Uncertainty analyses on the CFD–FEA co-simulations of ship wave loads and whipping responses

2022 ◽  
Vol 82 ◽  
pp. 103129
Author(s):  
Songxing Huang ◽  
Jialong Jiao ◽  
C. Guedes Soares
2021 ◽  
Vol 117 ◽  
pp. 102919
Author(s):  
Jialong Jiao ◽  
Songxing Huang ◽  
Shan Wang ◽  
C. Guedes Soares
Keyword(s):  

2009 ◽  
Vol 16 (2) ◽  
pp. 351-363 ◽  
Author(s):  
T. Torsvik ◽  
I. Didenkulova ◽  
T. Soomere ◽  
K. E. Parnell

Abstract. High-speed ferries are known to generate wakes with unusually long periods, and occasionally large amplitudes which may serve as a qualitatively new forcing factor in coastal regions that are not exposed to a sea swell. An intrinsic feature of such wakes is their large spatial variation. We analyze the variability of wake conditions for the coasts of Tallinn Bay, the Baltic Sea, a sea area with very intense fast ferry traffic. The modelled ship wave properties for several GPS-recorded ship tracks reasonably match the measured waves in terms of both wave heights and periods. It is shown that the spatial extent of the wake patterns is very sensitive to small variations in sailing conditions. This feature leads to large variations of ship wave loads at different coastal sections with several locations regularly receiving high ship wave energy. The runup of the largest ship wakes on the beach increases significantly with an increase in wave height whereas shorter (period <2–5 s) waves merge into longer waves in the shoaling and runup process.


Author(s):  
Gregor Melling ◽  
Hanne Jansch ◽  
Ingrid Holzwarth

Increased severity of damage to estuarine rock structures have been observed across the major German estuaries during the past two decades. These damages are predominantly caused by long-period primary ship waves, which can result in load cases that are particularly erosive to the rock armour layer. To date no design methods exists to dimension structures for long-period ship wave loads. This study presents an innovative groyne design optimized for resistance to ship-induced waves. During a field trial data were collected which allow for the characterisation of wave-structure-interaction as well as loads and damage parameters for the future development of validated design methods.Recorded Presentation from the vICCE (YouTube Link): https://youtu.be/FnrU8AKBITo


2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (6) ◽  
pp. 2590
Author(s):  
Samson Tan ◽  
Darryl Weinert ◽  
Paul Joseph ◽  
Khalid Moinuddin

Given that existing fire risk models often ignore human and organizational errors (HOEs) ultimately leading to underestimation of risks by as much as 80%, this study employs a technical-human-organizational risk (T-H-O-Risk) methodology to address knowledge gaps in current state-of-the-art probabilistic risk analysis (PRA) for high-rise residential buildings with the following goals: (1) Develop an improved PRA methodology to address concerns that deterministic, fire engineering approaches significantly underestimate safety levels that lead to inaccurate fire safety levels. (2) Enhance existing fire safety verification methods by incorporating probabilistic risk approach and HOEs for (i) a more inclusive view of risk, and (ii) to overcome the deterministic nature of current verification methods. (3) Perform comprehensive sensitivity and uncertainty analyses to address uncertainties in numerical estimates used in fault tree/event trees, Bayesian network and system dynamics and their propagation in a probabilistic model. (4) Quantification of human and organizational risks for high-rise residential buildings which contributes towards a policy agenda in the direction of a sustainable, risk-based regulatory regime. This research contributes to the development of the next-generation building codes and risk assessment methodologies.


Geosciences ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (2) ◽  
pp. 48
Author(s):  
Margaret F.J. Dolan ◽  
Rebecca E. Ross ◽  
Jon Albretsen ◽  
Jofrid Skarðhamar ◽  
Genoveva Gonzalez-Mirelis ◽  
...  

The use of habitat distribution models (HDMs) has become common in benthic habitat mapping for combining limited seabed observations with full-coverage environmental data to produce classified maps showing predicted habitat distribution for an entire study area. However, relatively few HDMs include oceanographic predictors, or present spatial validity or uncertainty analyses to support the classified predictions. Without reference studies it can be challenging to assess which type of oceanographic model data should be used, or developed, for this purpose. In this study, we compare biotope maps built using predictor variable suites from three different oceanographic models with differing levels of detail on near-bottom conditions. These results are compared with a baseline model without oceanographic predictors. We use associated spatial validity and uncertainty analyses to assess which oceanographic data may be best suited to biotope mapping. Our results show how spatial validity and uncertainty metrics capture differences between HDM outputs which are otherwise not apparent from standard non-spatial accuracy assessments or the classified maps themselves. We conclude that biotope HDMs incorporating high-resolution, preferably bottom-optimised, oceanography data can best minimise spatial uncertainty and maximise spatial validity. Furthermore, our results suggest that incorporating coarser oceanographic data may lead to more uncertainty than omitting such data.


2021 ◽  
Vol 222 ◽  
pp. 108529
Author(s):  
Peng Yang ◽  
Wei Zhang ◽  
Xueliang Wang ◽  
Juan Jiang ◽  
Jiajun Hu ◽  
...  

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