Can Soft X-Rays Be Used as a Proxy for Total Energy Injected by a Flare into the Interplanetary Medium?
AbstractSolar flares are a source of impulsive energy releases on the Sun that can inject energy into the interplanetary medium. Some of these energy injections drive interplanetary shocks that can, in turn cause disturbances in Earth’s environment. In an attempt to quantify these energy releases using readily available observational data, we explore the possibility of using, as a proxy, the solar flare signatures observed in soft X-ray data. Our motivation has been prompted by the real-time operational requirements of NOAA and U. S. Air Force to provide estimates of arrival times and strengths of shocks that impact Earth’s magnetosphere. The luxury of extensive,ex post factostudies of flare total energy outputs is not possible in an operational context. This study is restricted to flares associated with shocks seen in the corona as metric type II radio bursts. Using GOES data, the energy released in the 1-8Å X-ray wavelength band is computed and then compared to the estimates made from a numerical model based on two-dimensional, time-dependent MHD modeling of flare-initiated interplanetary shocks. We find that the proxy energy estimates computed from the GOES data provideno advantageover the estimates made using the MHD-based numerical model.