Prediction of Large Scale Fire Behavior Using Nuterial Flammability Properties

Author(s):  
Michael A. Delichatsios
Keyword(s):  
2013 ◽  
Vol 31 (6) ◽  
pp. 481-494 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wei Yao ◽  
Xiaokang Hu ◽  
Jianzhong Rong ◽  
Jian Wang ◽  
Hui Zhang

2009 ◽  
Vol 18 (7) ◽  
pp. 791 ◽  
Author(s):  
Leda N. Kobziar ◽  
Joe R. McBride ◽  
Scott L. Stephens

Plantations are the most common means of reforestation following stand-replacing wildfires. As wildfires continue to increase in size and severity as a result of fire suppression or climate change, establishment of plantations will likely also increase. Plantations’ structural characteristics, including dense, uniform spacing and abundant ladder fuels, present significant wildfire hazards. Large-scale fuels reduction techniques may be necessary to reduce potential fire behavior in plantations and to protect surrounding forests. In the present study, four different manipulations aimed at reducing potential fire behavior in a Sierra Nevada pine plantation are compared. The treatments include: mechanical shredding, or mastication, of understorey vegetation and small trees; mastication followed by prescribed fire; fire alone; and controls. Fire behavior modeling shows that mastication is detrimental whereas prescribed fire is effective in reducing potential fire behavior at moderate to extreme weather conditions. Predicted fire behavior was compared with actual values from the prescribed burns in an effort to explore the limitations of fire modeling. Fire behavior predictions were similar to field observations in the more structurally homogeneous stands, but differed greatly where mastication created forest openings and patchy fuels distributions. In contrast to natural stands, the homogeneity of pine plantations make the results of the present work applicable to other regions such as the south-eastern US, where similar fuels reduction techniques are used to increase fire-resistance and stand resilience.


Atmosphere ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (8) ◽  
pp. 1014
Author(s):  
Bryan Quaife ◽  
Kevin Speer

A model is developed to explore fire–atmosphere interactions due to the convective sink and vorticity sources in a highly simplified and idealized form, in order to examine their effect on spread and the stability of various fire front geometries. The model is constructed in a cellular automata framework, is linear, and represents a background flow, convective sink, and vortices induced by the fire plume at every burning cell. We use standard techniques to solve the resulting Poisson equations with careful attention to the boundary conditions. A modified Bresenham algorithm is developed to represent convection. The three basic flow types—large-scale background flow, sink flow, and vortex circulation—interact in a complex fashion as the geometry of the fire evolves. Fire-generated vortex–sink interactions produce a range of fire behavior, including unsteady spread rate, lateral spreading, and dynamic fingering. In this simplified framework, pulsation is found associated with evolving fire-line width, a fire-front acceleration in junction fires, and the breakup of longer initial fire lines into multiple head fires. Fuel is very simply represented by a single burn time parameter. The model fuel is uniform yet patchiness occurs due to a dynamic interaction of diffusive and convective effects. The interplay of fire-induced wind and the geometry of the fire front depends also on the fuel burn time.


2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (2) ◽  
pp. 65-71
Author(s):  
Seunggoo Kang ◽  
Yi Chul Shin

In this study, to allow the flashover to occur, combustion tests were conducted by setting the conditions of a fire source using a large-scale compartment and changing the opening condition. As a result, the inside temperature of the compartment was measured under the fire source conditions. Moreover, according to the “Handbook on Design Calculation &#x0004d;ethods of Fire Behavior” by the Architectural Institute of Japan, the validity of the heat release rate required for the flashover to occur was verified through the correlation between <math xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML"><msub><mi>Q</mi><mrow><mi>F</mi><mi>O</mi></mrow></msub><mo>/</mo><msub><mi>Q</mi><mrow><mi>v</mi><mi>m</mi><mi>a</mi><mi>x</mi></mrow></msub></math> and <math xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML"><msub><mi>A</mi><mi>T</mi></msub><msup><mrow><mo>(</mo><mi>k</mi><mi>p</mi><mi>c</mi><mo>)</mo></mrow><mrow><mn>1</mn><mo>/</mo><mn>2</mn></mrow></msup><mo>/</mo><msub><mi>c</mi><mrow><mi>P</mi></mrow></msub><mn>0</mn><mo>.</mo><mn>5</mn><mi>A</mi><msup><mi>H</mi><mrow><mn>1</mn><mo>/</mo><mn>2</mn></mrow></msup></math>.


Life ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 10 (4) ◽  
pp. 33
Author(s):  
Teresa Enes ◽  
José Lousada ◽  
Teresa Fonseca ◽  
Hélder Viana ◽  
Ana Calvão ◽  
...  

With the increase of forest fires in Portugal in recent decades, a significant part of woodlands is being converted into shrubland areas. Background: From an ecological point of view, woodlands and shrublands play an essential role, as they not only prevent soil erosion and desertification, but also contribute to soil protection, habitat preservation and restoration, and also increased biodiversity for carbon sequestration. Concerning the shrublands, the assessment of their biomass is essential for evaluating the fuel load and forest fire behavior and also beneficial for obtaining estimates of carbon and biomass for energy use. Methods: In this study, we collected data about the potential shrub biomass accumulation along fifteen years in former burnt areas within North Portugal. Results: The achieved results showed that for a post-fire period ranging from one to 15 years, the accumulated shrubs’ biomass ranged from 0.12 up to 28.88 Mg ha−1. The model developed to estimate the shrub biomass using the time after a fire (age) as a predictor variable presented a high adjustment to data (p-value of the F statistic <0.01 and R2 = 0.89), allowing estimating shrub biomass regeneration within former burnt areas with an RMSE of 3.31 Mg ha−1. Conclusions: This paper provides practical information on the availability and assessment of shrub biomass in North Portugal, highlighting the suitability of shrubs as potential sources of biomass.


2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (3) ◽  
pp. 540 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mario M. Valero ◽  
Steven Verstockt ◽  
Christian Mata ◽  
Dan Jimenez ◽  
Lloyd Queen ◽  
...  

Aerial Thermal Infrared (TIR) imagery has demonstrated tremendous potential to monitor active forest fires and acquire detailed information about fire behavior. However, aerial video is usually unstable and requires inter-frame registration before further processing. Measurement of image misalignment is an essential operation for video stabilization. Misalignment can usually be estimated through image similarity, although image similarity metrics are also sensitive to other factors such as changes in the scene and lighting conditions. Therefore, this article presents a thorough analysis of image similarity measurement techniques useful for inter-frame registration in wildfire thermal video. Image similarity metrics most commonly and successfully employed in other fields were surveyed, adapted, benchmarked and compared. We investigated their response to different camera movement components as well as recording frequency and natural variations in fire, background and ambient conditions. The study was conducted in real video from six fire experimental scenarios, ranging from laboratory tests to large-scale controlled burns. Both Global and Local Sensitivity Analyses (GSA and LSA, respectively) were performed using state-of-the-art techniques. Based on the obtained results, two different similarity metrics are proposed to satisfy two different needs. A normalized version of Mutual Information is recommended as cost function during registration, whereas 2D correlation performed the best as quality control metric after registration. These results provide a sound basis for image alignment measurement and open the door to further developments in image registration, motion estimation and video stabilization for aerial monitoring of active wildland fires.


Author(s):  
Kevin B. McGrattan ◽  
Michelle Donnelly ◽  
Anthony Hamins ◽  
Eric Johnnson ◽  
Alex Maranghides ◽  
...  

In cooperation with the fire protection engineering community, a computational fire model, Fire Dynamics Simulator (FDS), is being developed at NIST to study fire behavior and to evaluate the performance of fire protection systems in buildings. The software was released into the public domain in 2000, and since then has been used for a wide variety of analyses by fire protection engineers. An on-going need is to develop and validate new sub-models. Fire experiments are conducted for a variety of reasons, and model predictions of these experiments over the past few decades have gradually improved. However, as the models become more detailed, so must the measurements. The bulk of available large scale test data consist of temperature (thermocouple) measurements made at various points above a fire or throughout an enclosure. While it is useful to compare model predictions with these measurements, one can only gauge how closely the model reproduces the given data. There is often no way to infer why the model and experiment disagree, and thus no way to improve the model. Also, it is difficult to separate various physical phenomena in a large scale fire test so that combustion, radiation and heat transfer algorithms can be evaluated independently. For example, the heat release rate of the fire governs the rate at which energy is added to the system, convective and radiative transport distribute the energy throughout, and thermal conduction drains the system of some of the energy. The measured value of a temperature, heat flux, or gas concentration at any one point depends on all the physical processes, and uncertainties in each phase of the calculation tend to combine in a non-linear way impacting the prediction.


2001 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kevin McGrattan ◽  
Jason Floyd ◽  
Simo Hostikka

Abstract A numerical fire model, Fire Dynamics Simulator (FDS), is being developed at NIST to study fire behavior and to evaluate the performance of fire protection systems in buildings. To date, about half of the applications of the model have been for design of smoke handling systems and sprinkler/detector activation studies. The other half consists of residential and industrial fire reconstructions. Improvements are being made to address the second set of applications, most importantly a mixture fraction combustion model and a finite volume radiation transport algorithm using either a gray gas or a wide band assumption. The methods will be discussed and a sample calculation presented.


1996 ◽  
Vol 101 (D19) ◽  
pp. 23541-23550 ◽  
Author(s):  
B. J. Stocks ◽  
B. W. van Wilgen ◽  
W. S. W. Trollope ◽  
D. J. McRae ◽  
J. A. Mason ◽  
...  

Atmosphere ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 10 (2) ◽  
pp. 66 ◽  
Author(s):  
Susan Prichard ◽  
N. Larkin ◽  
Roger Ottmar ◽  
Nancy French ◽  
Kirk Baker ◽  
...  

The Fire and Smoke Model Evaluation Experiment (FASMEE) is designed to collect integrated observations from large wildland fires and provide evaluation datasets for new models and operational systems. Wildland fire, smoke dispersion, and atmospheric chemistry models have become more sophisticated, and next-generation operational models will require evaluation datasets that are coordinated and comprehensive for their evaluation and advancement. Integrated measurements are required, including ground-based observations of fuels and fire behavior, estimates of fire-emitted heat and emissions fluxes, and observations of near-source micrometeorology, plume properties, smoke dispersion, and atmospheric chemistry. To address these requirements the FASMEE campaign design includes a study plan to guide the suite of required measurements in forested sites representative of many prescribed burning programs in the southeastern United States and increasingly common high-intensity fires in the western United States. Here we provide an overview of the proposed experiment and recommendations for key measurements. The FASMEE study provides a template for additional large-scale experimental campaigns to advance fire science and operational fire and smoke models.


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