Comparing the performance of first-order conditional estimation (FOCE) and different expectation–maximization (EM) methods in NONMEM: real data experience with complex nonlinear parent-metabolite pharmacokinetic model

Author(s):  
Thanh Bach ◽  
Guohua An
Axioms ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (2) ◽  
pp. 102
Author(s):  
Maya Briani ◽  
Emiliano Cristiani ◽  
Paolo Ranut

In this paper, we propose two models describing the dynamics of heavy and light vehicles on a road network, taking into account the interactions between the two classes. The models are tailored for two-lane highways where heavy vehicles cannot overtake. This means that heavy vehicles cannot saturate the whole road space, while light vehicles can. In these conditions, the creeping phenomenon can appear, i.e., one class of vehicles can proceed even if the other class has reached the maximal density. The first model we propose couples two first-order macroscopic LWR models, while the second model couples a second-order microscopic follow-the-leader model with a first-order macroscopic LWR model. Numerical results show that both models are able to catch some second-order (inertial) phenomena such as stop and go waves. Models are calibrated by means of real data measured by fixed sensors placed along the A4 Italian highway Trieste–Venice and its branches, provided by Autovie Venete S.p.A.


1999 ◽  
Vol 43 (3) ◽  
pp. 568-572 ◽  
Author(s):  
Charles A. Peloquin ◽  
Amy E. Bulpitt ◽  
George S. Jaresko ◽  
Roger W. Jelliffe ◽  
James M. Childs ◽  
...  

ABSTRACT Ethambutol (EMB) is the most frequent “fourth drug” used for the empiric treatment of Mycobacterium tuberculosis and a frequently used drug for infections caused by Mycobacterium avium complex. The pharmacokinetics of EMB in serum were studied with 14 healthy males and females in a randomized, four-period crossover study. Subjects ingested single doses of EMB of 25 mg/kg of body weight under fasting conditions twice, with a high-fat meal, and with aluminum-magnesium antacid. Serum was collected for 48 h and assayed by gas chromatography-mass spectrometry. Data were analyzed by noncompartmental methods and by a two-compartment pharmacokinetic model with zero-order absorption and first-order elimination. Both fasting conditions produced similar results: a mean (± standard deviation) EMB maximum concentration of drug in serum (C max) of 4.5 ± 1.0 μg/ml, time to maximum concentration of drug in serum (T max) of 2.5 ± 0.9 h, and area under the concentration-time curve from 0 h to infinity (AUC0–∞) of 28.9 ± 4.7 μg · h/ml. In the presence of antacids, subjects had a mean C maxof 3.3 ± 0.5 μg/ml, T max of 2.9 ± 1.2 h, and AUC0–∞ of 27.5 ± 5.9 μg · h/ml. In the presence of the Food and Drug Administration high-fat meal, subjects had a mean C max of 3.8 ± 0.8 μg/ml, T max of 3.2 ± 1.3 h, and AUC0–∞ of 29.6 ± 4.7 μg · h/ml. These reductions in C max, delays inT max, and modest reductions in AUC0–∞ can be avoided by giving EMB on an empty stomach whenever possible.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ruxian Wang

The growth of market size is crucially important to firms, although researchers often assume that market size is constant in assortment and pricing management. I develop a model that incorporates the market expansion effects into discrete consumer choice models and investigate various operations problems. Market size, measured by the number of people who are interested in the products from the same category, is largely influenced by firms’ operations strategy, and it also affects assortment planning and pricing decisions. Failure to account for market expansion effects may lead to substantial losses in demand estimation and operations management. Based on real data, this paper uses an alternating-optimization expectation-maximization method that separates the estimation of consumer choice behavior and market expansion effects to calibrate the new model. The end-to-end solution approach on modeling, operations, and estimation is readily applicable in real business.


2017 ◽  
Vol 106 ◽  
pp. 52-75 ◽  
Author(s):  
Maria Kontorinaki ◽  
Anastasia Spiliopoulou ◽  
Claudio Roncoli ◽  
Markos Papageorgiou

Blood ◽  
2004 ◽  
Vol 104 (11) ◽  
pp. 2746-2746 ◽  
Author(s):  
Georg Hempel ◽  
Claudia Lanvers-Kaminsky ◽  
Hans-Joachim Mueller ◽  
Gudrun Wuerthwein ◽  
Joachim Boos

Abstract PEG-Asparaginase is an important part of many treatment protocols for ALL. In many centres Asparaginase activity is measured after administration of PEG-asparaginase. However, a predictive pharmacokinetic model is lacking. Such a model would be helpful for dose adjustment and decision making when to switch to another preparation due to the development of inactivating antibodies. Previously described models like linear one-compartment [V.I. Avramis et al., Blood 2002, 99: 1986–1994] or a one-compartment Michaelis-Menten model [H.J. Mueller et al., Cancer Chemother. Pharmacol. 2002, 49, 149–154] describe the data sufficiently for one dose alone, but cannot account for the phenomenom that the time to reach a lower activity limit after administration is not increasing with increasing the dose. Therefore, we analysed 1189 serum activity measurements in 185 children from the ALL-BFM 95 study. Patients received 500, 1000 or 2500 U/m2 PEG-Asp on up to 9 occasions. Serum asparaginase activity was measured using a semi-automatic enzymatic assay with a limit of quantification of 2 U/l [C. Lanvers et al. Anal. Biochem. 2002, 309, 117–126]. Data analysis was done using nonlinear mixed effects modelling (NONMEM Vers. V). Different models like Michaelis-Menten, linear first-order, Weibull and gamma models were tested. The best model applicable to all dosing groups was a modified first-order one-compartmental model with clearance increasing with time according to the formula: Cl = Cli*exp(0.0853*t) with Cli=initial clearance, and t=time. Addition of a second compartment did not improve the model. A typical activity-time course of a patient receiving 1000 U/m2 is shown below displaying the typical shape observable in all patients and in all doing groups. The population parameters found were: Volume of distribution (V) 1.05 ± 27.3% l/m2, Cli 60.3 ± 70.8% ml/day/m2 (mean ± interindividual variability). Interoccasion variability was substantial with 0.223 l/m2 for V and 37.7 ml/day/m2 for Cl, respectively. A subgroup of one third of the patients is identifiable showing a high clearance probably due to the development of inactivating antibodies. Drug monitoring of serum PEG-Asparaginase activity is required to identify these patients who do not benefit from PEG-Asp therapy. The pharmacokinetic model presented here should help to reduce the number of required serum samples per patient. Figure Figure


2015 ◽  
Vol 2015 ◽  
pp. 1-5 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mursala Khan ◽  
Rajesh Singh

A chain ratio-type estimator is proposed for the estimation of finite population mean under systematic sampling scheme using two auxiliary variables. The mean square error of the proposed estimator is derived up to the first order of approximation and is compared with other relevant existing estimators. To illustrate the performances of the different estimators in comparison with the usual simple estimator, we have taken a real data set from the literature of survey sampling.


2002 ◽  
Vol 1802 (1) ◽  
pp. 155-165 ◽  
Author(s):  
H. Haj-Salem ◽  
J. P. Lebacque

In previous studies, two traffic data-cleaning algorithms were developed at the Institut National de Recherche sur les Transports on the basis of filtering techniques and statistical approaches. Because of their mathematical structure (linearity of the process), both algorithms present a high level of inaccuracy in the case of nonhomogeneous traffic conditions at the location of the measurement stations (for example, free flow upstream and congestion downstream, or vice versa). A new algorithm for solving the traffic data-cleaning problem on the basis of real-time application of a dynamic first-order modeling approach was devised to take into account the nonlinearity of the traffic phenomenon. The developed algorithm, named PROPAGE, was tested using real data measurements, including a wide spectrum of traffic conditions. Compared with results from previous algorithms, the results obtained were more accurate.


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