scholarly journals Accounting for epistasis improves genomic prediction of phenotypes with univariate and bivariate models across environments

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Elaheh Vojgani ◽  
Torsten Pook ◽  
Johannes W. R. Martini ◽  
Armin C. Hölker ◽  
Manfred Mayer ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Genomic Prediction ◽  
Prediction Models ◽  
Additive Model ◽  
Predictive Ability ◽  
Random Regression ◽  
Average Increase ◽  
Bivariate Model ◽  
Bivariate Models ◽  
Best Linear Unbiased ◽  
Selected Subset

Abstract Key Message The accuracy of genomic prediction of phenotypes can be increased by including the top-ranked pairwise SNP interactions into the prediction model. Abstract We compared the predictive ability of various prediction models for a maize dataset derived from 910 doubled haploid lines from two European landraces (Kemater Landmais Gelb and Petkuser Ferdinand Rot), which were tested at six locations in Germany and Spain. The compared models were Genomic Best Linear Unbiased Prediction (GBLUP) as an additive model, Epistatic Random Regression BLUP (ERRBLUP) accounting for all pairwise SNP interactions, and selective Epistatic Random Regression BLUP (sERRBLUP) accounting for a selected subset of pairwise SNP interactions. These models have been compared in both univariate and bivariate statistical settings for predictions within and across environments. Our results indicate that modeling all pairwise SNP interactions into the univariate/bivariate model (ERRBLUP) is not superior in predictive ability to the respective additive model (GBLUP). However, incorporating only a selected subset of interactions with the highest effect variances in univariate/bivariate sERRBLUP can increase predictive ability significantly compared to the univariate/bivariate GBLUP. Overall, bivariate models consistently outperform univariate models in predictive ability. Across all studied traits, locations and landraces, the increase in prediction accuracy from univariate GBLUP to univariate sERRBLUP ranged from 5.9 to 112.4 percent, with an average increase of 47 percent. For bivariate models, the change ranged from −0.3 to + 27.9 percent comparing the bivariate sERRBLUP to the bivariate GBLUP, with an average increase of 11 percent. This considerable increase in predictive ability achieved by sERRBLUP may be of interest for “sparse testing” approaches in which only a subset of the lines/hybrids of interest is observed at each location.

scholarly journals Accounting for epistasis improves genomic prediction of phenotypes with univariate and bivariate models across environments

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Elaheh Vojgani ◽  
Torsten Pook ◽  
Johannes W.R. Martini ◽  
Armin C. Hölker ◽  
Manfred Mayer ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Genomic Prediction ◽  
Prediction Accuracy ◽  
Prediction Models ◽  
Additive Model ◽  
Predictive Ability ◽  
Random Regression ◽  
Average Increase ◽  
Bivariate Model ◽  
Bivariate Models ◽  
Selected Subset

AbstractWe compared the predictive ability of various prediction models for a maize dataset derived from 910 doubled haploid lines from European landraces (Kemater Landmais Gelb and Petkuser Ferdinand Rot), which were tested in six locations in Germany and Spain. The compared models were Genomic Best Linear Unbiased Prediction (GBLUP) as an additive model, Epistatic Random Regression BLUP (ERRBLUP) accounting for all pairwise SNP interactions, and selective Epistatic Random Regression BLUP (sERRBLUP) accounting for a selected subset of pairwise SNP interactions. These models have been compared in both univariate and bivariate statistical settings within and across environments. Our results indicate that modeling all pairwise SNP interactions into the univariate/bivariate model (ERRBLUP) is not superior in predictive ability to the respective additive model (GBLUP). However, incorporating only a selected subset of interactions with the highest effect variances in univariate/bivariate sERRBLUP can increase predictive ability significantly compared to the univariate/bivariate GBLUP. Overall, bivariate models consistently outperform univariate models in predictive ability. Over all studied traits, locations, and landraces, the increase in prediction accuracy from univariate GBLUP to univariate sERRBLUP ranged from 5.9 to 112.4 percent, with an average increase of 47 percent. For bivariate models, the change ranged from −0.3 to +27.9 percent comparing the bivariate sERRBLUP to the bivariate GBLUP. The average increase across traits and locations was 11 percent. This considerable increase in predictive ability achieved by sERRBLUP may be of interest for “sparse testing” approaches in which only a subset of the lines/hybrids of interest is observed at each location.Key MessageThe prediction accuracy of genomic prediction of phenotypes can be increased by only including top ranked pairwise SNP interactions into the prediction models.

scholarly journals Accounting for epistasis improves genomic prediction of phenotypes with univariate and bivariate models across environments

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Elaheh Vojgani ◽  
Torsten Pook ◽  
Johannes W.R. Martini ◽  
Armin C. Hölker ◽  
Manfred Mayer ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Prediction Models ◽  
Additive Model ◽  
Predictive Ability ◽  
Random Regression ◽  
Average Increase ◽  
Bivariate Model ◽  
Linear Unbiased Prediction ◽  
Bivariate Models ◽  
Best Linear Unbiased ◽  
Selected Subset

Abstract We compared the predictive ability of various prediction models for a maize dataset derived from 910 doubled haploid lines from two European landraces (Kemater Landmais Gelb and Petkuser Ferdinand Rot), which were tested at six locations in Germany and Spain. The compared models were Genomic Best Linear Unbiased Prediction (GBLUP) as an additive model, Epistatic Random Regression BLUP (ERRBLUP) accounting for all pairwise SNP interactions, and selective Epistatic Random Regression BLUP (sERRBLUP) accounting for a selected subset of pairwise SNP interactions. These models have been compared in both univariate and bivariate statistical settings for predictions within and across environments. Our results indicate that modeling all pairwise SNP interactions into the univariate/bivariate model (ERRBLUP) is not superior in predictive ability to the respective additive model (GBLUP). However, incorporating only a selected subset of interactions with the highest effect variances in univariate/bivariate sERRBLUP can increase predictive ability significantly compared to the univariate/bivariate GBLUP. Overall, bivariate models consistently outperform univariate models in predictive ability. Across all studied traits, locations, and landraces, the increase in prediction accuracy from univariate GBLUP to univariate sERRBLUP ranged from 5.9 to 112.4 percent, with an average increase of 47 percent. For bivariate models, the change ranged from − 0.3 to + 27.9 percent comparing the bivariate sERRBLUP to the bivariate GBLUP, with an average increase of 11 percent. This considerable increase in predictive ability achieved by sERRBLUP may be of interest for “sparse testing” approaches in which only a subset of the lines/hybrids of interest is observed at each location.

scholarly journals Genomic prediction models trained with historical records enable populating the German ex situ genebank bio-digital resource center of barley (Hordeum sp.) with information on resistances to soilborne barley mosaic viruses

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Maria Y. Gonzalez ◽  
Yusheng Zhao ◽  
Yong Jiang ◽  
Nils Stein ◽  
Antje Habekuss ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Genetic Resources ◽  
Mosaic Virus ◽  
Genomic Prediction ◽  
Prediction Models ◽  
Ex Situ ◽  
Yellow Mosaic Virus ◽  
Plant Responses ◽  
Resource Center ◽  
Digital Resource ◽  
Best Linear Unbiased

AbstractKey messageGenomic prediction with special weight of major genes is a valuable tool to populate bio-digital resource centers.AbstractPhenotypic information of crop genetic resources is a prerequisite for an informed selection that aims to broaden the genetic base of the elite breeding pools. We investigated the potential of genomic prediction based on historical screening data of plant responses against theBarley yellow mosaic virusesfor populating the bio-digital resource center of barley. Our study includes dense marker data for 3838 accessions of winter barley, and historical screening data of 1751 accessions forBarley yellow mosaic virus(BaYMV) and of 1771 accessions forBarley mild mosaic virus(BaMMV). Linear mixed models were fitted by considering combinations for the effects of genotypes, years, and locations. The best linear unbiased estimations displayed a broad spectrum of plant responses against BaYMV and BaMMV. Prediction abilities, computed as correlations between predictions and observed phenotypes of accessions, were low for the marker-assisted selection approach amounting to 0.42. In contrast, prediction abilities of genomic best linear unbiased predictions were high, with values of 0.62 for BaYMV and 0.64 for BaMMV. Prediction abilities of genomic prediction were improved by up to ~ 5% using W-BLUP, in which more weight is given to markers with significant major effects found by association mapping. Our results outline the utility of historical screening data and W-BLUP model to predict the performance of the non-phenotyped individuals in genebank collections. The presented strategy can be considered as part of the different approaches used in genebank genomics to valorize genetic resources for their usage in disease resistance breeding and research.

scholarly journals Accounting for Group-Specific Allele Effects and Admixture in Genomic Predictions: Theory and Experimental Evaluation in Maize

Genetics ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 216 (1) ◽  
pp. 27-41
Author(s):  
Simon Rio ◽  
Laurence Moreau ◽  
Alain Charcosset ◽  
Tristan Mary-Huard
Keyword(s):  
Genomic Prediction ◽  
Prediction Accuracy ◽  
Prediction Models ◽  
Best Linear Unbiased Prediction ◽  
Linear Unbiased Prediction ◽  
Modeling Group ◽  
A Genome ◽  
Specific Allele ◽  
Best Linear Unbiased ◽  
Unbiased Prediction

Populations structured into genetic groups may display group-specific linkage disequilibrium, mutations, and/or interactions between quantitative trait loci and the genetic background. These factors lead to heterogeneous marker effects affecting the efficiency of genomic prediction, especially for admixed individuals. Such individuals have a genome that is a mosaic of chromosome blocks from different origins, and may be of interest to combine favorable group-specific characteristics. We developed two genomic prediction models adapted to the prediction of admixed individuals in presence of heterogeneous marker effects: multigroup admixed genomic best linear unbiased prediction random individual (MAGBLUP-RI), modeling the ancestry of alleles; and multigroup admixed genomic best linear unbiased prediction random allele effect (MAGBLUP-RAE), modeling group-specific distributions of allele effects. MAGBLUP-RI can estimate the segregation variance generated by admixture while MAGBLUP-RAE can disentangle the variability that is due to main allele effects from the variability that is due to group-specific deviation allele effects. Both models were evaluated for their genomic prediction accuracy using a maize panel including lines from the Dent and Flint groups, along with admixed individuals. Based on simulated traits, both models proved their efficiency to improve genomic prediction accuracy compared to standard GBLUP models. For real traits, a clear gain was observed at low marker densities whereas it became limited at high marker densities. The interest of including admixed individuals in multigroup training sets was confirmed using simulated traits, but was variable using real traits. Both MAGBLUP models and admixed individuals are of interest whenever group-specific SNP allele effects exist.

scholarly journals CV-α: designing validations sets to increase the precision and enable multiple comparison tests in genomic prediction

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rafael Massahiro Yassue ◽  
José Felipe Gonzaga Sabadin ◽  
Giovanni Galli ◽  
Filipe Couto Alves ◽  
Roberto Fritsche-Neto
Keyword(s):  
Genomic Prediction ◽  
Cross Validation ◽  
Prediction Models ◽  
Mean Squared Error ◽  
Predictive Ability ◽  
Proof Of Concept ◽  
Squared Error ◽  
High Effect ◽  
The Mean ◽  
Fold Cross Validation

AbstractUsually, the comparison among genomic prediction models is based on validation schemes as Repeated Random Subsampling (RRS) or K-fold cross-validation. Nevertheless, the design of training and validation sets has a high effect on the way and subjectiveness that we compare models. Those procedures cited above have an overlap across replicates that might cause an overestimated estimate and lack of residuals independence due to resampling issues and might cause less accurate results. Furthermore, posthoc tests, such as ANOVA, are not recommended due to assumption unfulfilled regarding residuals independence. Thus, we propose a new way to sample observations to build training and validation sets based on cross-validation alpha-based design (CV-α). The CV-α was meant to create several scenarios of validation (replicates x folds), regardless of the number of treatments. Using CV-α, the number of genotypes in the same fold across replicates was much lower than K-fold, indicating higher residual independence. Therefore, based on the CV-α results, as proof of concept, via ANOVA, we could compare the proposed methodology to RRS and K-fold, applying four genomic prediction models with a simulated and real dataset. Concerning the predictive ability and bias, all validation methods showed similar performance. However, regarding the mean squared error and coefficient of variation, the CV-α method presented the best performance under the evaluated scenarios. Moreover, as it has no additional cost nor complexity, it is more reliable and allows the use of non-subjective methods to compare models and factors. Therefore, CV-α can be considered a more precise validation methodology for model selection.

scholarly journals Harnessing Genetic Diversity in the USDA Pea Germplasm Collection Through Genomic Prediction

2021 ◽  
Vol 12 ◽  
Author(s):  
Md. Abdullah Al Bari ◽  
Ping Zheng ◽  
Indalecio Viera ◽  
Hannah Worral ◽  
Stephen Szwiec ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Genetic Diversity ◽  
Seed Yield ◽  
Genomic Prediction ◽  
Complex Traits ◽  
Prediction Models ◽  
Germplasm Collection ◽  
Predictive Ability ◽  
Snp Markers ◽  
Breeding Values ◽  
Germplasm Collections

Phenotypic evaluation and efficient utilization of germplasm collections can be time-intensive, laborious, and expensive. However, with the plummeting costs of next-generation sequencing and the addition of genomic selection to the plant breeder’s toolbox, we now can more efficiently tap the genetic diversity within large germplasm collections. In this study, we applied and evaluated genomic prediction’s potential to a set of 482 pea (Pisum sativum L.) accessions—genotyped with 30,600 single nucleotide polymorphic (SNP) markers and phenotyped for seed yield and yield-related components—for enhancing selection of accessions from the USDA Pea Germplasm Collection. Genomic prediction models and several factors affecting predictive ability were evaluated in a series of cross-validation schemes across complex traits. Different genomic prediction models gave similar results, with predictive ability across traits ranging from 0.23 to 0.60, with no model working best across all traits. Increasing the training population size improved the predictive ability of most traits, including seed yield. Predictive abilities increased and reached a plateau with increasing number of markers presumably due to extensive linkage disequilibrium in the pea genome. Accounting for population structure effects did not significantly boost predictive ability, but we observed a slight improvement in seed yield. By applying the best genomic prediction model (e.g., RR-BLUP), we then examined the distribution of genotyped but nonphenotyped accessions and the reliability of genomic estimated breeding values (GEBV). The distribution of GEBV suggested that none of the nonphenotyped accessions were expected to perform outside the range of the phenotyped accessions. Desirable breeding values with higher reliability can be used to identify and screen favorable germplasm accessions. Expanding the training set and incorporating additional orthogonal information (e.g., transcriptomics, metabolomics, physiological traits, etc.) into the genomic prediction framework can enhance prediction accuracy.

scholarly journals Genetic Parameter Estimation and Genomic Prediction of Duroc Boars’ Sperm Morphology Abnormalities

Animals ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 9 (10) ◽  
pp. 710 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yunxiang Zhao ◽  
Ning Gao ◽  
Jian Cheng ◽  
Saeed El-Ashram ◽  
Lin Zhu ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Genomic Prediction ◽  
Genetic Parameters ◽  
Sperm Morphology ◽  
Genetic Parameter ◽  
Predictive Ability ◽  
Single Step ◽  
Swine Production ◽  
Forward Prediction ◽  
Best Linear Unbiased ◽  
First Time

Artificial insemination (AI) has been used globally as a routine technology in the swine production industry. However, genetic parameters and genomic prediction accuracy of semen traits have seldom been reported. In this study, we estimated genetic parameters and conducted genomic prediction for five types of sperm morphology abnormalities in a large Duroc boar population. The estimated heritability of the studied traits ranged from 0.029 to 0.295. In the random cross-validation scenario, the predictive ability ranged from 0.212 to 0.417 for genomic best linear unbiased prediction (GBLUP) and from 0.249 to 0.565 for single-step GBLUP (ssGBLUP). In the forward prediction scenario, the predictive ability ranged from 0.069 to 0.389 for GBLUP and from 0.085 to 0.483 for ssGBLUP. In conclusion, the studied sperm morphology abnormalities showed moderate to low heritability. Both GBLUP and ssGBLUP showed comparative predictive abilities of breeding values, and ssGBLUP outperformed GBLUP under many circumstances in respect to predictive ability. To our knowledge, this is the first time that the genetic parameters and genomic predictive ability of these traits were reported in such a large Duroc boar population.

scholarly journals Multi-trait Genomic Prediction Model Increased the Predictive Ability for Agronomic and Malting Quality Traits in Barley (Hordeum vulgare L.)

2020 ◽  
Vol 10 (3) ◽  
pp. 1113-1124 ◽  
Author(s):  
Madhav Bhatta ◽  
Lucia Gutierrez ◽  
Lorena Cammarota ◽  
Fernanda Cardozo ◽  
Silvia Germán ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Prediction Model ◽  
Genomic Prediction ◽  
Complex Traits ◽  
Prediction Models ◽  
Agronomic Traits ◽  
Predictive Ability ◽  
Malting Quality ◽  
Quality Traits ◽  
Multiple Traits ◽  
Correlated Traits

Plant breeders regularly evaluate multiple traits across multiple environments, which opens an avenue for using multiple traits in genomic prediction models. We assessed the potential of multi-trait (MT) genomic prediction model through evaluating several strategies of incorporating multiple traits (eight agronomic and malting quality traits) into the prediction models with two cross-validation schemes (CV1, predicting new lines with genotypic information only and CV2, predicting partially phenotyped lines using both genotypic and phenotypic information from correlated traits) in barley. The predictive ability was similar for single (ST-CV1) and multi-trait (MT-CV1) models to predict new lines. However, the predictive ability for agronomic traits was considerably increased when partially phenotyped lines (MT-CV2) were used. The predictive ability for grain yield using the MT-CV2 model with other agronomic traits resulted in 57% and 61% higher predictive ability than ST-CV1 and MT-CV1 models, respectively. Therefore, complex traits such as grain yield are better predicted when correlated traits are used. Similarly, a considerable increase in the predictive ability of malting quality traits was observed when correlated traits were used. The predictive ability for grain protein content using the MT-CV2 model with both agronomic and malting traits resulted in a 76% higher predictive ability than ST-CV1 and MT-CV1 models. Additionally, the higher predictive ability for new environments was obtained for all traits using the MT-CV2 model compared to the MT-CV1 model. This study showed the potential of improving the genomic prediction of complex traits by incorporating the information from multiple traits (cost-friendly and easy to measure traits) collected throughout breeding programs which could assist in speeding up breeding cycles.

scholarly journals Genomic Prediction Using Canopy Coverage Image and Genotypic Information in Soybean via a Hybrid Model

2019 ◽  
Vol 15 ◽  
pp. 117693431984002 ◽  
Author(s):  
Reka Howard ◽  
Diego Jarquin
Keyword(s):  
Molecular Marker ◽  
Genomic Prediction ◽  
Prediction Models ◽  
Predictive Ability ◽  
Image Data ◽  
Nested Association Mapping ◽  
Canopy Coverage ◽  
Prediction Techniques ◽  
And Training ◽  
Marker Information

Prediction techniques are important in plant breeding as they provide a tool for selection that is more efficient and economical than traditional phenotypic and pedigree based selection. The conventional genomic prediction models include molecular marker information to predict the phenotype. With the development of new phenomics techniques we have the opportunity to collect image data on the plants, and extend the traditional genomic prediction models where we incorporate diverse set of information collected on the plants. In our research, we developed a hybrid matrix model that incorporates molecular marker and canopy coverage information as a weighted linear combination to predict grain yield for the soybean nested association mapping (SoyNAM) panel. To obtain the testing and training sets, we clustered the individuals based on their marker and canopy information using 2 different clustering techniques, and we compared 5 different cross-validation schemes. The results showed that the predictive ability of the models was the highest when both the canopy and marker information was included, and it was the lowest when only the canopy information was included.

scholarly journals Utilizing random regression models for genomic prediction of a longitudinal trait derived from high-throughput phenotyping

2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Malachy Campbell ◽  
Harkamal Walia ◽  
Gota Morota
Keyword(s):  
High Throughput ◽  
Legendre Polynomial ◽  
Genomic Prediction ◽  
Prediction Models ◽  
Additive Genetic Variance ◽  
Second Order ◽  
Random Regression ◽  
Phenotypic Data ◽  
High Throughput Phenotyping ◽  
Time Point

AbstractThe accessibility of high-throughput phenotyping platforms in both the greenhouse and field, as well as the relatively low cost of unmanned aerial vehicles, have provided researchers with an effective means to characterize large populations throughout the growing season. These longitudinal phenotypes can provide important insight into plant development and responses to the environment. Despite the growing use of these new phenotyping approaches in plant breeding, the use of genomic prediction models for longitudinal phenotypes is limited in major crop species. The objective of this study is to demonstrate the utility of random regression (RR) models using Legendre polynomials for genomic prediction of shoot growth trajectories in rice (Oryza sativa). An estimate of shoot biomass, projected shoot area (PSA), was recored over a period of 20 days for a panel of 357 diverse rice accessions using an image-based greenhouse phenotyping platform. A RR that included a fixed second-order Legendre polynomial, a random second-order Legendre polynomial for the additive genetic effect, a first-order Legendre polynomial for the environmental effect, and heterogeneous residual variances was used to model PSA trajectories. The utility of the RR model over a single time point (TP) approach, where PSA is fit at each time point independently, is shown through four prediction scenarios. In the first scenario, the RR and TP approaches were used to predict PSA for a set of lines lacking phenotypic data. The RR approach showed a 11.6% increase in prediction accuracy over the TP approach. Much of this improvement could be attributed to the greater additive genetic variance captured by the RR approach. The remaining scenarios focused forecasting future phenotypes using a subset of early time points for known lines with phenotypic data, as well new lines lacking phenotypic data. In all cases, PSA could be predicted with high accuracy (r: 0.79 to 0.89 and 0.55 to 0.58 for known and unknown lines, respectively). This study provides the first application of RR models for genomic prediction of a longitudinal trait in rice, and demonstrates that RR models can be effectively used to improve the accuracy of genomic prediction for complex traits compared to a TP approach.

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