Abstract. Current peatland models generally treat vegetation as static, although plant
community structure is known to alter as a response to environmental change.
Because the vegetation structure and ecosystem functioning are tightly
linked, realistic projections of peatland response to climate change require
the inclusion of vegetation dynamics in ecosystem models. In peatlands, Sphagnum mosses are
key engineers. Moss community composition primarily follows habitat moisture
conditions. The known species habitat preference along the prevailing moisture
gradient might not directly serve as a reliable predictor for future species
compositions, as water table fluctuation is likely to increase. Hence,
modelling the mechanisms that control the habitat preference of Sphagna is a good
first step for modelling community dynamics in peatlands. In this study, we
developed the Peatland Moss Simulator (PMS), which simulates the community dynamics
of the peatland moss layer. PMS is a process-based model that employs a
stochastic, individual-based approach for simulating competition within the peatland
moss layer based on species differences in functional traits. At the
shoot-level, growth and competition were driven by net photosynthesis, which
was regulated by hydrological processes via the capitulum water content. The
model was tested by predicting the habitat preferences of Sphagnum magellanicum and Sphagnum fallax – two key
species representing dry (hummock) and wet (lawn) habitats in a poor fen
peatland (Lakkasuo, Finland). PMS successfully captured the habitat
preferences of the two Sphagnum species based on observed variations in trait
properties. Our model simulation further showed that the validity of PMS
depended on the interspecific differences in the capitulum water content being
correctly specified. Neglecting the water content differences led to the
failure of PMS to predict the habitat preferences of the species in
stochastic simulations. Our work highlights the importance of the capitulum
water content with respect to the dynamics and carbon functioning of Sphagnum communities in
peatland ecosystems. Thus, studies of peatland responses to changing environmental
conditions need to include capitulum water processes as a control on
moss community dynamics. Our PMS model could be used as an elemental design
for the future development of dynamic vegetation models for peatland
ecosystems.