achievement prediction
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2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-14
Author(s):  
Fang Liu

The present work aims to solve the problems that the traditional educational administration management system has, such as low efficiency in analyzing big data, and the analysis results have low value, which is based on manual rules definition in big data analysis and processing. The work proposes a student achievement prediction model FCM-CF based on Fuzzy C-means (FCM) and Collaborative Filtering (CF). The work also introduces it into the research of educational administration management to construct an intelligent educational administration management system. At the beginning, the FCM-CF model is described in detail. Then, the system requirements and specific design methods are described in detail. Eventually, with the students’ performance prediction as an example, the performance of the system is tested by designed simulation experiments. The result shows that the students’ achievement in study is closely related to their daily study performance such as preparation before class, classroom performance, attendance, extracurricular study, and homework completion. Generally, the examination scores of students are significant to their daily performances. Under the same experimental conditions, the prediction error of the FCM-CF model proposed here is less than 10.8% of that of other algorithms. The model has better prediction performance and is more suitable for the prediction of middle school students’ examination scores in educational administration management system. The innovation of intelligent educational administration management system is that, in addition to the basic information management function, it also has two other functions: students’ performance prediction analysis and teacher evaluation prediction. It can provide data support for improving teaching quality. The research purpose is to provide important technical support for more intelligent educational administration and reduce the loss of human resources in educational administration.


Author(s):  
Pratya Nuankaew ◽  
Patchara Nasa-ngium ◽  
Wongpanya Sararat Nuankaew

<span style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: 'Times New Roman',serif; mso-fareast-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: DE; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA;">The purpose of the research is to identify the risk of dropping out in tertiary students with an application. The components of the research goal aim (1) to develop the students’ achievement prediction model and (2) to construct a prototype application for the predictions of the tertiary students dropping out. <a name="_Hlk71439748"></a>The research tools consisted of three parts, (1) tool for developing predictive prototypes uses a tool called the CRISP-DM process with Decision Tree Classification, Feature Selection methods, Confusion Matrix performance, Cross-Validation methods, Accuracy, Precision and Recall measurements, (2) tool for application development used the SDLC with V-method, and (3) tool to assess application satisfaction used questionnaires and statistical analysis. Data sample were collected from 401 students enrolled in the Business Computer Program at the School of Information and Communication Technology, University of Phayao during the academic year 2012-2016. The results showed that the prediction model had a very high percentage of accuracy (82.29%). The prototype test results with the data gathered had a very high score level (84.04%; correct 337 out of 401 training examples). An overview of the underlying application with the utmost integrity by the researchers planned to put the application to the test in the first semester of the academic year 2021 at the School of Information Technology and Communication, University of Phayao. For future research, the researchers plan to create a mobile application for mentors in the University of Phayao to monitor learner on both Android and iOS systems.</span>


Author(s):  
Zhai Mingyu ◽  
Wang Sutong ◽  
Wang Yanzhang ◽  
Wang Dujuan

AbstractData-driven techniques improve the quality of talent training comprehensively for university by discovering potential academic problems and proposing solutions. We propose an interpretable prediction method for university student academic crisis warning, which consists of K-prototype-based student portrait construction and Catboost–SHAP-based academic achievement prediction. The academic crisis warning experiment is carried out on desensitization multi-source student data of a university. The experimental results show that the proposed method has significant advantages over common machine learning algorithms. In terms of achievement prediction, mean square error (MSE) reaches 24.976, mean absolute error (MAE) reaches 3.551, coefficient of determination ($$R^{2}$$ R 2 ) reaches 80.3%. The student portrait and Catboost–SHAP method are used for visual analysis of the academic achievement factors, which provide intuitive decision support and guidance assistance for education administrators.


2020 ◽  
Vol 10 (1) ◽  
pp. 32-48
Author(s):  
Gamze Yavas Celik ◽  
Fatih Yavuz

Whether the success depends on language aptitude or the language aptitude tests can predict the language learning achievement is one of the contradictive issues in SLA. Scholars have questioned the effect of aptitude on success, and they developed many language aptitude tests in time; because the success in aptitude measurement and the achievement prediction would mean to gain time in language learning. In addition, with the changing understanding of aptitude in recent years, language learning aptitude began to be compared to other individual differences (ID). These studies aim to increase the success of learners by designing instructions according to their aptitude and other ID. Therefore, this study aimed to find out the relationship between language aptitude, self-reported strategy use and language achievement of the Turkish EFL learners to see the decisiveness of language aptitude on strategy use and achievement. Results showed that the language aptitude influences foreign language learning achievement. Keywords: Language aptitude, language learning strategies, achievement, individual differences, EFL.


2019 ◽  
Vol 9 (24) ◽  
pp. 5539 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shaojie Qu ◽  
Kan Li ◽  
Bo Wu ◽  
Shuhui Zhang ◽  
Yongchao Wang

With the development of data mining technology, educational data mining (EDM) has gained increasing amounts of attention. Research on massive open online courses (MOOCs) is an important area of EDM. Previous studies found that assignment-related behaviors in MOOCs (such as the completed number of assignments) can affect student achievement. However, these methods cannot fully reflect students’ learning processes and affect the accuracy of prediction. In the present paper, we consider the temporal learning behaviors of students to propose a student achievement prediction method for MOOCs. First, a multi-layer long short-term memory (LSTM) neural network is employed to reflect students’ learning processes. Second, a discriminative sequential pattern (DSP) mining-based pattern adapter is proposed to obtain the behavior patterns of students and enhance the significance of critical information. Third, a framework is constructed with an attention mechanism that includes data pre-processing, pattern adaptation, and the LSTM neural network to predict student achievement. In the experiments, we collect data from a C programming course from the year 2012 and extract assignment-related features. The experimental results reveal that this method achieves an accuracy rate of 91% and a recall of 94%.


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