Degradation Trend Prediction of Pumped Storage Unit Based on MIC-LGBM and VMD-GRU Combined Model

The harsh operating environment aggravates the degradation of pumped storage units (PSUs). Degradation trend prediction (DTP) provides important support for the condition-based maintenance of PSUs. However, the complexity of the performance degradation index (PDI) sequence poses a severe challenge of the reliability of DTP. Additionally, the accuracy of healthy model is often ignored, resulting in an unconvincing PDI. To solve these problems, a combined DTP model that integrates the maximal information coefficient (MIC), light gradient boosting machine (LGBM), variational mode decomposition (VMD) and gated recurrent unit (GRU) is proposed. Firstly, MIC-LGBM is utilized to generate a high-precision healthy model. MIC is applied to select the working parameters with the most relevance, then the LGBM is utilized to construct the healthy model. Afterwards, a performance degradation index (PDI) is generated based on the LGBM healthy model and monitoring data. Finally, the VMD-GRU prediction model is designed to achieve precise DTP under the complex PDI sequence. The proposed model is verified by applying it to a PSU located in Zhejiang province, China. The results reveal that the proposed model achieves the highest precision healthy model and the best prediction performance compared with other comparative models. The absolute average (|AVG|) and standard deviation (STD) of fitting errors are reduced to 0.0275 and 0.9245, and the RMSE, MAE, and R2 are 0.00395, 0.0032, and 0.9226 respectively, on average for two operating conditions.

Concept of a Dual Energy Storage System for Sustainable Energy Supply of Automated Guided Vehicles

Due to the growing number of automated guided vehicles (AGVs) in use in industry, as well as the increasing demand for limited raw materials, such as lithium for electric vehicles (EV), a more sustainable solution for mobile energy storage in AGVs is being sought. This paper presents a dual energy storage system (DESS) concept, based on a combination of an electrical (supercapacitors) and an electro-chemical energy storage system (battery), used separately depending on the required transport distance. Each energy storage unit (ESU) in this DESS is capable of supplying the AGV completely. The concept takes into account requirements for a complex material flow as well as minimizing the energy storage capacity required for the operation of the AGV. An energy flow analysis is performed and further used as a basis to derive three possible circuit concepts for the technical realization. The circuit concepts are compared to other approaches from related work, differentiating the functionality to hybrid energy storage systems (HESS). The functionality of the concepts was validated by mapping the energy flow states to active circuit components. Finally, an approach for implementing the control strategy as a state machine is given, and conclusions for further investigations are drawn.

The study of the isolated power supply system operation with controlled distributed generation plants, energy storage units and drive load

THE PURPOSE. Investigation of the operating modes of an isolated power supply system with controlled distributed generation plants, energy storage units and a drive load. Determination of the influence of the proposed prognostic controller of a distributed generation plant on the control parameters and quality indicators of the control process under various operating modes of an isolated power supply system.METHODS. The studies were carried out on a computer model of an isolated power supply system of an industrial enterprise with a turbine generator plant, a wind generator plant and a high-power electric storage unit, for which a fuzzy control system and a prognostic controller were used. The simulation was performed in MATLAB using Simulink and SimPowerSystems packages.RESULTS. The article describes a computer model of an isolated power supply system, as well as a structural diagram of the proposed autoprognostic speed controller. The simulation results showed that the combined use of an energy storage unit and an auto-prognostic generator rotor speed controller makes it possible to ensure the stability and survivability of an isolated power supply system, increasing its damping properties. The use of a fuzzy control system of a wind-generating plant made it possible to ensure its stable operation in all considered modes.CONCLUSION. The auto-prognostic speed controller, which does not require special settings, and the energy storage unit provide high quality control indicators in normal and emergency modes. It is advisable to conduct further studies to coordinate the actions of the control system of the electric energy storage unit and the auto-prognostic speed controller of the distributed generation plant.

Nonlinear Modeling of Dynamic Characteristics of Pump-Turbine

Hydropower is a kind of clean energy, which can effectively reduce the consumption of fossil energy and is one of the main fields of new energy development. Pumped storage power station not only provides a solution for storing electric energy and generating excess, but also is a clean, efficient, economical and safe power system regulation method with high quality. Accurate modeling of a pump-turbine, as the core equipment of a pumped storage unit, is the key to safe and stable operation of the pumped storage unit. At present, a method of simplifying the external characteristics of a pump-turbine into a first-order linear model is widely used, which cannot effectively and accurately reveal the nonlinear dynamic characteristics of the unit in transition process. In order to meet the demand of high-precision simulation of the unit, a new method of identifying Taylor series expansion considering nonlinearity based on the torque characteristic formula and the flow characteristic formula is proposed, which is applied to the pump-turbine external characteristic model, and retains the second derivative term, making the model a second-order nonlinear model, and thus, the pump-turbine model becomes a nonlinear model. The nonlinear model established is used to simulate the load increase and load rejection of the unit, and the results are compared with those for the linear model. The comparison shows that the nonlinear model established for the pump-turbine can reveal the dynamic response of the unit more effectively and accurately than the linear model, and provide a further guarantee for the safe and stable operation of pumped-storage units, which is of great significance to hydropower energy development.