PO-1223 Prognostic factors affecting survival in gastric cancer patients in Albania: A retrospective study

2021 ◽  
Vol 161 ◽  
pp. S1011-S1012
Author(s):  
F. Kraja ◽  
J. Dervishi ◽  
A. Hoti ◽  
E. Karaulli ◽  
I. Akshija ◽  
...  
2018 ◽  
Vol 46 (4) ◽  
pp. 323-329
Author(s):  
E. S. Gershtein ◽  
A. A. Ivannikov ◽  
V. L. Chang ◽  
N. A. Ognerubov ◽  
М. M. Davydov ◽  
...  

Background: Over the last 10 years the incidence of gastric cancer has declined significantly. Nevertheless, it remains one of the most prevalent malignancies both in Russia and worldwide. Therefore, the problems of early diagnostics, prognosis and individualized treatment choice are still on the agenda. Much attention is paid to the evaluation of molecular biological characteristics of the tumor, as well as to the development of multiparametric prognostic systems for gastric cancer based on its identified characteristics. An important place among potential tumor biological markers belongs to matrix metalloproteinases (MMPs) involved into all the stages of tumor progression, first of all, into the regulation of invasion and metastasizing.Aim: Comparative quantitative evaluation of some MMP family members (MMP-2, 7, and 9) and one of the tissue MMP inhibitors (TIMP-2) levels in the tumors and adjacent histologically unchanged mucosa in gastric cancer patients, the analysis of their associations with the main clinical and pathological features of the disease and its prognosis.Materials and methods: Sixty six (66) primary gastric cancer patients (32 male and 34 female) aged 24 to 82 years (median, 61 year) were recruited into the study. Twenty two (22) patients were with stage I of the disease, 11 with stage II, 28 with stage III, and 5 with stage IV. The concentrations of the proteins studied were measured in the tumor and unchanged mucosa extracts by standard direct ELISA kits (Quantikine®, R&D Systems, USA).Results: Tumor MMP-2, 7 and 9 levels were significantly increased, compared to those in the adjacent histologically unchanged mucosa, in 80, 70 and 72% of gastric cancer patients, respectively, while the increase of TIMP-2 level found in 61% of the tumors was not statistically significant. Tumor MMP-2 and TIMP-2 content was increasing significantly with higher T index – size and advancement of the primary tumor (p < 0.01 and p < 0.05 respectively). Tumor MMP-2 level was also increasing in parallel with the N index (regional lymph node involvement; p < 0.01); it was significantly higher in the patients with distant metastases than in those without them (p < 0.05). Tumor MMP-9 and MMP-7 concentrations were not significantly associated with the indices of the tumor progression. The patients were followed up for 1 to 85 months (median, 18.3 months). According to the univariate analysis, high (> 32.6 ng/mg protein) MMP-2 and low MMP-7 (< 1.1 ng/mg protein) levels in the gastric cancer tissue represent statistically significant unfavorable prognostic factors for overall survival. Increased TIMP-2 level is associated with a non-significant decrease in the overall survival (p > 0.05), whereas the MMP-9 level was unrelated to the gastric cancer prognosis. Only T index (p = 0.0034) and tumor MMP-7 content (p = 0.026) remained independent prognostic factors in the multivariate regression analysis.Conclusion: The majority of gastric cancer patients demonstrate a significant increase in the expression of three MMP family members, i.e. gelatinases (MMP-2 and 9), and matrilysin (MMP-7), in the tumors, as compared to adjacent histologically unchanged mucosa. Only MMP-2 levels were associated with the disease progression, increasing with higher TNM system indices. High MMP-2 and low MMP-7 content in the gastric cancer tissue are significant unfavorable prognostic factors for the overall survival in the univariate analysis, but only MMP-7 has retained its independent prognostic value in the multivariate assessment.


2019 ◽  
Vol 2019 ◽  
pp. 1-12 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shanshan Yang ◽  
Xinjia He ◽  
Ying Liu ◽  
Xiao Ding ◽  
Haiping Jiang ◽  
...  

Purpose. In this study, we aim to evaluate the prognostic role of serum uric acid and gamma-glutamyltransferase in advanced gastric cancer patients. Methods. A total of 180 patients pathologically diagnosed with advanced gastric cancer were included in this retrospective study. We used time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves to identify the optimal cut-off value of serum uric acid (UA) and gamma-glutamyltransferase (GGT). Survival analysis was performed using the Kaplan–Meier method and log-rank test, and multivariate Cox regression analyses were applied. A nomogram was formulated, and the calibration and discrimination of the nomogram were determined by calibration curve and concordance index (C-index). We validated the results using bootstrap resampling and a separate study on 60 patients collected from 2015 to 2017 using the same criteria in other medical center. Results. Both higher serum uric acid (>228 μmol/L) and higher gamma-glutamyltransferase (>14 U/L) had worse OS and PFS. Univariate analysis indicated that serum uric acid (UA) (p<0.001 and p<0.001) and gamma-glutamyltransferase (GGT) (p<0.001 and p=0.044) were significantly related to overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS), respectively. Multivariate analysis revealed serum uric acid (UA) and gamma-glutamyltransferase (GGT) were independent prognostic factors for OS (p=0.012, p=0.001). The optimal agreement between actual observation and nomogram prediction was shown by calibration curves. The C-indexes of the nomogram for predicting OS and PFS were 0.748 (95% CI: 0.70-0.79) and 0.728 (95% CI: 0.6741-0.7819), respectively. The results were confirmed in the validation cohort. Conclusion. We observed that both serum UA and GGT were poor prognostic factors in patients with advanced gastric cancer. And we also formulated and validated a nomogram which can predict individual survival for advanced gastric cancer patients.


2019 ◽  
Vol 19 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Guang-Chuan Mu ◽  
Yuan Huang ◽  
Zhi-Ming Liu ◽  
Xiang-Hua Wu ◽  
Xin-Gan Qin ◽  
...  

Abstract Background The aim of this study was to explore the prognostic factors and establish a nomogram to predict the long-term survival of gastric cancer patients. Methods The clinicopathological data of 421 gastric cancer patients, who were treated with radical D2 lymphadenectomy by the same surgical team between January 2009 and March 2017, were collected. The analysis of long-term survival was performed using Cox regression analysis. Based on the multivariate analysis results, a prognostic nomogram was formulated to predict the 5-year survival rate probability. Results In the present study, the total overall 3-year and 5-year survival rates were 58.7 and 45.8%, respectively. The results of the univariate Cox regression analysis revealed that tumor staging, tumor location, Borrmann type, the number of lymph nodes dissected, the number of lymph node metastases, positive lymph nodes ratio, lymphocyte count, serum albumin, CEA, CA153, CA199, BMI, tumor size, nerve invasion, and vascular invasion were prognostic factors for gastric cancer (all, P < 0.05). However, merely tumor staging, tumor location, positive lymph node ratio, CA199, BMI, tumor size, nerve invasion, and vascular invasion were independent risk factors, based on the results of the multivariate Cox regression analysis (all, P < 0.05). The nomogram based on eight independent prognostic factors revealed a well-degree of differentiation with a concordance index of 0.76 (95% CI: 0.72–0.79, P < 0.001), which was better than the AJCC-7 staging system (concordance index = 0.68). Conclusion The present study established a nomogram based on eight independent prognostic factors to predict long-term survival in gastric cancer patients. The nomogram would be beneficial for more accurately predicting the prognosis of gastric cancer, and provide important basis for making individualized treatment plans following surgery.


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