Skill assessment of global climate model wind speed from CMIP5 and CMIP6 and evaluation of projections for the Bay of Bengal

2020 ◽  
Vol 55 (9-10) ◽  
pp. 2667-2687
Author(s):  
Athira Krishnan ◽  
Prasad K. Bhaskaran
Keyword(s):  
Wind Speed ◽  
Bay Of Bengal ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Global Climate ◽  
Global Climate Model ◽  
Skill Assessment

scholarly journals Performance of Global Climate Model (GCMs) for Wind Data Analysis

2019 ◽  
Vol 117 ◽  
pp. 00006
Author(s):  
Chutipat Foyhirun ◽  
Duangrudee K. Kongkitkul ◽  
Chaiwat Ekkawatpanit
Keyword(s):  
Wind Speed ◽  
Wave Height ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Global Climate ◽  
Global Climate Model ◽  
Andaman Sea ◽  
Future Climate Change ◽  
Observation Data ◽  
Efficiency Coefficient ◽  
Wind Speed Data

The surface wind speed is an important climate variable for study of ocean wave energy and coastal erosion. The wind speed and wave height variations are caused by global warming. In the future, climate change impacts on changes of direction and wind speed which affect on wave height and wave period. The global climate model (GCMs) were developed by various institutions so each GCM has different GCM output. Then, the aim of this study is to evaluation the performance of GCMs for wind speed analysis in the area of Gulf of Thailand and Andaman Sea. In this study, the daily wind speed data was analyzed with a total of 15 GCMs and daily wind speed data of NCEP-NCAR was used as observation data to compare with wind speed data from GCMs over the period 1986-2005 (20 years). Moreover, the wind speed data was evaluated by efficiency coefficient which are root mean square error (RMSE) and mean absolute error (MAE). It was found tht MRI-CGCM3, GFDL-ESM2M, IPSL-CM5A-LR, and IPSL-CM5A-MR are consistent with the most of observation data from NCEP-NCAR.

scholarly journals Changes in Surface Wind Speed over North America from CMIP5 Model Projections and Implications for Wind Energy

2014 ◽  
Vol 2014 ◽  
pp. 1-10 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sujay Kulkarni ◽  
Huei-Ping Huang
Keyword(s):  
Wind Speed ◽  
North America ◽  
Greenhouse Gas ◽  
Climate Models ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Global Climate ◽  
Global Climate Model ◽  
Surface Wind ◽  
Surface Wind Speed ◽  
Current Estimate

The centennial trends in the surface wind speed over North America are deduced from global climate model simulations in the Climate Model Intercomparison Project—Phase 5 (CMIP5) archive. Using the 21st century simulations under the RCP 8.5 scenario of greenhouse gas emissions, 5–10 percent increases per century in the 10 m wind speed are found over Central and East-Central United States, the Californian Coast, and the South and East Coasts of the USA in winter. In summer, climate models projected decreases in the wind speed ranging from 5 to 10 percent per century over the same coastal regions. These projected changes in the surface wind speed are moderate and imply that the current estimate of wind power potential for North America based on present-day climatology will not be significantly changed by the greenhouse gas forcing in the coming decades.

Wind resource assessment of Cuba in future climate scenarios

2018 ◽  
Vol 43 (3) ◽  
pp. 311-326
Author(s):  
Yoandy Alonso Díaz ◽  
Arnoldo Bezanilla ◽  
Alfredo Roque ◽  
Abel Centella ◽  
Israel Borrajero ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Wind Speed ◽  
General Circulation ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Global Climate ◽  
Global Climate Model ◽  
Circulation Model ◽  
Wind Farms ◽  
Northern Coast ◽  
The Future ◽  
Wind Resource

The future climatic behavior of the wind resource in Cuba has not been studied in the past. This study presents a preliminary analysis of the behavior of wind speed using the regional climate model PRECIS (Providing Regional Climates for Impacts Studies) in high-resolution scenarios of climate change SRES A1B (Special Report on Emissions Scenarios), driven with boundary conditions from the General Circulation Model ECHAM5 (European Centre/HAMburg climate model) and 6 of the 16 members of the set of perturbed physics HadCM3 (Hadley Center Coupled Model, version 3) global climate model. Changes in the distribution of wind speed for three periods of 30 years in the future—2011–2040, 2041–2070, and 2071–2099—are analyzed. The PRECIS model was also run with reanalysis data during the period of 1 January 1989 to 31 December 2002. It was found that changes in wind speed will be larger in the eastern and northern coast, becoming statistically significant for the second half of this century with an increase in wind magnitude between 0.1 and 0.4 m s−1. These areas of increased wind power match with the current projection of the Cuban wind program where the construction of 13 new wind farms are contemplated. Finally, this increase is added to the wind speed outputs of the numerical wind atlas of Cuba to estimate the values of wind speed over the three future periods.

High bit rate ACTS experiments for performing global science - Keck Telescope and global climate model

1996 ◽  
Author(s):  
Larry Bergman ◽  
J. Gary ◽  
Burt Edelson ◽  
Neil Helm ◽  
Judith Cohen ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Climate Model ◽  
Global Climate ◽  
Global Climate Model ◽  
Bit Rate ◽  
Global Science ◽  
High Bit Rate

scholarly journals A comparison of ship and satellite measurements of cloud properties with global climate model simulations in the southeast Pacific stratus deck

2010 ◽  
Vol 10 (14) ◽  
pp. 6527-6536 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. A. Brunke ◽  
S. P. de Szoeke ◽  
P. Zuidema ◽  
X. Zeng
Keyword(s):  
Diurnal Cycle ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Global Climate ◽  
Global Climate Model ◽  
Cloud Fraction ◽  
Cloud Base ◽  
Liquid Water Path ◽  
Cloud Properties ◽  
Southeast Pacific ◽  
Cloud Thickness

Abstract. Here, liquid water path (LWP), cloud fraction, cloud top height, and cloud base height retrieved by a suite of A-train satellite instruments (the CPR aboard CloudSat, CALIOP aboard CALIPSO, and MODIS aboard Aqua) are compared to ship observations from research cruises made in 2001 and 2003–2007 into the stratus/stratocumulus deck over the southeast Pacific Ocean. It is found that CloudSat radar-only LWP is generally too high over this region and the CloudSat/CALIPSO cloud bases are too low. This results in a relationship (LWP~h9) between CloudSat LWP and CALIPSO cloud thickness (h) that is very different from the adiabatic relationship (LWP~h2) from in situ observations. Such biases can be reduced if LWPs suspected to be contaminated by precipitation are eliminated, as determined by the maximum radar reflectivity Zmax>−15 dBZ in the apparent lower half of the cloud, and if cloud bases are determined based upon the adiabatically-determined cloud thickness (h~LWP1/2). Furthermore, comparing results from a global model (CAM3.1) to ship observations reveals that, while the simulated LWP is quite reasonable, the model cloud is too thick and too low, allowing the model to have LWPs that are almost independent of h. This model can also obtain a reasonable diurnal cycle in LWP and cloud fraction at a location roughly in the centre of this region (20° S, 85° W) but has an opposite diurnal cycle to those observed aboard ship at a location closer to the coast (20° S, 75° W). The diurnal cycle at the latter location is slightly improved in the newest version of the model (CAM4). However, the simulated clouds remain too thick and too low, as cloud bases are usually at or near the surface.

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