scholarly journals Crash model based on integrated design consistency with low traffic volumes (due to health disaster (COVID-19)/movement control order)

2020 ◽  
Vol 6 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Joewono Prasetijo ◽  
Guohui Zhang ◽  
Zulhaidi Mohd Jawi ◽  
Mohd Eizzuddin Mahyeddin ◽  
Zaffan Farhana Zainal ◽  
...  
2020 ◽  
Vol 4 (4) ◽  
pp. 1-9
Author(s):  
Md Amiruzzaman ◽  
M. Abdullah-Al-Wadud ◽  
Rizal Mohd Nor ◽  
Normaziah A. Aziz

This study presents a prediction model based on Logistic Growth Curve (LGC) to evaluate the effectiveness of Movement Control Order (MCO) on COVID-19 pandemic spread. The evaluation assesses and predicts the growth models. The estimated model is a forecast-based model that depends on partial data from the COVID-19 cases in Malaysia. The model is studied on the effectiveness of the three phases of MCO implemented in Malaysia, where the model perfectly fits with the R2 value 0.989. Evidence from this study suggests that results of the prediction model match with the progress and effectiveness of the MCO to flatten the curve, and thus is helpful to control the spike in number of active COVID-19 cases and spread of COVID-19 infection growth.


Author(s):  
Md Amiruzzaman ◽  
M. Abdullah-Al-Wadud ◽  
Rizal Mohd Nor ◽  
Normaziah A. Aziz

This study presents a prediction model based on Logistic Growth Curve to evaluate the effectiveness of Movement Control Order (MCO) on COVID-19 pandemic spread. The evaluation assesses and predicts the growth models. The estimated model is a forecast-based model that depended on partial data from the COVID-19 cases in Malaysia. The model is then studied together with the effectiveness of the three phases of MCO implemented in Malaysia. Evidence from this study suggests that results of the LGC prediction model match with the progress and effectiveness of the MCO to flatten the curve, thus helped to control the spike in number of active COVID-19 cases and spread of COVID-19 infection growth.


Author(s):  
Joewono Prasetijo ◽  
Guohui Zhang ◽  
Muhammad Isradi ◽  
Zaffan Farhana Zainal ◽  
Wan Zahidah Musa ◽  
...  

Purpose: Malaysia is one of the developing countries that facing high road accident in Asia. The most common accident happens is between motorcyclist and cars. A motorcyclist is 17 times more dangerous than passenger cars. Analysis shows the three main types of accidents in Malaysia is collision with passenger cars, collisions with other motorcycles and single-motorcycle accidents. Road accidents keep rising in Malaysia, because lacks of road geometric design consistency where the drivers make mistakes errors due to the road geometric features. Design/methodology/approach: The study was conducted at F0050 from km 21 until km 25. By using GPS (DG -200), the continuous speed profile data were using new analysis method to develop road design consistency profile of motorcycle and cars and determined the value of the index the integrated road design consistency (IC). Findings: The developments of consistency model are based on parameter: the bounded area between the profile and the average speed, standard deviation of speed along a segment. Hence, use ACAD software for develops consistency model’s profile. The integrated-consistency model is the impact of the speed profile on design consistency in traffic and safety evaluations. The highest areas of an accident at km 24 are justified based on the design consistency of the area and integrated design consistency model between of car and motorcycle is poor design. The study shows that crashes and fatalities are fully effected by traffic volumes but road design performances and driving behavior. Research limitations/implications: However, the traffic volumes are relatively low in the whole country regarding to the Movement Control Order (MCO) due to the pandemic COVID-19 since March 2020. In contrast to the reduction of the volumes, the number of crashes still shows relatively high. Therefore, it shows that crashes and fatalities are influenced by other factors. Geometric factors such as access point, tangent length, curve length, shoulder width, and lane width are influencing an operating speed profile for developed tangents and curves of motorcycle and cars. Practical implications: The result of this study can be used as references to solve accident problems in Malaysia. Paper type: This study is categorized as a case study.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Khayriyyah Mohd Hanafiah ◽  
Chang Da Wan

The COVID-19 pandemic is the first to occur in an age of hyperconnectivity. This paper presents results from an online anonymous survey conducted in Malay, English, and Chinese, during the first week of the Movement Control Order in Malaysia (n=1075), which aimed to examine public knowledge, perception and communication behavior in the Malaysian society in the face of a sudden outbreak and social distancing measures. Although the level of public knowledge, risk perception and positive communication behavior surrounding COVID-19 was high, a majority of respondents reported receiving a lot of questionable information. Multinomial logistic regression further identified that responses to different items varied significantly across respondent survey language, gender, age, education level and employment status.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Aidalina Mahmud ◽  
Poh Ying Lim ◽  
Hayati Kadir Shahar

BACKGROUND On March 18, 2020, the Malaysian government implemented Movement Control Order (MCO) to limit the contact rates among the population and infected individuals. OBJECTIVE The objective of this study was to forecast the trend of the COVID-19 epidemic in Malaysia in terms of its magnitude and duration. METHODS Data for this analysis was obtained from publicly available databases, from March 17 until March 27, 2020. By applying the Susceptible, Exposed, Infectious and Removed (SEIR) mathematical model and several predetermined assumptions, two analyses were carried out: without and with MCO implementation. RESULTS Without MCO, it is forecasted that it would take 18 days to reach the peak of infection incidence. The incidence rate would plateau at day 80 and end by day 94, with 43% of the exposed population infected. With the implementation of the MCO, it is forecasted that new cases of infection would peak at day 25, plateau at day 90 and end by day 100. At its peak, the infection could affect up to about 40% of the exposed population. CONCLUSIONS It is forecasted that the COVID-19 epidemic in Malaysia will subside soon after the mid-year of 2020. Although the implementation of MCO can flatten the epidemiological curve, it also prolongs the duration of the epidemic. The MCO can result in several unfavorable consequences in economic and psychosocial aspects. A future work of an exit plan for the MCO should also be devised and implemented gradually. The exit plan raises several timely issues of re-infection resurgence after MCO are lifted.


IEEE Access ◽  
2017 ◽  
Vol 5 ◽  
pp. 3131-3138 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bernard B. Munyazikwiye ◽  
Hamid Reza Karimi ◽  
Kjell G. Robbersmyr

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ilya Yasnorizar Ilyas ◽  
Abdul Rauf Ridzuan ◽  
Rosilawati Sultan Mohideen ◽  
Mohd Hilmi Bakar

2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Mohd Rohaizat Hassan ◽  
Mohd Nizam Subahir ◽  
Linayanti Rosli ◽  
Shaharom Nor Azian Che Mat Din ◽  
Nor Zaher Ismail ◽  
...  

PurposeThe paper highlights the process-handling during the Enhanced Movement Control Order (EMCO) in combating pandemic COVID-19 in Malaysia.Design/methodology/approachMalaysia first issued an EMCO following a cluster that involved a religious gathering. The EMCO was issued to lockdown the area, undertake screening, treat positive cases and quarantine their close contacts. Active case detection and mass sampling were the main activities involving the population in both zones.FindingsOne hundred ninety-three confirmed COVID-19 cases were identified from the total population of 2,599. Of these cases, 99.5% were Malaysians, 31.7% were aged >60 years and all four deaths (Case Fatality Rate, 2.1%) were elderly people with comorbidities. One hundred and one cases (52.3%) were asymptomatic, of which 77 (77%) were detected during mass sampling. The risk factors contributing to the outbreak were contacts that had attended the religious gathering, regular mosque congregants, wedding ceremony attendees and close household contacts. Malaysia implemented an effective measure in the form of the EMCO to contain the COVID-19 outbreak, where the last cases were reported 16 days before the EMCO was lifted.Originality/valueThe residents’ compliance and inter-agency cooperation were essential elements to the success of the EMCO. A targeted approach using an EMCO should be implemented in a future pandemic.


Author(s):  
Abdul Mutalib Embong ◽  
Azelin Mohamed Noor ◽  
Hezlina Mohd Hashim ◽  
Syahrul Alim Baharuddin ◽  
Norasyikin Binti Abdul Malik

This study reveals the currents social welfare which includes the uprising practice of Islamic charity, namely Infaq (voluntary alms giving), an instrument to help the unfortunate people (asnaf). It used qualitative approach involving semi-structured interviews focusing on six themes with six respondents. They engage in Infaq during the MCO or Movement Control Order. The results showed that there was a rise of contemporary fame of Infaq among Malaysian middle-class Muslims and charity body or organisation that specialise in sedekah/Infaq programmes . These parties make use of the platform of social media to record their activities and raise funds activity to help the needy who demand immediate and non-bureaucratic donations especially in a form of material help like food and daily necessities. This indeed has changed the course of how sedekah or Infaq used to be done back then. More Muslims who perform these Islamic charities display their efficiency and transparency in their donations as in Islam, sedekah is as a spiritual ‘investment’ to the donors despite the hard time people face during pandemic. 


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