Disaggregation of MODIS surface temperature over an agricultural area using a time series of Formosat-2 images

Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies (SSTA), in four coastal hydrographic stations of Colombian Pacific Ocean, were analyzed. The selected hydrographic stations were: Tumaco (1°48'N-78°45'W), Gorgona island (2°58'N-78°11'W), Solano Bay (6°13'N-77°24'W) and Malpelo island (4°0'N-81°36'W). SSTA time series for 1960-2015 were calculated from monthly Sea Surface Temperature obtained from International Comprehensive Ocean Atmosphere Data Set (ICOADS). SSTA time series, Oceanic Nino Index (ONI), Pacific Decadal Oscillation index (PDO), Arctic Oscillation index (AO) and sunspots number (associated to solar activity), were compared. It was found that the SSTA absolute minimum has occurred in Tumaco (-3.93°C) in March 2009, in Gorgona (-3.71°C) in October 2007, in Solano Bay (-4.23°C) in April 2014 and Malpelo (-4.21°C) in December 2005. The SSTA absolute maximum was observed in Tumaco (3.45°C) in January 2002, in Gorgona (5.01°C) in July 1978, in Solano Bay (5.27°C) in March 1998 and Malpelo (3.64°C) in July 2015. A high correlation between SST and ONI in large part of study period, followed by a good correlation with PDO, was identified. The AO and SSTA have showed an inverse relationship in some periods. Solar Cycle has showed to be a modulator of behavior of SSTA in the selected stations. It was determined that extreme values of SST are related to the analyzed large scale oscillations.

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Exploring the Variation Trend of Urban Expansion, Land Surface Temperature, and Ecological Quality and Their Interrelationships in Guangzhou, China, from 1987 to 2019

Remote Sensing ◽

10.3390/rs13051019 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 13 (5) ◽

pp. 1019

Author(s):

Jianhui Xu ◽

Yi Zhao ◽

Caige Sun ◽

Hanbin Liang ◽

Ji Yang ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Time Series ◽

Surface Temperature ◽

Land Surface Temperature ◽

Land Surface ◽

Urban Expansion ◽

Impervious Surface ◽

Ecological Quality ◽

Urban Center ◽

Urban Centers ◽

Rapid Urbanization

This study explored the model of urban impervious surface (IS) density, land surface temperature (LST), and comprehensive ecological evaluation index (CEEI) from urban centers to suburbs. The interrelationships between these parameters in Guangzhou from 1987 to 2019 were analyzed using time-series Landsat-5 TM (Thematic Mapper), Landsat-8 OLI (Operational Land Imager), and TIRS (Thermal Infrared Sensor) images. The urban IS densities were calculated in concentric rings using time-series IS fractions, which were used to construct an inverse S-shaped urban IS density function to depict changes in urban form and the spatio-temporal dynamics of urban expansion from the urban center to the suburbs. The results indicated that Guangzhou experienced expansive urban growth, with the patterns of urban spatial structure changing from a single-center to a multi-center structure over the past 32 years. Next, the normalized LST and CEEI in each concentric ring were calculated, and their variation trends from the urban center to the suburbs were modeled using linear and nonlinear functions, respectively. The results showed that the normalized LST had a gradual decreasing trend from the urban center to the suburbs, while the CEEI showed a significant increasing trend. During the 32-year rapid urban development, the normalized LST difference between the urban center and suburbs increased gradually with time, and the CEEI significantly decreased. This indicated that rapid urbanization significantly expanded the impervious surface areas in Guangzhou, leading to an increase in the LST difference between urban centers and suburbs and a deterioration in ecological quality. Finally, the potential interrelationships among urban IS density, normalized LST, and CEEI were also explored using different models. This study revealed that rapid urbanization has produced geographical convergence between several ISs, which may increase the risk of the urban heat island effect and degradation of ecological quality.

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A Process-Oriented Approach to Identify Evolutions of Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies with a Time-Series of a Raster Dataset

ISPRS International Journal of Geo-Information ◽

10.3390/ijgi10080500 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 10 (8) ◽

pp. 500

Author(s):

Lianwei Li ◽

Yangfeng Xu ◽

Cunjin Xue ◽

Yuxuan Fu ◽

Yuanyu Zhang

Keyword(s):

Time Series ◽

Surface Temperature ◽

Sea Surface Temperature ◽

Global Climate ◽

Sea Surface ◽

Temperature Anomalies ◽

Global Climate Changes ◽

Space And Time ◽

Novel Approach ◽

Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies

It is important to consider where, when, and how the evolution of sea surface temperature anomalies (SSTA) plays significant roles in regional or global climate changes. In the comparison of where and when, there is a great challenge in clearly describing how SSTA evolves in space and time. In light of the evolution from generation, through development, and to the dissipation of SSTA, this paper proposes a novel approach to identifying an evolution of SSTA in space and time from a time-series of a raster dataset. This method, called PoAIES, includes three key steps. Firstly, a cluster-based method is enhanced to explore spatiotemporal clusters of SSTA, and each cluster of SSTA at a time snapshot is taken as a snapshot object of SSTA. Secondly, the spatiotemporal topologies of snapshot objects of SSTA at successive time snapshots are used to link snapshot objects of SSTA into an evolution object of SSTA, which is called a process object. Here, a linking threshold is automatically determined according to the overlapped areas of the snapshot objects, and only those snapshot objects that meet the specified linking threshold are linked together into a process object. Thirdly, we use a graph-based model to represent a process object of SSTA. A node represents a snapshot object of SSTA, and an edge represents an evolution between two snapshot objects. Using a number of child nodes from an edge’s parent node and a number of parent nodes from the edge’s child node, a type of edge (an evolution relationship) is identified, which shows its development, splitting, merging, or splitting/merging. Finally, an experiment on a simulated dataset is used to demonstrate the effectiveness and the advantages of PoAIES, and a real dataset of satellite-SSTA is used to verify the rationality of PoAIES with the help of ENSO’s relevant knowledge, which may provide new references for global change research.

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A comparison of time‐frequency signal processing methods for identifying non‐perennial streamflow events from streambed surface temperature time series

Water Resources Research ◽

10.1029/2020wr028670 ◽

2021 ◽

Author(s):

D. Partington ◽

M. Shanafield ◽

C. Turnadge

Keyword(s):

Time Series ◽

Signal Processing ◽

Surface Temperature ◽

Temperature Time Series ◽

Frequency Signal ◽

Processing Methods ◽

Time Frequency ◽

Signal Processing Methods ◽

Temperature Time

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Relating Spatiotemporal Patterns of Forest Fires Burned Area and Duration to Diurnal Land Surface Temperature Anomalies

Remote Sensing ◽

10.3390/rs10111777 ◽

2018 ◽

Vol 10 (11) ◽

pp. 1777 ◽

Cited By ~ 8

Author(s):

Carmine Maffei ◽

Silvia Alfieri ◽

Massimo Menenti

Keyword(s):

Remote Sensing ◽

Time Series ◽

Surface Temperature ◽

Land Surface Temperature ◽

Forest Fires ◽

Land Surface ◽

Fire Danger ◽

Parametric Models ◽

Burned Area ◽

Informative Content

Forest fires are a major source of ecosystem disturbance. Vegetation reacts to meteorological factors contributing to fire danger by reducing stomatal conductance, thus leading to an increase of canopy temperature. The latter can be detected by remote sensing measurements in the thermal infrared as a deviation of observed land surface temperature (LST) from climatological values, that is as an LST anomaly. A relationship is thus expected between LST anomalies and forest fires burned area and duration. These two characteristics are indeed controlled by a large variety of both static and dynamic factors related to topography, land cover, climate, weather (including those affecting LST) and anthropic activity. To investigate the predicting capability of remote sensing measurements, rather than constructing a comprehensive model, it would be relevant to determine whether anomalies of LST affect the probability distributions of burned area and fire duration. This research approached the outlined knowledge gap through the analysis of a dataset of forest fires in Campania (Italy) covering years 2003–2011 against estimates of LST anomaly. An LST climatology was first computed from time series of daily Aqua-MODIS LST data (product MYD11A1, collection 6) over the longest available sequence of complete annual datasets (2003–2017), through the Harmonic Analysis of Time Series (HANTS) algorithm. HANTS was also used to create individual annual models of LST data, to minimize the effect of varying observation geometry and cloud contamination on LST estimates while retaining its seasonal variation. LST anomalies where thus quantified as the difference between LST annual models and LST climatology. Fire data were intersected with LST anomaly maps to associate each fire with the LST anomaly value observed at its position on the day previous to the event. Further to this step, the closest probability distribution function describing burned area and fire duration were identified against a selection of parametric models through the maximization of the Anderson-Darling goodness-of-fit. Parameters of the identified distributions conditional to LST anomaly where then determined along their confidence intervals. Results show that in the study area log-transformed burned area is described by a normal distribution, whereas log-transformed fire duration is closer to a generalized extreme value (GEV) distribution. The parameters of these distributions conditional to LST anomaly show clear trends with increasing LST anomaly; significance of this observation was verified through a likelihood ratio test. This confirmed that LST anomaly is a covariate of both burned area and fire duration. As a consequence, it was observed that conditional probabilities of extreme events appear to increase with increasing positive deviations of LST from its climatology values. This confirms the stated hypothesis that LST anomalies affect forest fires burned area and duration and highlights the informative content of time series of LST with respect to fire danger.

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Towards Reliable Probabilistic Time-Series Projections of Global Mean Surface Temperature

10.21203/rs.3.rs-1103739/v1 ◽

2021 ◽

Author(s):

Philip G. Sansom ◽

Donald Cummins ◽

Stefan Siegert ◽

David B Stephenson

Keyword(s):

Time Series ◽

Global Warming ◽

Surface Temperature ◽

Climate Model ◽

Future Projections ◽

Perfect Model ◽

Global Mean Surface Temperature ◽

Time Series Approach ◽

Energy Balance Models ◽

Global Mean

Abstract Quantifying the risk of global warming exceeding critical targets such as 2.0 ◦ C requires reliable projections of uncertainty as well as best estimates of Global Mean Surface Temperature (GMST). However, uncertainty bands on GMST projections are often calculated heuristically and have several potential shortcomings. In particular, the uncertainty bands shown in IPCC plume projections of GMST are based on the distribution of GMST anomalies from climate model runs and so are strongly determined by model characteristics with little influence from observations of the real-world. Physically motivated time-series approaches are proposed based on fitting energy balance models (EBMs) to climate model outputs and observations in order to constrain future projections. It is shown that EBMs fitted to one forcing scenario will not produce reliable projections when different forcing scenarios are applied. The errors in the EBM projections can be interpreted as arising due to a discrepancy in the effective forcing felt by the model. A simple time-series approach to correcting the projections is proposed based on learning the evolution of the forcing discrepancy so that it can be projected into the future. This approach gives reliable projections of GMST when tested in a perfect model setting. When applied to observations this leads to projected warming of 2.2 ◦ C (1.7 ◦ C to 2.9 ◦ C) in 2100 compared to pre-industrial conditions, 0.4 ◦ C lower than a comparable IPCC anomaly estimate. The probability of staying below the critical 2.0 ◦ C warming target in 2100 more than doubles to 0.28 compared to only 0.11 from a comparably IPCC estimate.

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Evaluation of alternative formulae for calculation of surface temperature in snowmelt models using frequency analysis of temperature observations

Hydrology and Earth System Sciences Discussions ◽

10.5194/hessd-6-3863-2009 ◽

2009 ◽

Vol 6 (3) ◽

pp. 3863-3890 ◽

Cited By ~ 3

Author(s):

C. H. Luce ◽

D. G. Tarboton

Keyword(s):

Time Series ◽

Energy Balance ◽

Surface Temperature ◽

Energy Flux ◽

Frequency Analysis ◽

Energy Content ◽

Balance Model ◽

Snow Surface ◽

Fourier Frequency ◽

Snow Surface Temperature

Abstract. The snow surface temperature is an important quantity in the snow energy balance, since it modulates the exchange of energy between the surface and the atmosphere as well as the conduction of energy into the snowpack. It is therefore important to correctly model snow surface temperatures in energy balance snowmelt models. This paper focuses on the relationship between snow surface temperature and conductive energy fluxed that drive the energy balance of a snowpack. Time series of snow temperature at the surface and through the snowpack were measured to examine energy conduction in a snowpack. Based on these measurements we calculated the snowpack energy content and conductive energy flux at the snow surface. We then used these estimates of conductive energy flux to evaluate formulae for the calculation of the conductive flux at the snow surface based on surface temperature time series. We use a method based on Fourier frequency analysis to estimate snow thermal properties. Among the formulae evaluated, we found that a modified force-restore formula, based on the superimposition of the force-restore equation capturing diurnal fluctuations on a gradually changing temperature gradient, had the best agreement with observations of heat conduction. This formula is suggested for the parameterization of snow surface temperature in a full snowpack energy balance model.

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ANALISIS KORELASI CURAH HUJAN DAN SUHU PERMUKAAN LAUT WILAYAH INDONESIA, SERTA IMPLIKASINYA UNTUK PRAKIRAAN CURAH HUJAN (STUDI KASUS KABUPATEN CILACAP) (CORRELATION ANALYSIS OF RAINFALL AND INDONESIA SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE, AND ITS ...

Agromet ◽

10.29244/j.agromet.21.2.46-60 ◽

2007 ◽

Vol 21 (2) ◽

pp. 46 ◽

Cited By ~ 2

Author(s):

W. Estiningtyas ◽

F. Ramadhani ◽

E. Aldrian

Keyword(s):

Time Series ◽

Surface Temperature ◽

Sea Surface Temperature ◽

Negative Correlation ◽

Prediction Models ◽

Time Series Data ◽

Sea Surface ◽

Rainfall Pattern ◽

Series Data ◽

Rainfall Prediction

Significant decrease in rainfall caused extreme climate has significant impact on agriculture sector, especialy food crops production. It is one of reason and push developing of rainfall prediction models as anticipate from extreme climate events. Rainfall prediction models develop base on time series data, and then it has been included anomaly aspect, like rainfall prediction model with Kalman filtering method. One of global parameter that has been used as climate anomaly indicator is sea surface temperature. Some of research indicate, there are relationship between sea surface temperature and rainfall. Relationship between Indonesian rainfall and global sea surface temperature has been known, but its relationship with Indonesian’s sea surface temperature not know yet, especialy for rainfall in smaller area like district. So, therefore the research about relationship between rainfall in distric area and Indonesian’s sea surface temperature and it application for rainfall prediction is needed. Based on Indonesian’s sea surface temperature time series data Januari 1982 until Mei 2006 show there are zona of Indonesian’s sea surface temperature (with temperature more than 27,6 0C) dominan in Januari-Mei and moved with specific pattern. Highest value of spasial correlation beetwen Cilacap’s rainfall and Indonesian’s sea surface temperature is 0,30 until 0,50 with different zona of Indonesian’s sea surface temperature. Highest positive correlation happened in March and July. Negative correlation is -0,30 until -0,70 with highest negative correlation in May and June. Model validation resulted correlation coeffcient 85,73%, fits model 20,74%, r2 73,49%, RMSE 20,5% and standart deviation 37,96. Rainfall prediction Januari-Desember 2007 period indicated rainfall pattern is near same with average rainfall pattern, rainfall less than 100/month. The result of this research indicate Indonesian’s sea surface temperature can be used as indicator rainfall condition in distric area, that means rainfall in district area can be predicted based on Indonesian’s sea surface temperature in zona with highest correlation in every month.------------------------------------------------------------------Penurunan curah hujan yang cukup signifikan akibat iklim ekstrim telah membawa dampak yang cukup signifikan pula pada sektor pertanian, terutama produksi tanaman pangan. Hal ini menjadi salah satu alasan yang mendorong semakin berkembangnya model-model prakiraan hujan sebagai upaya antipasi terhadap kejadian iklim ekstrim. Model prakiraan hujan yang pada awalnya hanya berbasis pada data time series, kini telah berkembang dengan memperhitungkan aspek anomali iklim, seperti model prakiraan hujan dengan metode filter Kalman. Salah satu indikator global yang dapat digunakan sebagai indikator anomali iklim adalah suhu permukaan laut. Dari berbagai hasil penelitian diketahui bahwa suhu permukaan laut ini memiliki keterkaitan dengan kejadian curah hujan. Hubungan curah hujan Indonesia dengan suhu permukaan laut global sudah banyak diketahui, tetapi keterkaitannya dengan suhu permukaan laut wilayah Indonesia belum banyak mendapat perhatian, terutama untuk curah hujan pada cakupan yang lebih sempit seperti kabupaten. Oleh karena itu perlu dilakukan penelitian yang mengkaji hubungan kedua parameter tersebut serta mengaplikasikannya untuk prakiraan curah hujan pada wilayah Kabupaten. Hasil penelitian berdasarkan data suhu permukaan laut wilayah Indonesia rata-rata Januari 1982 hingga Mei 2006 menunjukkan zona dengan suhu lebih dari 27,6 0C yang dominan pada bulan Januari-Mei dan bergerak dengan pola yang cukup jelas. Korelasi spasial antara curah hujan kabupaten Cilacap dengan SPL wilayah Indonesia rata-rata bulan Januari-Desember menunjukkan korelasi positip tertinggi antara 0,30 hingga 0,50 dengan zona SPL yang beragam. Korelasi tertinggi terjadi pada bulan Maret dan Juli. Sedangkan korelasi negatip berkisar antara -0,30 hingga -0,70 dengan korelasi negatip tertinggi pada bulan Mei dan Juni. Validasi model prakiraan hujan menghasilkan nilai koefisien korelasi 85,73%, fits model 20,74%, r2 sebesar 73,49%, RMSE 20,5% dan standar deviasi 37,96. Hasil prakiraan hujan bulanan periode Januari-Desember 2007 mengindikasikan pola curah hujan yang tidak jauh berbeda dengan rata-rata selama 19 tahun (1988-2006) dengan jeluk hujan kurang dari 100 mm/bulan. Hasil penelitian mengindikasikan bahwa SPL wilayah Indonesia dapat digunakan sebagai indikator untuk menunjukkan kondisi curah hujan di suatu wilayah (kabupaten), artinya curah hujan dapat diprediksi berdasarkan perubahan SPL pada zona-zona dengan korelasi yang tertinggi pada setiap bulannya.

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CONSTRUCTION AND ANALYSIS OF LONG-TERM SURFACE TEMPERATURE DATASET IN FUJIAN PROVINCE

ISPRS - International Archives of the Photogrammetry, Remote Sensing and Spatial Information Sciences ◽

10.5194/isprs-archives-xlii-2-w7-1223-2017 ◽

2017 ◽

Vol XLII-2/W7 ◽

pp. 1223-1227 ◽

Cited By ~ 1

Author(s):

W. E. Li ◽

X. Q. Wang ◽

H. Su

Keyword(s):

Time Series ◽

Surface Temperature ◽

Land Surface ◽

Rapid Development ◽

Temporal Distribution ◽

Heat Fluxes ◽

Urban Region ◽

Fujian Province ◽

Spatio Temporal

Land surface temperature (LST) is a key parameter of land surface physical processes on global and regional scales, linking the heat fluxes and interactions between the ground and atmosphere. Based on MODIS 8-day LST products (MOD11A2) from the split-window algorithms, we constructed and obtained the monthly and annual LST dataset of Fujian Province from 2000 to 2015. Then, we analyzed the monthly and yearly time series LST data and further investigated the LST distribution and its evolution features. The average LST of Fujian Province reached the highest in July, while the lowest in January. The monthly and annual LST time series present a significantly periodic features (annual and interannual) from 2000 to 2015. The spatial distribution showed that the LST in North and West was lower than South and East in Fujian Province. With the rapid development and urbanization of the coastal area in Fujian Province, the LST in coastal urban region was significantly higher than that in mountainous rural region. The LST distributions might affected by the climate, topography and land cover types. The spatio-temporal distribution characteristics of LST could provide good references for the agricultural layout and environment monitoring in Fujian Province.

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