e12600 Background: In early-stage HER2+ breast cancer (BC), escalation or de-escalation of systemic treatment is an unmet need. Integration of promising biomarkers into risk scoring will further help progressing in the field. We aim to develop a prognostic signature that integrates two miRNAs (A and B) and quantitative and qualitative clinical variables in patients diagnosed with HER2+ BC. Methods: This study was conducted in a retrospective cohort of 45 HER2+ BC patients. Patients received standard treatment for localized disease. We calculated a prognostic signature for disease-free survival (DFS) using principal components analysis for mixed data combining clinicopathological data (Ki67 and axillary lymph node [pN0, pN1, pN2, pN3]) and expression of two microRNAs (we used mir-16 as housekeeping). Multiple DFS prognostic signatures were calculated and goodness of fit was evaluated by means of Akaike’s Information Criterion (AIC) to perform Cox model selection. Signature was then dichotomized into “high risk” and “low risk” using maximally selected Log-Rank statistics by Hothorn and Lausen, as method for optimal cut-off. Kaplan-Meier curves, Log-Rank test and Breslow test were used to ascertain statistical differences in the probability of DFS between high and low risk groups. MiRNA targeted genes were selected and used to perform functional enrichment analysis with the KEGG pathway database. To select significant terms/pathways, p-values were adjusted by the Benjamini-Hochberg method (p < 0.05). Results: MiR-A and miR-B expression was higher in primary tumor of patients who relapse compared to those free of disease after treatment (p = 0.018 and 0.004, respectively). Both miRNAs were strongly correlated (r = 0.84). This signature was significantly associated with relapse of the disease (HR 1.72; CI 95%: 1.243–2.382; p < 0.01, AIC = 114.02). The optimal cut-off of this score was obtained and patients were classified into high and low risk groups. Median DFS of the high-risk was 44 months while it has been not reached yet across the low risk after a median follow-up of 67 months (HR 8.39; p = 0.005, AIC = 111.784). Significant differences in survival between both groups were found (log rank test p < 0.001; Breslow test p = 0.002). miR-A and miR-B functional enrichment analysis returned 55 significant pathways. Interestingly, P53 pathway, apoptosis and cell cycle which are closely related to tumorigenesis and treatment response, were in the top 5 enriched pathways. Conclusions: Both miRNAs included in this signature are related to important biological pathways associated to BC progression. Our new prognostic signature identifies patients with early-stage, HER2+ BC who might be candidates for escalated or de-escalated systemic treatment. This signature was able to classify patients for DFS in high or low risk groups at the moment of BC diagnosis. Further investigations to validate the value of this new signature are on-going.
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