Research on deformation prediction of tunnel surrounding rock using the model combining firefly algorithm and nonlinear auto-regressive dynamic neural network

Author(s):  
Yue Pan ◽  
Liang Chen ◽  
Ju Wang ◽  
Hongsu Ma ◽  
Shuling Cai ◽  
...  
Author(s):  
Meng Wei ◽  
Min Ye ◽  
Jia Bo Li ◽  
Qiao Wang ◽  
Xin Xin Xu

State of charge (SOC) of the lithium-ion batteries is one of the key parameters of the battery management system, which the performance of SOC estimation guarantees energy management efficiency and endurance mileage of electric vehicles. However, accurate SOC estimation is a difficult problem owing to complex chemical reactions and nonlinear battery characteristics. In this paper, the method of the dynamic neural network is used to estimate the SOC of the lithium-ion batteries, which is improved based on the classic close-loop nonlinear auto-regressive models with exogenous input neural network (NARXNN) model, and the open-loop NARXNN model considering expected output is proposed. Since the input delay, feedback delay, and hidden layer of the dynamic neural network are usually selected by empirically, which affects the estimation performance of the dynamic neural network. To cover this weakness, sine cosine algorithm (SCA) is used for global optimal dynamic neural network parameters. Then, the experimental results are verified to obtain the effectiveness and robustness of the proposed method under different conditions. Finally, the dynamic neural network based on SCA is compared with unscented Kalman filter (UKF), back propagation neural network based on particle swarm optimization (BPNN-PSO), least-squares support vector machine (LS-SVM), and Gaussian process regression (GPR), the results show that the proposed dynamic neural network based on SCA is superior to other methods.


2021 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
pp. 46
Author(s):  
Mostafa Abotaleb ◽  
Tatiana Makarovskikh

COVID-19 is one of the biggest challenges that countries face at the present time, as infections and deaths change daily and because this pandemic has a dynamic spread. Our paper considers two tasks. The first one is to develop a system for modeling COVID-19 based on time-series models due to their accuracy in forecasting COVID-19 cases. We developed an “Epidemic. TA” system using R programming for modeling and forecasting COVID-19 cases. This system contains linear (ARIMA and Holt’s model) and non-linear (BATS, TBATS, and SIR) time-series models and neural network auto-regressive models (NNAR), which allows us to obtain the most accurate forecasts of infections, deaths, and vaccination cases. The second task is the implementation of our system to forecast the risk of the third wave of infections in the Russian Federation.


2016 ◽  
Vol 186 ◽  
pp. 207-217 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xin Deng ◽  
Jian-Xin Xu ◽  
Jin Wang ◽  
Guo-yin Wang ◽  
Qiao-song Chen

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