Fake news spreaders profiling using N-grams of various types and SHAP-based feature selection

Complex learning approaches along with complicated and expensive features are not always the best or the only solution for Natural Language Processing (NLP) tasks. Despite huge progress and advancements in learning approaches such as Deep Learning (DL) and Transfer Learning (TL), there are many NLP tasks such as Text Classification (TC), for which basic Machine Learning (ML) classifiers perform superior to DL or TL approaches. Added to this, an efficient feature engineering step can significantly improve the performance of ML based systems. To check the efficacy of ML based systems and feature engineering on TC, this paper explores char, character sequences, syllables, word n-grams as well as syntactic n-grams as features and SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) values to select the important features from the collection of extracted features. Voting Classifiers (VC) with soft and hard voting of four ML classifiers, namely: Support Vector Machine (SVM) with Linear and Radial Basis Function (RBF) kernel, Logistic Regression (LR), and Random Forest (RF) was trained and evaluated on Fake News Spreaders Profiling (FNSP) shared task dataset in PAN 2020. This shared task consists of profiling fake news spreaders in English and Spanish languages. The proposed models exhibited an average accuracy of 0.785 for both languages in this shared task and outperformed the best models submitted to this task.

Predicting Mobile Portability Across Telecommunication Networks Using the Integrated-KLR

Mobile number portability (MNP) across telecommunication networks entails the movement of a customer from one mobile service provider to another. This, often, is as a result of seeking better service delivery or personal choice. Churning prediction techniques seek to predict customers tending to churn and allow for improved customer sustenance campaigns and the cost therein through an improved service efficiency to customer. In this paper, MNP predicting model using integrated kernel logistic regression (integrated-KLR) is proposed. The Integrated-KLR is a combination of kernel logistic regression and expectation-maximization clustering which helps in proactively detecting potential customers before defection. The proposed approach was evaluated with five others, mostly used algorithms: SOM, MLP, Naïve Bayes, RF, J48. The proposed iKLR outperforms the other algorithms with ROC and PRC of 0.856 and 0.650, respectively.

A Comparative Study of Kernel Logistic Regression, Radial Basis Function Classifier, Multinomial Naïve Bayes, and Logistic Model Tree for Flash Flood Susceptibility Mapping

Risk of flash floods is currently an important problem in many parts of Vietnam. In this study, we used four machine-learning methods, namely Kernel Logistic Regression (KLR), Radial Basis Function Classifier (RBFC), Multinomial Naïve Bayes (NBM), and Logistic Model Tree (LMT) to generate flash flood susceptibility maps at the minor part of Nghe An province of the Center region (Vietnam) where recurrent flood problems are being experienced. Performance of these four methods was evaluated to select the best method for flash flood susceptibility mapping. In the model studies, ten flash flood conditioning factors, namely soil, slope, curvature, river density, flow direction, distance from rivers, elevation, aspect, land use, and geology, were chosen based on topography and geo-environmental conditions of the site. For the validation of models, the area under Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC), Area Under Curve (AUC), and various statistical indices were used. The results indicated that performance of all the models is good for generating flash flood susceptibility maps (AUC = 0.983–0.988). However, performance of LMT model is the best among the four methods (LMT: AUC = 0.988; KLR: AUC = 0.985; RBFC: AUC = 0.984; and NBM: AUC = 0.983). The present study would be useful for the construction of accurate flash flood susceptibility maps with the objectives of identifying flood-susceptible areas/zones for proper flash flood risk management.

Groundwater Spring Potential Mapping Using Artificial Intelligence Approach Based on Kernel Logistic Regression, Random Forest, and Alternating Decision Tree Models

This study presents a methodology for constructing groundwater spring potential maps by kernel logistic regression, (KLR), random forest (RF), and alternating decision tree (ADTree) models. The analysis was based on data concerning groundwater springs and fourteen explanatory factors (elevation, slope, aspect, plan curvature, profile curvature, stream power index, sediment transport index, topographic wetness index, distance to streams, distance to roads, normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI), lithology, soil, and land use), which were divided into training and validation datasets. Ningtiaota region in the northern territory of Shaanxi Province, China, was considered as a test site. Frequency Ratio method was applied to provide to each factor’s class a coefficient weight, whereas the linear support vector machine method was used as a feature selection method to determine the optimal set of factors. The Receiver Operating Characteristic curve and the area under the curve (AUC) were used to evaluate the performance of each model using the training dataset, with the RF model providing the highest AUC value (0.909) followed by the KLR (0.877) and ADTree (0.812) models. The same performance pattern was estimated based on the validation dataset, with the RF model providing the highest AUC value (0.811) followed by the KLR (0.797) and ADTree (0.773) models. This study highlights that the artificial intelligence approach could be considered as a valid and accurate approach for groundwater spring potential zoning.