Is there any support in the long term tide gauge data to the claims that parts of Sydney will be swamped by rising sea levels?

2012 ◽  
Vol 64 ◽  
pp. 161-167 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alberto Boretti
2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
J. A. Mattias Green ◽  
David G. Bowers ◽  
Hannah A. M. Byrne

Abstract. Double high or low tides are usually explained by adding a higher harmonic to the dominating tide. In its simplest form, the criterion for a double tide is that the amplitude ratio between the higher harmonic and the dominating constituent is larger than 1/n2 where n is the ratio of their periods. However, it is not always clear how the higher harmonic becomes large enough to generate the double tide. This is rectified here by identifying three possible ways to enhance the higher harmonic enough to produce a double tide. Using TPXO9, the latest version of the altimetry constrained global tide database, potential locations for all three classes are identified and the existence of double tides are then evaluated using historic long-term tide gauge data from nearby locations. Thirteen locations with double tides were identified this way across the classes, of which seven are discussed further and shown to fit the classification scheme. The search criterion for classes 1 and 2, based on the amplitudes of M2, S2, and M4, work well with TPXO9 and suggests over 400 locations with double tides. The main reason we cannot identify more double tide locations is a lack of TG data, especially in the polar areas. Class 3, which requires an embayment resonant for the higher harmonic initially provided over 8000 potential locations, but only a few of these were in embayments. This class thus requires more manual work to identify the locations. It is concluded that the mechanism behind double tides in most textbooks needs to be revised because they are far more frequent in both space and time than previously thought.


Entropy ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 22 (5) ◽  
pp. 549
Author(s):  
Faisal Ahmed Khan ◽  
Tariq Masood Ali Khan ◽  
Ali Najah Ahmed ◽  
Haitham Abdulmohsin Afan ◽  
Mohsen Sherif ◽  
...  

In this study, the analysis of the extreme sea level was carried out by using 10 years (2007–2016) of hourly tide gauge data of Karachi port station along the Pakistan coast. Observations revealed that the magnitudes of the tides usually exceeded the storm surges at this station. The main observation for this duration and the subsequent analysis showed that in June 2007 a tropical Cyclone “Yemyin” hit the Pakistan coast. The joint probability method (JPM) and the annual maximum method (AMM) were used for statistical analysis to find out the return periods of different extreme sea levels. According to the achieved results, the AMM and JPM methods erre compatible with each other for the Karachi coast and remained well within the range of 95% confidence. For the JPM method, the highest astronomical tide (HAT) of the Karachi coast was considered as the threshold and the sea levels above it were considered extreme sea levels. The 10 annual observed sea level maxima, in the recent past, showed an increasing trend for extreme sea levels. In the study period, the increment rates of 3.6 mm/year and 2.1 mm/year were observed for mean sea level and extreme sea level, respectively, along the Karachi coast. Tidal analysis, for the Karachi tide gauge data, showed less dependency of the extreme sea levels on the non-tidal residuals. By applying the Merrifield criteria of mean annual maximum water level ratio, it was found that the Karachi coast was tidally dominated and the non-tidal residual contribution was just 10%. The examination of the highest water level event (13 June 2014) during the study period, further favored the tidal dominance as compared to the non-tidal component along the Karachi coast.


2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (5) ◽  
pp. 908
Author(s):  
Lianjun Yang ◽  
Taoyong Jin ◽  
Xianwen Gao ◽  
Hanjiang Wen ◽  
Tilo Schöne ◽  
...  

Satellite altimetry and tide gauges are the two main techniques used to measure sea level. Due to the limitations of satellite altimetry, a high-quality unified sea level model from coast to open ocean has traditionally been difficult to achieve. This study proposes a fusion approach of altimetry and tide gauge data based on a deep belief network (DBN) method. Taking the Mediterranean Sea as the case study area, a progressive three-step experiment was designed to compare the fused sea level anomalies from the DBN method with those from the inverse distance weighted (IDW) method, the kriging (KRG) method and the curvature continuous splines in tension (CCS) method for different cases. The results show that the fusion precision varies with the methods and the input measurements. The precision of the DBN method is better than that of the other three methods in most schemes and is reduced by approximately 20% when the limited altimetry along-track data and in-situ tide gauge data are used. In addition, the distribution of satellite altimetry data and tide gauge data has a large effect on the other three methods but less impact on the DBN model. Furthermore, the sea level anomalies in the Mediterranean Sea with a spatial resolution of 0.25° × 0.25° generated by the DBN model contain more spatial distribution information than others, which means the DBN can be applied as a more feasible and robust way to fuse these two kinds of sea levels.


2015 ◽  
Vol 97 (1) ◽  
pp. 112-131 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kornyliy Tretyak ◽  
Solomiya Dosyn

AbstractThis research is devoted to the study of vertical movements of the European crust on the basis of two independent methods, namely tide gauge and GNSS observations results. The description and classification of factors affecting sea level change has been made. The precision with which the movement of the earth's crust according to the results of tide gauge observations can be explored has been calculated . A methodology to identify the duration of tide gauge observations required for studies of vertical movements of the earth 's crust has been presented. Approximation of tide gauge time series with the help of Fourier series has been implemented, the need for long-term observations in certain areas has been explained. The diagram of the velocities of the vertical movements of the European crust on the basis of the tide gauge data and GNSS observations has been built and the anomalous areas where the observations do not coincide have been identified.


2009 ◽  
Vol 48 (2) ◽  
pp. 195-209
Author(s):  
M. T. Ramírez Herrera ◽  
A. B. Cundy ◽  
V. Kostoglodov ◽  
M. Ortíz

Sedimentological, stratigraphic and geochemical data record abrupt land elevation change, coastal subsid- ence, and changes in the salinity of Mitla lagoon that may be associated with a tsunami around 3400-3500 yr BP. The observations are supported by microfossil data (pollen, diatoms and phytolith) from other studies on the Guerrero coast. Stratigraphic data indicate an average Late Holocene sedimentation rate of about 1 mm/yr. Short-term sea-level records from 1952 of tide gauge data are compared with expected coseismic coastal deformation, and long-term records of coastal deformation from the sediment record c. 3500 yr BP. Recent large earthquakes in the Central Mexico subduction zone ruptured an area of limited width of about ~60 km, but some prehistoric earthquakes may have ruptured the entire coupled plate interface almost up to the trench, thus generating signifi- cant coastal subsidence and possibly a large tsunami.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Timothy Shaw ◽  
Stephen Chua ◽  
Jedrzej Majewski ◽  
Li Tanghua ◽  
Dhrubajyoti Samanta ◽  
...  

<p>Singapore is a small (728 km<sup>2</sup>) island nation that is vulnerable to rising sea levels with 30% of its land surface area less than 5 m above present sea level. Rising relative sea level (RSL), however, is not uniform with regional RSL changes differing from the global mean due to processes associated with vertical land motion (e.g., glacial-isostatic adjustment) and atmospheric and ocean dynamics. Understanding magnitudes, rates, and driving processes on past and present-day sea level are therefore important to provide greater confidence in accurately quantifying future sea-level rise projections and their uncertainty. Here, we present a synopsis of Singapore’s past and present RSL history using newly developed proxy RSL reconstructions from mangrove peats, coral microatolls and tide gauge data and conclude with probabilistic projections of future RSL change.</p><p>Past RSL is characterized by rapid rise during the early Holocene driven primarily by deglaciation of northern hemisphere ice sheets. Sea-level index points (SLIPs) from mangrove peats show sea levels rose rapidly from -20.7 m at 9.5 ka BP to -0.6 m at 7 ka BP at rates of 6-12 mm/yr. This is substantially greater than predicted magnitudes of RSL change from the ICE-6G_C GIA model which shows RSL increasing from -6.4 m at 9.5 ka BP to a ~2.8 m highstand at ~7 ka BP. SLIPs show the mid-Holocene highstand of ~4 ± 3.6 m at 5.2 ka BP before falling towards present at rates up to -2 mm/yr driven by hydro-isostatic processes. The nature of RSL changes during the mid- to late-Holocene transition remains poorly resolved with evidence of sea levels falling below present level to -2.2 ± 2.0 m at 1.2 ka BP. Present RSL reconstructions from coral microatolls coupled with tide-gauge data extend the limited instrumental period in this region beyond ~50 years. They show RSL rose ~0.03 m from 1915 to 1990 at 0.7 ± 1.4 mm/yr before increasing to 1.5 ± 2.1 mm/yr after 1990 to 2019. Future RSL change from probabilistic projections to 2100 under low (RCP 2.6) and high (RCP 8.5) emission scenarios show sea levels rising 0.43 m (50<sup>th</sup> percentile) (0.06 – 0.96 m; 95% credible interval) and 0.74 m (0.28 – 1.4 m), respectively. However, projected magnitudes of sea-level rise driven by rapid ice sheet dynamics and the unknown contribution of atmospheric and ocean dynamics in Southeast Asia have the potential to exacerbate projection magnitudes.</p>


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