The Oldest Report of a 1537 Mexico Tsunami Based on Japanese Literature Is Erroneous

According to the Global Historical Database by the National Centers for Environmental Information, the oldest historical tsunami record in Central America is the earthquake tsunami that occurred in Mexico in 1537; however, this record is doubtful because this tsunami is reported by no authority outside Japan. Here, I examined earthquake and tsunami catalogs and found the source of this suspicious data. Imamura (1925) compiled the first part of the chronological table of major earthquakes in the world from the earthquake catalog of the world by Milne (1912). During this compilation, information on the tsunami caused by the 1531 Spain–Portugal earthquake was not copied. The chronological table was published almost annually until 1962; during this time the table was revised in 1958 by Kawasumi, who was the author in charge at the time. The remarks for the 1531 Spain–Portugal earthquake tsunami should have been added during the revision, but the text “tsunami existence” was erroneously added to the next entry for the 1537 Mexico earthquake. The source of the 1537 tsunami report was this miscopy.

The Mw7.1 September 19th Puebla-Morelos (Mexico) earthquake triggered by brucite and antigorite dewatering

<p>Subduction controls key geological processes at convergent margins including seismicity and resultant seismic hazard. The September 19th 2017 Mw7.1 Mexican earthquake nucleated ~250 km from the trench within the Cocos plate near its Moho, ~57 km below Earth’s surface. The prevailing hypothesis suggests that this earthquake resulted from bending stresses occurring at the flat-to-steep subduction transition. Here, we present an alternative, but not mutually exclusive, hypothesis: the dehydration reaction brucite + antigorite = olivine + H2O in the slab mantle controls intermediate-depth seismicity along the flat portion of the subducted Cocos plate. This reaction releases a substantial amount of H2O, resulting in a large positive volume change, and thus in an increase in pore fluid pressure at the appropriate depth–temperature conditions to cause the Puebla-Morelos and other intraslab earthquakes in Mexico. The amount of H2O released by this reaction depends on the degree of serpentinization of the oceanic mantle prior to subduction. Only oceanic mantle with > 60% serpentinization—as expected along abundant deep extensional faults at the mid-ocean-ridge or where the plate bends at the outer rise—will stabilize brucite, and thus, will experience this reaction at the same depths where the September 19th 2017 earthquake nucleated.</p>

Source Characteristics of the 2020 Mw 7.4 Oaxaca, Mexico, Earthquake Estimated from GPS, InSAR, and Teleseismic Waveforms

On 23 June 2020, an Mw 7.4 earthquake struck offshore Oaxaca, Mexico, providing a unique opportunity to understand the seismogenic tectonics of the Mexican subduction zone. In this study, near-field coseismic deformation caused by the event was retrieved from Global Positioning System (GPS) observations and Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar (InSAR) measurements. Given static geodetic measurements, high-rate GPS waveforms, and teleseismic waveforms, the fault geometry and rupture process for the 2020 Oaxaca earthquake were robustly determined by nonlinear joint inversions. The main slip was located at a depth of 20–30 km with a peak slip of 3.4 m near the epicenter. The total released moment was 1.70×1020 N·m, corresponding to Mw 7.4. The whole rupture process lasted 14 s, with the dominant rupture slip occurring 5–8 s after initial rupture. The mainshock rupture mostly occurred along the fault strike, covering a size of ∼55 km(along strike)×∼35 km(along dip) and totally overlapping with the 1965 Mw 7.5 rupture zone. We speculate that this 2020 earthquake is a repeat event following that in 1965. Fluid percolation under the slab may be one of the key factors affecting the seismogenic depth in the Oaxaca region.

Narrow Rupture of the 2020 Mw 7.4 La Crucecita, Mexico, Earthquake

On 23 June 2020, a large (Mw 7.4) interplate thrust earthquake struck near the town of La Crucecita in the state of Oaxaca in southern Mexico, following a 55-yr interseismic period. A seismic source model is well constrained by teleseismic waveforms, static Global Positioning System offsets, and tsunami data, suggesting that the earthquake occurred on the slab interface at a dip of ∼23°, with a narrow elliptical asperity concentrating around a shallow depth of ∼20 km. The rupture propagates bilaterally from the hypocenter, and the down-dip rupture is restricted to ∼25 km by slow slip events (SSEs). The down-dip shear stress is released by SSEs during the interseismic period, limiting the earthquake magnitude and possibly resulting in the characteristic earthquake. The 2020 La Crucecita event, thus, is a good reminder to assess the seismic and tsunami potential in this region. The stress changes caused by the coseismic slip of the 2017 Mw 8.2 Chiapas earthquake are too small to trigger the 2020 La Crucecita earthquake. However, combined with the postseismic afterslip effects that play a leading role, it greatly promotes the eventual occurrence of the La Crucecita event. The results demonstrate the importance of considering postseismic afterslip, when evaluating seismic hazard and its migratory pattern.

ATC Mw7.1 Puebla–Morelos earthquake reconnaissance observations: Seismological, geotechnical, ground motions, site effects, and GIS mapping

This article presents the Applied Technology Council (ATC) team’s observations following the 2017 Mw7.1 Puebla–Morelos, Mexico earthquake. The team was deployed in Mexico City to collect seismological, geotechnical, structural, and overall performance information. The focus was on non-ductile concrete structures, to support implementation of recently published FEMA P-2018 procedures and to identify study buildings for incorporation into NIST-funded ATC-134 ongoing project. This article presents seismological data with 71 strong-motion records processed and ready for use in engineering analysis, geotechnical observations, and characterization of sites visited. Analyses of the response of representative soil profiles are presented in the form of acceleration response spectra and seismic amplification at the ground surface. A comparison of the same analysis using records from the 1985 Michoacán Ms8.1 (approximately Mw8.0) earthquake is also discussed. The ATC team composed GIS maps with structural and geotechnical characteristics of the inspected sites, including color-coded damage of inspected buildings and estimated soil fundamental period to correlate observed behavior with potential soil–structure interaction resonance effects. Recommendations on further detailed studies based on this comprehensive set of case histories are proposed.

Detecting Thermal Anomalies of Earthquake Process Within Outgoing Longwave Radiation Using Time Series Forecasting Models

The catastrophic damages caused by the Jiuzhaigou earthquake in China of August 8, 2017 and the Mexico earthquake of September 20, 2017 have revealed some important weaknesses of currently operational earthquake-monitoring and forecasting systems. In this work, six time series forecasting models were applied to detect pre-earthquake anomalies within infrared outgoing longwave radiation. After comparing their prediction results using non-seismic time series data, the autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model was selected as the optimal model, and then a new prediction method based on this ARIMA model was proposed. The results show that the values observed on July 27 and August 5 before the Jiuzhaigou earthquake in China exceed the confidence interval for prediction and reaches the maximum on August 5, 2017. This indicates the infrared outgoing longwave radiation (IR-OLR) anomalies before the Jiuzhaigou earthquake in China. For the Mexico earthquake, pre-earthquake IR-OLR anomalies are detected on September 14, 18, and 19, and reaches the maximum on September 14, 2017. This demonstrates that the proposed time series forecasting model based on ARIMA could be an effective method for earthquake anomalies detection within infrared outgoing longwave radiation.

Energetic Rupture and Tsunamigenesis during the 2020 Mw 7.4 La Crucecita, Mexico Earthquake

The La Crucecita earthquake ruptured on the megathrust, generating strong shaking and a modest but long-lived tsunami. This is a significant earthquake that illuminates important aspects of the behavior of the megathrust as well as the potential related hazards. The rupture is contained within 15–30 km depth, ground motions are elevated, and the energy to moment ratio is high. We argue that it represents a deep megathrust earthquake, the 30 km depth is the down-dip edge of slip. The inversion is well constrained, ruling out any shallow slip. It is the narrow seismogenic width and the configuration of the coastline that allow for deformation to occur offshore. The minor tsunamigenesis can be accounted for by the deep slip patch. There is a significant uplift at the coast above it, which leads to negative maximum tsunami amplitudes. Finally, tide-gauge recordings show that edge-wave modes were excited and produce larger amplitudes and durations in the Gulf of Tehuantepec.

Subsoil Characteristics of Mexico City, acceleration and hysteretic energy spectra for the Mexico Earthquake of September 19, 2017

The September 19, 2017 intraslab earthquake (Mw7.1), whose epicenter was located near the limits between the states of Puebla and Morelos at approximately 120km from Mexico City, caused severe damage in these regions. In Mexico City more than 40 buildings collapsed, and hundreds had moderate to severe damage; dozens of them are to be demolished. This article analyzes the spectral ratios of accelerometric stations in the lake-bed of Mexico City with respect to the average Fourier spectra at hill zone sites in order to study and compare over time the changes in the behavior of local effects and their relationship with the damage presented during this earthquake; these ratios exhibit also the settlement problem in some places in the city due to over exploiting the aquifer for water supply purposes. Finally, pseudoacceleration and hysteretic energy maps for Mexico City with a discussion with a possible correlation with reported damages are presented.