Long- and short-run determinants of capital flows to Latin America: a long-run structural GVAR model

2011 ◽  
Vol 43 (3) ◽  
pp. 1041-1071 ◽  
Author(s):  
Melisso Boschi
Keyword(s):  
Latin America ◽  
Capital Flows ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run

The U. S. Dollarization Approach to Regional Currency Consolidation: Second-Best in the Short Run, Doomed in the Long Run

2011 ◽  
Vol 30 (119) ◽  
Author(s):  
George M. Von Furstenberg ◽  
Alexander Volbert
Keyword(s):  
Latin America ◽  
Financial Services ◽  
Free Movement ◽  
Monetary Unions ◽  
International Currency ◽  
Second Best ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Free Movement Of Capital

Free movement of capital and trade in financial services are driving regional currency consolidation. We compare the relative merits of adopting an international currency unilaterally or multilaterally. While EMU is the exemplar of the multilateral approach characterized by assured seignior age sharing and co-management of the joint monetary asset, unilateral monetary unions are represented by the proposed formal dollarization of some countries in Latin America. This paper finds that while such dollarization could be useful for the period ahead, it carries the seeds of its own destruction because peripheral countries that lose their currency need not support this one-sided arrangement indefinitely

scholarly journals Foreign capital flows, exports and growth in Zambia

2015 ◽  
Vol 5 (4) ◽  
pp. 26-37
Author(s):  
Kunofiwa Tsaurai
Keyword(s):  
Capital Flows ◽  
Foreign Capital ◽  
Growth Enhancement ◽  
Vector Error Correction ◽  
Vector Error ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Foreign Capital Flows ◽  
Causality Relationship ◽  
The Impact

This study investigates the causality between FDI net inflows, exports and GDP using Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) approach. The words foreign capital flows and FDI are used interchangeably in this study. The findings from the VECM estimation technique is six fold: (1) the study revealed a long run causality relationship running from exports and GDP towards FDI, (2) the study showed a non–significant long run causality relationship running from FDI and exports towards GDP and (3) the existence of a weak long run causality relationship running from FDI and GDP towards exports in Zambia. The study also found out that no short run causality relationship that runs from FDI and exports towards GDP, short run causality running from FDI and GDP towards exports does not exist and there is no short run causality relationship running from exports and GDP towards FDI. Contrary to the theory which says that FDI brings along with it a whole lot of advantages (FDI technological diffusion and spill over effects), the current study found that the impact of FDI in Zambia is not significant in the long run. This is possibly because certain host country locational characteristics that ensures that Zambia can benefit from FDI inflows are not in place or they might be in place but still not yet reached a certain minimum threshold levels. This might be an interesting area for further research. On the backdrop of the findings of this study, the author recommends that the Zambian authorities should formulate and implement export promotion strategies and economic growth enhancement initiatives in order to be able to attract more FDI.

scholarly journals Fiscal Adjustment in Latin America and the Caribbean: Short-Run Pain, Long-Run Gain?

2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Carlos A. Vegh ◽  
Guillermo Vuletin ◽  
Daniel Riera-Crichton ◽  
Diego Friedheim ◽  
Luis Morano ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Latin America ◽  
Fiscal Adjustment ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
The Caribbean

scholarly journals Capital Flows and The Macro Economy: The Indian Experience

2008 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
pp. 62-74
Author(s):  
A. K. Seth ◽  
Sumati Varma
Keyword(s):  
Capital Flows ◽  
Transmission Mechanism ◽  
Business Studies ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Indian Experience ◽  
Correction Technique ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Almost All ◽  
Macro Variables ◽  
Simple Regression

This paper examines the macro-economic impact of capital flows into India. The variables identified in the study have been drawn on the basis of the transmission mechanism – to see how capital flows are transmitted into the economic system. To examine the issue the paper uses simple regression and Granger’s Error Correction technique, which analyses long run and short run impact together. It has been found that out of the macro variables selected almost all are influenced by capital flows and represent the monetary environment of the economy. The Journal of Nepalese Business Studies Vol. IV, No. 1(2007) pp. 62-74

BKK the EZ Way: International Long-Run Growth News and Capital Flows

2018 ◽  
Vol 108 (11) ◽  
pp. 3416-3449 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ric Colacito ◽  
Max Croce ◽  
Steven Ho ◽  
Philip Howard
Keyword(s):  
Empirical Evidence ◽  
Capital Flows ◽  
Risk Sharing ◽  
International Investment ◽  
International Capital Flows ◽  
International Capital ◽  
G7 Countries ◽  
Sharing Scheme ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run

We study the response of international investment flows to shortand long-run growth news. Among developed G7 countries, positive long-run news for domestic productivity induces a net outflow of investments, in contrast to the effects of short-run growth shocks. We document that a standard Backus, Keho, and Kydland (1994) (BKK) model fails to reproduce this novel empirical evidence. We augment this model with Epstein and Zin (1989) preferences (EZ-BKK) and characterize the resulting recursive risk-sharing scheme. The response of international capital flows in the EZ-BKK model is consistent with the data. (JEL F14, F32, F43, G12)

Migration and US agricultural competitiveness

2013 ◽  
Vol 10 (2) ◽  
pp. 159-179 ◽  
Author(s):  
Philip L. Martin
Keyword(s):  
Farm Workers ◽  
Easy Access ◽  
Foreign Born ◽  
Guest Workers ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Lower Wage ◽  
The Government ◽  
The One

Agriculture has one of the highest shares of foreign-born and unauthorized workers among US industries; over three-fourths of hired farm workers were born abroad, usually in Mexico, and over half of all farm workers are unauthorized. Farm employers are among the few to openly acknowledge their dependence on migrant and unauthorized workers, and they oppose efforts to reduce unauthorized migration unless the government legalizes currently illegal farm workers or provides easy access to legal guest workers. The effects of migrants on agricultural competitiveness are mixed. On the one hand, wages held down by migrants keep labour-intensive commodities competitive in the short run, but the fact that most labour-intensive commodities are shipped long distances means that long-run US competitiveness may be eroded as US farmers have fewer incentives to develop labour-saving and productivity-improving methods of farming and production in lower-wage countries expands.

Electricity consumption and economic growth in ASEAN

2017 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
pp. 16
Author(s):  
Ahmad Ghazali Ismail ◽  
Arlinah Abd Rashid ◽  
Azlina Hanif
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Energy Use ◽  
Electricity Consumption ◽  
Panel Estimation ◽  
Real Gdp ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Bidirectional Relationship ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Using Data ◽  
The Relationship

The relationship and causality direction between electricity consumption and economic growth is an important issue in the fields of energy economics and policies towards energy use. Extensive literatures has discussed the issue, but the array of findings provides anything but consensus on either the existence of relations or direction of causality between the variables. This study extends research in this area by studying the long-run and causal relations between economic growth, electricity consumption, labour and capital based on the neo-classical one sector aggregate production technology mode using data of electricity consumption and real GDP for ASEAN from the year 1983 to 2012. The analysis is conducted using advanced panel estimation approaches and found no causality in the short run while in the long-run, the results indicate that there are bidirectional relationship among variables. This study provides supplementary evidences of relationship between electricity consumption and economic growth in ASEAN.

Impact of exchange rate and oil price on the yield of sovereign bond and sukuk: Evidence from Malaysian capital market

2017 ◽  
Vol 5 (4) ◽  
pp. 27
Author(s):  
Huda Arshad ◽  
Ruhaini Muda ◽  
Ismah Osman
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Capital Market ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Oil Prices ◽  
Oil Price ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Sovereign Bond ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
The Impact

This study analyses the impact of exchange rate and oil prices on the yield of sovereign bond and sukuk for Malaysian capital market. This study aims to ascertain the effect of weakening Malaysian Ringgit and declining of crude oil price on the fixed income investors in the emerging capital market. This study utilises daily time series data of Malaysian exchange rate, oil price and the yield of Malaysian sovereign bond and sukuk from year 2006 until 2015. The findings show that the weakening of exchange rate and oil prices contribute different impacts in the short and long run. In the short run, the exchange rate and oil prices does not have a direct relation with the yield of sovereign bond and sukuk. However, in the long run, the result reveals that there is a significant relationship between exchange rate and oil prices on the yield of sovereign bond and sukuk. It is evident that only a unidirectional causality relation is present between exchange rate and oil price towards selected yield of Malaysian sovereign bond and sukuk. This study provides numerical and empirical insights on issues relating to capital market that supports public authorities and private institutions on their decision and policymaking process.

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