scholarly journals A Methodology for Future Scenario Planning

Author(s):  
Saskia Sardesai ◽  
Markus Stute ◽  
Josef Kamphues

AbstractThe future is influenced by various possible developments and is hence difficult to predict. Still, each company or institution bases its vision and strategic progress on certain assumptions for the future. In order to prepare for various developments of the future, it is reasonable to consider different possible scenarios while building a future vision. Thus, this chapter focuses on the methodological approach for the generation of future scenarios showing what the surroundings for supply chains might be like in a time horizon until 2030. This integrates various political, economic, social, technological, legal and environmental influences and changes. The methodological framework required for generating scenarios is set by a combination of quantitative and qualitative scenario planning methodologies. Close coordination and collaboration between production and logistics guides the underlying scenario design to focus the context on supply chains. While considering trends described in Kalaitzi et al. 2020, this approach results in a set of macro scenarios, each describing a possible future development until 2030. The macro scenarios range from scenarios with progressive developments to regressing or stagnating evolutions.

2012 ◽  
pp. 1650-1665
Author(s):  
Christos Keramydas ◽  
Naoum Tsolakis ◽  
Anastasios Xanthopoulos ◽  
Dimitrios Aidonis

As supply chains continue to globalize, the need for robust Third Party Logistics (3PL) provider qualification, selection, and evaluation programs becomes increasingly critical. In this context, this chapter aims to present a methodological approach for the optimization of this specific type of outsourcing operations in today’s globalized supply chains. More specifically, the authors first present an analytical literature review of the criteria and the methods that are employed in this field of decision-making, and then propose a generic methodological framework for the 3PL partner selection and evaluation problem. This framework is constituted by a nine-phased conceptual decision-making methodology that outlines the whole life cycle of the 3PL provider selection and continuous evaluation processes.


2014 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
pp. 81-95 ◽  
Author(s):  
Milica Stojanovic ◽  
Petar Mitkovic ◽  
Mihailo Mitkovic

Scenario planning techniques are increasingly gaining attention in the process of spatial and urban planning because of their usefulness in times of uncertainty and complexity. Scenario planning encourages strategic thinking and helps to overcome thinking limitations by creating multiple futures. In this way, it can help to shape the future according to the values and desires of society. Although scenario planning has been used a lot in the business world, there are scarce examples of its application in the field of urban planning. One of the reasons for this is the huge variety of methods and tools with no general guidelines for the implementation of the appropriate procedure and techniques for constructing scenarios in urban planning. Although each exercise of scenario planning must be unique in its context and actors, the methodological approach may be similar. For this reason, the main goal of this paper is to systematize the known methods for scenario construction, emphasize the featured techniques and tools, and consider the possibility of applying scenario methods in the contemporary city planning.


Author(s):  
Christos Keramydas ◽  
Naoum Tsolakis ◽  
Anastasios Xanthopoulos ◽  
Dimitrios Aidonis

As supply chains continue to globalize, the need for robust Third Party Logistics (3PL) provider qualification, selection, and evaluation programs becomes increasingly critical. In this context, this chapter aims to present a methodological approach for the optimization of this specific type of outsourcing operations in today’s globalized supply chains. More specifically, the authors first present an analytical literature review of the criteria and the methods that are employed in this field of decision-making, and then propose a generic methodological framework for the 3PL partner selection and evaluation problem. This framework is constituted by a nine-phased conceptual decision-making methodology that outlines the whole life cycle of the 3PL provider selection and continuous evaluation processes.


Author(s):  
Dimitra Kalaitzi ◽  
Aristides Matopoulos ◽  
Rosanna Fornasiero ◽  
Saskia Sardesai ◽  
Ana Cristina Barros ◽  
...  

AbstractCompanies operate in a macro-environment that is changing considerably due to large, transformative global forces namely megatrends and trends. The wave of these megatrends and trends generates new prospects as well as challenges for the future of supply chains. This chapter provides a review of 23 major megatrends and 72 trends identified in multiple dimensions along Political, Economic, Social, Technological, Legal, and Environmental (PESTLE) dimensions. The results are based on a systematic literature review and an experts’ workshop, and can be used to generate future supply chain scenarios.


2019 ◽  
Vol 106 (2) ◽  
pp. 5-5
Author(s):  
Kathleen D. Sanz
Keyword(s):  

Ethnography ◽  
2017 ◽  
Vol 20 (1) ◽  
pp. 88-107 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sarah Pink ◽  
Vaike Fors ◽  
Mareike Glöss

New technological possibilities associated with autonomous driving (AD) cars are generating new questions and imaginaries about automated futures. In this article we advance a theoretical-methodological approach towards researching this context based in design anthropological theory and sensory ethnographic practice. In doing so we explain and discuss the findings of an in-car video ethnography study designed to investigate the usually unspoken and not necessarily visible elements of car-based mobility. Such an approach is needed, we argue, both in order to inform a research agenda that is capable of addressing the emergence of automated vehicles specifically, as well as in preparation for understanding the implications of automation more generally as human mobility is increasingly entangled with automated technologies and the future imaginaries associated with them.


2021 ◽  
Vol 28 (2) ◽  
pp. 51-55
Author(s):  
Alex Long

Could open-source solutions provide a crucial layer of defense for the future of pandemic-ready and disaster-resilient supply chains?


2021 ◽  
Vol 28 ◽  

Some countries might witness movements that call for secession from the main homeland ,some had succeeded in their endeavors and others are hoping to accomplish them in the future .There are such movements in the Arab homeland which varied according to the motivations behind their wishes to disengage and the means that they used to accomplish them ,whether peaceful or by resort to violence ,which might take long time . These motives might be political, ethnical ,religious, or else . Usually there might be more than one motive behind such moves towards disengagement and secession, but the international support is the most conclusive factor in achieving such an aim , and this is what we are trying to discuss here. Key words : secession ,political, economic ,ethnic, minorities


Author(s):  
Mattia Donadoni ◽  
Sinéad Roden ◽  
Kirstin Scholten ◽  
Mark Stevenson ◽  
Federico Caniato ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  

2021 ◽  
Vol 18 ◽  
pp. 386-395
Author(s):  
Viktor Melnyk ◽  
Maksym Zhytar ◽  
Roman Shchur ◽  
Nataliia Kriuchkova ◽  
Tetiana Solodzhuk

The article describes the scientific and methodological approach to assessing the effectiveness of the financial architecture of Ukraine's economy on the basis of recommended values of the system of indicators, determining their type, allowable intervals of values taking into account micro- and macrofinancial levels of the hierarchy. The comparative analysis of the corresponding indicators on the countries of the EU and Ukraine for 2009-2018 is presented. The future directions of dynamics of indicators of efficiency of functioning of financial architecture of economy of Ukraine are offered


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