances of developing lung cancer and Mesothelioma. 53.7% were aware of the other oral manifestations of lung cancer other than bleeding gums. Majority of the coastal guards feel that they are given enough information about dental hygiene protocols. Hence, to conclude, oral hygiene habits have to be elaborated using various tools in the right manner to ensure better health of teeth and gums.


Water ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (9) ◽  
pp. 1238
Author(s):  
Muhammad Imran Khan ◽  
Xingye Zhu ◽  
Xiaoping Jiang ◽  
Qaisar Saddique ◽  
Muhammad Saifullah ◽  
...  

Drought is a natural phenomenon caused by the variability of climate. This study was conducted in the Songhua River Basin of China. The drought events were estimated by using the Reconnaissance Drought Index (RDI) and Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) which are based on precipitation (P) and potential evapotranspiration (PET) data. Furthermore, drought characteristics were identified for the assessment of drought trends in the study area. Short term (3 months) and long term (12 months) projected meteorological droughts were identified by using these drought indices. Future climate precipitation and temperature time series data (2021–2099) of various Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs) were estimated by using outputs of the Global Circulation Model downscaled with a statistical methodology. The results showed that RCP 4.5 have a greater number of moderate drought events as compared to RCP 2.6 and RCP 8.5. Moreover, it was also noted that RCP 8.5 (40 events) and RCP 4.5 (38 events) showed a higher number of severe droughts on 12-month drought analysis in the study area. A severe drought conditions projected between 2073 and 2076 with drought severity (DS-1.66) and drought intensity (DI-0.42) while extreme drying trends were projected between 2097 and 2099 with drought severity (DS-1.85) and drought intensity (DI-0.62). It was also observed that Precipitation Decile predicted a greater number of years under deficit conditions under RCP 2.6. Overall results revealed that more severe droughts are expected to occur during the late phase (2050–2099) by using RDI and SPI. A comparative analysis of 3- and 12-month drying trends showed that RDI is prevailing during the 12-month drought analysis while almost both drought indices (RDI and SPI) indicated same behavior of drought identification at 3-month drought analysis between 2021 and 2099 in the research area. The results of study will help to evaluate the risk of future drought in the study area and be beneficial for the researcher to make an appropriate mitigation strategy.


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