SAT-005-Prognostic factors associated with mortality of acute variceal hemorrhage in cirrhotic patients : Multi-center results

2019 ◽  
Vol 70 (1) ◽  
pp. e627
Author(s):  
Kuntapon Akkarachinores ◽  
Sakkarin Chirapongsathorn ◽  
Pawinee Saybungkla
Author(s):  
Daniela Matei ◽  
Dana Crisan ◽  
Bogdan Procopet ◽  
Ioana Groza ◽  
Bogdan Furnea ◽  
...  

IntroductionMortality from variceal bleeding remains high despite the therapeutic progress in severe cirrhosis. Understanding the predictive factors of failure to control bleeding (FTB) and mortality will lead to better future therapies. Comorbidities are thought to be important prognostic factors for variceal bleeding. The aim of the study was to assess the factors associated with FTB and with 42-day mortality and to evaluate the influence of comorbidities on these patients’ prognosis.Material and methodsWe prospectively included in the study all consecutive patients with cirrhosis and variceal bleeding presenting to the emergency room and we followed them up over 6 weeks. CirCom score and Charlson index were used for the assessment of comorbidities.ResultsOf the 138 patients included in the study, 27 (19.5%) were considered to have FTB. Child C class (74.07% vs. 32.43%, p < 0.001), Meld score (20.5 vs. 16.00, p = 0.004) and creatinine level (1.04 vs. 0.81, p = 0.01) were associated with FTB, but only Child class was independently associated with FTB in multivariate analysis (OR = 2.94, p = 0.006). Mortality at 42 days (21.7%) was influenced by the severity of the disease assessed through Child class (76.66% vs. 30.55% – Child C, p < 0.001) and MELD score (21.00 vs. 16.00, p < 0.001). Creatinine level (1.00 vs. 0.7, p = 0.02) and acute kidney injury (26.66% vs. 7.40%, p = 0.009) were also prognostic factors for the 6-week mortality. Comorbidities did not influence the mortality (CirCom > 1 (16.7% vs. 21.3%, p = 0.76) or Charlson index > 4 (36% vs. 47.2%, p = 0.41).ConclusionsThe severity of cirrhosis is an important prognostic factor for FTB and 42-day mortality. Identifying the factors associated with early mortality may help selecting patients needing more than conventional therapy.


2020 ◽  
Vol 79 (Suppl 1) ◽  
pp. 708.1-708
Author(s):  
J. S. Lee ◽  
S. H. Nam ◽  
S. J. Choi ◽  
W. J. Seo ◽  
S. Hong ◽  
...  

Background:Several studies have been conducted on factors associated with mortality in idiopathic inflammatory myopathies (IIM), but few studies have assessed prognostic factors for steroid-free remission in IIM.Objectives:We investigated the various clinical factors, including body measurements, that affect IIM treatment outcomes.Methods:Patients who were newly diagnosed with IIM between 2000 and 2018 were included. Steroid-free remission was defined as at least three months of normalisation of muscle enzymes and no detectable clinical disease activity. The factors associated with steroid-free remission were evaluated by a Cox regression analysis.Results:Of the 106 IIM patients, 35 displayed steroid-free remission during follow-up periods. In the multivariable Cox regression analyses, immunosuppressants’ early use within one month after diagnosis [hazard ratio (HR) 6.21, 95% confidence interval (CI) 2.61–14.74, p < 0.001] and sex-specific height quartiles (second and third quartiles versus first quartile, HR 3.65, 95% CI 1.40–9.51, p = 0.008 and HR 2.88, 95% CI 1.13–7.32, p = 0.027, respectively) were positively associated with steroid-free remission. Polymyositis versus dermatomyositis (HR 0.21, 95% CI 0.09–0.53, p = 0.001), presence of dysphagia (HR 0.15, CI 0.05–0.50, p = 0.002) and highest versus lowest quartile of waist circumference (WC) (HR 0.24, 95% CI 0.07–0.85, p = 0.027) were negatively associated with steroid-free remission.Conclusion:The early initiation of immunosuppressant therapy, type of myositis and presence of dysphagia are strong predictors of steroid-free remission in IIM; moreover, height and WC measurements at baseline may provide additional important prognostic value.Disclosure of Interests:None declared


Joints ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 07 (01) ◽  
pp. 013-018
Author(s):  
Davide E. Bonasia ◽  
Anna Palazzolo ◽  
Umberto Cottino ◽  
Francesco Saccia ◽  
Claudio Mazzola ◽  
...  

AbstractTotal knee arthroplasty (TKA) is a valuable treatment option for advanced osteoarthritis in patients unresponsive to conservative treatments. Despite overall satisfactory results, the rate of unsatisfied patients after TKA remains high, ranging from 5 to 40%. Different modifiable and nonmodifiable prognostic factors associated with TKA outcomes have been described. The correction, whenever possible, of modifiable factors is fundamental in preoperative patients' optimization protocols. Nonmodifiable factors can help in predicting the outcomes and creating the right expectations in the patients undergoing TKA. The goal of this review is to summarize the modifiable and nonmodifiable prognostic factors associated with TKA outcomes.


2021 ◽  
pp. 2100857
Author(s):  
Alexandre Tran ◽  
Shannon M. Fernando ◽  
Laurent J. Brochard ◽  
Eddy Fan ◽  
Kenji Inaba ◽  
...  

PurposeTo summarise the prognostic associations between various clinical risk factors and the development of the acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) following traumatic injury.MethodsWe conducted this review in accordance with the PRISMA and CHARMS guidelines. We searched six databases from inception through December 2020. We included English language studies describing the clinical risk factors associated with the development of post-traumatic ARDS, as defined by either the American-European Consensus Conference or the Berlin definition. We pooled adjusted odds ratios for prognostic factors using the random effects method. We assessed risk of bias using the QUIPS tool and certainty of findings using GRADE methodology.ResultsWe included 39 studies involving 5 350 927 patients. We identified the amount of crystalloid resuscitation as a potentially modifiable prognostic factor associated with the development of post-traumatic ARDS (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 1.19 for each additional liter of crystalloid administered within first 6 h after injury, 95% CI 1.15 to 1.24, high certainty). Non-modifiable prognostic factors with a moderate or high certainty of association with post-traumatic ARDS included increasing age, non-Hispanic white race, blunt mechanism of injury, presence of head injury, pulmonary contusion, or rib fracture; and increasing chest injury severity.ConclusionWe identified one important modifiable factor, the amount of crystalloid resuscitation within the first 24 h of injury, and several non-modifiable factors associated with development of post-traumatic ARDS. This information should support the judicious use of crystalloid resuscitation in trauma patients and may inform the development of a risk-stratification tools.


Circulation ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 142 (Suppl_3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Nobutoyo Masunaga ◽  
Hisashi Ogawa ◽  
Yuya Aono ◽  
Syuhei Ikeda ◽  
KOSUKE DOI ◽  
...  

Background: Atrial fibrillation (AF) patients are likely to have concomitant coronary artery disease (CAD). A new strategy of antithrombotic therapy in AF patients with stable CAD was demonstrated in recent randomized clinical trials. Now that antithrombotic therapy for AF patients with CAD has reached a major turning point, it is important to know the prognostic factors in those patients. Purpose: In this study, we investigated clinical characteristics, cardiovascular events and prognostic factors in AF patients with CAD. Methods: The Fushimi AF Registry, a community-based prospective survey, was designed to enroll all of the AF patients who visited the participating medical institutions in Fushimi-ku, Kyoto, Japan. Follow up data including prescription status were available in 4,441 patients from March 2011 to November 2019. Of 4,441 patients, 645 patients had a history of CAD at enrollment. Results: The mean age was 76.4±8.6 and 65.9% were male. Averages of CHA 2 DS 2 -VASc score and HAS-BLED score were 4.41 and 2.35, respectively. Oral anticoagulant (OAC) was prescribed in 52.9% of those patients and antiplatelet drug (APD) was prescribed in 70.4%. The combination of OAC and APD was prescribed in 36.0%. During follow-up period (median 1,495 days), cardiac death occurred in 51 patients, composite of cardiac death, myocardial infarction (MI) and stroke in 136, and major bleeding in 77 (1.8, 5.1 and 2.9 per 100 person-years, respectively). In multivariate analysis, factors associated with composite of cardiac death, MI and stroke in AF patients with CAD were low body weight (<=50kg) (hazard ratio [95% confidence interval]; 1.62 [1.07-2.47]), previous stroke (1.69 [1.13-2.52]), heart failure (1.47 [1.02-2.11]), hypertension (0.60 [0.41-0.87]) and diabetes mellitus (1.62 [1.13-2.32]). Furthermore, factors associated with major bleeding in AF patients with CAD were anemia (male: hemoglobin<12 g/dl, female: hemoglobin<11 g/dl) (1.82 [1.09-3.04]) and thrombocytopenia (<150,000 /μL) (3.02 [1.29-7.03]). Conclusion: In Japanese AF patients with CAD, low body weight, previous stroke, heart failure, hypertension and diabetes mellitus were associated with cardiovascular events, and anemia and thrombocytopenia were associated with major bleeding.


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document