Real-time nowcast of a cloudburst and a thunderstorm event with assimilation of Doppler weather radar data

2013 ◽  
Vol 70 (2) ◽  
pp. 1357-1383 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kuldeep Srivastava ◽  
Rashmi Bhardwaj
2019 ◽  
pp. 105-116
Author(s):  
Todd A. Murphy ◽  
Cynthia Palmer ◽  
Chad Entremont ◽  
James D. Lamb

In October 2016, the University of Louisiana Monroe (ULM) began operating a polarimetric S-band Doppler weather radar to help close the low-level radar coverage gap across northern Louisiana by increasing the quantity of data sampled below 3.0 km AGL. Data are delivered in near-real time to local National Weather Service (NWS) Weather Forecast Offices to help meteorologists accomplish their mission of protecting life and property. The inclusion of ULM radar data into NWS operations has led to improved detection of severe and hazardous weather across northern Louisiana. This paper details how the ULM radar has been incorporated into NWS operations, the improvement in operational radar coverage, and the challenges of using a non-NWS radar in the NWS operational setting.


1998 ◽  
Vol 2 (2/3) ◽  
pp. 265-281 ◽  
Author(s):  
V. A. Bell ◽  
R. J. Moore

Abstract. A practical methodology for distributed rainfall-runoff modelling using grid square weather radar data is developed for use in real-time flood forecasting. The model, called the Grid Model, is configured so as to share the same grid as used by the weather radar, thereby exploiting the distributed rainfall estimates to the full. Each grid square in the catchment is conceptualised as a storage which receives water as precipitation and generates water by overflow and drainage. This water is routed across the catchment using isochrone pathways. These are derived from a digital terrain model assuming two fixed velocities of travel for land and river pathways which are regarded as model parameters to be optimised. Translation of water between isochrones is achieved using a discrete kinematic routing procedure, parameterised through a single dimensionless wave speed parameter, which advects the water and incorporates diffusion effects through the discrete space-time formulation. The basic model routes overflow and drainage separately through a parallel system of kinematic routing reaches, characterised by different wave speeds but using the same isochrone-based space discretisation; these represent fast and slow pathways to the basin outlet, respectively. A variant allows the slow pathway to have separate isochrones calculated using Darcy velocities controlled by the hydraulic gradient as estimated by the local gradient of the terrain. Runoff production within a grid square is controlled by its absorption capacity which is parameterised through a simple linkage function to the mean gradient in the square, as calculated from digital terrain data. This allows absorption capacity to be specified differently for every grid square in the catchment through the use of only two regional parameters and a DTM measurement of mean gradient for each square. An extension of this basic idea to consider the distribution of gradient within the square leads analytically to a Pareto distribution of absorption capacity, given a power distribution of gradient within the square. The probability-distributed model theory (Moore, 1985) can then be used directly to obtain the integrated runoff production for the square for routing to the catchment outlet. justification for the simple linkage function is in part sought through consideration of variants on the basic model where (i) runoff production is based on a topographic index control on saturation and (ii) absorption capacity is related to the Integrated Air Capacity of the soil, as obtained from soil survey. An impervious area fraction is also introduced based on the use of Landsat classified urban areas. The Grid Model and its variants are assessed in Part 2 (Bell and Moore, 1998), first as simulation models and then as forecasting models, following the development of updating procedures to accommodate recent observations of flow so as to improve forecast performance in a real-time context.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Palina Zaiko ◽  
Siarhei Barodka ◽  
Aliaksandr Krasouski

<p>Heavy precipitation forecast remains one of the biggest problems in numerical weather prediction. Modern remote sensing systems allow tracking of rapidly developing convective processes and provide additional data for numerical weather models practically in real time. Assimilation of Doppler weather radar data also allows to specify the position and intensity of convective processes in atmospheric numerical models.</p><p>The primary objective of this study is to evaluate the impact of Doppler  radar reflectivity and velocity assimilation in the WRF-ARW mesoscale model for the territory of Belarus in different seasons of the year. Specifically, we focus on the short-range numerical forecasting of mesoscale convective systems passage over the territory of Belarus in 2017-2019 with assimilated radar data.</p><p>Proceeding with weather radar observations available for our cases, we first perform the necessary processing of the raw radar data to eliminate noise, reflections and other kinds of clutter. For identification of non-meteorological noise fuzzy echo classification was used. Then we use the WRF-DA (3D-Var) system to assimilate the processed radar observations from 3 Belarusian Doppler weather radar in the WRF model. Assimilating both radar reflectivity and radial velocity data in the model we aim to better represent not only the distribution of clouds and their moisture content, but also the detailed dynamical aspects of convective circulation. Finally, we analyze WRF modelling output obtained with assimilated radar data and compare it with available meteorological observations and with other model runs (including control runs with no data assimilation or with assimilation of conventional weather stations data only), paying special attention to the accuracy of precipitation forecast 12 hours in advance.</p>


2013 ◽  
Vol 17 (8) ◽  
pp. 3095-3110 ◽  
Author(s):  
J. Liu ◽  
M. Bray ◽  
D. Han

Abstract. Mesoscale numerical weather prediction (NWP) models are gaining more attention in providing high-resolution rainfall forecasts at the catchment scale for real-time flood forecasting. The model accuracy is however negatively affected by the "spin-up" effect and errors in the initial and lateral boundary conditions. Synoptic studies in the meteorological area have shown that the assimilation of operational observations, especially the weather radar data, can improve the reliability of the rainfall forecasts from the NWP models. This study aims at investigating the potential of radar data assimilation in improving the NWP rainfall forecasts that have direct benefits for hydrological applications. The Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model is adopted to generate 10 km rainfall forecasts for a 24 h storm event in the Brue catchment (135.2 km2) located in southwest England. Radar reflectivity from the lowest scan elevation of a C-band weather radar is assimilated by using the three-dimensional variational (3D-Var) data-assimilation technique. Considering the unsatisfactory quality of radar data compared to the rain gauge observations, the radar data are assimilated in both the original form and an improved form based on a real-time correction ratio developed according to the rain gauge observations. Traditional meteorological observations including the surface and upper-air measurements of pressure, temperature, humidity and wind speed are also assimilated as a bench mark to better evaluate and test the potential of radar data assimilation. Four modes of data assimilation are thus carried out on different types/combinations of observations: (1) traditional meteorological data; (2) radar reflectivity; (3) corrected radar reflectivity; (4) a combination of the original reflectivity and meteorological data; and (5) a combination of the corrected reflectivity and meteorological data. The WRF rainfall forecasts before and after different modes of data assimilation are evaluated by examining the rainfall temporal variations and total amounts which have direct impacts on rainfall–runoff transformation in hydrological applications. It is found that by solely assimilating radar data, the improvement of rainfall forecasts are not as obvious as assimilating meteorological data; whereas the positive effect of radar data can be seen when combined with the traditional meteorological data, which leads to the best rainfall forecasts among the five modes. To further improve the effect of radar data assimilation, limitations of the radar correction ratio developed in this study are discussed and suggestions are made on more efficient utilisation of radar data in NWP data assimilation.


2013 ◽  
Vol 30 (5) ◽  
pp. 873-895 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yong Hyun Kim ◽  
Sungshin Kim ◽  
Hye-Young Han ◽  
Bok-Haeng Heo ◽  
Cheol-Hwan You

Abstract In countries with frequent aerial military exercises, chaff particles that are routinely spread by military aircraft represent significant noise sources for ground-based weather radar observation. In this study, a cost-effective procedure is proposed for identifying and removing chaff echoes from single-polarization Doppler radar readings in order to enhance the reliability of observed meteorological data. The proposed quality control procedure is based on three steps: 1) spatial and temporal clustering of decomposed radar image elements, 2) extraction of the clusters’ static and time-evolution characteristics, and 3) real-time identification and removal (or censoring) of target echoes from radar data. Simulation experiments based on this procedure were conducted on site-specific ground-echo-removed weather radar data provided by the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA), from which three-dimensional (3D) reflectivity echoes covering hundreds of thousands of square kilometers of South Korean territory within an altitude range of 0.25–10 km were retrieved. The algorithm identified and removed chaff clutter from the South Korean data with a novel decision support system at an 81% accuracy level under typical cases in which chaff and weather clusters were isolated from one another with no overlapping areas.


MAUSAM ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 65 (1) ◽  
pp. 49-56
Author(s):  
S.JOSEPHINE VANAJA ◽  
B.V. MUDGAL ◽  
S.B. THAMPI

Precipitation is a significant input for hydrologic models; so, it needs to be quantified precisely. The measurement with rain gauges gives the rainfall at a particular location, whereas the radar obtains instantaneous snapshots of electromagnetic backscatter from rain volumes that are then converted into rainfall via algorithms. It has been proved that the radar measurement of areal rainfall can outperform rain gauge network measurements, especially in remote areas where rain gauges are sparse, and remotely sensed satellite rainfall data are too inaccurate. The research focuses on a technique to improve rainfall-runoff modeling based on radar derived rainfall data for Adyar watershed, Chennai, India. A hydrologic model called ‘Hydrologic Engineering Center-Hydrologic Modeling System (HEC-HMS)’ is used for simulating rainfall-runoff processes. CARTOSAT 30 m DEM is used for watershed delineation using HEC-GeoHMS. The Adyar watershed is within 100 km radius circle from the Doppler Weather Radar station, hence it has been chosen as the study area. The cyclonic storm Jal event from 4-8 November, 2010 period is selected for the study. The data for this period are collected from the Statistical Department, and the Cyclone Detection Radar Centre, Chennai, India. The results show that the runoff is over predicted using calibrated Doppler radar data in comparison with the point rainfall from rain gauge stations.


2015 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
pp. 593-609 ◽  
Author(s):  
L. Norin

Abstract. In many countries wind turbines are rapidly growing in numbers as the demand for energy from renewable sources increases. The continued deployment of wind turbines can, however, be problematic for many radar systems, which are easily disturbed by turbines located in the radar line of sight. Wind turbines situated in the vicinity of Doppler weather radars can lead to erroneous precipitation estimates as well as to inaccurate wind and turbulence measurements. This paper presents a quantitative analysis of the impact of a wind farm, located in southeastern Sweden, on measurements from a nearby Doppler weather radar. The analysis is based on 6 years of operational radar data. In order to evaluate the impact of the wind farm, average values of all three spectral moments (the radar reflectivity factor, absolute radial velocity, and spectrum width) of the nearby Doppler weather radar were calculated, using data before and after the construction of the wind farm. It is shown that all spectral moments, from a large area at and downrange from the wind farm, were impacted by the wind turbines. It was also found that data from radar cells far above the wind farm (near 3 km altitude) were affected by the wind farm. It is shown that this in part can be explained by detection by the radar sidelobes and by scattering off increased levels of dust and turbulence. In a detailed analysis, using data from a single radar cell, frequency distributions of all spectral moments were used to study the competition between the weather signal and wind turbine clutter. It is shown that, when weather echoes give rise to higher reflectivity values than those of the wind farm, the negative impact of the wind turbines is greatly reduced for all spectral moments.


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